more alpha strategy

MORE ALPHA STRATEGY

Here is the original book ( click HERE for PDF ), “Alpha Strategy” by John Pugsley. It was copyrighted 1980, so don't expect a lot of the economics to be relevant. Hell, I don't even know how much of the commodities stockpiling is usable anymore. He was talking about, mostly, American made goods and now it is all Chinese. Or worse than Chinese ( it seems most of the shoe manufacturing is swiftly moving over to Indonesia right now, for instance. Yes, Muzzies are making your shoes, infidel dog ). But the grandfather of the concept must be acknowledged.

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For instance, if I died before the apocalypse, and who knows if I will as things are looking spicy, I would want future writers to throw me a bone. Yes, he was the only voice crying out in a wilderness of optimistic hubris, no semi-auto, deep stock wheat, junk land, Peak Oil, fracking fable, frugal prepping, Jim Washer. Not that anyone will, the bastards. Some cheese dingus will steal all my good ideas and pass it off on his own, probably thumping the bible as he hawks FLIR scopes to the unwashed masses.

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The Alpha Strategy is simply short hand for “buy now, brown cow, for inflation will see their price increase tomorrow”. I bring this up in response to a minion comment, where it was written that even Disaster Dan's ( two week preppers ) and Fracking Fanboys still needed to prep against inflation. And, since pensions aren't looking too bright for the future, retirement. Everybody used to know, “pay off the mortgage before retirement, dumb ass”. That WAS common sense. Now everyone is like the idiot financing his car for seven years, perpetually in debt.

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I don't care who you are. I don't care how much an ex-wife or the bankers or little green men from Mars screwed you over, you NEVER go Full Retard and have rent or a mortgage for retirement. Nor should it ever enter your mind that a car payment is a good idea. You should have no debt for retirement, I don't care if you went from suburbia heaven to junk land hell. You do whatever it takes to avoid debt and almost every bill. I know this is not as much of an iron clad rule as it used to be. Hell, neither is marriage. We are all, “yeah, but...”. Always an excuse.

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Now, I can see getting a divorce. Perhaps the bitch only put out once a month. Or, your husband drinks beer like it is water, and is a miserable bastard. Everyone should deserve a shot at happiness. But you never divorce if the financial cost is too high. Well, the males rarely have a choice on that, but I'm speaking of post-kids. At least you almost never have to pay alimony anymore, what with all women working. If she doesn't work, and alimony might be possible, here's an idea. Start her up a business.

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A few years prior to dumping her ass, start her on a business, selling what you would want to buy. Say, silver coins. Now, in the next town over rent a private mail box and use another name and buy silver from her regularly ( yes, I know there are laws requiring reporting “stacking”. My old coin dealer in the mid '00's told me, “don't come in on a schedule and don't buy the same thing, and there is no paperwork”. Beware of this issue and work around it ). Now there is a record of sales, of her income ( have a high dealer mark-up ). The judge sees a viable business with proven income. And you aren't out too much investment.

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Anyway, back on track. No matter who you are and what future you foresee, you know just as God made little green apples, there WILL be inflation, and your retirement will take a hit from that, as will your weekly shopping trips. Going “Alpha Strategy” means you are always LESS affected by inflation. No one can escape, and I cannot even believe some folks see deflation on the horizon. What is the ONLY two things going down in price? Food, mostly, and electronics, usually. And those are subject to caveats.

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Food, adjusted for inflation, is cheaper than MOST other items. For now. We saw a good bout of food inflation in 2009, and then a trickle as “package shrinkage” increased, but that was, again, MOSTLY, processed foods. Make your own meals, from scratch, and food has not been this cheap, inflation adjusted, for around twenty years. Produce might be up, as production moved from California to Mexico, but you don't need out of season produce. Learn to eat sauerkraut in the winter instead of oranges. And we should all be gardening anyway.

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Not to say food won't skyrocket in price. It always has periods when it does so, regardless of how dedicated to Too Cheap To Meter the powers that be are. But at least bless them for understanding revolution only happens during hunger ( for the most part ). But the point is that, like overseas oil and fracking gas, food is SUBSIDIZED. It isn't “capitalism” or “'Muricanism”, it is straight up socialism, the government gifting the poor cheaper than market prices. There, see? Socialism isn't just for Venezuela anymore.

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Electronics are a bit more difficult. Yes, they are built overseas. But not everything overseas keeps going down in price. Auto's don't ( although to be fair, there is a lot of politics and tariffs involved ). Sure, guns went down in price, but that is mostly due to quality reduction ( the AR's decreased mostly from overcapacity, but politics and a saturated market will kill off many current manufactures, raising the prices again. Get 'em cheap while you can ). You can pretty much say that except for TV's, computers and cell phones, inflation is always here screwing us.

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I think a lot of electronics deflation is overcapacity and never ending demand. Not necessarily by consumers, because high end phone demand doesn't survive pink slips. But by corporations, always buying more chips and electronics to replace workers with robots. Every day, you go to work and do three workers jobs for half the money one worker used to make ( inflation adjusted ). Every day, your boss comes into work and has meeting on how to replace you with HAL. He only seems like a nice guy because he is a reptile underneath ( see the TV show “V”, sorry-a remake, now showing on Tubi ).

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You can take Trend Inflation to the bank. Even if I'm 100% wrong on the doomer porn, and your precious Stairstep Collapse comes to pass, even if I'm full of more crap than a holiday goose, inflation will dry hump you all day long, every year, until the sweet release of death. Even if you don't deep larder wheat and steel case ammo, you would be foolish to not follow The Alpha Strategy. Sure, it's a pain in the ass, as are all methods of saving money. Oh, boo-hoo, Sad Panda :( Get over yourself, you ain't THAT special that you get a ( robot ) maid and butler. Continued tomorrow.

( .Y. )

( today's related Amazon link click HERE )

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