less evil-the die off 1 of 3

LESS EVIL-THE DIE OFF

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note: for those with KU, a decent read touching on energy EROI:
click here "Briton's Coming Energy Crisis"
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I was going to title this article along the lines of “the lesser of evils” but I didn’t want you thinking this was about the upcoming presidential election.  I mean, what else is there to talk about?  One devil spawn with Parkinson’s Disease, just who you want with the nuclear launch codes, and a liberal New Yorker dressed up in Republican Big Boy Pants who has lied about everything-business as usual.  The lesser evil is obviously The Foul Haired One.  But since elections are nothing more than rigged eye candy for the weak minded, we will just have to wait and see if Toupee Mussolini or Evil Epilepsy are put on the throne.  There is little reason to talk about it other than to laugh uproariously.  No, what we shall discuss today is the whole concept of the die-off and how it might be wishful thinking covering up the more probable reality of an anarchist devolution which will much more problematic to your health.

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Okay, here is the standard survivalist paradigm.  An asteroid hit’s the earth, or Yellowstone blows.  Neither is improbable.  Nobody saw coming the rock that hit in Russia a few years ago, so the movie “Armageddon” scenario is plain delusional.  And the super volcano has seen strange behavior recently like animals fleeing in mass and fairly large land upwelling.  Both will happen but nobody is sure of the timing.  Both events are high possibility low probability.  The point here being, a sudden civilization ending event occurs.  This can include EMP’s or solar flares, the previously discredited Y2K, etc.  The other accepted events have a slightly longer time frame but not enough to keep peace or order.  A terrorist attack demolishes the Saudi oil processing facility and within a few weeks the global petroleum flow seizes up ( the Saudi scenario is most plausible as it takes place in a very unstable area with a rather centralized location-but anything that takes one fifth  of the global energy supply offline qualifies ).  Or, a major bank implodes from the weight of its derivatives overexposure ( which at this point could be almost any one of them-even if Deutch Bank looks to be the current favorite ).  You can’t actually believe the bail-out will succeed next time, can you?  The fundamentals are exponentially worse than last time.  Or, a major weather event ( and take your pick on those-I’m not necessarily endorsing Gore Warming but it is obvious that the Gulf Stream has already broken down and hence the New Normal is severe weather happenings ) repeats Katrina or Fukishima and the cities with Obammy’s coddled minorities erupt in riots that spread and are uncontainable.  Note to Blacks: remember how Saddam was given the green light to invade Kuwait?  Then we turned on him?  No?  That’s okay, those of us evaluating events with Monkey Minds can’t comprehend your Lizard Brain mindset.  And primal violence will rule during the die-off.  Perhaps you will prevail anyway.

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Here is my point.  All of the collapse scenarios presuppose a rather rapid collapse and die-off.  We actually can’t survive in another type of collapse ( which is a partial reason to mock and ridicule those such as The Druid Dude with his 300 year ultra uber slow tree hugging permaculture collapse-we hate what we fear ).  Think about it.  How could our limited supplies survive a five year civil war?  Forget just surviving physically.  Here we are with faction fighting faction, one group ( based on race or political affiliation or geological occupation, etc. ) allying with another one week then attacking them the next, a brutal guerrilla war just as bad as the Balkans since far too many religions and races and Rice Bowl groups ( economic security from a similar source-the iron rice bowl in China is the name for that ) are/were forced into the country and bribed to assimilate but without surplus there is no reason for any of us to cooperate or keep us from hurting each other.  If that goes on too long, your chances of survival drop to zero.  If not from the constant combat than from running out of supplies.

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THAT is why a sudden collapse is so necessary.  All our planning presupposes it.  Without a compressed time frame you can’t survive.  You need to hide out and let the supply-less quickly die off so you can emerge and fight for control of the resources necessary to supply you with a post-oil means of livelihood.  You only have so much food to sustain you before you must grow/raise more ( remember the analogy of eating off food in the lifeboat until you find an island to farm/fish? ).  If the current levels of population do not shrink quick enough, you can’t commandeer the means of production with your limited force.  War is notoriously slow in population reduction ( look at the thirty years it took to reduce many areas of Germany by 90% ).  And if warfare is constant, for years, you WILL run out quickly ( and, no, that is not a valid argument for semi-auto’s.  Your ammunition is still a weak link and you simply can’t stock enough if you Pray And Spray ).  You really, really need a quick die-off to stretch out your limited supplies.

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Note that I am NOT saying a civil war is far more likely than a sudden die-off.  I’m firmly convinced when the waterfall collapse picks up enough speed it will be over quickly thereafter ( just as the Seneca Cliff Italian dude postulates ).  We might see a period of modern armed factional fighting within a framework of modern nation state nominal control.  But it won’t last for years as it has in Africa, Eastern Europe or the middle east.  Those conflicts were supplied by interested super power states.  The coming conflict won’t see an oil rich re-supply by an industrial state.  Already the Chinese economy is imploding and the US military is incapable of any action outside garrison duty.  Only Russia seems a viable survivor, and they are more traditionally defense orientated.  Without a competing dangerous power they will tend to their immediate area ( good news for the US, probably not so good for China with its shared border.  She is buddy, buddy with Russia now but that is because of the threat from America.  Russia knows who her traditional enemy is and will strike as needed when advantageous ). 

Continued Tomorrow.

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