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Tuesday, February 11, 2020

are we already in collapse?


ARE WE ALREADY IN COLLAPSE?
I don't mean to play with semantics here. We can usually all agree that decline is when things get worse but function, and collapse is when nothing functions. If you get too liberal with your definitions than you are suddenly going Full Retard and any time any news is reported it is The Collapse! Looking at you, Snyder, you little monkey throwing feces and screeching all day long, every day, without let up. And to think, I'm the sane rational one between the two of us. Who would have ever thought?
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Let's touch just for a second on the definition of collapse, to hopefully be clearer. In turd world nations you can, and do, have a complete break down of law and order by the government, local criminal gangs actually keeping the peace and extracting protection money. They are cheaper and more effective than corrupt cops. Thank you free market. But that doesn't mean the country is in collapse. Law enforcement still functions. It is unconventional, but a system is in place where order is kept and people stay safe. In the US, by comparison, both sanctioned law enforcement AND criminals offering a protection racket are sometimes one and the same organization.
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You scoff when I call US cops corrupt, being different in that the corruption is institutional. The cop himself is honest, but he enforces corrupt officials dictates. No police officer is innocent of enforcing laws contrary to the Bill Of Rights, but I don't blame the profession as it has been that way for 150+ years. The corrupt politicians and their court minions ( lawyers, judges, junior politicians in training ), THOSE are to be blamed. No, you shouldn't give Nazi's Just Following Orders a free hall pass, but neither can they be blamed for being forced to uphold evil.
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Cop Bashing is easy to do and makes Libertardians feel special, but they have no idea they should be careful what they wish for. We already have enough vigilantism as it is, Brown Shirts funded and protected by the communist coalition. Just think Antifa and Flash Mobs. The Right foolishly goes along obeying the law that the communists write, but isn't it MORE foolish to support more anarchy and the breakdown of law and order? Life SHOULD be so simple and easy that you can throw the baby out with the bathwater, but it isn't. Anyway, way off target.
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You can probably fairly call many institutions already in collapse. Our infrastructure. The actual nation state. Banking and finance. Our food system, lacking any safety or reliability. But it IS still functioning, however poorly. Sure, that is kind of like saying Haitians aren't REALLY starving as long as they are eating mud pies. It is only technically correct. I believe we are at that point in our civilizations journey towards collapse. It is here, but not technically. Things still limp along. Which I think excuses a lot of Crying Wolf.
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For most if not all of my lifetime, it really was amazing the latest and greatest disaster didn't cause full on collapse. It SHOULD have. We got lucky. We are still getting lucky. We have evolved culturally, enabling our metaphorical tongue to grow long enough to reach further down the emptying oil barrel and get the residue out, just enough to power the kicking of the can one more time. Look at Alaska. I don't think we could duplicate that engineering feat today. The Greens would hold up construction and the PC'ers would staff the crews with Diversity Hires.
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In ten or twenty years time, assuming things still hold together, those huddling in the dark and cold during the rolling brown out will wonder how we ever managed to get all of that fracking oil out of the ground. It was a miracle, by gum! Not that we'll be worried about such things then, beyond fighting off predators and Mother Nature. But then, I'm a pessimist. I think Globalism ( with its PC and communism ) was our last semi-successful centralization needed to keep the system running. Just as Britain had never had so many colonies, on the eve of its imperial collapse.
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If the Beer Virus does nothing else, I think it is the death knell of our Industrial Age, just as Fracking Fuel will be the end of our Oil Age. The complexity could not be maintained with diminishing inputs. If we had enough surplus energy, a global pandemic ( if this is one ) would be managed, however poorly. Without enough oil to even keep Business As Usual going, how does one expect a global emergency to be “handled”? And that crises doesn't have to be a disease. It could be cascading food failures, or something else.
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So many systems and points of the model are in serious trouble, in steep decline, that it won't take much to domino effect the whole thing. It won't be AIDS or SARS or Beer Virus that kills us all, it will be them weakening an already sick system to the point it takes down all other nodes. That is the reason a decline suddenly turns into a collapse, the reason we get that “impossible” overnight collapse. It is JUST a straw breaking the camels back. Which no one can time. You cannot discount tomorrow being the last day just because we already thought a lot of days already past were going to be The Last One.
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We are trying to predict the final Black Swan. There will be a lot of errors in that game. You can't use past prediction failures as proof the collapse will never come. That is just silly. Sure, you can eliminate certain prophets from those you listen to for advice ( those that went Full Snyder ), but they don't make all the rest wrong also. And you shouldn't even be listening so as to time the collapse. You should be listening to learn when the probabilities are good that there is almost no time left and you need to re-prioritize prepping over daily expenses.
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What we have presently is a convergence of at least four different events that all alone are an extreme danger. If it was just one, it could easily fade away as an over-hyped danger. But all at the same time mean there is a higher likelihood one screws the pooch. The Beer Virus, the Liquidity Crisis, Peak Fracking and the global food failures. We had two out of three in 2008. I look at our emergence from that as a miracle, not as proof we have nothing to fear this time. This time, even if all four are less than huge, four reinforcing disasters equal an exponentially worse event.
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Let's continue with this tomorrow.
( .Y. )
( today's related Amazon link click HERE )
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note: saw a YouTube video on these where the guy is hanging from it like a monkey, the connectors to make a PVC pipe geodesic dome.  You can buy a kit, or just the hubs where you buy and drill your own pipe.  Not sure how practical they are, but it is another option HERE 
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34 comments:

  1. Collapsing, as it is an ongoing perpetual condition experienced in the here and now by folks for different reasons or causes.

    The Minion losing a marriage and custody of offspring due to western family structures and cultural codes crippled by gov't laws and femnazi statist takeovers of social services while dictating new strange societal rules for relationships. It's a collapse of a life's basics for those involved.

    Employment and economic opportunities collapsed out from under the remaing prole workers entraped under globalist corporatist structures stripping away wealth and resources from lower castes. Evidence of collapsing in progress that can be literally seen and smelled everywhere.

    Just a few examples of many individual cases of collapse in progress now, that when combined often enough and ensnaring more folks will lead to larger withholding of support and cooperation. That monkeywrench gang fellow that kept playing the game along, doing yeoman service for honor or pride, due to no other viable options is the only reason things still hold now. Once a few more people shrug and say f--- it and turn out the lights while walking away, it all stops up and completely locks up.

    Funny to think that some chap in greasy overalls with more insider knowledge how things work than a deep stater, is the lynch pin still holding things together for now, until he taps out, checks out, walks off the job and goes Galt hermitage. Then we shall all attend mandatory collapse in session classes equally. Stay frosty during spicy times collapse.

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    1. Almost as bad as the guy in the overalls abandoning his machinery, soon he won't have the parts to fix it anyway.

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  2. How long have you been the survivalist/prepper who cried "WOLF"?!?

    Yes, one day grandma is going to be what's for dinner, but not just yet in the American Empire. Covid-19 aka, Kung Flu, might be the black wolf you've been waiting for. Mother Nature's pet might slowly eat China alive before it mutates into a financial contagion. Ever hear of the 1997-8 Currency Crisis? I was there, and not as some damn grunt in South Korea, either. Covid-19 has the very real potential to become a catalyst for a SHTF Crack-up Boom... And it just might go global.

    So far I'm personally not worried about the R-naught and the actual spread of Covid-19 into America. Trump slammed the front door shut, which will at the very least buy us more time. Moreover, white man's sanitation is truly "exceptional" compared to Yellow Man's squat holes and cheap-ass plumbing or lack thereof....

    America is very much indeed infected with Marxism, but China has a bad case of "Exceptional Marxism". And that'll make a difference in any kind of SHTF apocalypse.. including a financial one.

    Timing is everything. And this Covid-19 crisis might just turn into a chapter right out of Doug Casey's book, "Crisis Investing". In a year or two I might just be back over in Asia picking through the aftermath and buying up all kinds of shit for pennies on the dollar as I sip an ice cold Chang Beer and then take a refreashing dip on a lovely white sand beach.

    Moreover, when finally the SHTF and the day of reckoning arrives, it'll be the big American Diversity Cities that suffer most. Perhaps a massive culling of diversity shall actually have the way for a Renaissance - just as the Black Plague opened the way to "Enlightenment"...

    Whatever happens, a Dark Age or just a 1929 reset, it's better to be an American than a Chinaman right about now... So much for the "Chinese miracle"...

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    1. American exceptionalism again. You can love your country without being blinded by its Red Shield occupation. The fact is the US went Full Retard on financialization and the Chinks built an entire Industrial Economy for four times the population. And you might want to look at Africa. She has terrible Turd World sanitation. Plus wars and famine added in. And survives. China has thousands of years of disease prevention through Darwin. We do not. Care to say, American Indians? The only reason the US economy isn't below the GDP of the UK is because of the PetroDollar ( which funded fracking, among other things ).

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    2. Doug Casey kind of reminds me of J.W.Rawles' cousin, they keep in the basement. 'Crisis Investing'pffftt.I remember K.Saxon doing How To Become A Disaster Profiteer decades before that. If it ever comes out( maybe even a hint) this was a weaponized oops (CIA spookage) I wouldn't want to be a Gweilo anywhere near Chinese. Today I was mildly shocked at the amount of product and supply, pick something, that is manufactured and shipped here to the homeyland. A VERY WIDE SPECTRUM of must haves ( probably just to boost our exceptional white sanitation). Do Bison's cry wolf? I thought they snort, sling snot, grunt and go SNARF!!!! while thundering through the shit. AMIRITE .It's comforting to know I'll get some entertainment and some pointers here. Daily.

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    3. Isn't Doug about like 110 years old? Been doing this forever. Perhaps there is enough investor gold and rich asswipes to support the message to stay out of the stock market. Of course, look at the legions of his imitators. It's gotta be an over saturated market. Is he anything other than a gold hawker? I haven't paid attention to him for decades.

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  3. Geez louise...seems like every time you read another book you go all on "the glass is half empty" kind of rant. You need to be buying that purple packed Charmin, wid dim soft ridges, and not get all so butt hurt. (But don't do a thing to that hair, it's marvelous just as it is.

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    1. In this case the butt hurt is caused by peoples perceptions our their own greatness that is going to get them killed. In my own way, I'm trying to help. And please note it doesn't take a book anymore to trigger a rant. A short article or video will do.

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  4. Once again, we marvel at how the ship keeps floating, despite itself.

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    1. And yet, one and all, we will still be shocked when we wake up one morning to Full Spicy.

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  5. I know my quality of life has been declining for quite some time now. But coming off of high meant having a lot of margin which allowed for pretending that it wasn't happening. Unfortunately that margin is narrowing and whilst the missus can't see it (we still have plenty) I can.

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    1. If you love her, ignorance is bliss. But then, if you love her, is it fair she finds out on her own, and its a shock? That is a tough one.

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  6. I had a pvc type dome built as a greenhouse. It didn't last do to the pvc pipes degrading. I would implore all minion's to go with the starplate design. My ferro hovel is a starplate and is a very sturdy structure. I built a smaller one as a greenhouse, north side ferro and rest stapled on plastic. Hard clear plastic panels will be installed as time allows. Having a wood frame allows windows to be added at any time as needed.
    I found 75 sticks of one inch conduit on craigslist for $2 a piece. Drove 200 miles to get it. I am begin the process of building a new geodesic dome for the secondary property. I am going to bury two small domes one inside the other with the inside and outside ferrocemented and aircrete poured in between. Hope it won't take all summer.

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    1. I'm already jealous and you haven't even built it yet

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  7. "The Beer Virus, the Liquidity Crisis, Peak Fracking and the global food failure."

    I see you've added in a new DISASTER category,"global food failure". Pray tell what brought that scenario to the fore?
    Please don't tell me that YT azzhat "Deep Freeze Gardner".
    That clown cherry picks data worse than a mockingbird.

    Here is the honest Indian (feather) truth.
    THERE IS NO GLOBAL FOOD SHORTAGE!

    For last 30 years, consistently increasing crop yields world wide using improved varieties and decreasing inputs (fertilizer, irrigation, fuel).

    On top of increasing yield has been PER CAPITA caloric increase worldwide. More people benefiting from better nutrition and quantity than anytime in world history.
    C'mon Jim stick to bashing fracking or global debt. At least you can make half an argument, but global food failure is crazy stupid like that comet cult that killed themselves twenty years ago or so.
    The only shortages you and we minions should worry about is China made stuff.
    In that vein, I scored beaucoup socks from the discount bin today. No wool but great price after "koshering down" the clerk and mgr. Great fun to haggle down the price while the suburban Sally's look on uncomfortably. They pay full freight...fools.
    Just getting in some practice for when streets in USA have people throwing a blanket on the ground and trying to barter. It'll be like a scene from 1997 along Nevsky Prospect in Moscow as the babushkas sold old Soviet era medals and pins for food money.

    But on a sanguine note...pray for China.
    I think the numbers are far worse than published simply based on CCP & other nations' actions (hospitals built in 10 days, lock down of many cities, widespread social media deletions, flight cancellations, evacs).

    Lots of innocent common folk suffering. I fear here too in coming months.

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    1. There are production failures with locusts and weather, per usual, all the time. What concerns me is not famine, but constricting trade and economic decline, food prices increasing as unemployment follows. Not famine but more undernourishment due to prices. Add in Beer Virus, add in social unrest. All four trends are minor. Add together to multiply effects.

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    2. And just wait until the rumors of 'chinese market sickness' infested food.

      The food doesn't have to be infected.
      Merely the rumors need to be re-enforced by enough repetitions by TheMainStreamMedia:
      "Several shipments of bananas from a previously uncontaminated region..."
      "But the chocolate was handled by workers thought to be at GroundZero for the latest outbreak..."
      "With more refinery workers quarantined to prevent another surge of contaminated petroleum-based fertilizer..."

      Rumors.
      Brought to you by the BunkerBillionares in desperate need of more fiat currency to maintain their bragging rights.
      It's right there in the constitushun.

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  8. It appears that some of your readers still eat unicorn droppings.

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  9. Kurt Saxon observed decades ago that the system is crashing and that it's crashing slowly does not mean that it's not crashing.

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    1. Kurt didn't shrill for semi's, military awesomeness, freeze dried foods or mountaintop concrete bunkers. I'm surprised he had a following. That, or we were a lot smarter in the 80's than now.

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  10. I'm optimistic as most , but all one has to do is look around. Some minions are blinded by the high standard of living in the US. It seems they don't realize how rare it is. It will come to an end.

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    1. The high standards themselves are more illusion than reality anyway

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  11. you need to get out more often

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  12. Everything is relative at the local level. Not all collapse is on a global scale.
    You might say that , for myself collapse happened in 2014. Economic anyway...once you lose the ability to earn a living , then shtf on a personal level.
    Fortunately I was prepped , had quality friends and a very good woman.
    Here we are now, over five years into the "recovery" and the rest of the world keeps eeking by , barely keeping afloat.
    How long can you tread water ?
    Forever , with proper preparedness.

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    1. A LOT of folks on the unemployment SHTF, and almost none prepared for it. The lamp post list won't be so funny soon enough

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  13. The dishonesty is numbing.
    My wife tells me to go steal your solar panel otherwise I get no fuck ditch for the next month. But that's OK, right? That's your justification for cops violating peoples natural rights - someone told them to do it.

    I prefer honest criminals, the ones that make no bones about it. You know instantly what they are about and you can dispatch them at will or get the hell away from them.

    Is that libertarianism? shrug, dunno, don't care.

    Collapse? No.
    Decline? Yes, obviously.
    How long will the decline last?
    Depends on your perspective I suppose.
    For me, the decline has been all of my life and will end when I die. For everybody else? That's for them to decide.

    Oh. You mean, when will walmart stop having large swathes of open shelves in their stores? Yes. Yes, that can be problematic can't it? Well then, I guess the Rawles mantra of "2 is 1 and 1 is none" applies here as well. You gotta have multiple ways of dealing with all things in life. period. full system stop.

    Imagine pulling 4 hours of perimeter guard every night for the rest of your life.

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    1. Libertarians are not in tune with biology. Human nature does not yield to politics. Humans will always need force to compel them to act correctly. My point is merely that the corrupt system we have is still preferable to the break down of law and order. You THINK you can go it alone, but just earning a living and shopping, you are part of the monkey tribe. And the majority of them need the fear of violence to act correctly.

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    2. You are wrong and I am living it everyday. I never said I was going it alone. I said I am going it differently, as I have explained here many times. 20+ income streams, all of them small to avoid the criminal radar sweep. If 5 streams fail I still have 15 more. Always looking for more ways to earn coin to exchange for what I want or need. Some call it survivalism, I call it living. I stopped doing the 9-5 thing a long time ago and that leaves a lot of time for persuing more beneficial ventures. This works for me and I expect other people will choose what they want too. Or not.

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  14. About the PVC structure. Looks like you could buy 2 sized of schedule 4 and cut @ 3-4" drill a series of small holes in the smaller for tie wraps and larger holes in the larger for conduit to fit through. I wonder if painting everything would help protect everything from UV degradation. Of course if you covered it as a shelter that would do the job. With enough heavy tarps could make a sturdy tent.

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    1. I think it is overpriced, myself ( I'd drape cement soaked sheets over it, then ferrocement ). But I thought it might be up someone's alley. And yes, seems like the hubs could be Bubba Engineered. Hence, overpriced.

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    2. Yes, for what it is, PVC pipe is expensive. And have you priced zip ties lately? That PVC dome would kill you in pricing, not to mention all the fabrication is very labor intensive. Fortunately it's all light labor, but still. Demented dude is probably right about steel dome hub kits, if that's your fancy. As a lifelong building designer I always thought the dome stuff was just another in a long line of gimmicks. While initially eyecatching, the gimmicks are almost always difficult to build and expensive to create and maintain. There's a reason sticks and bricks is the most popular way to build. It's went through hundreds of years of evolution. It's not really possible to create a building any other way without huge trade-offs in money and labor.

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