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Thursday, August 25, 2016

less evil 2 of 3


LESS EVIL-THE DIE OFF 2
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Must Read! :
global EROI
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It is easy to mock the Near Clueless.  Steve The Survivalist Yuppie Scum works some cheese dingus job like a lawyer who screws over taxpayers by championing corporate loopholes or a contractor who screws over taxpayers by kicking back bribes to his politician brother in law to get fat city contracts using substandard materials and illegal day labor, and like all the rest of his ill repute ilk he thinks he is smarter than the rest of us.  So he pays a consulting fee to an Idaho survivalist expert to tell him how to turn a quarter million dollars into a luxurious collapse retreat in the boonies.  Of course, Steve spends as much as he makes, mostly on blow and hookers whatever doesn’t get spent on the trophy wife.  So he gets a nice low interest loan from another connected friend/relative.  He thinks he did good, paying a mere 2% vig for this sweet reclusive retreat.  But he is in such massive debt that he can’t quite his job and he can’t move away to safety.  He is stuck in the overnight collapse/bug-out paradigm.

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Which is a perfectly asinine thing to do, and everyone knows it.  A kid with a busted knife blade attached to a spear shaft with a collection of traps and a few dozen buckets of grain cached for wilderness survival has a better chance of surviving than Steve does.  “Survivalists” counting on an overnight collapse to void their debt exposure deserve the ridicule and mockery of those such as The Druid Dude.  You could say that his preps are better than nothing but I would counter that his preps essentially amount to nothing.  Steve is going to stay in an increasingly dangerous urban hive until that bites him in the ass.  Heck, he might even be in jail before the collapse because of his desperation in making over X amount of money.  You can’t just prep for the end, but also the lead up to the end.  Steve could see the economic collapse unfolding around him if he wasn’t blinded by his own brilliance.  Yes, Steve, of course we recovered from 1929 and the 1970’s.  We had the energy surplus to do so ( just starting to pump the Super Wells in the Depression and just starting to control the distribution of Saudi oil forty years later-not to mention the Alaska bonanza ).  Now we don’t.  Yet Steve can’t see that vital distinction.  He applies fifty year out of date information to count on-what?  Honestly, I can’t tell you what is going on in Steve’s mind.  What a douche.

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And yet, knowing what a bloody wanker Steve is, I think a lot of us have a similar thought process.  Not as naïve, certainly, but still only one step removed from his silliness.  We don’t fall into the debt trap, because it is about as obvious as the hemorrhoids on your ass that the Banksters have been screwing the pooch for over a decade ( ever since the increase of oil supplies turned into the plateauing of the oil supply-which was enough to screw up the central bank money minting machine of lowering interest to increase debt.  The actual fall of the oil supply as seen from EROI or net energy return was enough to take a big squishy on all their plans, hopes and dreams ) and it can’t last much longer.  And since 2008 it is also plainly obvious that EVERYONE gets thrown under the bus to save the bankers.  Everyone.  Local government police or firemen, retirees, military readiness-everyone.  The banks might not last too long but they certainly will be the corpse on top of ours in the end.

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So debt is a suckers game.  Getting into debt for survival preps is a rookie mistake ( not all debt is silly-paying off junk land is better than paying rent, and paying off on a car is fine as long as it takes you back and forth to your debt free country property.  The debt I’m talking about is the overbearing, unpayable, payments hinging on a job you can’t keep in a downturn type of debt used to buy Too Much Preps of the luxurious type ).  What it boils down to is that you can’t time the collapse nor can you guarantee the type of collapse.  We wargame and balance probabilities, then we act like we know what is going to happen.  I’m enamored with the energy shortage economic collapse causing centralized farming feeding delivered by long distance transportation to fail and the urban masses comprising most of our population to spasm in an orgy of desperation and die off. 

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While I avoided the sin of relying on too quick of a collapse, of an overnight apocalypse, I certainly have acted as if I’ve figured out the type of collapse to prep for.  I certainly didn’t make the mistake of trying to time the collapse, but that is all I can congratulate myself on.  I’m still relying on a relatively swift collapse.  Energy quickly becomes unavailable due to a global credit freeze and all the local asswhores move away for lack of jobs, affordable rent or winter heat.  THEN the real civilization collapse begins.  But I could easily throw any number of monkey wrenches into my “plans”.  For instance, what if gun control really happened?  Overnight I’d be faced with the choice of fighting back ( helping to start a chapter of a civil war ) or facing death by violent criminal or being rounded up into a concentration camp.  Far less simple than just waiting for the die-off and then herding goats and raiding settlements to the north.  In a gun control scenario, things are a hell of a lot more complicated than fictional tales lead you to believe.  Let’s talk about that tomorrow.

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18 comments:

  1. So gun control could happen well before the collapse and destroy main defensive strategy? Thanks for one more thing to worry about.

    -Novice

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I excel in creating more problems for people to worry about. If my sleep gets interrupted, so does yours :)

      Delete
  2. Steve's *problem* is that he's trying to live a somewhat "normal" life.

    You know, a life where you don't have to worry about the integrity of politicians, or their jackbooted thugs kicking your door in at 4am, or that your neighbors that need slapped hard upside the head are gonna drop that dime cause your grass 1/2" too long, or that ALL of the media are lying their asses off every time their lips move.

    Politics now is a difficult field to scale the learning curve and the media is not very helpful, and of course the public schools, well, they don't teach much of anything worthwhile.

    So therefore the number of naive Steve's running around are far more than those that know what's going on. Quite frankly, most of the entire US and global *newsworthy* things that are going on are just too much for most people to take on.

    So the Steve's of the world just flounder about waiting for a big fat red bold lettered clue to fall in their lap.

    As my freind Steve (coincidently) said about 5 years ago, "There's too much information out there.", to which I instantly agreed and added, "And most of it is complete and utter bullshit."

    The public was brainwashed early in their lives and kept bamboozled for the rest of their lives and the communists behind all of it naturally rise to the top.

    Until a whole bunch of people including the communists at the top and the dead weight at the bottom, are removed from the strata I don't see things getting better on their own, in fact, they are going to continue to get incrementally worse and worse until such time the weight of the boat exceeds the weight of the water it displaces and then it all goes under pretty quick.

    Avoid crowds, stay armed, pack food, filter water, increase situational awareness, and cautiously try to expand tribe.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Add to the end, "and remember you aren't paranoid if they are out to get you"

      Delete
  3. Being (mostly) debt free is probably best prep one can make for a long term collapse. I remain convinced that the student loan "crisis" will be used to institute some sort of mandatory "public service" repayment scheme aka government run forced labor camps. (really helps explain the disability discharge setup doesn't it?)
    I hope to escape my student loans ASAP, but the laws are written for the banks not the debtors, and keep getting revised in the banks favor (see also Bankruptcy laws of 2005).
    Ensuring you are distant from major population centers may also help escape such debt started slavery - after all why spend the money to send someone way out in the boonies to collect only one or two people? It would be much more effective to wait for such people to come in of their own volition or when they need resources (such as hospitals) that can only be obtained in the cities, and even more efficient just to open up the doors to the buses at the colleges and convince the soon to be slaves that they would have their student loans paid off just by working a couple of weeks (that you change to a couple of years by revising the laws as time passes).

    ReplyDelete
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    1. I wonder how effective a student loan payback scheme would actually be. As consumer discretionary income plummets, already consumer items are a glut on the market. How pressing is the need for near free labor right now?

      Delete
    2. Depends on how near free it needs to be, in order to be profitable. Feed a bunch of enslaved loggers pinecones and a half cup of the cheapest most watery gruel you can, and let their stored fat keep them going as long as they can - while cutting down the trees with hand tools and no safety equipment - give the guards the occasional BBQ pork sandwich to supplement their rations (after logging accident of course)- and you could be turning a pretty sweet little profit, especially if the petroleum prices spike to the point that mechanized logging is a losing proposition.

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    3. The Nazi's did this, minus the BBQ sandwich, and could have won the war on it if they had broken through on just one petroleum push. But profit wasn't the name of the game, only BTU's.

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    4. Yep, and the allies pretty much had all the good petroleum BTU all sewed up.
      Petroleum with 10+:1 Eroei will beat slavery almost all the time.
      Once the petroleum approaches 1:1 though, slavery and solar (agriculture) powered industry will clearly move into a lot of the rolls now filled by machinery.

      Delete
    5. I don't know if anyone will have enough oil, AND be able to transition to post-oil, to be a winner. Most likely the new powers will rise from the ashes.

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  4. The problem with most people like the Steve in your example is they think the debt vanishes during a collapse, letting them off scot free. Outside of a major worldwide EMP attack, thats not going to happen. Someone has that debt recorded in multiple places and will come to claim it. Better to not have any to start with, land taxes will be hard enough to deal with when the time comes

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    1. Exactly. Property tax is the elephant in the room. A HUGE potential issue. I propose adding county and state politicians to the Lamp Post List.

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  5. Debt will be the cause of collapse. It can be caused from energy, income, employment, or any of a 100 other short falls that makes debt owed tip over the ability to pay interest on it. Principle was created out of thin air but it is the interest that is important.
    In 2008 we reached that point of collapse it got a reset by money being devalued world wide. The next time (soon I think) it will play out on its own . Any kinda debt makes you an Indentured servant now . After it will be slavery. Since you cant time collapse stay out of debt and prep accordingly. I for one don't want to become a sharecropper because I owe money.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Becoming a serf is going to be easy enough-don't help the process by giving them an excuse.

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  6. There's at least one person out there that's even more stupid than Steve, and the winner is:

    Ledecky turning down $5 million per year to go to school

    http://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/olympics/ledecky-turning-down-dollar5-million-per-year-to-go-to-school/ar-BBw2ZV5?getstaticpage=true&ocid=mailsignout

    Yeah, that Stanford degree is going to come in real handy after the economy completely implodes sometime next year!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Notice she was basically going to "have fun". That should be worth a few hundred grand in tuition.

      Delete
  7. EROI link was worth a read. Info in keeping with the 2030 plus or minus a decade view of when peak everything creates chaos. 2020 is getting really close...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The Olduvai Theory is 2030 end date. So, obviously the highest Oil users collapse prior to that. Which is us, btw. It is on like donkey kong, bitches!

      Delete

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