Saturday, March 25, 2017

safe place part 4


SAFE PLACE 4
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note: I'm going to start publishing seven days a week.  Alas, Sunday will NOT be an original article but a reprint.  I have diabolical reasons for this, explained later.  Tune in Sunday.
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Is not immigrating at all a good idea?  At first blush the obvious answer is straight from Horror Movies 101.  If you are a young nubile white teenager wanting to have sex, don’t do it in the woods!  If you are the token African-American, don’t hang out with honkys- you’ll be the first one killed.  And last but not least ( thank you, Eddie Murphy! ), if the mofo’en house tells you to Get Out!, get the hell out.  If you are in an urban area, the default answer is always to Get! Out! And not a year from now or whenever you feel like it, but right damn now.  Yes, we know that the boys have been crying wolf for decades now.  OPEC and the ‘70’s, the Soviet Union with itchy trigger fingers in the ‘80’s, Clinton’s dictatorship in the ‘90’s, Y2k in the ‘00’s and the derivatives implosion and the obvious rearview mirror look at Peak Oil in the Teens.  The difference is that if you stay in the city eventually you will be wrong but if you move OUT of the city eventually you will be right.  When it is your life on the line, being right is important.

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Alas, moving out of the city now is not as easy as it used to be, regardless of how bad the economy was then.  There is only one way to do it and that is to buy for cash and be able to live on less.  Unless you are in one of the few bulletproof occupations, it is almost suicidal anymore to give up your job.  Of course, that is where my greatness comes in, with prepping cheap and living cheap, but I feel my hair is inadequately praised most times.  But regardless of my paranoia, as justified as it is, we do have to keep in mind that the regularly perceived notions of danger are pretty much bullcrap.  The whole Yuppie Scum Bug-Out Plan is retarded, moronic, irrational and spastic.  Your typical Yuppie Scum thinks that because we are America, our economy is super deluxe.  Because American used to be the number one exporter of oil, we must still have a few gazillion barrels left to keep us all in jobs and Happy Motoring.  Really, because we are so great and in the beginning of The Glen Beck Two Hundred Year Long Fracking High Technology Miracle- Oil Forever Bro!,  there is so little reason to even be prepping in the first place except if those sneaky A-Rab’s nuke one of our cities.  Civilizations ONLY collapse if they aren’t ‘Murikans! 

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So, if American is so super duper great, and the oil can never run out, and the dollar will always be the global currency because after all we already saw The End Of History, only Leftist Presidents in league with Blue Helmeted Storm Troopers could possible ever undermine our deluxe super- duperness.   So, really, why not just stockpile MRE’s and FLIR scope atop your trusty plastic carbines with ninety round drum mags, after of course you attended a Ninja Approved tactical class teaching you how to spray and pray, quickly swap magazines so you can spray and pray more, and then clearing jams after you’ll sprayed and prayed pretty much all afternoon?  You only have to survive short term disasters, not long term resource depletion.  Resource depletion?  What the hell is that?  Sounds unpatriotic!  Go ahead, live in the big city and earn that big paycheck and procreate with that big bosomed trophy wife because God himself approves of an All-American Capitalist high paying occupation and would never jeopardize that for you by allowing anything bad to happen. 

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Bugging out is mostly a fantasy.  It is a Big Truck For Big Boys fantasy model that is applicable in several scenarios that have a very low probability of occurring.  Surprise nuclear attack, an asteroid hitting in just the right spot or a solar flare of ginormous size.  I’m not saying they won’t happen, because one never knows.  I’m just saying the odds are far greater our empire crashes from oil cut off inducing starvation, our economy crashes overnight and zero imports are allowed in after the petro-dollar crashes or something as simple as everyone losing their job.  The odds are very good that you will have enough warning to semi-peacefully retire to your safe spot from your suburban nest.  Not guaranteed, because the only thing in this life that is guaranteed is death and taxes ( Libertarians and High Tech Pimps both try to refute this reality but they are no where closer to refuting this law except by closing their eyes and tapping their heels together three times and wishing away the big bad world ).  But probably pretty good odds of happening.  Of course, that isn’t a get out of jail free card.  You still need to be ready.

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You do have to have a place to go, and the means to get there, and the finances to live there if you miscalculated timing.  So, no, you don’t want to hunker down past a certain point.  The suburbs are built around the automobile, which in a long term aspect is even worse than living in a city.  At least a city, if built pre-oil, can devolve back down to a viable entity after a time, going back to its ancestral roots of what made it a good location to begin with ( a port, or a trades crossroads or a mining town that had the ore extraction interrupted because it is only viable with human labor [ in other words, hasn’t been stripped by machines leaving nothing for the future ] or a river crossing or whatever ).  The suburbs, and many cities in the Great American Desert, can only survive through oil, and oil alone, and are soon to be abandoned relics of a never to be repeated era.  Complete civilization collapse means lack of transportation and you need to secure a means to a better location than the suburbs prior to that irrevocable event. 

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Why WOULD you hunker down unless it is already the optimal location?  Overpopulation, resource scarcity, oil dependence, depleted soil and pollution, let alone exposure to nuclear fallout.  The only good thing about your location is money.  Use that wisely, but don’t buy into your location being optimal.  But where you are going better be better, eh?

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9 comments:

  1. " The difference is that if you stay in the city eventually you will be wrong but if you move OUT of the city eventually you will be right."

    I love that sentence. The way I look at the problem is the difference between knowing and doing. You know you should leave but you don't do it.

    If you want to leave the city, you have to work towards it for real, with a set date, be it in six weeks or in twelve months. But people never do that, because there's always something more important right now.

    If survivalists really examined what it would take to change their lives, they would realize how little they really know. I speak from experience : at age 28 I made the big jump out of corporate life towards teaching, it took me one year to become a teacher (I worked hard) and two more years to relocate to a small town.

    This was possible because I was 100% convinced of the necessity of this and because I hated my former job. If I changed either proportion on the wrong side (not hating my job *that much* and not being *that* convinced of the end of the world) I might not have found the energy to do it. I had no girlfriend, debt or any other strings attached, I had set aside 6000 Euros for the transition and I could live rent-free for as long as I studied. The remainder of these funds went into preps as soon as I was done relocating.

    A "midlife crisis" (another word for being dumped once they sucked all the life juice out of you) is a good moment to leave the city. If city people looked around them, they would realize they don't need all that stuff from their previous life (except some pictures and some letters if you're so old that you still have received some - it was before the 90s).

    What you need to survive, you can buy at any store anywhere, and it doesn't cost much.

    A new life awaits you in the Off-world colonies.

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    1. Yah! Bladerunner. One of those I watched way too many times. One day I'll get around to reading the book. The other stuff of his I've read has been most excellent.

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    2. Oh, and pertinent to your comment, very well phrased. If you aren't 100% convinced and motivated, taking so much energy...I hadn't looked at it from that viewpoint but very true.

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  2. "The suburbs, and many cities in the Great American Desert, can only survive through oil, and oil alone, and are soon to be abandoned relics of a never to be repeated era."

    I was wondering if you have wild horse herds in your area? I'm pretty sure they do in next-door Lander County. If I had them, I'd be looking at them as a big-game source, basically a hornless elk that can survive on worse forage. I heard the herds in Lander County were getting large enough the cattle ranchers were unlawfully "disappearing" some of the horses because of grazing competition with the cattle.
    Peace out

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    1. This corner of dusty Nevada is so overly focused on mining and being a dutiful yuppie scum consumer that the old cowboy trade is largely news neglected ( unless it is the annual gay cowboy poetry ). I know there are wild herds about, but not exactly where, and will be looking at them as our future nomadic raiding conveyance.

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  3. The scenarios pertaining to a Bug-Out scenario have one point in common : they are so huge (or hollywoodesquie) that they can provide an EXCUSE to act like a survivalist.

    SHTF has to be spectacular, because if it isn't then it just looks ridiculous. (Even to oneself).

    It's always never SHTF (when it is, like on March11 2011 in Japan, there's nothing anybody can do, except pray for whetever the Evil Government took the time to do,n like refugee shelters etc.)

    Survivalism is either Hollywood stuff or Tinfoil hat stuff, except the latter is more and more real with time (such as, the Gov spying on all of us all the time).

    Also, the Hollywood Fantasy says that there will be ne police and thus we are going to be free to shoot gheto people (or anybody with more than a light tan as skin colour) with our super space weapon (in this same fantasy, the AR-15 also always hits and never jams...)

    With age comes the realization that our way of thinking is too heavily conditioned by TV/Internet. In reality it is already far above average if you can get out of the cities without any debt.

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    1. And where is the advertising dollars in fleeing urbanites under no debt?

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    2. Exactly, this is why unless people ditchtheir TV they are not going to have an epiphany !

      TV just adds to the misery of the "midlife crisis" (which apparently is now a "whole life crisis" : http://positively-smitten.com/2013/08/07/the-truth-about-millennials-were-not-spoiled-and-narcissistic-just-broke-and-bitter/

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    3. TV is just like alcohol or cigarettes or Twinkies. None are evil unless done to excess. Moderation is key.

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