oil down 2

OIL DOWN 2

Okay, we know that an economic slow-down globally probably won’t affect the US economy all that much because this ain’t your daddies economy anymore and far fewer folks make anything or buy much of anything and there won’t ever be a housing boom again because the banks won’t release inventory because fake house values are propping up derivatives and since wages are in a downward spiral no one can afford the current high prices ( even if they can get credit or more ludicrously both save a 20% down AND get credit ) AND we know that unless a different Saudi price takes over and reverses forty years of military protection for oil pricing in dollars policy, the Saudi government has no interest in  crash and burning our economy by killing our fracking industry which might be the only thing keeping our economy going because energy added to the economy is actual economic activity unlike paper currency creation and while it isn’t all that much it is far better to have negative one percent growth than negative ten ( ah, it is good to have a runaway sentence- haven’t done that for awhile ).  So, what does falling oil prices mean?  I’m inclined to think that rather than supply destruction pricing, this is a combination of Communist conflict combating our position under camouflage of an economic downturn.  Forget the Saudi’s.  They are a bunch of old men afraid of shadows.  They are timid and cowed.  So, who would benefit from a sudden US economy flush with out of control inflation, a suddenly weakened military and a loss of ability to project any kind of power?  Russia and China.

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Just as China only became our friend because she feared the Soviets, so China now loves the Russians because she fears us more.  If the Chinese economy was long overdue for a contraction, and the government uses the inevitable downturn to its strategic advantage by withdrawing stimulus and allowing nature to take its course, and if Russia has an overriding need to check our advance east ( even after we pinky promised to never meddle in former Soviet bloc countries ) and has a massive oil production card to play in this poker game ( the assertion that the US out produces both the Saudi’s and Russia is blatant bullcrap based on fraudulent double counting of distillates and including imports for distillation and immediate export as domestic production ), and if my thought that only frack oil is holding the economy from the cliff edge ( not a thought I’m totally convinced of, but it has a nice ring to it and is certainly within the realm of possibility ), Russia flooding the oil market and pressuring OPEC to not decrease production would certainly be in its best interests of crushing the PetroDollar ( I can only speculation as to why they don’t just wait for our fields to dry up naturally in a year or two.  Perhaps the Ukraine/Syria/Iran conflict with us won’t wait that long ).  This is just a current theory, but it does fit in with Follow The Money.

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