Thursday, November 28, 2019

slow, fast, instant 3, article 2 of 2 today


SLOW, FAST, INSTANT 3 ( article 2 of 2 today )
Many economists of the non-CNN talking propaganda head variety, non academic, Austrian School types, believe that the US has actually been in a negative rates of growth in GDP since the Tech Wreck. Basically, it isn't rocket science as they subtract the REAL rate of inflation from the stated GDP and they get a negative rate. I like to spread a wider net and add all kinds of spicy ingredients such as Peak Oil, fracking EROI, backing out Wall street manipulation from Derivatives, Fed injections and just a pinch of Uber Paranoia, and tend to agree.
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Now, obviously, it also isn't that hard to figure out that a negative growth rate is pretty bad for an economy and one of the side effects is that it's velocity of collapse increases. And WHY is it important to know that more than likely GDP has been negative for twenty years? Because it means this next economic collapse isn't going to JUST be a recession. Global debt is TWICE what it was in 2008, but worse the derivatives exposures are twice to three times as high. Right now, paper silver derivatives are 200 to 1, paper to physical.
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It just takes three percent of people to demand actual metal and the whole system implodes. Gold is “only” 100 to 1, and yet London cannot come up with the gold to meet delivery demand. Perhaps these reported numbers of leverage are even worse in reality. Yeah, leverage is your friend, until it isn't. Fair weather bitch! I'm sure the bankers are really feeling put upon. Remember that Repo market fiasco? Right, now they are up to 42 days repayment, not all loans being overnight. But nothing to see there, no bank bail-out!
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I don't bring this up to convince you the End Is Nigh. You should already be convinced that the economic collapse has already started, and all I'm doing to trying to underline how much worse it will be, because Lies. I Honest Injun thought that 2008 was it. That is why I moved to the junk land. Elko Nevada has far too many people, granted, but where I was had three and a half times as many people, with many more just thirty miles away. Here, those “many more” are three HUNDRED miles away. A huge difference, even if I didn't achieve perfection.
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I didn't have time to achieve the perfect survival location. I had to deal with what I thought was an Instant collapse. Not as in “overnight” but as in “any friggin day now it all does dark”. I was singularly focused on getting out of debt, base calories ( meaning the cheapest and healthiest possible, but not the perfect nutritional balance ), winter survival shelter and adding to the ammunition count. All refinements to that came later. And what I fear, for you because I'm pretty well covered, is that we are at an Instant point again. But this time it is far worse.
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We basically had ten years of Fast collapse, causing 2008, and since then we have seen exponentially FASTER collapse. How can I NOT see the next phase as INSTANT? Look, do you really think the Blue forces of evil going full retard was because Trump was elected? Yes, that was the ignition point. But WHY? Why now and not years ago when, say, Bush Junior was screwing things up? It's the economy, stoopid. And yes, I know the Federal Reserve essentially took us off the zero interest rate right about that time. In effect, scaring the zoo animals with the election.
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The Fed basically caused the political unrest not because of who the President is-it matters not as they will all be in the bankers pocket-but to turn on a smoke generator to obscure the state of the economy. What is the ONLY thing we've heard about BEFORE Trump was even “elected”? All politics, 24/7. And politics don't matter, does it? Hilary was owned by the bank, obviously holding proof of criminality. Obammy was owned by the bank, proof of immigration status and religion held over his head. And the bank owns Trump, proof of financial shenanigans from all the bankruptcies ( and probably Mob connections ).
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So, Politics Do NOT Matter! Banker Bitches select the candidates and whoever you vote for is owned by the bankers. Sure, they can STILL screw things up worse with their politics, but at this point that is the least of your worries. And some things are probably not a worry until after the economy crashes. The bankers wouldn't approve of gun confiscation now, as a rebellion would crash the economy itself. Afterwards? Probably guaranteed. The Politburo will need free slave labor to keep everything running as oil severely contracts in supply.
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That right there is all the reason you need to oppose gun confiscation. Give up your guns, get on the train to the Work Camps. Underfed, heavy manual labor, unheated barracks and no medical care. You do the math on how long you survive. You KNOW slavery is going to make a comeback after oil. So don't discount how bad it will be once the banks crash. Without the banks, fracking oil stops. Minus six million barrels. Once the economy crashes, making the military impotent, everyone pulls out of the PetroDollar. Minus another six millions barrels per day. Amount left-six. Amount used today, eighteen.
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Again, do the math. It isn't hard and I can't even stop you from using a calculator. We were using 20 million barrels of oil a day, building up suburbia for all the illegals the entire time, plus super sizing retail in the 90's and building a lot of extra housing in the Aughts. Plus occupying the Sandbox. But after Peak Oil hit in 2005 ( plus, no oil bonanza from Iraq ), after a few stupid moves such as ethanol and hydrogen, we hit on fracking oil as the only thing that was going to save our asses. We lost a lot of imports to China ( and others holding her coattail ), replaced six out of eight million barrels with fracking, and those missing two were taken care of with Demand Destruction from drivers.
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But here is the hard math part. We didn't JUST lose ten percent we couldn't replace. We didn't JUST lose five percent of gasoline net energy with ethanol. We also lost net energy to fracking. At least half of the fracking oil is near worthless in terms of net energy. In effect, the economy took a hit in Available BTU's of about 25%. And that is WITH the “miracle” of fracking. Wonder yet why the economy is doing so bad? We lost a quarter of our energy needed to run everything. Yes, the Federal Reserve Bank needed the Useful Idiot communists to distract us from economics.
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( math: EROI on US conventional oil is about 7:1. EROI on fracking oil is probably lower than I give it credit for, but due to asset stripping we can be generous and call it 3:1. That is why I call half of fracking a net lose. So, three million barrels rather than the six actually produced. Two million we no longer use. Not even counting the five percent gasoline energy drop from ethanol, we are in effect only using 75% of the oil we had prior to fracking/Peak Oil )
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Care to guess how much of an import drop we had in the early 70's with the OPEC embargo? Under five percent. THAT caused us to ship all our factories overseas, turn our economy over to the bankers and have interest rates of near 20%. And yet we just lost 25%. Granted, a loss of oil directly and a loss of net energy are two totally different animals. We have been losing EROI since we started running our economy on oil. I'm merely pointing out how bad you can expect the economy to get, just from that ONE indicator. There is a lot MORE pain that is going to be piled on from banker manipulation and geopolitical events. Continued, and I promise, concluded, tomorrow.
( .Y. )
( today's related Amazon link click HERE )
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note: want to know if you are prepped enough, gun wise?  Midway and PSA have super Black Friday sales and you just delete the e-mail with a "meh".  
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note: Netflix is going to have the original Red Dawn on December 31st.  Mark the calendar, Wolverines.  
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note: one of the best Black Rifle Coffee Company ads since the Mothers Day and the Coming Out Conservative shticks.  HERE 
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note: I normally ignore the holidays, giving them scant to no acknowledgement, but enjoy the family today.  Peace
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note: J.Y., many thanks for the generous PayPal donation.
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note: free for today books.  Either a disguised zombie or a horror PA HERE.  
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Please support Bison by buying through the Amazon links here ( or from http://bisonprepper.com/2.html or www.bisonbulk.blogspot.com ). Or PayPal www.paypal.me/jimd303 

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22 comments:

  1. Wolverines!

    The push, (like from a stepchild to the back of the parent down a long flight of stairs, for the inheritance) was started by the inbred twins named "banker and globalist". Once their frank and honest clergy like ass raping of established: society, economic, cultural, realms was conducted flagrantly in the open, with only half assed excuses and cover, it was green light for a free for all loot and scoot. Every other parasitic non producing "Takers", and leaching person or organization thus went for a vein to feed upon. Unless an intensive eradication program is conducted like ddt spraying and scalp bounties paid, there will still be vermin infestation and no real resolution. It is just a nature kinda thing and all, really simple to grasp, no?

    Stay Frosty.

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    1. No resolution now anyway, due to remaining resources being between crap and nil. HOWEVER! Wiping out the vermin does establish a very good education for the next few generations to behave themselves.

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  2. Enjoy the Turkey Spam with the NOL. Every few years T day falls on my B day... So today you can think of me every time you bite into the turkey.
    The LOL got me a new jug of Drambuie woo hoo !

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    1. We are eating Ham, on Saturday, as the son in law is working for double time today. Enjoy your festivities.

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  3. Have you written a 'how to" on selecting and establishing a junk land reality retreat? I'm totally sold on the idea, but having a hard time putting together all the loose ends, specifically water and security. My biggest concern with moving my family to junk land is not having the water to sustain the minimum of life's needs and being overrun and replaced on our holdout. Thanks

    On this Thanksgiving Day, I am thankful for your beautiful locks.

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    1. Rule One-have rain catchment, BUT! You MUST have a surface water ( year round ) back-up. Do not buy cheap land too far from water. Security, well, that is problematic anywhere. Being off grid it can be better or worse. I don't think you are BETTER off, security wise, on-grid, most times. Free books at my web site. BBBno1, PEE. BBBno3, $3k homestead. BBBno4, 6 months escape and prep, BBBno10, frugal stocked retreat. BBBno13, can't beat my retreat. Perhaps, BBBno15, passive solar retreat. Feel free to e-mail me if you want to chat in detail.

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    2. HDR, I add water catchment to everything I build. I catch rain water off my outhouse into a 55 gallon drum just for hand washing. I don't have year round running water, its a wet weather creek, but I'm digging a pond for catchment overflow.

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    3. A useful guide to how people behave in the end times is to look up the people living "off grid" on the big island of Hawaii.

      The "Big Island" as we call it, has tons and tons and tons of land you can buy for a few grand an acre. It's pretty easy to see where things are going from that. Yep, lots of people from "the mainland" as we call it, buying an acre or three, to go back to the land on. There are so many places like this, that the State kind of averts their eyes, and there are illegal housing structures, illegal septic systems, rain catchment, etc.

      What happens is, as many will tell you on YouTube videos and other sources, you leave your place for a weekend and come back and your rain catchment is gone. Or your solar cells. Or your goddamn windows. Sometimes your whole house! Building materials are very expensive in Hawaii and more so on the Big Island.

      So it comes down to tribe. Got tribe?

      A small example of this is when I was a kid, my mom bought us new Schwinn Sting-Ray bicycles for Christmas one year. I wanna say 1977. Of course they eventually got stolen, and since my Mom was fairly tan and the Mormons were courting us and it was a Mormon Samoan area, word was passed to the local chief, who got us our bikes back.

      Areas like this are pretty much WROL and it's all down to custom, who you know, your social network.

      Good luck out in the desert with all the meth-heads.

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    4. Yeah, I know. Not much tribe here, unless you are LDS or one of the Amish type ranching communities. Too much money in some hands and you know how that insulates folks.

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  4. "note: Netflix is going to have the original Red Dawn on December 31st. Mark the calendar, Wolverines."

    James, I got a copy on DVD for the kid to give as his upcoming birthday present this year. I was his age when the original came out, and it help to start me on my path for the past 3+ decades.

    I also found a company from the comments on a youtube channel that sells shirts and stuff. I have no affiliation with them except as a customer. But I thought the design was cool, and got it also for a B-day gift to go with the DVD.

    https://www.zerofoxtrot.com/products/wolverines?variant=9563525061

    "All that hate is going to burn you up kid."

    "It keeps me warm." 🤣

    Blessings and gratitude for all you do for us minions. ✊

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    1. Ha! One of my favorite lines from the movie! I can't even remember if I watched it in theater or not. That was my second year in the Army, so tickets were certainly nearly free. Or did I not hear of it until video release, and then watch it a half dozen times close together? Fog of antiquity. I sure remember watching Scarface when it came out ( not better than Red Dawn, but equally memorable ). Odd how the mind works.

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  5. My land was a getting something I could afford. On a dirt road where I have two regular neighbors on power and water. I think I will be fine here except for the worst case scenario. I have paid the escrow money on the new land, and ask for a closing date in January. The sellers agreed so they won't have to pay taxes on the money this year. It cost me 500 dollars to set up the LLC, this time. Everything is getting more expensive. I can't wait to get my stuff buried underground in a more rural hide.

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  6. Catabolic collapse - we eat our advancement as we sink - the inertia of a dying civilization. But we still have frozen pizza!

    Off topic:
    Laying in bed, The Mrs.: "When will the turkey be done?"
    Me, responding: "Umm, dunno. When will it be done?"
    The Mrs.: "You didn't put it in the oven?"
    Me: "No."

    Turns out each of us thought the other was going to do the turkey, so it was just sitting in the fridge. I think I'll add this to the blog for tomorrow.

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  7. Was reading the newsletter about sighting an AR. You adjust the front sight first by turning it all the way in (down) then you turn it all the way out (up) while counting the number of turns. Once you know the number of turns write that number on a small card for keeping. Then turn the front sight in to the halfway point by counting the turns. Do the same thing with the rear sight, but sideways instead of up and down of course. That will give you the maximum room for adjusting later.

    Bore sighting lasers are notoriously inaccurate. I had to buy 2 high rated ones before I got one that was decent and then the "dot" was 6" in diameter at 25'. The gun must be absolutely stationary on bags, bipod and bag, whatever. Then you adjust the front site to dead center of the dot and then the same with the rear. Using this method will get you on paper but still way off the mark as you will see when you fire it. On my AR, after doing the above, I was 10" high and 4" to the right. In total, I spent about 20 rounds and the cost of the laser, about $20, to zero that gun with hard sights (Magpul flip-ups). Then I was able to zero my scope as I had an accurate reference point.

    Using the flip ups I shot a hole in a blank piece of white paper at 50 feet while using the bipod and rear bag. Then I installed the scope and aimed at the hole I just made. Again, I turned each turret all the way in and then all the way out and counted the turns then turned both to the center, and made my final adjustments from there. So the total cost for ammo for full zeroing at 50 feet on a brand new gun I assembled myself was less than 30 rounds. I then repeated that process at 50 yards, 100 yards, 300 yards.

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    1. I'll say it, ghost. You coulda saved yourself one round by poking a hole in the white paper with a pencil. Or using a felt pen. You never know when you'll need that last round!
      Otherwise, good info.

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  8. I also thought '08 was it. I'd bugged off to a friend's out in high desert Arizona, but there was zero work and zero to do, and I felt I'd do better at last where the land's a bit richer so I went back out to California and after a couple twists and turns ended up at the survivalist place in a small town about 30 miles south of San Jose, California.

    I was all aboard for doom. Hoarding useful things like tools, good boots, etc. Learning "permaculture" and how to care for farm animals. Making myself useful.

    But there were so many things I saw, revealing that the place was about the owner's delicate ego, not survival.

    Finally one day in 2012 I found myself standing in the garden watering stuff by hand (because if a simple irrigation system was set up, that would give the owner no reason to jump on my ass for not watering the garden by hand) and I almost said out loud, Where are the zombies?? I was promised zombies!! Goddamnit I'm doing my part in the rigamarole here, and by 2012 there were supposed to be either flying cars or zombies, and I've been ripped off! I see neither!!

    That's when I knew it was time to leave.

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    1. Did you ever watch The Survivalists with Robin Williams? That set up and yours sound pretty similar :)

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  9. Jimbo, I've been absent. My girlfriend of 5 years, her son was in a bad motorcycle accident Tuesday morning. Some dumbass pulled out in front of him and he is in bad shape. Hes had at least 12 surgeries in an attempt to rebuild his arms, legs, pelvis and spine. He is paralyzed from the chest down, died in the ambulance, and fighting for his life. I know you're agnostic or atheist but when a 35 year old man tells his momma when the meds and anesthesia let him "wake up" that Heaven is beautiful and (deceased) step dad and Grandpa met him and told him "don't you quit! you cant come in yet!" and he comes back to fight it makes you question things. I don't care if you post this comment but its been one helluva week. I have never asked for prayers but he is like a son to me. I'm kind of a hardass prick most of the time but its been tough. I'm just venting I guess. A bit outta my head I reckon.

    Peace,
    Scott

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    1. My heart goes out to you all. Wish you the best of luck. Feel free to vent, it's either this or whiskey.

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  10. Perusing my list of energy holdings this morning [yes,i'm one of those deplorables Barry had unemployed in the coal sector] I noticed they have a new way to dispose of more quality imported oil to grease the shale skids . From a leading energy online mag . Tendeka surface modification treatment increases oil recovery in unconventional shale plays
    The new oil-based polymer treatment covalently bonds to the rock surface to allow enhanced oil flowback from the nanonetwork, resulting in improved return on investment. Can we not run out of oil fast enough ?

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    1. No, no we cannot, not if our superiors are to be assured of more hookers and blow

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