PODA WEAPONS DEVOLUTION 7
Future Gunpowder Empires
The American Empire was
born and raised on excess. It was Texas
Growth Squared- bigger is better, on a global scale. The American Dream is not about the freedom
to go from rags to riches because we are special and have a Constitution and
are democratic and other such rot. We had
a dream of all sharing in the biggest, most fatty creamy delicious pie of all
time due to our resource wealth. For a
short while, there was enough of a surplus for subsequent generations to have a
share, and immigrants ( illegals are considered cheaters who benefit without
our consent to share ). That is long
gone, and every bellowed bullspit
utterance to the contrary is just snake oil hucksters enriching themselves by
selling the continued delusion. They all
are pleas for better management of the sharing out of the pie, forgetting
conveniently that the pie is shrinking as immigration and population is
exploding ( indigenous population growth is stagnant due to medical cost, most
gains are new arrivals and new arrivals with government medical services
). I’m sorry I’m now considered
unpatriotic and cynical because I don’t help spread the propaganda. Anyway, as long ago Das Homeland was denuded
and degraded in hyper-growth mode, mega-corporations spawned by the initial
treasure moved outward globally and exported our economy model in the mode of a shrew consuming its own body weight
each day to stay alive. The entire
planet has been mined.
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For some years now, I
would surmise a bit over twenty, our mighty growth has been founded on
literally mining all our ores. To do so
we mined all of our petroleum wealth ( the US alone was no longer in hyper
growth but now most of the planet. It
takes a lot more stuff ) as if we would continue to find new North Sea and
Alaska and Siberian oil fields. We have
not. Global oil field discoveries peaked
in the 1960’s and have NEVER improved despite all efforts ( fracking oil is
what was left from pervious mining, not NEW oil ). Without surplus oil, we can’t mine new ore
finds because all the old concentrated areas are mined out and only vast inputs
of energy can mine out the new areas which are all diffuse ores rather than
concentrated. If I have a square foot of
ground that has a big copper nugget of a hundred pounds, that is easy to
extract. But now, you must scoop up all
the dirt over a hundred acres and each microscopic speck of copper must be
separated from that dirt, that is NOT easy to extract. That is where we are today. Less energy to get more energy intensive
ores. By no stretch of the imagination
can you say this is a growth economy, based on the supply situation. Contracting fuel and ores, water supplies and
fertile soil, soil inputs, all are anti-growth.
It is in this realm that new future empires must try to emerge and
survive. Due to lack of all resources,
only solar energy ( as in photosynthesis, not as in energy panels ) and salvage
are viable. Whether that delivers a
surplus needed for growth is debatable.
I’d wager more on another five hundred year Dark Ages where the land had
to recover before any growth was possible.
END
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All too many refuse to believe that the old gas tank could ever run out. Dig deeper Jim, for it is a coming. As you and I both well know.
ReplyDeleteI feel so conflicted. One hand, I know I need to move further away. Other hand, I'm good for only another ten/twenty years best case and just kind of weary and care less than I used to about surviving that long. Although, hermitage is looking more attractive just for peace, quiet, more reading.
DeleteI plan on surviving to the end of the century at least, and for my kids and grandkids and great grandkids to be able to use the survival infrastructure I build now. Look long term enough and there might be a light at the end of the tunnel. NO not the oncoming locomotive, beyond that.
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