What is the real unemployment rate? Shadow Stats says it is 22%, and the FedGov claims it is 4%. Obviously, if you’ve been looking for a job your know 4% is obvious bullspit. Everything the government tells you is a lie. Always has been. We all know that. The big difference now is how hilariously obviously wrong the official numbers are. Now, Shadow Stats performed a yeoman service by originally popularizing the questionability of government statistics, but they are behind a pay wall now. No big deal, you cheap humpers wouldn’t pay if he wasn’t. But I have no way of reading further how he got his numbers. I do know that the Labor Participation Rate is down to like 60%, but they don’t call that the unemployment rate. I’m not sure why. Let’s poke around a little. There are 200 million ( I round up and down, but slightly ) people of working age in the US, 15 to 64. A lot of people don’t work until 18, and some retire at 62. Some are in college until 22. Still, I find it hard to believe that is 10% of the work force.
Look, if you are 16, and there are no jobs available, you can technically be said to be a student not looking for work, but you can also be unemployed. If you retired two years early because there are no jobs, are you out of the work force or are you unemployable? If you assume the work force needing a job but not being able to get one is ONLY from ages 22 to 62, then possibly the unemployment numbers are 22% ( forget about the government number. If you go off of unemployment insurance because your benefits dry up, they claim you are no longer unemployed ). But if you include the full range of ages, it is closer to 33%. The work age population is 200 million. There are 140 million jobs out there. So, even with all the part time work counted as a real job, you are still seeing a third of people unemployed. They have a real neat trick of calling “full time” only 35 hours, also. Where I came from, if you ain’t working 40 hours, you don’t have a full time job. So they get away with claiming “only” 20% of jobs are part time.
You can’t really find better numbers at a quick glance, but I would wager at a minimum, given the realities of the ObamaCare dictate of fewer full time workers, it has to be closer to a third, also. We have 33% unemployment, with a third of those still technically with a job only working part time. Again, if we assume everyone aged 15 to 64 wants a job, we are looking at the 33% unemployment. However! Even that is too low, once you factor in how many folks work two jobs and even a sprinkling of illegal aliens working the officially counted jobs. The one, two job holders, decreases the number of workers in the count, making the unemployment number larger in relation to the number of jobs available. If only about ten percent of the folks out there work more than one job, that shrinks the number of jobs from 140 million to 125 million. Now we are looking at 40% unemployment. If 5% of jobs are held by “undocumented workers”, the number of workers goes up to 210 million. For 125 million jobs. Almost fifty percent unemployment.
According to The Economic Collapse Blog, the number of people unemployed just went over 101 million. Counting our illegals ( for a total of 210 million. And that assumes ONLY 5% of jobs are held by illegals ), that comes close to fifty percent. I understand how the official numbers can be only 4%. They just add an imaginary number of fantasy jobs created, on top of disappearing you once your bennies run out. And we know 50% is too high. Most of those folks are working in the grey economy or getting government assistance or living with family for free. I would say that the 26% to 33% is probably pretty darn close to reality. Not that anyone is starving. This isn’t the Great Depression. But it tells you several things. First, you are flaming retarded moronic mouth breathing idiot if you think you need to eliminate welfare programs. That will NOT balance the budget but rather invite rebellion. At Great Depression unemployment levels, PLUS, you need to feed the unemployed. There are only 120 million people working, and 320 million population. Of those employed, it is a fair bet that less than a 100 million work full time. If 2/3 of the population are NOT dependents then jobs only available for 1/3 is not going to support those now on benefits ( the fable that an unregulated economy will produce more jobs assumes energy growth, which we don’t have, and no robots and no overseas jobs. It is also 1%’er propaganda, to keep the poor and the workers combating each other rather than the Elite ).
Second, if the BEST numbers for current unemployment are worse than Great Depression levels, you can under no circumstances say The Great Recession is over. We are in a greatER Depression, and things are getting worse. So far, nobody cares overly much, big picture wise ( I understand it is not as benign of a feeling when you personally get screwed with a pink slip ). Everyone is getting welfare payments. Early Social Security ( “only” a 30% haircut if you retire at 62 rather than 65 ). Disability. Food Stamps. Yes, your income might be close to zero, but with Food Stamps you are just poor instead of destitute. I can live on the equivalent of seven hours a week and be fine. I’m sure others are in a similar situation, even with no benefits The thing is, there are almost half the number of Food Stamp recipients as there are full time job holders. ANY decrease in welfare payments is going to effect MORE people than are officially employed. The safety net is really the 1%’er safety net, to keep them from being Lampposted. All these idiots calling for the welfare state to be eliminated are calling for rebellion. You won’t be safe in your suburbs.
But what happens when welfare bennies stop or are cut to the point they might as well be abolished? It truly is the end, and not just because of that old propaganda standby of Blacks rioting without EBT payments ( an old standby for its actual truthfulness-I say propaganda as it is used by the Elite to control Whites ). The actual unemployment rate as it stands now ONLY precludes actual armed rebellion because of welfare payments. It won’t just be a Negro with anger control issues you’d have to worry about but also your trailer park neighbor Bubba. Yet, what is it that will actually happen sooner of later? Given the choice of keeping the fracking fields pumping or keeping the welfare checks coming, what will the Elite choose? The energy flowing. The ex-welfare will rebel sooner or later, but with energy the elite at least have a slim chance of staying in charge. So, good-bye safety net, eventually.
If unemployment is really at a third, how safe is your job? And how easy could you replace it? No wonder preppers won’t move regardless of unsafe location. They know there are no more jobs to be had anywhere. Would anyone move if the official unemployment rate was 33%? Hell, even the 22% is too high for comfort. And if my worse case figure of 50% is close to being true ( which you can almost feel given the lack of Help Wanted signs and the numbers of store closings ), you can’t afford to move, can you? No wonder you don’t care about junk land. If every one of my minions bought some from E-Bay, there would be no more available ( and some of that E-Bay land isn’t even junk land but ruinously expensive. I’d say the market for under $3k land is limited nationally to most likely under my readership numbers. If you plan on acting, do so now, even if you don’t move. A VERY finite supply, discounting county tax sales ) anyway. Of course, by NOT acting, you are just stuck in place waiting for things to get worse. Or, in other words, trying to time the collapse hoping you die before your job does.
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