sixty day die-off 2 of 3

SIXTY DAY DIE OFF 2
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Does anyone, anyone at all, Bueller?, Bueller?, remember very recent Just In Time Inventory break downs that took place overnight and yet had lasting impacts for from months to years?  One chicken factory had a disease outbreak and suddenly eggs doubled or tripled in price and stayed that way for a good long time.  One fire at a automobile antifreeze plant and there were shortages and price hikes.  A flash drive plant in Japan was flooded after an earthquake and that computer component spiked in price ( there were Thailand factories to supplement, to keep supply up, but that didn’t help the price ).  The Great Rice Drought.  The near five year rimfire ammunition drought? 

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Obviously to all but politicians and retards, but I repeat myself, the JIT system blows rabid monkey testicles.  Too few sources for too many products and one too many disruptions in supply and the whole world suffers shortages and price increases.  If you recall me telling you, the rice shortage ( more folks globally eat rice than wheat, so it was a very big deal outside this country ) was only short circuited by the Japanese dumping stockpiled rice on to the market.  Which was really good PR on their part, as I’m sure most Ornamentals don’t consider a mere two nukes sufficient punishment for the Greater Asian Co-Prosperity Occupation they conducted a few generations ago. 

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But guess what?  JIT systems don’t do inventory.  The Japanese had a One Off stockpile that was a byproduct of its trade wars with us.  They bought a bunch of California rice which was probably considered inferior slop, and stockpiled it as part of a strategic effort ( like the wheat we USED to stockpile, for Cold War citizen fodder ).  It was food, so couldn’t be thrown away, but only bought so they could sell Toyoto’s and Sony Playstation’s over here.

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The reason the rimfire problem persisted so long was that nobody stockpiled the stuff.  Every round made went out every day and every weekend the guys went to the store and bought a box and shot it up.  It was JIT ammunition.  Only a few crazy prepper dudes put aside any for the future.  Then, as the price of fuel spiked along with metal ( since it now takes more energy to mine and process ore ), suddenly the rimfire dudes had to pay more for brass, and/or had to raise prices so the demand for their product didn’t overwhelm supply ( if you are maxed out on production, the way to keep the demand at your capacity is to raise prices drastically ).  If suddenly the military AND the paramilitary needs more ammo, AND China needs more copper, AND suddenly every rimfire shooter wants to stockpile some to cover the empty shelf issue, AND every prepper wants to do that plus more, you have a multi-year shortage.

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Why is rimfire cheap-er if not as cheap as it was before, besides inflation?  Global demand for copper tanked.  The Chinese weren’t selling products so didn’t need as much raw material.  The military was occupying Iraq and the hot war subsided.  The Alphabet Soup agencies were already stockpiled with enough handgun ammo.  Every time Obammy DIDN’T impose gun control laws after an election or school shooting, the next time fewer folks panic bought.  Casual rimfire shooters had dropped out of the sport due to cost.  AND, please try to imagine how important this is, disposable income is complete crap in this economy.  All raises and all shrinking income alike goes to increased rent, increased health care and increased insurance, amongst other costs ( all to the greedy asswhore scumbag bankers ).

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The lesson here is that if you aren’t buying ammo now you are really a complete and utter moron and I’m embarrassed for you.  As you should be for yourself.  You’ll lose income, and cost of insurance will go up, so sell your boat or bike or ATV and buy ammo ( if you need it ).  Whatever.  Get ammo while you can ( I assume you minimized ammo and maximized wheat until food was assured, then turned to ammo ).  Because the second lesson here is that JIT inventory is a cold stone gold plated whore.  No one is stocking inventory and everyone is either manufacturing at capacity or going out of business through demand destruction ( from reduced purchasing power for anything not banker profitable ).

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You cannot blame businesses for JIT.  Necessity is the mother of invention, and just as easy cheap oil destroyed all previous infrastructure, dear energy demanded JIT and it drove out all other ways of doing business.  But now you’ve had plenty of warning.  JIT is the only way inventory is held and JIT is disruptive.  Any small issue compromises a products availability and when several small issues combine the shortages and price hikes last years.  Because your customer went from JIT to the old method of stockpiling, the whole system disrupts.  There isn’t enough for both existing customers AND stockpilers ( the rice shortage mushroomed as everyone started stockpiling for themselves, just like the rimfire shooters ).

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This is the whole point for being frozen in fear over the JIT system.  It has already proven to be unable to handle disruptions.  Already many parts of both Africa and the middle east are in semi-permanent states of malnourishment for the poor after a couple of drought years.  Instead of JIT’ing grain, the norm now ( you ship out your grain, someone else will ship you theirs when you need it ), as soon as a country starts stockpiling instead of exporting, the whole system breaks down.  This is probably why all areas of the globe except Africa are in demographic meltdown, the rates of births dropping drastically.  It isn’t condom availability or woman’s rights, it is tightening food supplies forcing less pregnancies ( Africa is always the exception-their strategy is always to overpopulate.  The rest of us quickly under populate.  I don’t know why, although it would be fascinating to learn ).

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Any energy disruption that goes along with our current implosion, be it economic or health care or whatever causes a system stutter, JIT inventory will exponentially worsen the situation.  It is guaranteed.  The die-off will be helped along marvelously by JIT inventory disruptions.  We continue and conclude tomorrow.

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