Friday, August 7, 2015

buttholes 3 of 3


BUTTHOLES TO ELBOWS 3

At the root of the main problem isn’t an economic collapse ( ongoing, obviously ).  Or really a decrease in oil ( the numbers on production show a stable plateau, but you must realize that as the numbers on conventional sweet crude are going down, crap/fake oil production is taking its place.  Peak Oil BTU is what we are looking at ).  Over population is what is causing the other problems ( it is also causing Gore Warming, indirectly ).  And since continuing ongoing population increase is baked into the cake, we can’t mitigate the other problems.  There is NO solution, other than cataclysmic die-off, just as has been the solution to all the other imperial overshoots and resource depletions throughout history ( overpopulation caused the need for agriculture, and then agriculture exasperated resource depletion through the need for empire, and then Industrial Agriculture spread it globally ).  The entire answer for the optimists and the Fag Survivalists ( Survivalists Lite or Yuppie Survivalists ) is that since overpopulation was solved before we can do it again and we will and we will have a smooth drawdown rather than an overshoot.  If die-off is the petri dish filling with bacteria which consume all food, then the fantasy of smooth drawdown ( which is defined by functionality of governance in your neck of the woods.  High death rates but no break down of social cohesion.  Die-off on the other hand is the most brutal and dark nightmare of desperation and anarchy you can’t possibly imagine ) is a freeze frame right on the apex of consumption, then directly skipping to the less unpleasant aspect of the new Dark Ages already in progress AFTER the population stabilization. 

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By focusing on Peak Oil or economic collapse or even global warming, we safely ignore overpopulation.  Too many people, which by the way are already in place surrounding you, is what you need to be afraid of.  Each sarcastic overweight greedy moronic mouth breathing asshat is going to be a direct threat to you as soon as the food isn’t delivered to the Sam-Mart near you.  And remember, that happens before all the droughts ruin all the crops.  It happens as soon as enough shortages occur with enough economic contraction and with enough fall in the production of petroleum.  We collapse far before zero is reached.  We look at, say, Yemen, and see a bell curve in oil production dropping precariously fast towards consumption levels and we see the wrong conclusion that they are still a functioning society ( by and large ).  They are still getting food and water transported to them, however abysmal there resource base is.  But because we haven’t reached the crest of the perfect wave of systematic failures ( money is still being made producing some oil and selling some food ) we think we can survive a similar collapse.  But what Yemen and so many like countries tell me is that global trade is still working, for now, and as soon as that falters further all these places are perfectly poised to fall off a cliff.  It doesn’t teach we can do with a lot less, it teaches that we haven’t reached Enough Less.  Ignore population at your peril.  You either get the problem or you don’t.  It is like believing hyperinflation can continue forever because it already has survived so far.  Good luck with that.

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13 comments:

  1. Sadly, education is often the first victim of a collapsing society- and education of women has proven to be the BEST, by far, way of reducing population growth to equilibrium or even a slight decline. Which is why Islam is poised to overtake Christianity in population growth. They keep their women (in general) in a state of poverty and un-educated. If the collapse weren't likely to happen before hand they would probably end up running the world from sheer numbers.

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    1. Islam is now how the Papists used to be. Religion kept the cannon fodder and farmer serfs numbers up to defeat the enemy.

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  2. Just finished "West of Sheridan" this morning.
    Thanks for the reference, it was a most excellent read !
    It is written much the way I envision how people will deal with a collapse.
    The engineer in me refuses to believe we need totally devolve back to a non-tech world . with such a huge population decrease I believe felt with properly it could well be a time of rebirth and actually just what the world needs at this point in time.
    Once again, thanks much for the reference. I think there was one other on that list I haven't read. Going there now to see !

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    1. That one had been on my Kindle wish list for a year or two, put off buying because of the price, then when I signed up for Unlimited I went through all those books and found most were now free. A pleasant surprise. I'll bump that one up on my "to download" list.

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    2. Beware though...much touchy feely mush included ...a study of different psychologies and how each type handles a collapse world.

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    3. I read West of Sheridan last month while using my 30 day free trial of Kindle Unlimited.

      It is a most excellent read.

      Idaho Homesteader

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    4. I just know I'll be paying past the 30 day trial period. The higher my unread stacks of paper books pile, the more I'm loving KU.

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    5. I started running out of decent stuff to read.

      I ran through most of the four star and above non-zombie post apocalyptic books in a month.

      Idaho Homesteader

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    6. Not filling me with confidence!

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  3. I spent the dismal illegal-drinking-years between 13 and 23 (after 21 I was pretty broke, and kind of a slacker) reading everything I could get my hands on. Seattle has/had a pretty good library system in addition to good used book stores (more small ones rather than pdx's domination by one big one, allegedly "independent"). While pretending to go to community college (which was just barely affordable in 1986 without rich parents or debt, if you worked 30 hours of min-wage or mowed about 5 lawns a week) I was reading lots of non-fic and sci-fi (having not figured out that the bomb-shelter thing had a sub-culture involving food storage and guns but weren't Mormons, uhh no internet yet).

    This book got me off of my butt and talking to a USAF recruiter about an exit from college poverty leading to being a disgruntled AFL-CIO Safeway checker: " A Canticle For Leibowitz" Walter M. Miller, Jr. It's full of important stuff, and alludes to some even bigger stuff. The USAF even gave me some extra stripes (money! microscopic beta-man power!) for the otherwise-worthless credits from CC!

    pdxr13

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    1. I tried reading that one as everyone raves on it, and if I remember correctly it immediately bogged down into religious organization crap, so I never got into it. I was lucky, in that I always had Loompanics before Amazon came along, so always access to weird and bizarre and obscure books.

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    2. “I was lucky, in that I always had Loompanics before Amazon came along, so always access to weird and bizarre and obscure books.”

      Yeah, Loompanics was awesome, and was my first exposure to Kurt Saxon back in the 80's. It's funny now to think about how we discovered such things in the pre-www era?

      I don't think that Paladin Press nor Delta Press combined (The alleged replacements for Loompanics) even come close to the many publications that Loompanics carried?

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    3. You are right, both combined are just Militia Porn quick buck artists. Paladin with its insane pricing- they take a book that costs $5 printing and shipping ( if they didn't print it themselves, but used a Print On Demand service ) and sell it for $15-$20. Not sure why they think they are so special to deserve that.

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