peak oil rethunk 2

PEAK OIL RETHUNK 2

“Myths, Lies and Oil Wars” by F. William Engdahl makes the case that biologic origins of oil formation theory is flawed. As one critic said, just for the Saudi main field you’d need several square miles cubed of dinosaur debris. I’ve never been too convinced that oceans of algae could be covered by earth movements and pushed down several miles, but since sciences ( other than social sciences ) are my weak suite I couldn’t offer either argument or alternative. But Ukrainian and Russian scientists of varied fields did have an alternative they worked on for decades, doing the whole Real Science thing of peer review and challenge and such that such things as Gore Warming seem to lack. As, apparently, did biotic oil formation theory. The only reference, seemingly, to the origins of the theory, was from some guy in the 1750’s who just threw that theory as he did others, at a wall and hoped it stuck. He never tried to prove it, he just thought it sounded like a good way to explain the newish rediscovered Rock Oil. US geologists never really went out of their way to explain the origins of oil, focusing on just finding the stuff. Stalin’s minions who were directed to give it their all in securing Russia’s oil as a strategic resource, evidently had motivation to really dig deep and do a thorough job. To them, to first find the stuff, you need to know why it is there, not just what the neighborhood looked like. This was the crucial difference in approaches. At first I really thought this was going to be another Soviet idiocy like collectivist farming ( although, looking at it rationally, our farming followed the same lines of displacing individual holdings. The only difference was over there the feds got no profits and here the big corporations got plenty ), but once again Engdahl came through with never before presented information.

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This wasn’t just a mostly failed Swedish experiment inspired by an award winning astrophysicist that was explained away as “neighborhood biotic bed seepage”. This was a producing field in the east Ukraine that has a 60% successful well rate ( 30% in the oil business is considered very good ), and it was in rock that conventional geologists claimed could hold NO oil ( as are some Siberian finds ). This evidence was reported by the Slav scientists at a 1994 Santa Fe New Mexico presentation. Needless to say, it not only was met with a stunningly unenthusiastic response, it spawned the Peak Oil movement to counter it. Every single participant refused to even consider that their careers were wasted on junk science. Far better to give that label to the lecturers, and go back to believing the earth was flat because it had always been considered to be. And whether or not the oil industry pushed grants to present Peak Oil as fact, just self-preservation alone would have prompted geologists to double down on their cherished beliefs and prove that only X amount of dinosaurs had died for our modern comforts. Continued tomorrow.

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