peak retard

PEAK RETARD

For around two months now I’ve been eagerly reading:

www.market-ticker.org

As so many befouled and utterly unprofessional ( in terms of research and commitment, not style ) electronic publications of a doomer variety via with one another racing to the bottom in quality as they shovel more ads our way so as to make downloading a half day event, it is nice to run across an intelligent dedicated soul.  Not exactly doom and gloom unless one subscribes to the idea that our medical industry will crash the economy ( I look at the medical industry as a symptom of energy contraction ), he nonetheless usually at least peripherally touches close to the subject so as to be worthy of your limited time.

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( I’m not a fan of all of his ideas such as a no carb diet, which I would argue should be a no PROCESSED carb diet instead, but that doesn’t mean I think he is definitely wrong.  Just that I don’t necessarily agree with him.  I do loves me my whole wheat bread.  No, not the store bought stuff he derides, but my fresh ground whole grain, no sugar or other stuff.  Just flour and water nuke bread.  As he states, you can be as addicted to sugar as you can crack, so addiction isn’t healthy.  But I don’t feel sick after eating my wheat addiction, like I do when I consume too much sugar, so I’d chock that up to my body craving healthy rather than it craving a poison.  Again, it doesn’t make me right, but I’m running with it.  However, irregardless if we agree on diets or the cause and effects of the medical industry, that boy can write well and applies logic to his analysis, so I respect him even while disagreeing.  I thought Greer was full of crap advocating super long collapse and discounting all survivalists just because some ONLY planned on the overnight collapse, but I still respected his work ).

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So, on August 23^rd ( he does that gay European dating where you go year, month day rather than the obviously only correct way that it is supposed to be done, like NOT using the metric system ) of this Year Of The Trump 2017, he has an article on the trip he took to go watch the solar eclipse, or eclipse lite or singularity like it was the machines taking over the world instead of an eclipse or whatever you care to call it, and he was talking on the one hundred and fifty mile long traffic jam leaving the event path and returning to metro Georgia.  All the state highways and byways were also jammed packed, with the north bound lanes not effected at all.  His whole point was that the infrastructure is completely incapable of handling a non natural disaster event, and was a good example of needing bug out bags ( I don’t believe he used that term, just the need for water and protection to flee being stuck ).  To him, this was a wake-up call that you would be retarded to ignore.  If you ever need to flee, you are in gridlock.  Like I said, he is no prepper, just a guy doing the math and seeing the oncoming financial calamity approaching.

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So, here is my two and a half cents worth ( other sites obviously cheat you, not even delivering two cents.  I double down on their puny efforts and give you extra ).  Give or take, it has been a decade since the lessons of the Big Bopper Hurricanes, Katrina and the one in Texas where the governor made both sets of lanes outgoing to get Houston or wherever it was emptied as quickly as possible.  The overpopulated areas ( the number one reason I’m leery of MOST areas in the South being retreat locations, the insane levels of butt hole to elbow overcrowding ) created instant highway gridlock when just a fraction of folks decided to leave.  And that was thirty or forty years AFTER we all pretty much figured out that a nuclear target evacuation was madness for the same reason, but with much less in the way of population ( thank you, dingus munching Elites for the unlimited immigration ).  Ten years after that fiasco teaching us bugging out naturally entailed getting stuck in traffic, a far SMALLER percentage of the population created road gridlock from a hobbyist event.  That would be like San Diego ComicCon causing all roads to the Arizona border and up through L.A. almost to Oxnard to seize up to a joggings pace crawl. 

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What this tells me is that there are a hell of a lot more cars on the road in the last ten years.  Yes, some of that is from vastly underestimating the number of illegals here, and some from the years long auto industry bail-out shoving cars on to the un-credit worthy, and a smidge from the unnaturally low gasoline costs as oil sits unsold due to the economic collapse.  Since the population is underreported because of illegal immigrants, ratcheting up the unemployment numbers even higher than  the minimum 25% up to a probable 33%, I also have to wonder how all these jerk-offs had the money to go up and visit the eclipse.  They were obviously unemployed or underemployed or self-employed if they could take Monday off.  Where do they get all that Gooberment money, and where is mine?  Because I certainly do NOT view this frivolous spending as a good economic indicator.  You can blow smoke up my ass and tell me the economy is doing well, but with nary a factory or retail outlet still open in sight, I don’t believe it for a second.

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( fun filled fact.  Did you know they still have a dozen Blockbuster stores open for business up in Alaska?  Something about high broadband costs.  If the chain can survive and afford to stock videos with JUST a dozen stores, one wonders why they couldn’t have done a better job competing before they went bankrupt.  If prices hadn’t jumped up to “buy your own copy from Wal-Mart in a few years after release” levels for a rental, I’d still prefer to go to a video store myself.  Even if you aren‘t stocking new releases, the majority of inventory cost, and competing with Red Box, why can’t you run a viable rental store if you stay completive in price [ hell, why can‘t you have RedBox put a couple of machines inside ]?   How many hundreds of videos can you buy from Wal-Mart alone at $4?  Would it be unreasonable to open in a lower rent part of town, say, next to a check cashing place and a pawn shop?  Hell, how many DVD’s can you buy at the pawn shop for $2?  Inventory costs for non new-releases have got to be minimal.  If you run it alone, with low rent, what am I missing from the equation? If I could figure out that part, it would almost make sense to start my own bicycle video rental service [ rent is far too high here locally, so I’d tweak that part of the equation-even though the computerized part of reserving would have to be manually run somehow to reduce THAT cost ].  It might be easier to sell the used ones though Amazon, but let’s be realistic on their chance of long term survival.  Or even NetFlix.  Going backwards technologically might make much better sense )

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Anyway, after that HUGE journey to left field, back to the eclipse and bugging out.  I would view this event as evidence that you don’t need a giant hurricane anymore to gridlock traffic, since that piece of infrastructure seems to be moving towards that condition on its own, and just in regular conditions.  It won’t be long before just a normal commute, NOT during rush hour from work, and you are looking at bug-out conditions.  If your vehicle breaks down, how does a tow truck get to you in a reasonable time?  I’m not saying this is life threatening.  I’m saying that if something that was actually life threatening happened at that time, your normal break down could then turn deadly.  Yes, I know that it is low probability that North Korea nukes us.  Or China or Russia, who actually DO have reliable delivery vehicles.  But as we have discussed, China could nuke us and make us believe North Korea did it, and escape retaliation.  How improbable is that, given her rational reluctance to join us in oil import impotence or economic implosion?  I’m actually surprised it didn’t already happen.  Why do they need us, now?  They can sell the crap out of cheap shoes to Africa all day long.  They can sell AK’s there as well.  You don’t think India isn’t a big enough market for them? 

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And, again, low probability, but there is always Yellowstone or natural solar flares.  Okay, I got it, low solar activity right now.  So, you wait for one as you wait for the US traffic to get even heavier and if it does happen you are in even worse shape than now.  Remember, this was a peaceful traffic event.  No bad weather, no natural disaster, by a MINORITY of the population.  How many folks weren’t there simply because of the perceived traffic?  I know that would have been my first thought.  Too many damn people-screw the eclipse!  People suck and crowds kill.  Hell, I knew that when I was fifteen years old.  Hello!  The Who rock concert ( I think I was 15-thereabouts anyway ).  How about just a simple electric grid black out?  Like those rarely happen?  I worked in a lot of gas stations in my two decades retail management, in many states, and I never knew one to have a back-up generator to pump gas during a power outage.  The power goes, so goes your gasoline supply and even if you don’t run out of gas, others do. 

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A simple accident OFF the road and every swinging cheese dingus and his brother out there is slowing down and being a lookie-lou.  Human nature.  We drive our heavy high velocity machines of potential death every day, ignoring the crash statistics, and by looking at a wreck we reaffirm our invincibility, even though it should be doing the opposite.  If one wreck, not in the way of traffic, not even any lane closures, can slow down traffic so much, imagine more than a few vehicles on the road running out of fuel.  How can they even pull over off the road with thick traffic, in the first place?  Traffic gets worse all the time.  There used to be statistics that said the majority of economic activity in the country were auto related.  Not just making the cars or paving or policing the roads but the 40% of all meals eaten out, hotels, shopping malls and all the rest.  As a young-un, I could bike anywhere.  With the sprawl now, most places I grew up would be un-bike-able.  Not just because I would be run over but because everything revolves around the car even more today.  Obviously, the big one, folks move further away from work as the jobs disappear and the affordable houses are further.  Go into McDonalds.  How many at the counter compared to how many servicing the drive through?

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There was one kick-ass web site back a few years.  An investment broker dude cashed out and they relocated to a farm in, I believe, Tennessee.  His wife was Asian, he was a WASP type.  Then he went into the hospital and got a super germ which nearly killed him, and his posting days were pretty much over ( American Energy Crisis, perhaps, was the name?? ).  He was pointing out how the gasoline demand dropped in California 20%, and how that was an economic indicator and an explanation why our oil imports went from 20 mbpd to 18.  It sounded about right to me.  But now, I’m not so sure.  His analysis was prior to my town growing 25% in a year and its traffic quadrupling or worse.  Granted, it is a boom town, but the bloom is off the rose and traffic is only slightly down.  Now, reading of the eclipse traffic jam, I wonder if that California gas statistic was merely due to increased taxes and increased costs as refineries closed down.  It certainly isn’t because folks are driving less-and if they are, it is that each person drives less but far more cars are on the road.  Which seems the most likely.

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And that can only be bad news for those of you who are in a situation you have placed yourself in where you need to drive any distance.  If more traffic is the norm, you increase your risk of being away from home.  And a simple Get Home Bag while better than nothing isn’t the only answer.  Let’s just say, the power goes out during a Black Lives Matter riot.  The riot spreads, like back during the ‘60’s.  You are being channeled down a public road ( this ain’t the apocalypse where you can cut fences and such-society is dysfunctional, not non-functional.  Ignoring the law sees you shot or in jail ) on foot and you can defend yourself but you can’t be stupid about it.  What are your odds of remaining unmolested if a group of young minority males approaches you?  You are THAT good in a gun fight in a mob?  Homey don’t think so.  The better answer would be you stay close to the compound.  Repeat after me.  Don’t leave the compound.  Charlie’s out there.

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Live in a spot you don’t need to leave, or very close to it, and don’t stray from it if you can help it.  Why go on a vacation?  Just a new set of asshats at the other end of the journey.  Why do you need to eat at a McDonald’s in another state?  Don’t leave the compound.

END ( today's related article http://amzn.to/2xoH0ky )

 

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