are we already in collapse?

ARE WE ALREADY IN COLLAPSE?

I don't mean to play with semantics here. We can usually all agree that decline is when things get worse but function, and collapse is when nothing functions. If you get too liberal with your definitions than you are suddenly going Full Retard and any time any news is reported it is The Collapse! Looking at you, Snyder, you little monkey throwing feces and screeching all day long, every day, without let up. And to think, I'm the sane rational one between the two of us. Who would have ever thought?

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Let's touch just for a second on the definition of collapse, to hopefully be clearer. In turd world nations you can, and do, have a complete break down of law and order by the government, local criminal gangs actually keeping the peace and extracting protection money. They are cheaper and more effective than corrupt cops. Thank you free market. But that doesn't mean the country is in collapse. Law enforcement still functions. It is unconventional, but a system is in place where order is kept and people stay safe. In the US, by comparison, both sanctioned law enforcement AND criminals offering a protection racket are sometimes one and the same organization.

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You scoff when I call US cops corrupt, being different in that the corruption is institutional. The cop himself is honest, but he enforces corrupt officials dictates. No police officer is innocent of enforcing laws contrary to the Bill Of Rights, but I don't blame the profession as it has been that way for 150+ years. The corrupt politicians and their court minions ( lawyers, judges, junior politicians in training ), THOSE are to be blamed. No, you shouldn't give Nazi's Just Following Orders a free hall pass, but neither can they be blamed for being forced to uphold evil.

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Cop Bashing is easy to do and makes Libertardians feel special, but they have no idea they should be careful what they wish for. We already have enough vigilantism as it is, Brown Shirts funded and protected by the communist coalition. Just think Antifa and Flash Mobs. The Right foolishly goes along obeying the law that the communists write, but isn't it MORE foolish to support more anarchy and the breakdown of law and order? Life SHOULD be so simple and easy that you can throw the baby out with the bathwater, but it isn't. Anyway, way off target.

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You can probably fairly call many institutions already in collapse. Our infrastructure. The actual nation state. Banking and finance. Our food system, lacking any safety or reliability. But it IS still functioning, however poorly. Sure, that is kind of like saying Haitians aren't REALLY starving as long as they are eating mud pies. It is only technically correct. I believe we are at that point in our civilizations journey towards collapse. It is here, but not technically. Things still limp along. Which I think excuses a lot of Crying Wolf.

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For most if not all of my lifetime, it really was amazing the latest and greatest disaster didn't cause full on collapse. It SHOULD have. We got lucky. We are still getting lucky. We have evolved culturally, enabling our metaphorical tongue to grow long enough to reach further down the emptying oil barrel and get the residue out, just enough to power the kicking of the can one more time. Look at Alaska. I don't think we could duplicate that engineering feat today. The Greens would hold up construction and the PC'ers would staff the crews with Diversity Hires.

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In ten or twenty years time, assuming things still hold together, those huddling in the dark and cold during the rolling brown out will wonder how we ever managed to get all of that fracking oil out of the ground. It was a miracle, by gum! Not that we'll be worried about such things then, beyond fighting off predators and Mother Nature. But then, I'm a pessimist. I think Globalism ( with its PC and communism ) was our last semi-successful centralization needed to keep the system running. Just as Britain had never had so many colonies, on the eve of its imperial collapse.

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If the Beer Virus does nothing else, I think it is the death knell of our Industrial Age, just as Fracking Fuel will be the end of our Oil Age. The complexity could not be maintained with diminishing inputs. If we had enough surplus energy, a global pandemic ( if this is one ) would be managed, however poorly. Without enough oil to even keep Business As Usual going, how does one expect a global emergency to be “handled”? And that crises doesn't have to be a disease. It could be cascading food failures, or something else.

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So many systems and points of the model are in serious trouble, in steep decline, that it won't take much to domino effect the whole thing. It won't be AIDS or SARS or Beer Virus that kills us all, it will be them weakening an already sick system to the point it takes down all other nodes. That is the reason a decline suddenly turns into a collapse, the reason we get that “impossible” overnight collapse. It is JUST a straw breaking the camels back. Which no one can time. You cannot discount tomorrow being the last day just because we already thought a lot of days already past were going to be The Last One.

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We are trying to predict the final Black Swan. There will be a lot of errors in that game. You can't use past prediction failures as proof the collapse will never come. That is just silly. Sure, you can eliminate certain prophets from those you listen to for advice ( those that went Full Snyder ), but they don't make all the rest wrong also. And you shouldn't even be listening so as to time the collapse. You should be listening to learn when the probabilities are good that there is almost no time left and you need to re-prioritize prepping over daily expenses.

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What we have presently is a convergence of at least four different events that all alone are an extreme danger. If it was just one, it could easily fade away as an over-hyped danger. But all at the same time mean there is a higher likelihood one screws the pooch. The Beer Virus, the Liquidity Crisis, Peak Fracking and the global food failures. We had two out of three in 2008. I look at our emergence from that as a miracle, not as proof we have nothing to fear this time. This time, even if all four are less than huge, four reinforcing disasters equal an exponentially worse event.

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Let's continue with this tomorrow.

( .Y. )

( today's related Amazon link click HERE )

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note: saw a YouTube video on these where the guy is hanging from it like a monkey, the connectors to make a PVC pipe geodesic dome.  You can buy a kit, or just the hubs where you buy and drill your own pipe.  Not sure how practical they are, but it is another option HERE 
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