Saturday, September 30, 2017

trump kills prepping


TRUMP KILLS PREPPING

Remember how Obammy single-handedly made all the ammunition disappear ( yes, even as the weapons to shoot them came down in price about twenty-five percent )?   Well, now Trump has canceled survivalism.  You know, since he is such a believable politician and not out to make himself richer, and only accidentally packed his administration with the same old players in the central bank and military industrial complex, why, sure, he’s all about the Little People.  All problems solved, ’Murica is great again, Fracking Forever, fill in the jingoistic blank.  It greatly pains me to see nice guys hurt their brains trying to think in a such a convoluted manner.  I’m not even being bombastic.  I truly am confused how this sort of conclusion could ever be reached.  First, you have to actually believe individual players can so easily overturn the imperial court.  Then you have to believe only Democrats can ruin the economy.  Then, you have to believe building a wall after our population doubled, and WHILE current immigration laws on the books are not being enforced, will actually make a damn bit of difference.

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Unnamed prepper gurus over in Tennessee are having delusions about the economy and about the importance of their industry.  Okay, so no survival gear company is putting up prizes so there are no more writing contests.  Which means the editor of said site has to do all his own writing, which is about three times a week-please don’t hurt yourself, just as the unnamed Idaho fellow didn‘t either-and based on this output folks will want to pay $99 for a year of newsletters?  I’m sorry, I really am.  But you stopped writing books long ago, and a genius in economics with a doctorate ( back when they meant something ) is charging $180 a year-in easy to stomach $15 a month increments-for a real daily publication and you are worth almost as much?  The sad truth is that no one NEEDS survivalist writers anymore.  We contribute little to the canon, the Soviet threat and the end of the petroleum industrial economy providing much better material in decades past.  The eighties were the last original survivalist publications based on the end of civilization.  From the Nineties we had, basically, just militia porn and Yuppie Scum luxurious lifeboat prepping for minor disruptions in the consumer paradigm.

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Back in the day, the US went from being the worlds leading economy to derailed in glorious fashion as we gave up gold backing to the dollar, oil quadrupled, all our factories shut down and we lost our first colonial war.  Folks were rightly alarmed and a real movement of manly men ( where sheep were nervous ) stepped up with advice that is good enough to be in print forty years later.  Today, girly men cherry pick the old data to see what fits the debt laden purchase paradigm and timidly present advice which won’t offend anyone, and help pretty much no one in the process.  PC Preppers.  Not to discount all that was wrong about the old advice, nor to paint a broad brush to completely discount everything said today, but in general close enough.  The simple fact is that you can’t find much advice that is worth all that much today, so you give it away for free and make money on ads ( you all understand most of this applies to myself, also? ).  And the economy as a whole can’t rely on advertising anymore.

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I’m not sure why this is hard to understand. Only PC Pretty Pony Preppers would preach that the End Is Nigh, and then act all shocked and butt hurt when the economy actually, you know, starts collapsing.  For many a year now, certainly not too far after the ‘09 collapse ( you do remember that, I presume? ), corporations are only making money by buying back their own stock, goosing the markets in a illusion of activity, so that earnings go up in the remaining shares.  They aren’t increasing from increased sales ( earning increases are how the big boys get paid ).  Sales are in the toilet, because no one has a job, or if they do have a job it has less hours and less take home pay, OR extra income is going to medical care ( which, at 20% of GDP is nothing but froth and fury, incompetence, death panels and banker owned insurance industry bail-outs ).  No jobs or no income, no buy-ee crap-ee.  No sales, companies start to cannibalize to survive.  And this is global, with overproduction issues!  Now, are you seriously thinking when a corporation is desperate they won’t decrease advertising?  Of course they will, and they have.  NOTHING is off the table to make money.  A company that trashes its quality and reputation has no interest in increasing its advertising.  At most, you hope, they cut it less.

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The Prepper Industry is having the same issues as everyone else with decreased sales due to decreasing disposable income.  Trump being elected had nothing to do with it.  Do you not recall the lack of Hilary panic gun buying ( on a large enough basis to make a difference )?  Folks COULDN’T afford to panic buy semi’s ( again, relatively speaking ).  Why do you think ammo prices came down?  Less sales.  Blaming Trump for the industry woes is merely transferring the cause, as most folks wallow in the bottomless stinkhole of denial.  The fact that the economy could actually be imploding rather than being a subject to increase their sales, that is not something survivalist gurus are willing to admit.  You know how I feel about this subject.  Guru’s are asswhores, just another carnie lining up to fleece the rubes.  I’m PROUD that I’m still publishing an amateur newsletter, a hobbyist publication ( albeit in electronic form ), rather than a “professional” publication.  At least I’m not following the rats and perhaps not going down with them on the ship.

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What is the future for the prepper industry?  Can you say “buggy whip manufacture”?  There will always be some demand for their products.  Those companies that can survive on niche sales will be fine and those companies that are in debt and need increased customers to service the debt will go bankrupt.  There are still leather companies out there selling custom holsters or what not, even if they only sell a few buggy whips a year.  The variety will shrink and prices will remain at cottage industry levels, but it can be done.  A good example is with “The Backwoodsman” magazine, mostly supported by mom and pop manufacturers of fur trapper/frontiersman equipment.  And even mostly filled with articles written by the fans of such equipment.  The only reason the publication survived was that those running it based their expenses and income on the ability of their home grown advertisers to pay far below industry standards.  You should check them out-if I think they are affordable, a tightwad skinflint, you should be amazed.

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Trump is certainly better than Alzheimer’s Annie, but he won’t be much of an improvement over Shrub.  If you aren’t doing anything different you are de facto accepting all previous administrations dictates and decisions and that means nothing will change.  I don’t believe the President has that kind of power, anyway ( being a mere meat puppet for the elite ), but if you subscribe to the theory that he does, still believing ‘Muricans rule the roost and will be number one forever, then you need to look at his actions rather than his lips flapping some lie you want to hear.  Trump has changed nothing, so it is business as usual.  And business as usual means the same economic policies and realities we’ve had already through the last administrations.  No wall, no draining the swamp, no leaving Afghanistan, no bringing jobs back.  Okay, granted, the reality is not the perception and the perception says no one is panicking because Trump was one big baby binky to placate the masses, so that killed prepping, right?  Well, then why, without the Soviet threat, did the prepper industry do so friggin well in past Republican administrations, eh?  Conventional wisdom says Trump killed prepping.  So, using conventional wisdom, in good times prepping does poorly.  So, why did all the guru’s do so well during the Bush administration?  Credit was flowing freely, as was the oil, people were cashing in at their home equity ATM, jobs were easy to get.  Times were, relatively speaking, economically gangbusters.  And the gurus were making serious cash.  Hell, I was doing much better, and if I of all people can get paid, especially back when my writing sucks more than it does now, you know the spending was stupendous.  My boat was lifted by the tide.  Follow the money, people, not the ideology.

END ( today's related link http://amzn.to/2wBDkKB )
 
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21 comments:

  1. When he cuts ALL taxes by at least half then maybe he'll get my attention and not 1 second sooner, until then I got lots of serious shit to do and none of it is fake.

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    1. Aren't middle class taxes about to go up?

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    2. If I understand the bill right, standard exemptions double. Of course tax brackets go from 7 to 4, so some at the edge of a bracket may get bumped up.

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    3. "Market Ticker" just had an article, but I skimmed over.

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    4. See, all thouse *techicalities*, ie., exemptions, write-offs, this, that n the other, don't mean jack shitski to me. It's all tecnobabble meant to make the shoths think they're getting something for nuthin (and their chix for free), when the only thing that works is to slash it right down the middle and be done with it. Then in his 2nd term slash it down the middle again.

      And the next MF I hear say, "But, but, but how are we going to PAY for it?", is gonna get one these right in the face.

      Don't know how other people do it but when I PAY the extortion fee for keeping my ass out of the clink I write a big fat juicy check for it and don't see that changing anytime in the near or distant future no matter how many swingin diguses ask how it's done.

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  2. Fire arms engineer friend of mine just got let go from SIG. They have eliminated all their contract people. He does not expect to be called back to work.

    I do know liberal gays who are now prepping, bought firearms and are learning how to shoot. Imagine that -I know gay liberals.

    Personally, I used to enjoy doomer fiction a lot more before the collapse picked up the pace.

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    1. Sooo...what's the scoop? Is SIG cutting back production? What is the significance of eliminating the contract people? I know at the mines this is a way to future production cuts, or differed maintanence when desperate. Not sure what it means for a gun company. re: doomer fiction, I've hated it since e-books got going strong. If it is great characters and story, though, it doesn't matter the genre.

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    2. A lot of the contract people at SIG were involved with the development of new products. Sales are down quite a bit. Cutting the contract people cuts costs without officially laying anyone off. It's often a first step to greater cut backs.

      By the way, the gun industry built a lot of junk during the Obama years. Quality control went in the crapper. As my engineer friend said: we could throw guns off the back of a truck and they'd be sold before they hit the ground. During that time SIG lost a military contract due to their product being so poor. I'd be really careful about buying any guns built during the Obama years.

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    3. Thank you-this is the kind of stuff you can't find out about unless you really live and breath the industry. Yeh, I imagine any $500 AR I pick up at the pawn shop would blow up on me.

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    4. I agree - since about '09 I too have less desire to read (much less watch) post-appoc or other prepper/survivalist oriented entertainment.
      The crumble is upon us. Contractors (often self employed) of major corps are getting reduced hours, project elimination, etc. Retirees are not being replaced, employment is being terminated with any reasonable cause, and when a new hire is required they are coming in at less than whomever they are replacing was making - often by quite a bit.
      I noticed a lot of new guns built in the past 10 year or so that I have seen just feel less sturdy. Tools too.

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    5. Did you read the guest post over at Cassandra's? On the Italian city and their tree service quality cuts. Best I've read on how the system fails with the budget.

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  3. I have a couple of thoughts on this

    1) Had Hillary won I am positive we (The West under the US banner) would have gone full retard (WAR) against any of / all of the following

    * China
    * Syria
    * Russia
    * North Korea
    * Civil War

    2) Smarter guys than me on the right say that Trump bought "us" time to prep. He did NOT do away with the need to prep. What's coming can't be stopped (I'm confident that that is true - Nobody can stop what is coming)

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    1. Nobody can stop it, most correct. Every empire crashes and burns from business as usual and kicking the can, and not from any reason other than they have no choice.

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  4. Large institutional and government construction projects are booming. Employment (if not wages) is low. Both of these are very serious signs that we have entered the late stages of an economic cycle. In this case the boom wasn't much of boom, but it's better than going back to a complete bust.

    My theory is that prepping has tailed back a little because folks aren't as worried about their personal economic circumstances. Which unfortunately is when they should be worrying the most.

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    1. It didn't get worse, like eight years ago, so all is well? Sounds about right. Market Ticker dude thinks the medical industry bubble is the next to pop and it will be far worse than '08. Not sure I care at this point, but still interesting to muse.

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  5. The issue in survivalism is that other people will want to kill you. That's the central difference with prepping, when it's just the lack of electrical power trying to kill you.

    In a central command country, the authorities will end up arming their followers to act as their goons locally :
    http://www.guns.com/2017/08/28/in-venezuela-maduro-puts-mosins-on-parade-in-show-of-force-photos/

    A nice example why bolt-actions are still part of the party.

    In USA the country is being fragmented into rival tiny bits, like it was colonial africa, or the Middle East. In a central command state you focus on the center, in a clusterfuck you have to spread your attention 360° around you, every neighbour being a potential trheat. You'll be betrayed by your own folks anyway since they don't want to fight and will gladly exchange the weapons for a place in the "stable" cities...

    The age of Trump/Hillary (her folks are still the single most potent danger to the institutions of the USA) is the age of fragmentation of USA.

    Growth is already happening elsewhere, this is where the investors are going. US destiny will be Meth.

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    1. No one sees our fragmentation as part of the ruling paradigm, nor the economic collapse as real. So you won't find a support group. The more real it gets the more denial. I like your definition of survivalists and preppers-captured it much better than my attempts.

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  6. Anyone remember when that hill billy survival expert started a fund asking for handouts from the readers so that he could move to a better location?

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    1. Never did. Was he a wilderness survival expert?

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  7. A blogger wrote, maybe it was Bison, that it is possible that the United States could some day be worse than Mexico. Then the border wall would be used to keep Americans in the USA. In other words, the Mexicans won't want Americans in their country!

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    1. No, not me. But I do recall reading it also, and damned if I can recall where.

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