MOVING TO UNEMPLOYMENT
Okay, let’s venture back
to RealityLand. You know you are going
to lose your job. All of us will. This is guaranteed. To work at a well paying job in the first
place is to accept that your employer is dependent on surplus in the economy,
because none of us work jobs that are truly necessary. The farmer, for instance, who you would think
you need, is only working his job while there is enough surplus to buy the
tractor and combine and etcetera that is all dependent on oil from
overseas. Peasants have been known to be
able to grow their own food-and they were doing it before mechanization. You don’t need the centralized farmer, and he
needs surplus energy to be able to allow you to sit in a cubicle shuffling
papers rather than be wading ass deep in human offal tinged water weeding your
plantation owners rice field ( hint: if you live in the lowland South, expect
to be slave labor. Stay up in the hills
if you want to have a chance of staying free ).
*
I’m happy for you that you
were an intelligent nerd, and were able to go to engineering classes in between
D&D ( just as I refuse to call Shotgun News by its new name, I’m equally
baffled why I should add an “advanced” in front of the original game I started
out in that was a simple box set ) sessions, and that you’ve had a great life
earning a living wage and you got your trophy Old Lady and spawned pretty
babies. More power to you, brother. But success in this life will not translate
over to a needed profession after an apocalypse, nor especially during the
economic collapse, if it is in any way involves needing excess energy surplus (
obviously, any manmade activity pre-supposes energy surplus. Cooking our game kills to feed ourselves
pre-digested food by fire to feed a larger brain-by bypassing a larger
digestive system- assumed a continuous energy surplus from the very beginning
of our species. So when I say surplus I’m
talking about excess surplus. Which is
what our Oil Age has been all about.
Cashing in on an abundance of the excess of excessive energy. But it wasn’t just all about petroleum. For five hundred years we’ve wallowed in excess,
first with overseas colonies ripe for exploitation and then coal and finally
oil. If you think we can find another
five centuries of surplus-and remember, populations pretty much stayed stable
as we first recovered from our plague in Europe and then wiped out the colonies
population with their plagues, so we used all this surplus up with FAR less
folks-you are a delusional asshat who should run over to Glenn Beck and offer
him a rim job since you love him so much ).
*
Let’s just run down my
personal employment history as an example of oxygen wasting from the worker
drones up here in this bitch. The
military itself uses up about 2-3% of all the oil consumption in our country,
daily, not counted embedded, and almost all of its personnel and equipment is there
to defeat another WWII military force.
But nobody is going to fight us that has a similar military because of
our nuclear deterrent ( it is nukes that keep us safe from invaders, not our
super wonderful Ninja troops ), so our military, who has shown a propensity
over fifty years to be unable to find, fight, or defeat guerillas we can’t
target with ICBM’s, is pretty close to useless other than to keep our last
factories churning out defense weapons.
It was NEVER about anything else, anyway. The military industrial complex WAS our
economy for three quarters of a century.
But my point here is that it runs on surplus energy. Moving on, I’ve managed quite a few gas
stations, an easy gig as if there isn’t too large of a convenience store
attached you actually have the rare treat of working with all males ( working
with females is just fine-if you are hunting for a mate. Otherwise, those bitches be nothing but drama
).
*
Gas stations, their
attached mechanical bays, the convenience store sales that make a good share of
your profit, all nothing but wasting petroleum for profits ( just like the
Interstate highway you need to have attached to the store to have any real
success in the higher cost of business areas like California ). What is a convenience store but junk food
vending machines in store form, everything there products of corn? Corn syrup cola, corn syrup candy, corn syrup
puffed air Twinkies, corn fed cow based jerked meat products, all the product
of oil pumped irrigation water for a crop using Midwest soil as a sponge for
artificial fertilizer to grow corn. Oil
irrigation, oil pumping byproduct natural gas feedstock fertilizer ( the
Haber-Bosch process which can only work on industrial scales requiring massive
chemical stocks, steel processing and the like, none duplicated on a cottage
industry level ) shipped by oil from overseas, oil constructed highways for oil
burning rigs to ship product to centralized processing facilities and then
outwards again to distribution centers who ship it again to the far flung
corners thousands of miles away, each drop of corn product traveling tens of
thousands of miles in a circular route to its final destination. You have no idea the embedded energy behind a
Twinkie.
*
I’ve worked at casino’s in
Nevada. The industry is close to dead
now but when I started that was prior to every Indian tribe or state lottery
starting up and draining away business-now rather than a tourist trap they
survive on locals in a rush to get rid of their paychecks. But back in the day, folks from all over the
country and sometimes the world would fill airplanes flying into various points
of the state, eagerly intent on spending money gambling and visiting the
brothels. And you pretty much had to fly
unless you lived close by. The only
other competition was Atlantic City and who the Hell wanted their YankeeLand
pricks as customers? Let them have New
Yoykas and Jewousy State’s surplus money.
Surplus money wasn’t really such a surplus energy source, but flying by
air is an atrocious drain of fuel alone, never mind the ships and
infrastructure ( I’ve read, but understood at least some is a bit of hyperbole,
that one cross Atlantic flight consumed more kilocalories than it took to build
the pyramids of Egypt ).
*
And working at a Food Bank? It ain’t about picking up scraps out of a
dumpster. Our entire food industry
factors in waste for profit. The stores
overstock shelves hoping to increase sales-not that this works anymore with
increased unemployment and cut hours and increased medical costs ( itself a ten
to twenty percent direct tax to the bankers ), but folks in corporate business
are about as dumb as a box of rocks as that is directly correlated to job
security, and the myth persists that building a better field means they will come. We’ve talked about the insane tax breaks
corporates get for donating food. So,
waste is encouraged, at least to the point of desire for public relations and
tax write-downs. And you waste energy
hauling all that extra food, after you’ve wasted energy growing it, so then a
food bank wastes even more energy picking it up and storing it and the clients
waste energy coming to get it and throwing away some of it that goes bad.
*
All of our jobs are about
wasting and consuming excess energy.
That is what we do, that is ALL that we do ( “Terminator” reference
). And so, ipso facto, what in the name
of all the gods do you think happens when the oil starts running out? Well, it has already happened, hasn’t
it? We no longer consume 20 million
barrels of oil in this country every day, but now more like 18. Ten percent.
That is the loss-not even counting the EROI loss-of energy we’ve seen
due to economic contraction and the beginning of the petrodollar collapse. We aren’t burning more after the price dropped
nicely because we don’t have the means fair or foul to procure the extra
oil. All these problems you see
now? The EROI collapse, the unemployment
through the roof, the retail industry free-falling, the near sudden failure of
the college industry and the medical industry, the huge government spending
deficits, and everything else that is
seriously wrong suddenly, that is from ten percent less oil available. What happens when it drops another 10%? Or more?
Got Job? Of course you don’t,
silly rabbit.
*
I understand why you would
feel it necessary to cling stubbornly to your job. Me, I sucked in enough stress to effect my
health to keep I job I didn’t even need for the money. I was just following all of our life
script. Ya gots at work, period. Stop.
I can imagine most of you actually have far more financial
obligations. So not only is working
expected, what other choice do you have?
But, you can’t keep your job all that much longer. Remember, DURING the fracking miracle, so
called, was when we lost that ten percent oil supply. What happens as the fracking numbers
decline? They have already leveled
out. You know, that pesky bell curve
deal? The only thing you are doing by
stubbornly clinging to the illusion you’ll die before your job will is that you
can’t imagine the alternative. Which is,
you don’t work. Oh, you’ll work. You’ll be manually doing everything that your
suddenly no longer affordable machines used to do for you. You just won’t get paid to do it. You’ll work like a dog but not for a
paycheck.
*
This is what used to be known as the household economy. You will, for instance, walk down to the
creek for water, several times a day. Before,
you did the following to get water. You
went into debt to get job training, then went to work to afford a mortgage
payment to be close to work. You paid
most of your wages for that house payment, as the local monopoly on force
charged a HUGE mark-up to pump water to your house ( along with the paved roads,
power lines and etcetera ). Do you
honestly think a quarter of your mortgage payment is worth police protection,
sewer, water and power lines? Our town
of 20k has a budget of $20 million a year.
Call it four people per household.
Five thousand homes paying at least three thousand each a year ( this
also pays state and county, of course ) is fifteen million. Obviously there are more taxes than that, but
think about what you are paying every month just for infrastructure. The water bill is separate, a quarter million
a month for operations to the town, as is the electric bill. If your mortgage is half your pay and a
quarter of that is taxes to bring you water, you are paying fifteen percent of
your mortgage for the privilege of not having to schlep water ( yes, I know it
isn’t quite that high as there are other services, but close enough ).
*
I think I’d rather carry water. And don’t pull out the Old Humper Card on
me. Your ancestors somehow got water
without electronic pumps, even into old age.
Why should this be rocket science?
Would you REALLY like to calculate the cost of your electric? Those poles are built into the price of your
home, just like water pipes, and THEN you pay again for government services and
THEN you pay from a meter with usage.
Taking my rural property, to get a pole out to my land, a mere 300 feet,
I’m looking at four to five grand ( the transformer alone is three ). That is almost the cost of the land. Urban property is less of course, and much
less than the land cost, but it still adds 2% cost to your mortgage. Add another probably 8% for roads and water
and sewer. Now pay interest on that for
thirty years. I mean, seriously, how
hard is it to haul water and watch your use on electric so you can have
solar? And, I might point out, all this
power, water and sewer costs you are paying?
That whole legacy system has been falling apart for decades, the
governments neglecting maintenance even as they raise prices. Soon, all that money you are paying, equal to
fifteen to twenty percent of your mortgage if not your gross income, will be
for naught as the delivery system fails.
Why wouldn’t you want to be utility independent, even if it was a bit
extra work? Smart answer is independence
is now much smarter, safer and cheaper.
*
If you want convenience,
you must work for a paycheck the rest of your life. Convenience locks you into dependency. And yet, thank you mad scramble by everyone
to try to make money so niche products are both widely available and made
cheaply in China, it has never been easier or cheaper to be off grid than it is
now. You can live very close to the
lifestyle you lead now with never little sacrifice. You don’t even need all that much in the way
of solar panels or batteries. If you
have a Honda generator ( better an Indian made cast iron low RPM generator but
I don’t know if they are any easier to get than they were before when you had
to search hard and mess with importation ) you can run the curling iron,
vacuum, pre-cook the days meals in the microwave and perform other high watt
tasks for an hour every morning, all on one gallon of gasoline a week. Then, your very small solar and battery
set-up is the only thing you need for minimal lighting and TV during the night
( use your computer during the day “off battery” as it were )( the refrigerator
can have its own panels and batteries ).
12v water pumps are able to mostly mimic city water pressure, if you
haven’t gotten a gravity system set up.
*
So, after a Honda
generator costing a grand, a solar fridge at about $500, lights and TV taking
only $200 in panels, perhaps a more energy efficient computer, you are still
comfortable under two thousand bucks to live very close to on grid
power-wise. Even another panel and battery
set-up to run a pellet stove ( believe it or not there are a lot of locations
that don’t have wood-we aren’t talking about post apoc survival here but about
a turn key proto-OnGrid set up to insure the wife isn’t living in squalor and
will hence fight you on a move to off grid ) is only $200. Still under $2k total.
*
You can live in a travel
trailer if necessary, just strip the walls down to the frame and install 2x4’s
and sheetrock. Roomier, more like a real
living space, and much brighter and cheerier.
Cabinets and stained fake wood do not a home make ( I know us guys don’t
care. Girls do. Treat Mama right and she’ll return the
favor. If she won’t, leave here in town
). Add a enclosed porch to make it far
more comfortable-and safer to install that stove. You are still looking at chump change and
your quality of life improves. All for
another thousand bucks or so. And you
can do all this a few hundred bucks at a time.
No need to get into debt or stress not having the cash up front. Now, you have a much smaller home but one
that is mostly energy self-sufficient, all for a few thousand dollars. Say, three for the land and three for home
improvements. Two to build an actual
small home. All on small payments and
cash savings and cash flow. You’ve just
moved off grid, comfortably. Now you can
think about why you want to keep working.
*
If you have no debt and no
rent, the only thing keeping you working is your car and habit. I can see not wanting to give up the
car-almost everyone loves the vile pieces of crap. So you’ll at least need enough cash flow to
keep your beater running and even without a car payment there is still
insurance and gas. Plus eventual larger
surprise payments like the clutch or trannie giving out ( how is that “cars
make me free and independent” thing working out for you? ). And of course life is always full of extra
expenses such as replacement shoes and clothing and repairing the homestead to
avoid entropy, and entertainment costs and the like. No one can be unemployed without money, you
are just minimizing the amount of money needed so you can survive on a casual
income rather than needing a regular paycheck.
*
Just don’t fall for the
crap about a second income being a safety net.
If you don’t have a job and neither does anyone else, how successful do
you think your “home craftsman” business is going to be? Once their jobs go, there goes your home
business for lack of customers. So your
own home business is not the answer to the economic collapse past a certain
point. Living off grid with almost no bills
and having a casual income business is just about you improving your quality of
life. It buys you no extra time in the
collapse. But it also does one very
important thing living in town paying rent can’t do. It is hands on experience in living on less,
living off grid and surviving without a paycheck. You can’t live all comfortably on grid while
working and then magically suddenly have the coping mechanism to adjust to life
without that. Nor will you have the
means ( granted, living the well paid on grid life is fine if you are also
building your off grid bug out location-bugging out is fine as long as its
within reasonable walking distance, and that journey is reasonably safe ).
*
With a bug out location
you at least have the skills and resources for living off grid. Great.
You don’t have the skill for living without a paycheck, and that
adjustment will blow, but at least you set up the needed resources to be able
to make the adjustment. So, really,
prepping to be unemployed presupposes your preps are in place and your paid for
junk land retreat is in place. Then it
isn’t a necessity but a quality of life decision. Remember, it isn’t about doing nothing. You’ll work harder than ever unemployed. As long as you have the preps for it. If you don’t, you’ll be living out of a car
in the ghetto and lacking the tools to live on Food Stamps. That will suck. From both the homeless and guys I’ve known
living off grid on their own land, without the proper kitchen tools it is hard
to live on affordable food. Anyone can
buy a $4 pack of pre-cooked chicken or a $2 can of Spam, and that is what you
do when you are unprepared. But that
gets old quick. So does paying extra for
a single serving of raw meat you buy on the way home to your off grid
place. You need a way to process, cook
and store bulk meat or your food bill will never be met by Food Stamps.
*
If you aren’t making your
own tofu for fake meat, which isn’t the worst idea ( soy is pure toxins if not
processed properly, kind of like acorns, but tofu is one of the ways to
properly process it and with a industrial size container of meat flavor you can
have fake meat cheaply ), you need refrigeration and canning for your meat
budget to stay low enough for your frugal lifestyle. I’m not saying Food Stamps will be around
forever, or that it is even a good idea to be on them, but it is a current
back-up plan you should at least consider.
But to return to deciding to leave the work rat race, with no rent and a
half car expense, with only incidentals as your monthly expense outside of
food, a couple can live off grid and only need $200 or $300 each to stay
comfortable. Once you eliminate the need
for all the ways to stay close to a job, it doesn’t take much to live on. So why are you still working? To what purpose?
*
Some folks are perfectly
content to work like a dog all their life.
I spent the last twenty seven years working two jobs. Some years I might have been down to an extra
hour a day only, other times up to four or six.
I had something to show for it, mostly in the form of preps and the
tools to live a very frugal lifestyle, but once those were in place it was
harder and harder to justify all the extra work as anything other than Killing
Time and Habitual Inertia. Spinning my
wheels. I stayed working for a paycheck
years after the effort wasn’t justified.
Not because I hated hard work, just that I hated working hard for morons
who used it to their advantage only and then kicked me like a dog. Even an idiot dog eventually smartens up enough
to move out of range. Be smarter than me
and leave early rather than late. You
are just beating the inevitable, leaving on your own term under better
conditions.
END
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I agree with the "Complex Society" aspect that we work to justify a paycheck and maintain an illusion.
ReplyDeleteHowever people will again accumulate wealth, if only by their own work, and the tent might become a cabin and then a real house (with real walls, and not this cardboard and styrofoam mix they use in Suburbia) on real land.
This, however, would happen one to two generations after the collapse. The collapse in itself will be quite comprehensive. There is no way urban and suburban populations will survive due to their numbers, their geography and the decisionmaking that led them in that situation.
Even in Elko people will be "disappeared", this will be off the books and nobody is going to try harming that crazy Lee-Enfield guy that used to have a blog (that I'm sure Elko police reads daily if only for the laughs).
This is where the slavery bit is interesting. If the local police (& friends like DHS) are setting up a "work gang" (=slaves) to "clean up" the city during the collapse (or "help them helping themselves", like Work Houses and Poor Houses in the Victorian era), who is going to stop them ?
Those slavers will leave the armed alone, because they're no fools, but they will attack the weak - and most people will mumble "one less mouth to feed" and nobody is going to oppose them.
The collapse means paychecks and cash will be uselss, but some groups will find ways to keep eating in a "civilized" way.
Many western movies from the 50's that feature "independent farmes" Vs large land owners / ranchers are somewhat post-apocalyptic in a sense.
My wager ( you bet your life! ) is that this area has nothing to offer the oppressors. Not suitable for farming, so slavery is probably not the issue. Those left will quickly kill each other as supplies dwindle.
DeleteI totally agree that slavery will disguise itself (again) It is already here with prisoners working for the profit of the privately owned prison. They will just end up making so many things a crime that they will be able to make almost anyone a criminal (especially if you cant afford the necessary attorney or bribes).
DeleteExcellent post.
ReplyDeleteI think the emphasis you have is very visual and should be "real" enough for everyone to see -- positioning yourself to live unemployed, forever.
In today's economy between automation, outsourcing, immigration, reduced resources, predatory governments, etc, this is a legitimate concern for EVERYONE.
The CEO can be laid off as well as the line person, even the self employed can lose their customers. When the economy goes down, there is no money. Period.
That nifty Plan B you have of holding a permanent yard sale, selling figurines on eBay, mowing lawns, cutting firewood for sale.... guess what, everyone else is doing it to.
Your best bet is to become a Jack of all trades and take care of all your own necessities. If you have a little surplus, you can sell or barter that. If it doesn't sell, you just absorb it into your own household. For example, your potato patch really produced well this year and you have all you really need. You can trade or sell the extra for something else you need or if it does sell, you just eat a few more potatoes that year. No down side because you have a lot of other things that you did for yourself to round things out. Potatoes was just one of the two dozen things you grew this year.
If you specialize and only do one thing, you are trapped in having a customer base. This is fine for good times but sucks during bad times when everyone is scrambling and no one has customers.
Different strategies are needed during hard times. What Jim is trying to do is open everyone's eyes to the fact that we have reached the hard times. Your plans need to be adjusted accordingly. Do this early before everyone else and the easier it is.
Idaho Homesteader
I know I was one of those who celebrated the idea we escaped the economic collapse in 2008. Nothing has reinforced this view however, so it is time to give up on the Prepper Business As Usual.
DeleteIH, this is spot on. I'd like to add that we are doing way to much without noticing. We will probably have to downscale on that as well.
DeleteI have a problem in my inner ear that makes me tried quite quickly, so I had to cut down my activity drastically. For instance after four hours of teaching per day I am exhausted and unable to do much more, whereas a couple of years ago I could so some sewing or even just clean up the place.
Malnutrition, disease and depression may well lead to a similar situation : the few ressources you still have are just sufficient to keep yourself alive (not even necessarily clean, if for instance you have to fetch extra water for that).
The one with more ressources can do more in a day and hence accumulate more wealth and/or local importance.
It is documented that peasants were considered very lazy during the industrial revolution, but conscription also revealed many peasants were malnourished and weak.
The Zero-Skill Approach is also aimed at that sort of issue : all your solution must be so few and also so simple that a weak person can do it with as little effort as possible.
2008 bailouts and various other pretenses gave us the appearance of a stay of execution in the collapse. But it is only the appearance we are still collapsing, we are just hiding it from ourselves.
DeletePotemkin Village, eh?
Deletewellll..... Sorta. The fronts of the buildings are kept looking nice, and maybe even the customers/client areas, but the rest of the buildings and hidden infrastructure is allowed to go to pot. We don't have enough capital to fix it (energy resources labor) but we did have just enough then (2008ish) to slap on a coat of paint that looked good for a little while. The paint is chipping, and another coat would strain what we can afford and just make things look worse, as we can not afford even to do the paint right anymore.
Deleteave is correct.
Deletesoutherners were considered to be worthless and lazy but it was found that parasitic worms were endemic.
scaling your preparations to be feasible for those who are weak, ill, old is excellent idea. it will make your work easier while you are young and healthy, and make work possible after an illness or age weaken you.
i've noticed that most tools are made heavy and large, obviously for young men or amazons.
why, i don't know.
lighter tools have a wider user base.
remember, the first efficiency expert discovered that 12 pound capacity shovels got more fuel moved than the 16 pounders because men could work longer and faster with a lighter load.
it's a thought, as is the making doorways wider when you are young in case an injury requires use of a wheelchair in the house. it is painful to scrape your knuckles on door posts.
think about other small modifications like this when you are building or remodelling.
I wrote an article on planning for old age, should be posting any day now. I hadn't heard about either the parasites or the shovel study-interesting!
DeleteJJ-now that's funny-we can't afford the paint for the Potemkin Village!
DeleteMaybe a different tack on the trailer build. Instead of tearing off insides, maybe removing outside skin and installing insulation board on OUTSIDE of environment envelope would work better. Wall is good, but where you really want some extra board is on the roof. Insulate around the sides, install new cladding on that and let the roof insulation panels overlap the walls on side for extra shade.
ReplyDeleteThat is where I would start that project.
Yes, an outside envelope would work 300% better. Or more. It just seems a shame to kill the best part of the trailer which is the fireproof outer shell.
DeleteIf you install two layers of outside board, offset the seams of the panels for less place for wind to get through. Fire retardent can be added to a stucco outside finish for a pretty good fire barrier.
DeleteThinking more of your idea of gutting interior trailer finishes, an open plan does sound like a better deal. Some benches and fold against the wall counters that provide storage space below - nice ! Make a great man cave, we tend to keep things simple don't we ?
The last trailer, the couch was broken so I finally took it out along with the table. Made a raised platform for a more insulated floor and put a recliner in ( that was fun, getting it through the two foot door ). I didn't get rid of the cabnets but even so just that one thing made a much nicer living room.
Delete