EXTREME POVERTY
It is easy to get lost
in our surplus mindset. We all have pretty much conquered the frugal
living for frugal prepping contest. We know how to live on very
little so that we can prep a lot. Not much else to see here, move
along. The problem is that we are now mini-warehousing. It isn't an
issue, per se. Buying double or triple for the same price, by buying
bulk, is super deluxe magical. No, the problem stems from the New
Normal being that we CAN live surrounded by bulk. We can lose sight
of the fact that surplus is abnormal.
*
All empires suffer from
hubris and delusions of surplus. America is no exception. We OUTDID
the rest of the empires through history with the scale of that
delusion, but that is only because of oil. Even England, with its
coal, never approached the level of unreality. Mostly because of the
class system, most folks were used to poverty and deprivation, all
through the Industrial Revolution. Once it became time to politically
share, after WWI, the ability to do so had long passed from the
economy being eclipsed and society burdened by unintended
consequences.
*
The US never really had
a resource disruption, despite always having some part of society
living in abject poverty. This was a political and economic system
exploiting new immigrants, wherein the old immigrants could then move
up the socioeconomic ladder. That played out until very recently,
whereby new immigrants were then rewarded as the multi-generational
original settlers were exploited and ruined economically as the
original wealth pump was reversed. The American Dream was always
about exploitation and theft, but the contract was rewritten.
*
The good part of this
dynamic is that the bankers can only control you through debt. We
bought us a small window of relief by staying out of debt and hence
could survive nicely on the crumbs thrown us, but you also have to
beware the caveats to that. If you foolishly get married, or have
children, that is weaponized against you. If you want more money or
more luxury, that is weaponized against you. You must live on the
margins, staying less visible by needing less money. We are at a
fortunate time right before overcapacity ruins the global economy,
and before the energy is seriously depleted.
*
Don't mistake this time
as a normal condition. It is a reprieve. If one avoids debt and
lives frugal, it is nothing to save a bit of cash and buy in bulk.
As 70% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck, we don't have a lot of
competition. We are being rewarded with steep discounts for being
able to save rather than stay in debt. What a glorious time, buying
$200 cases of AR ammo, twenty-five cents a pound of wheat buying in
bulk. Ten years ago, global drought saw a shortage of wheat ( or,
increased prices ) and there was ZERO affordable ammunition. The
decade of economic decline eliminated a lot of consumers.
*
It is nothing, barely
registering on our budget, to buy thirty space blankets at a time, or
twenty fresnel lenses. We only shop the family packs of meat, on
loss leader sale. We are surrounded by crates of cheap LED lights,
or Sportsman's Guide military surplus sold in half dozen lots. You
can buy used paperbacks at the library for a dime each, as the fools
trading in for a Kindle ( with far worse modern books ). And none of
this is normal. And it is dangerous because we have embraced it as
such, in desperation.
*
After the deprivation
of the 1970's, we as a people and culture went shopping at the mall,
an orgy, a glut of consumption, exactly because the last decade had
really sucked. We were applying Shopping Therapy. We all did it,
voting for the Happy Optimist in Reagan, and partying so hearty the
term “hookers and blow” entered the mainstream. Some fool on the
radio was telling us to “don't worry, be happy”. Our
entertainment went from depressing and violent with universal
suffering ( Death Wish ) to happy and violent ( almost any action
film ) where only the bad guys suffered.
*
I think we might be in
danger of being in a similar place of indulgent reality avoidance.
We really were traumatized by the Greater Depression. Now that
another Even Greater If Not The Greatest Forever Depression seems to
have started, we might cling ever tighter to our material
overabundance, to shield us. Oh, we know hard times are coming, but
all this excessive crap is a talisman. A security blanket. I'm not
judging. I was NEVER the level of hoarder I am now. It might be
easy to forget that we are about to enter Extreme Poverty.
*
I keep harping on it,
although I've let it rest for longer in between lately, the problem
of semi-auto firearms. All our lives, ammo was there, even 24 hours
a day when Wal-Mart was still selling it before selling out to the
commies. Even during the ammo drought, you could still buy ammo,
just for a lot more money. Except rimfire, but I'll do you the favor
of not harping on my favorite Peak Ore topic. But by and large, the
ammo didn't disappear. I'm buying it up now, as if it will. Mostly
because of politics, but also the next economic collapse.
*
But my point is folks
look at ammo as a given, something that will always be there, even if
the price isn't right. Ah, no. We are going to be entering the
phase of empire akin to the Great Depression, but worse, without the
surpluses we had then. We are going to be following Britain's lead,
but without another superpower to prop us up as we did them. Most of
us are going to be entering into extreme poverty, as the ass falls
out of the economy. Which will NOT recover as there is no more
energy to prop one up.
*
Yeah, here's my second
favor. I won't get into all that, the Peak Oil argument. I'll just
say, 2030 is the Olduvai Theory end game. Anyway, wasting ammunition
tactically isn't the problem here. I just use it as an example of
the surplus mindset. Another example is toilet paper. Far too many
of us, myself included, still try for that mythical pallet of TP,
rather than practicing NOW, with water or clothe wipes. I save SOME,
not a lot, by delivering my Po Boy Bidet by soaking a wad of TP in
water from the sink, after the initial solid removal, the water
soothing on the hemorrhoids and far more easily removing the smeared
matter. But I'm STILL relying on TP.
*
Another example would
be the dozens of LED's and the boxes full of rechargeable batteries,
for illumination. When I suggest SUPPLEMENTING, not replacing but
supplementing, some of that with the ToobLite reusable green glow
stick, I'm met with dismissal. I'm not saying my solution is ideal,
far from it. I only suggest it is an example of the proper mindset
needed, to embrace SOME bulk buying elimination by going more
primitive. I think the TP question is a good indicator to someone's
willingness to change their thinking, planning and expectations.
*
I would not DARE to
suggest that for eliminating semi-auto. I realize I sit sad and
alone on that. But if you can plan ahead and accept the lack of TP,
even if you do try to postpone that day with stacking the pile
higher, I think you are okay for the coming poverty. Because even
entering Spice Times with a huge surplus, why not try to make that
last a very long time indeed, stretching out the supply with poverty
substitution?
( .Y. )
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Yes great points Jim. I always pondered the survive and thrive crowd, those pernacious redoubters toting around baskets of cheer and joy while fawning over chicken husbandry and flir scopes. UPS and Amazon boxes always being delivered to the unicorn hobby farms regular like olden days milkmen.
ReplyDeleteThe items stockpiled in bulk or mass quantities beyond an interim interuption, whatever they may be used or needed for, are only meant to carry one through a collapse or conflict period. That may be short weather events or couple years spicy times. They are not going to for the most part be decisive post die off collapse dark ages exended eras. If things are that "scratchy and itchy" for too long a period your b-pod pallets amassed will not cure the new ailments of various forms that will arise.
Fitness and toughness, skills and adaptability, new dynamics thinking and practices are what will really matter.
Split matches in two in practice now and wear under clothes well past servicability to acclimate one's snowflake self now, before things are made too be austere causing the nervous bedwetting later on. Live hard now for real training, or continue with the poser Utube video part timer half assed preps only to be called out by darwin and be punked hard in the towne square with an audience clapping along.
Stay frosty.
Right, gotta practice every aspect. Bum fighting, anyone? I'm kidding! You'll get a nasty disease. And those hobo's might carry a shotgun
DeleteBe that Salt of the earth type. As depicted in the movie Patriots with Mel Gibson: go to the tavern and get the surly unruly deplorable bunch of monkeywrench gang from the trailer parks for your best fighters and fellows with moxie. Meek shall inherit what is left of the earth.
DeleteGood movie, but not really painless to rewatch. I think I'm turned off by the over the top drama. It worked much better in Braveheart. "I asked God. He says you're fooked"
DeleteAt "The rural doomstead" I lived at for a few years, the problem of over-hoarding was solved simply by storing things really badly so they'd rust, rot, etc.
DeleteI think I mentioned I looked at the place using Google sky view and street view and the place really screams "meth nest" now, so the doom supplies may be being stolen, eaten up, or sold these days.
If it can yield $5, it's sold or stolen.
DeleteBecause of their importance ammo and food are always affordable. Was in walmart last week and they had loads and loads of .22 but no 9mm, didn't even have a spot for 9mm on the shelves. I asked the worker about it and she said they aren't carrying 9mm any more. shrug I get most of my ammo at Rural King - 100rd boxes or bigger.
ReplyDeleteI think the word "hoarding" was invented by nosey bitches just so they'd have something to complain about. (If you have 3 Dinty Moore's and I have 4 well I'm hoarding).
Evil Assault Rifle Ammo!!! Because of all the, you know, 9mm submachineguns out there. Thank you Wal-Mart, for a safer 'Murica.
DeleteManagement is so divorced from reality that even as they are swinging from a lamppost their last thoughts will be confusion their overlords didn't protect them.
DeleteAs several generations of ranchers have learned (most recently during 2010-2013 Southern Plains drought) you cannot feed your way out of a drought.
ReplyDeleteAccept the fact you live in a harsh environment and just sell all your stock early before the panic sets in and prices collapse. Save the cash. Allow the land to recover instead of stripping the last grass off your place. Someday the rain will return, the grass will regrow and more and better cattle can be bought. The cycle resumes.
Woe unto him who thinks he has enough hay or grass. The rows of bales or full barns will be consumed before the rain returns. The stock tank is a fetid mud wallow. Pastures turn to dust and blow away. Buzzards feast and you have no more tears.
All flesh is grass.
Let he who has wisdom understand the parable.
Thus concludeth the lesson.
For the above lesson to be learned, you can't be in debt first. Good luck with that
DeleteHookers and blow. Sounds like a party. I'm working on gearing down. As soon as Child tax and my land is paid off I'll be able to live the current motorized lifestyle for less than $800 a month with plans to go cheaper. Sub $400 if needed. Worst case $300.
ReplyDeleteI'm pretty good on ammo and so so on wheat. I'd like another half ton. Have a bunch of ammo but need some more 5.56 since ive part way gone back to the common caliber. I've been hard at this since Katrina though. My land taxes where I am with rain, trees and 20+ acres was only $200 this hear with the mobile home so I'm good there compared to many.
You've got a place, pals and a plan. 3P is definitely better than most.
DeleteI put another $100 bill into my cash savings/escape money (still substantially less than a grand) and was thinking, if I could put $200 a month into this I'd be doing great, then realized, Wait a minute, when I was making $5 an hour back in the mid-80s, I was able to sock away $200 a month, in mid-80s dollars. And I lived in an actual place intended for human habitation - had my address right there and a (shared) shower and everything.
ReplyDelete2030 huh? That's 10 years from now - everything's always going to happen 10 years from now ...
In any case, if things go to shit here and I of all people certainly know how quickly they can go to shit, I'm going back to Hawaii however good bad or indifferent the place is; it's where I grew up and I know where everything is, and if I'm going to die in the street at least it'll be a street I knew as a child.
I was making $3.50 an hour and putting half of that away, after cigarettes, RV rent and a diet heavy on fruit and meat ( no grains as now ). Yeah, the 80's were the last good years ( the 90's might have been almost as affordable but the culture had turned ). As for 2030, I've been harping on that date since I learned about it. So, far more than ten years. Fracking done? Between this year and two or three more, at most. Going back home to HI-that is your lizard brain telling you to escape to safety. I'd listen to that little bastard if I were you. As long as you know it is right for you, the least worst option, I wouldn't dink around. Make it your priority, BEFORE things go to crap. As you say, it will go quicker than your schedule.
DeleteGot two sisters back there, one married into Lawyer Gang and one married into Police gang, got old friends there still (the ones still alive) and can say I went to so-and-such high school, worked at so-and-such places everyone knows, that makes me OG there.
DeleteI am looking at getting back in a bit less than 3 years anyway. Air here in Silicon Valley is "pack a day" quality, it's just a matter of statistics as to when I get hit by a car riding my bike, and quality of life and contact with nature is down in the pits.
It ain't no contest dude-go back to where you are comfortable and people don't hate you. Life is too damn short.
DeleteYou can't tell the specifics, but the ultimate in deprivation is food. If you run out of Ruffles...oh, my.
ReplyDelete