Friday, December 14, 2018

and then there was none 2 of 2


AND THEN THERE WAS NONE 2
“Overnight” collapses are really Waterfall Collapses.  A long time coming, with only the timing unknown.  You can’t judge which snowflake is going to be the cause of the avalanche.  You can only NOT build the house in the path of one, or go hiking in an area prone to them.  If you know an avalanche CAN happen, you stay out of its way.  You know Race Unrest already CAN happen.  You know as resources shrink it will go from Unrest to Blood Letting.  Do NOT be in its path.  If you aren’t assuming the worst, your minion membership card is in jeopardy. 
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Identifying trends rather than specific occurrences not only simplifies things and makes planning easier, it also reduces your stress reading the daily news.  Look at silver.  All you need to know is that we are ten years past Global Peak Silver.  And that there is TEN times the aboveground gold supply as there is silver ( all the demand and then destruction by Industry ).  You know mining costs are going up all the time.  And that Peak Oil will work negatively behind extraction.  Your obvious conclusion is that silver will go up, a LOT.
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My guess?  One thousand times.  Yes, $14,000 an ounce in TODAY’S dollars.  This stuff is as simple as scratching your ass and conducting a sniff test to see if you properly wipe.  Or bath.  Jesus, man, have some pride!  If there is ten times the aboveground supply of gold as there is silver, take the gold price and multiply it by ten.  There is your silver price.  I’m not expecting this to work out that exact, but there is your trend.  It will actually go up far higher as oil runs out ( no more mining possible due to the funding and machinery needed ).
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And let us not forget banker manipulation by derivatives.  The big players are selling 200 paper to one physical, minimum.  On purpose.  They are themselves buying physical with the profits.  The customers holding paper silver end up with zero, the bankers ( I believe it is JP Morgan who leads in this ) have millions of ounces physical that is suddenly worth hundreds of times the current manipulated low price.  All the details or timing is unknown.  But I’d bet on the trend.  Even just ten ounces of silver bullion right now pays off the house.
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Not that you SHOULD pay off the house.  Overpriced and vulnerable to the grid’s fate.  Kuntsler warned you twenty some odd years ago and the trend is as strong as ever.  And not that you might even be able to sell any silver.  But that is ignoring the trend by making excuses.  So what if you can’t sell it, you greedy hump.  Give it to your grandkids.  They will then be able to buy houses for the whole tribe, plus slaves and war brides.  Off ONE ounce of silver.  Embrace the trend.  Then you need not worry about the journey.
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Since I made up my mind to never be in debt for a home, back in the early 80’s, I magically avoided that bubble.  At the same time I determined collage was a rip off and retarded.  I somehow avoided the life crippling debt and exposure to PC asswhores.  Hell, I completely bypassed those trends, just by seeing the trend everyone was out to screw me.  Don’t even begin to think I’m all that great at seeing the future.  I only am to the degree I see trends in general, and then extrapolate Worst Case on them.
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A HUGE trend is exactly what we are talking about here, every year waking up and suddenly…  Nothing goes as you expect.  Who knew it would be more important to collect guns than rescuing people, during Katrina?  But if you had been heeding the trends ( Blacks hate you and want to kill you and the elite want to help them, to counter any White Revolution [ get it?  White, as in race AND the other side of the Bolshevik insurrection ] ), you wouldn’t be living near a Black Reservation and it wouldn’t have affected you.
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That is ignoring the specifics and favoring the trends.  Not to the point of being unable to strategize ( you still need to figure out the future of gun control.  My guess is food control to force “voluntary” compliance ), just to the point of being able to see with clarity after you minimize the stress and emotional panic.  Okay, the other day I said in the comments, “one day you will wake up and the option to stockpile will be gone”.  Or something similar.  Hell, I was so impressed with myself I made a note that led to these articles.
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Identifying the trend tells you that you CANNOT identify specifics or timing.  That is why everything is a rush now, to get ready.  The only thing we know is that we don’t know crap.  Except, this sucker is going down ( and not in a good way ).  Everything flows from there.  If you accept that the straw on the camel is piled one at a time, rather than magically appears all at once, you can accept the worst along the way.  As in, I can’t stay employed the entire way of the journey through decline to collapse.
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As in, there will be out of control fires and riots where I’m living right now, and it is too early in the decline ( not YET the collapse ) to engage in open firefights ( in other words, you cannot be effective by going offensive and must remain defensive ).  As in, gas rationing grounds everyone but the government, because the collapse isn’t here YET, and travel restrictions imposed, and you can’t get to your retreat as you planned.  As in, the government combating you lasts longer than your food supplies.
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Planning for the worst doesn’t mean planning for the worst.  It means planning for Almost The Worst far longer than you thought was possible.  That is what I mean by you losing your job now, and then still being in a high tax fiat currency high inflation economy, soon to deny welfare to Whites.  You run out of resources during the decline but before the collapse.  That is the kind of Worse Than Can Happen you have to assume.  You need to live through the economic collapse prior to the civilization collapse.  The consumer economy fails before the collapse ( oops!  No Chinese imports ).
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That will seem like an overnight occurrence, but it is just a long trend.  You woke up and suddenly…
( .Y. )
( today's related link here )
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note: I tried Patreon some time ago and they pissed me off by making it impossible to withdraw my cut, so I dropped them and never considered signing up again.  Well, this just in, the Nazi Helmet Lickers are going Full Retard censorship and kicking folks off for violations against the LefTard Movement.  I don't want to piss on anyone's income stream by suggesting you stop using the service, but I will leave you with this.  YouTube and Google still get rewarded for censorship because of ad revenue.  Patreon can only get paid by having subscribers.  If you drop those ad based sites, you don't hurt the company immediately, if at all.  If you aren't a subscriber on a subscriber revenue service, you do.  They could very quickly run into trouble, in theory.  There is even a competitor, "subscribe star".  Here are a bunch of video's on it click here . 
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note: free books.  Dystopia here .  Zombies here .  
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* By the by, all my writing is copyrighted. For the obtuse out there



33 comments:

  1. Lemme see if I got this chain right.
    People work in a society so that they can earn money to buy things so that they can continue to work in the society. Is that about right?

    Thus, if any link in the chain is broken the whole thing falls down.

    If you move out of the society you can no longer work.
    If you no longer work you won't have the money,
    If you don't have the money then you won't be able to move or get a job.

    You look out the car window on the way to work and you see the world slowly falling down and you wonder, "How in the hell do I get out of this?"

    The vicious circle cycle has you trapped. You need more money so you can break free but your job won't pay any more, in fact, you are making less. If you move to the hinters you lose all your money to get there and there is no option to get more.

    "Oh dear, if only I started this venture years ago, maybe 20 years ago, I wouldn't be in this horrifying predicament now."

    "But I didn't know 20 years ago what I know now, so where do I start?"

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    1. You can only minimize the pain, not halt it. So you can start anywhere. I guess the trick is not taking too long, nor in minimizing the worst danger. I think this was presented as an unanswerable question :)

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    2. I've read that some of the Titanic passengers died because they hesitated to long, for various reasons, to get on the lifeboats. By the time they were convinced that big bitch was going down it was too late, all the lifeboats were gone. Some stayed comfy in their cabins, even at a 45 degree angle, just knowing the captain was going to get everything straightened out - besides baby it's cold outside.

      If any of those passengers just took the first step and went out on the deck and seen with their own eyeballs what was going on they could have rushed back inside and bundled up and went and got on the lifeboat.

      The point is you have to start somewhere, anywhere, your choice. Your recommend is to get a chunk of junk land and slowly over time develope it into your own little BPOD and I agree. Money's real tight and $1k isn't possible for a BPOD, now what? Plan B. Stock grub, slowly but surely. 1 bucket of wheat at a time.

      Start somewhere is what I'm saying, mostly what you say almost everyday here. If you don't start you an't finish. Create a plan with an end goal then create tiny incremental steps to achieve that goal. In the beginning it will look like nothings getting done but in time, like bank interest 40 years ago, you see some results and that will be inspirational. But you gotta start. All problems are solvable. You may not like the solution, but a solution it is. If nothing else, horrible situations make for valuable learning experiences, so you have that.

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    3. I can't remember the figure-it was something stupid low like under $70, but anyone can be prepped for six months with the very basics. Flour, archery, filter, thrift store kitchen knives. You don't even need a filter-just an aluminum pot for $2 to boil water in. You don't even need a bow-a 50cent paring knife for a spear tip ( bury most of it in the shaft-that's what she said! ). Starting takes nothing and yeah, that accumulation is wicked after awhile. I look back at my crap and wonder, how did I accomplish all of that of peon wages?

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    4. "If any of those passengers just took the first step and went out on the deck and seen with their own eyeballs what was going on they could have rushed back inside and bundled up and went and got on the lifeboat."

      Very true, but remember that the Titanic did not have enough lifeboats for all of the passengers. So even if you decided to leave earlier than the others you still may have missed out.
      I bring this up to reinforce what Jim wisely pointed out in one of his books: the supply of junk land and wheat is finite, and there may come a day when they are simply not available.
      To further push the Titanic analogy, the wisest course would have been to refuse to get on a ship that was billed as "unsinkable" and didn't have enough lifeboats on board as a backup in case they were wrong. I took that idea as the gist of today's post - don't try to time the collapse so you can scurry out of its path; don't be in the path in the first place.

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    5. If I'm recalling correct, wasn't the Titanic full of well off to rich pukes? If so, rich scum don't worry about such things ( like a Tesla blowing up its battery bank ). They are so damn special and one of Gods chosen, no one would dare put them in danger.

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    6. True. There was a Vanderbilt and some other popular names at the time. John Jacob Astor. Think about it. The very nature of cruise liner imparts luxury. I'll never be on one. Hell, I've never even seen one in person, but sure would like to. Here in the midwest though that is an impossibility and I don't see me going long distances ever again. Unless I hit the lottery and move to that redoubt! Yeah! (riiiight)

      So you're right, there never had any idea they were going to die, having lived in luxury all their lives up until they died. They musta had the same look in their eyes the american communists will have when you jam that bayonet right in their gizzard.

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    7. Point well taken, there were lots of rich folks in first and second class. But there were a lot of ordinary folks as well in third class (steerage). They fared rather poorly in the final outcome: "...in first class over a third of the men, almost all of the women and all the children survived. In second it was less than 10 per cent of the men, 84 per cent of the women and all the children. But in steerage 12 per cent of the men, 55 per cent of the women and less than one in three of the children survived. Interrogating the figures shows that - despite the strict "women and children first" policy - a greater proportion of first class men survived, than of third class children." (Source: https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/did-the-third-class-passengers-on-the-titanic-have-a-fair-chance-1155678.html)

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    8. GS-I wouldn't go on a cruise today if you paid me. Too many of them are breaking down at sea. Defered maintanence seems to be the new industry standard. Just like the airlines-which is why this homey ain't flying ever again.
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      8:48-damn, I hadn't heard those figures before. Well, thank god the rich were saved so they could pass on their genes.

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    9. "Well, thank god the rich were saved so they could pass on their genes."

      Yeah, aren't we lucky? And maybe the reason so many survived is that, unlike us poor mammals, reptiles don't need to stay warm to survive...

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  2. I read an anon comment from a guy claiming to be a soldier back from Afghanistan.

    He said they'd distribute food / water but the catch was they'd also take profile pictures and fingerprints

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  3. I myself have no clue or insight as to when or how things may go. I use prepping as a general hobby interest for multiple known possible scenarios or as a backstop potential for those unknown unanticipated occurances. Zombie hordes are not the prime directive purpose. Being debt free, stocked up, unencumbered by drama relationships have been an asset for me. Unemployed all year, nervous but not critical, I had prepared for that possibility and probability. Injury or illness may befall one and must be prepped for "being out of action". If a Minion is broad based in preps and diversifies for as many likely scenarios then with the proper mindset it will provide the guidance and adaptability. Human life spans are too short to have galactic wisdom of any major trends or events. Fractured families and tribes are not in place for elders to pass on meaningful wisdom instead of boastful hunting stories. Adapt. Adjust. Overcome. Same as it ever was.

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    1. Sure, easy for you to say. I've got to come up with galactic wisdom every day :)

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    2. Good stuff, true, and pretty much how we're playing it out too. Always looking for ways to improve.

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  4. Regarding silver: I haven't had much extra cash but im starting to look into silver. This might sound dumb, but where do I sell silver once I want to sell it? Online? The cashier might think its Canadian if I try to pay for milk with it

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    1. Does your town have a coin shop? Buy and sell there. Of course, the whole point is to NOT sell it, but, yeah, know where your nearest coin shop is. You could try a mom & pop jewelry store, but I'm not sure about them. In a panic the store gets more, but look up online the days "spot price" along with the metal silver price. For instance, Silver $15 an ounce, spot $2. Everyone varies, but get a general idea on spot price-the amount extra over trading cost the dealer gets buying and selling. Don't let your retailer charge too much more. Also, if there is a panic, buyers through the mail will start to emerge, paying as much extra spot as they can. The last shortage, silver was "officially" $30 ( or something similar ) and sellers were charging upward of $50, and getting it. Don't buy through E-Bay, where most of the fake coins come from. Hope this helped, but ask more questions if needed. If you going to buy, don't wait too long. I'd recommend Golden State Mint if you want new coins ( they mint as orders come in-I wouldn't worry about fakes with them ), and go with Apmex if you want quickest and cheapest.

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    2. Good info, thanks for that. I do delivery and a customer buys from jmbuillon. Heard anything about them? He was smart enough to tell me hes stocking for the apocalypse so I know where to "get" some silver, at least ;)

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    3. I only went with the two companies I bought from-I know there are plenty of good ones out there.

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    4. I used 'montana rarities' in missoula. "Commander Zero" referral. I recommend u.s. mint coins or canadian, etc. You want government produced and easily recognized coins, not some "companies' creation". Although they may be legit operations, recognition post collapse, grid down, tightened knowledge circles will require it then, so plan now.

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    5. Jim, referencing the Venezualan slow collapse, reports from the field relate "average" weight loss in citizens is 19 pounds due to food shortages and inflation. I recommend to minions to not be concerned about a few extra pounds of body weight. As long as not obese and have good mobility, a little belly and rump fat is a walking inventory. These factors must be calculated in prepper planning too. Subsisting on Leningrad rations in a B-pod will whittle a Minion down to their high school skinny jeans in short order.

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    6. "Average" means the rich gained 19 pounds and the poor lost 76 pounds each :)

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    7. 5:05-I'm of the mind that the most obscure private mint coins will soon enough be accepted. Silver will be so rare that eventually a desperate dealer will go through the trouble of testing the metal. Knowing Chinese fakes are out there, I would test all gov mints right away, myself. As long as you are not in a rush you can wait out the "penalties" ascribed to private mints at first, if at all.

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    8. I too was wondering about this. I’d like to get some silver, but was afraid that it’s lack of liquidity would make it less practical for spending in a collapse, or even partial collapse (such as Hurricane Katrina). Yes, I get that you want to try and hang on to it if at all possible, but here’s where I’m at now. I took out a couple of grand in cash a few years back. The idea was to set aside enough to pay my taxes on my Elko property for life, and random emergencies.

      Am I better off hanging on to the cash, since I know that I would have no problems spending it an emergency situation, or should I take that cash and convert it to silver/convert some of it to silver? Perhaps just enough for the property tax, and the remainder left as cash for emergency spending? (And yes, I know that you’re not a financial advisor, so no worries. Just looking for input).

      Aside from a coin shop, is there ever a situation in which you can simply walk into a merchant, and hand them a silver coin for payment, and receive the same in goods for the value? I’m guessing not, but I wonder if others have tried this, and were successful?

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    9. I buy from my local coin shop.
      They stock 1 ounce bullion coins in 20 coin plastic containers and are very fair about their prices.

      2:48

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    10. 6:04-you will ALWAYS be able to cash in silver. But the big turd in the punchbowl is, at what cost? If PM's are outlawed, you'll take a big hit cashing it in. If there is a shortage of the metal, you'll make extra. It is a variable you need to consider. The other thing to consider is that money is losing something like 10% a year to inflation. But that doesn't mean you don't save cash, because while silver will always sell, you never want to be reliant on any one tool. For instance, I wouldn't sell silver now if you put a gun to my head. It is way too low and will go way higher ( but...timing. I could be dead then ). So, look at it this way. You hold cash, inflation penalty. You hold silver, commodity fluctuation penalty ( it won't be a commodity for long, but it is for now ). Penalty either way. I hold both ( only 20's, never high denoms-I don't trust the gov on those ). About half and half, but sometimes more cash as I save for my Once A Year Bills. I'd rather put it all in silver, such is my confidence in my long term projection, but it simply isn't smart. I would advise about the same, half and half. It isn't about how much you lose doing this. The penalties will cost you something. But you are buying flexability and more security from diversification. All cash, too much inflation. All silver, liquidity problems.

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  5. When stuff unravels in real time it can take a generation - from the time the French Revolution started to when Napoleon was finally exiled (for the last time) was 26 years. But it never hurt anyone to start early . . . .

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    1. The more centralized a system, the quicker it falls. And the whole globe and its trading system is too vulnerable. I don't think the 1177 BC crash took that long, either.

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    2. Fascinating reference . . . sounds like multiple cascading failures . . . .

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    3. The lazier explanation was "the Sea Peoples", but it was most likely climate change that drove them there and they crashed "global" trade. No, not Gore Warming :)

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  6. Off TOPIC
    Commander zero has a hilarious video of Chuck Norris sniper skills.
    Just some third grade humor.
    2:48

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    1. I think I watched it three times, if not four. Yes, stupid. But I can't stop laughing.

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