HISTORY SAYS YOU ARE HUMPED 3
I used to love the Druid Dude, but we did have a fundamental difference of opinion. He was a stinking optimist, and thought we would have a long slow collapse. I, on the other hand, being Baby Jesus’ favorite and hence blessed to always be right, knew that optimists are a cancer upon our land and should be shot, and postulated that the Waterfall Collapse ( very slow but steady downward slope followed by an unexpected sharp fall off the cliff ) was exponentially far superior in probability than his Stairstep Collapse.
And the sad part was, he was the guy who introduced me to the book Overshoot. We were reading the same bible and yet both founded a completely different religion. I was just always confused as to how he came up with a long slow collapse when the source material described yeast in a vat or reindeer on an island both overpopulating and dying off. But then, I guess I’ve always been easily confused. He looked at the US and its so far at that point forty year decline and then at Rome, and concluded long decline was normal.
But if you look at that yeast, the build up to the point where overpopulation crashed the population, it was rather slow. I can’t remember if this example was given in “Overshoot” or by another writer, but take a football stadium. Start with a small amount of rain, then keep doubling that amount. It took all day for the stadium to be half full. At 11:59pm, one minute to midnight, the stadium was now half full of water. But since this was an exponential growth ( you have four kids, your eight grandkids have 16 kids, etc. ), from 11:59 to 12:00, the stadium is “suddenly” filled.
This was the point Malthus was trying to make. Food never increases as fast as population. Why should he be blamed for studying models suddenly made TEMPORARILY obsolete when finite fossil fuels were starting to be turned into food? I say to all Malthus haters out there, hump you. Unless you are lucky enough to be old, you will experience first hand how wrong your dumb ass optimistic assumptions are. Did I mention I’m not the world’s biggest fan of optimists? It doesn’t matter how low our birth rates drop ( always excluding Africa, naturally ), that doesn’t validate hope.
When you are at several dozen times the carrying capacity of the planet, even if suddenly we all stopped breeding ( yeah! ), if the energy being turned into food drops at the same time, we run out of energy before we run out of extra people. Math B Hard, yo! Before, all through history prior to the Carbon Fuel Age, collapse was slower because energy availability was steady. You couldn’t overpopulate fast enough, as there wasn’t surplus food. If you missed biology class, a fetus needs extra calories, as does a nursing infant.
Yet, this obvious point isn’t so obvious. In a land where a Movie Night snack can equal or exceed the normal amount of food a manual laborer used to receive all day, we are completely blind to our surplus of calories from petroleum input corn. When a fish is surrounded by water, it cannot conceive of a desert. At all. It defies comprehension. We are the same. We are clueless about the normal state of affairs, which is food scarcity. Since modern man became smarter than a feces flinging chimp, millenniums ago, food scarcity was the norm.
And while it would be super deluxe peachy to NEVER go back to that, only in a land of Forever Fracking is that possible. And, newsflash Supreme Dumbass Overlord Of The Universe, fracking ain’t going to feed seven billion people, and certainly not close to forever. Am I the only one paying attention here? Food First. Certainly not FLIR First. Oil Age Food meant that our population numbers literally exploded. Because oil made food. Okay, technically natural gas makes food, but there is a lot of oil infrastructure built in there. It takes a LOT of steel and power to make artificial fertilizer.
And, I’m sure we all forget, it doesn’t take the END of oil to starve those seven billion, it only takes enough of a decrease in the supply. Decrease-you know, that state of affairs ongoing since 2005 as measured by net energy or BTU’s delivered. And, even triaging Africa and a huge chunk of the middle east, we are STILL losing ground on energy supply. AND, I hasten to add, there is absolutely ZERO reason to believe that Americans have a birthright to live. No, I didn’t say “to live in luxury”. I said, “live, period”.
ALL governments, societies and individuals seek low hanging fruit first. The easiest target to triage was Africa, because quite frankly, Africa never mattered. I don’t mean this as racially derogatory. I mean that throughout history, the continent has usually been left to its own devices, in the large scheme of things. The next area to be triaged, and no Spanky you incredibly large moron it had nothing to do with democracy, was the middle east. For the simple fact that there is no reason to actually have any population in a desert if you have to completely support them.
What area is next, to conserve the oil supply? How about the juiciest target, using something like 25% of the global supply while only producing one eighth? You think austerity measures in Greece were bad ( the German Muzzies needed to be supported before Zorbo ), just wait until they hit the US. In resource contraction, resources are controlled by the strongest. One million PC Brigade Princess Barbie troops using back door computer chips from China are NOT going to retain control of the globes oil supply. It takes a mere financial calamity to stop one half of our domestic oil supply, overnight.
After that, fuzzy foreigners can withhold imports which are a minimum of half our usage. We only think we will always have oil because we used to. Rut Ro, Scooby. See how easy it was to starve out a superpower? The only variable is avoiding nuclear retaliation. We don’t need Yellowstone exploding to starve us out. It just takes the spice to stop flowing. Now, tell me why that should take 100 years to unfold.
( .Y. )
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I tend to think that your scenario is correct. Most of the finical folks mention how much the fiat currency requires faith and when that goes it will go quick. Back in the bread basket most of the land has been denuded of life because of the artificial fertilizers. They now get 220 bushels of corn an acre and back in my youth if you get over 100 hat was exceptional! All related to nat gas derived fertilizers.ReplyDelete
I didn't realize the fertilizers did that extensive of damage. Or that you were so damn old :)Delete
"africa...the continent has usually been left to its own devices..."ReplyDelete
Sounds like my kinda place.
Unfortunately it is populated with wild assed animals everywhere.
And while I do like to shoot guns I don't think I have enough ammo to live there. Besides, I heard it gets real hot there and that is bothersome. When it's cold you can move around and warm up but when it's miserable hot all you can do is....be miserable.
Africa seems to have culturally adopted overpopulation as a survival strategy ( when there are millions of insects in one place, you can't kill close to all of them ). Which means it is constant fighting and genocide and etc. I'd worry more about hostile neighbors than the weather. Although some places I can't see how anyone lives there with the higher than normal heat index. You can't even sit there and not be miserable with that humidity. And the diseases!Delete
Yeah, I was mainly referring to the 2 legged animals. They'll cut your head off with a piece of rusty fender and suck the memories out of the neck hole. jeez...can't go to heaven without memories!!!Delete
The big animals, with 4 legs, well, you just shoot a little animal and the big ones get a free mean, meanwhile you get away. Out on the Serengheti you can see for a long ways. That's when that 50X glass shows it's value. And of course that FLIR would spotlight them hyenas at night time.
Roast Hyena flanks with gravy. nom nom nom
Rhodesia and south africa were for a time conquered wildlands and a near paradise. Jimmy carter and u.n. screwed it up, the rest is history. What was once "your america" is next, plan in progress and on schedule.Delete
GS-well, damn, why didn't you say so before. If I knew FLIR scopes were THAT handy...:)Delete
9:44-what? The UN screwed up something it touched? Shocking! Well, diversity is our strength, along with Gore Warming.
Africa. Now that's a place that ticks me off. It's huge, I mean it's absolutely huge. It is also incredibly wealthy in the traditional sense. That being, it has abundant natural resources, fertile soils and suitable weather.Delete
Africa *should* be sending the West aid.
part one of ?
I was going to write a big long scribe but decided against it. Long story short. Rhodesia was thrown to the wolves by moral cowards. Despite winning every battle against terrorists who were backed by the Soviets and another group of terrorists backed by China. Despite all that Rhodesia lost due to the new rules of warfare in the 4th Gen era. Once the bread basket of Africa the now Zimbabwe is yet another basket case.
South Africa. Did you know South Africa had a space program? They also were a nuclear power.
Europeans arrived in what is now South Africa the same time as the Zulu. The Zulu carried out a genocide against the bush tribes there so all that remained were European settlers and Zulu. Both there at the same time....
Anyway before I go off writing a big bunch of nonsense. White SAFA were concerned about being genocided if they gave up power. Western democracies (having no real experience) assured them they wouldn't allow it & if worse came to worse all white SAFA would be given assylum.
So the whites dismantled the nukes & handed over the country. Now they're being killed western democracies AGAIN broke their word. I also read that one or two of the nukes were unaccounted for. So who knows where they are?
Forgot to say previously. When the Colony of Rhodesia was negotiating with the British the British were forever breaking their promises whilst Rhodesia held theirs.
Man we're in such a messed up world
Relying on Britain-what fools! Those guys have a terrible track record. But they get rightous against the Irish. The US pinky promised Russia we would never move in on the CommBlock nations, keeping them as a buffer. Immediately we lied and now have missiles right up to their borders. Claiming Polish missiles are to use against Iran. And we expect everyone to believe that crap. I don't understand why SA gave up "going it alone". They were embargoed for a long time and stayed self-sufficient. So, really, I'd almost want to question if the White gov screwed its people long before everyone else did.Delete
"I'd almost want to question if the White gov screwed its people long before everyone else did."Delete
George Carlin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKUaqFzZLxU
"the big club" never gets old.Delete
Solid work Jim. As a current events example of sissy society fragility, France is all ground to a halt from protests over just higher fuel costs. Not even factoring any actual loss of availability or stoppage. MERIKANS will be having screaming birthing pains over any disruptions to supplies, prices, or interfering with their entitled lard ass mobile lifestyles. The holiday grocery circulars are rife with unnutritious franken foods that require gross amounts of resource pipelines to harvest, make, ship, serve up to the gluttony family table. Use chalkboard math to tally that all up in one column. The other side use as a scratch sheet formula for the corresponding body count displacement when removing corresponding units. Again finite numbers, data in, data out. (die off is the equilibrium tool of nature)ReplyDelete
Right, nothing else says "bad choices" quite like a good cleansing die-off.Delete
7 minute video illustrating some dude throwing and sticking into a target, a variety of different items, with good success. Seems like it would be a good post apocalypse skill. Heck, it probably wouldn’t even be a bad pre-collapse skill, since I can think of a more than a few people that I wouldn’t mind skewering :DReplyDelete
At first I thought he was a camel jockey, but it turns out that he’s a Czech. What a convenient skill. If your wife or girlfriend ends up pregnant, you just shoot one of those spikes right through her womb. You know what they call an abortion where he’s from right? :D
BEST Beginner Throwing Knives/Tools
He was having WAY too much fun. Reminds me of the KGB guy.Delete
Thought you might like this; a girl after your own heart. Who knows, you might even attend the same synagogue :DReplyDelete
“Becoming a Budget Babe’
This 29-Year-Old Makes Up to $2,000 a Month Selling T-shirts Online.
As the owner of a website called Saving with Spunk, Smith is well-acquainted with a frugal lifestyle. She and her husband, Travis, recently paid off nearly $78,000 of debt in less than two years, which they achieved by working side gigs, reducing their utility bills, meal planning and driving old cars, among other methods. (She even got her engagement ring from a pawn shop.)”
Hmmm. Passive income. The next BitCoin.Delete