how's that olduvai theory working out for you? 2 of 2

HOW’S THAT OLDUVAI THEORY WORKING OUT FOR YOU? Part 2

Perhaps I should have stated that the first step in our question ( is it probable that we only have two or three years left to prep before industrial civilization implodes from lack of energy? ) is asking yourself if you are even worried about Peak Oil.  Obviously, from the number of times I’ve harped on it, from the very beginning of my blog posting ten years ago, you know that it concerns me greatly.  But I don’t expect everyone to agree with me.  I know without a shadow of a doubt that I am correct, and have lived my life accordingly, but that is my personal hang-up.  But, do we really need Peak Oil to be very, very frightened?  Donald Trump winning the election only stopped imminent attack by the Russians.  It will do nothing to change our trajectory into oblivion, because all The Donald can do is rearrange the pieces of the shrinking pie and I‘ll give you one guess if its going to us or the 1% ( it’s going to be nice to just call The Prez, “The Donald”, rather than constantly using needed and mandatory derogatory nicknames for the last AssClown.  O’Bummer, the First Kenyan,  First Muslim, Barry The Golfer,  House Negro, White House Negro, Half-Breed, etc. ).

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Oh, and hint, 90% of all the countries assets are owned by one tenth of one percent of the population.  Anyway, even if I claim to be positive that our economic collapse is caused by the plunge in net energy available globally, the only reason that the underlying cause is important to me is because it proves the trend is impossible to reverse.  To you, just look around at the last nine years and tell me anything but doctored statistics are improving?  Since the banker bailout, the derivatives markets have increased insanely.  The behavior that caused the housing bubble to pop was doubled down on.  How can that possibly end well?  Already since 2008, many other economic players have started using alternatives to the PetroDollar and once our control of the oils payment method ends, so too does our ability to do anything-such as buy overseas oil or bail out the global banking system like last time.  Hell, just look at Detroit.  Did their bail-out do anything, other than see auto prices double as their quality plunged?  And that was orders of magnitude less convoluted or expensive than the banker bail-out.  Look how quickly our 100 Year Fracking Miracle Of Energy Independence sucked on one crack pipe of delusion too many and responded to less than $100 oil by imploding quite nicely.

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Adjusted for inflation ( 1970‘s $12 oil was about 1/4 of an ounce of gold ), $100 a barrel oil is NOT all that insane.  The fact we can’t run our economy on it should be telling you something.  All these obvious clues are saying, HELLO!!!!, how much longer can you possibly have a job to go to?  Knowing full well that it is silly to time the collapse, I still can’t imagine why that three year figure doesn’t set off your alarm.  When I read it, my reaction was to agree that it just sounded right.  And it isn’t because I’m running scared right now.  I’m in no way panicking with preps.  No reloading supplies because of the election, no extra food supplies ( until they mark down sugar for the holidays ).  No more odds and ends I never got around to getting ( the last one of those I procured was a tooth extractor.  A single size, rather than a kit, wasn’t a great deal at $16, but I couldn’t spring for near $40 for the latter.  It is another Better Than Nothing item ).  Actually, once I started saving more cash my anxiety level decreased substantially.  That chaps my ass, being a religious Assets Only kind of guy, and cash is supposed to be an accident waiting to happen, but all the chicken entrails pointed towards job loss first.  And, you need to sooth what frightens you, even if intellectually you know it is a bum deal.

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Actually, I’m amazed that with every month that goes by, we haven’t already seen more widespread collapse.  It doesn’t have to be Mad Max, just the end of jobs and your local government massively cutting services.  And then, things just staying the same.  Mad Max will follow, but I’m more concerned with all of our thin hold on our lifestyle.  One major country not delivering oil would see the above.  The oil doesn’t even need to be running out.  Just our geopolitical fortunes.  I think three years ahead with business as usual is asking a whole hell of a lot, be it from our fellow humans or the deity of our choice.  And what do you have to lose?  What possible harm can come of getting out of debt, moving out of the city, getting solar panels and better food stores ( in this case, “better” being defined as “more calories” ) and all the rest?  Inflation will make all that harder in the future anyway, and wage and hourly cuts won’t help in the slightest. 

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Returning to the original decline in energy, I most certainly can see a mere three year grace period to the end.  New figures are constantly coming out giving us a newer, better picture of the true energy situation, and it looks a heck of a lot worse than it did just a year or two ago.  We still have plenty of gross energy available, but it has decreased so substantially in net energy that it has crushed our economies and will soon usher in an era of contraction so severe and rapid that even triage will be impaired.  Remember, it’s a waterfall collapse, not a stair step one ( with humble apologies to the Druid Dude, I think your history is wrong-don’t feel bad, so was that of the commies ).  Good gravy, it isn’t like any of this is a surprise, but neither should it be all that much of a burden.  Buried wheat and junk rifles on junk land with a junk trailer is just a Rednecks Vacation Home.   If you were spending a hundred forty grand on a second home in the country, I could sympathize with your trepidation.  Going with worse case scenario, however, if done frugally, is just cheap insurance.

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