HISTORY SAYS YOU ARE HUMPED 2
Today, looking into the future, using the basic course of historical trends. No one of course can see the future. But we both know what the future ISN’T ( it isn’t a straight line but waves, ebbs and surges ) and what it will be ( same as it always is ). So, to expect never ending advancement, or even decline, is retarded. Ebb and flow, yo. And you can’t say we have advanced too far to revert to historical negative norms. Gawd Bless America, I detest humpers who claim we are too smart for war or slavery or objectifying women.
What planet are these morons from? War is just competition, Darwin selection. It isn’t good, or bad. It just IS who we are and what we do. Slavery will never end as long as someone wants surplus energy to gain power or money. Which is, like, duh, everyone. Remember when I told you a free slave won in war is equal to a bare minimum of two tons of wheat ( the food you don’t need to raise a child who becomes a warrior )? And objectifying women?
Women LOVE to be objectified. They base their worthiness and suitability at being provided for by their appearance. Hell, if I was trying to attract a Sugar Momma, my hair would be even MORE spectacular, you bet! To return to point, there is no reason we WON’T return to the age old ways of doing business. If we don’t, another group does, we perish in the conflict over resources, and then only those who DO are left. Ideology NEVER trumps biology. Only fat stupid pig faced brain dead public school morons can ever think that it does. I say onto you, verily, and die already.
So, we know we cannot stay at Excess Energy. Hell, we are DOWN excess energy from 90 years ago by 87%. That is WITH Saudi oil and fracking oil. I mean, good lord almighty riding by in a clown car, how much more oblivious can you get, not in complete awe and wonderment we haven’t ALREADY crashed and burned. And just as stock performance is NOT an indicator of future returns, past success stories of kicking the can down the road certainly do NOT mean we can keep doing so. In fact, stop looking at success and look at our failures.
We have FAILED to retain 87% of the energy we used to have. And yet, because I’m all about being an optimist and looking at the bright side, look at where we are going. 13% of an oil age energy level is still exponentially far greater than the energy we will have very, very shortly. Just think of the wood that would have to be burned to generate the electricity needed to recharge your smart phone, and compare that to your overpriced $30 solar panel charging it. That is your level of energy decline to expect and bank on.
As humans, we overexploit the environment until the ecosystem collapses. That is how we roll. Nature experiences ebbs and flows. Humans engineer their environment to experience Seneca Cliff spikes. If you expect ANYTHING different you are delusional. Plan accordingly. Even cannibalism, prostituting yourself to the Strong Man, or a Guns Only Prepper is all still at least a plan, far better than any Wishful Thinking Delusional Plan you might be harboring. Prepping is NOT about MRE’s and FLIR scopes. It is about understanding threats and planning accordingly. Collapse is not a buzzword. It is a process.
So, the future is not about decline. It is about collapse. But remember, WHAT kind of collapse is an important question. Even a partial collapse is pretty humping scary, if you are part of the 30% or 50% of fatalities. Especially since partial die-off casualty figures are ONLY averages. When the indigs were wiped out by smallpox, or the Europeans by Black Plague, the INITIAL fatality rate was 80-90%. The last years of the disease had a rate of “only” 10%, after a period of built up immunity. The average was far lower than the peak casualty rate.
It isn’t the average you should be afraid of, but the INITIAL. The initial figures mirror die-off levels. And that is a BEST case collapse. The worst case approaches bottleneck extinction level rates. That study on the reindeer population on that island? The island full of vegetation, which then had reindeer introduced, saw the deer population explode. Then they all died off. To the last one. That is the oil age, my beautiful friend. We won’t go extinct. Because we ARE violent and greedy and horny social animals ( we will instinctively help the helpless survive, for community ), the species will survive.
But going extinct and a 99.999% die-off are two different things. And, while I could talk about that for an unending number of articles, I have once again veered into WHY we will collapse instead of staying focused on HOW. It is our job as potential survivors to anticipate and plan on the process of collapse. You can bet it will be fast. Not as in “overnight collapse” so wished for by Credit Card Preppers, but as in once it starts, it will be weeks and months long, not years or decades long. The system is far too centralized and fragile.
Being fast ( and , granted, probably not as fast as my forecasted 30 days-but not too much slower, either ) means it will be FAR more deadly than you can imagine. You simply do not have any clue. You cannot. Your whole world view is rose color glasses tinted from constant dizzying levels of surplus, which from your perspective has lasted forever. Try to imagine a prison, where the warden just announced an EMP has knocked out the power and there is NO resupply ship coming to your barren island surrounded by shark infested waters.
Sure, some of the idiots will deny this could have happened. But I think the majority would, even if slowly through drug addled brains, figure out this was an All Or Nothing immediate fight to the death, to survive. This is our civilized society. An oasis surrounded by locked bars. Without fuel the food cannot get in. WE cannot grow the food, locally, as most local food production was long ago moved far away and centralized and fed by overseas oil, as we turned fields into suburbs. There will be enough brighter bulbs with surely attitudes who realize this.
Then, the crowds of idiots will glom on to this fact. And the prison riot begins. Being caged ( good luck driving away as quick as roads can get clogged ), and in fear, the fighting will go Full Ferocious and quite deadly, fast. You don’t have enough ammunition. And you can’t fight a fire with ammo, nor can you hose down the woods enough to get a sniper. Crowds kill, and not just at a ‘70’s Who concert. I’m rather pissed at ‘Ol Remus, as his “stay away from crowds” Uber Wisdom assures him a place in immortality. Bastard.
( as an aside, watch the movie The Mist. Not as good as the book, but the scene inside the grocery store should closely mimic my prison analogy. Follow the quick rationalizing which is the prelude to population reduction and resource control ). Well, I could stop here. But I won’t. Continued tomorrow.
( .Y. )
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Yes, correct Jim. Going to be some humping come collapse time. Many non-Minions will need to stock up on some butt salve for all the humping they will be getting from the collapse demons. You are right about a 30 day window of fast and furious collapse to nose dive this sucker down. I am of a plan strategy of a 90 day hunker bunker period, avoiding even sunlight if possible. As scatter assed as society is, it will easily be another 90 days to half a year after dust settles until people that remain can get regrouped and start upon a restoration and rebuild plan. But the holiday commercials on t.v. are up and running so not this season of any changes, yet, I wonder?ReplyDelete
I might be taking you too literally, but from my experience going without sunlight blows. Almost instant cabin fever. Just saying. Even overcast is better than nothing instead of being denied a view outside. Think of the mental effect on six/seven day a week workers arriving and leaving during dark and working without windows.ReplyDelete
Just a euphemism. American vernacular always trips up those foreign students as well. Maybe I will shift my position with the moving sun rays shining through the gun port if my pill box position. But the lizard plan still stands.Delete
Okay. I should have known I was the only bonehead to build underground without sufficient windows ( even taking the finances into consideration, I was still a bonehead )Delete
One of those solar tube sky lights with rocks or some such concealing the ground level port. Gives light for functioning and reference point in lieu of a sundial in a total neanderthal period post collapse. Not a bone head Jim, as it is all just training for the big game, next week.Delete
Lol , one of the many items I've got stashed away are two 24" square by three inche thick worth of bullet proof window panes. Be great for the BPOD eh...Delete
Speaking of collapse...Akarts new book "Liars" is now out on unlimited. I'm well into it currently. Plot line is today's divisive politcal climate and the start of civil war duece because of anger in the populace. Homegrown terrorism comng from both ends...so far, it is pretty much a believable scenario.
On the Humbolt river...at the headwaters of the stream , there is an Earth filled dam of moderate size. Question. What happens once said spillway of this dam ...is no longer maintained and functional...failure !
How much above the river are you ?
Might need at least thirty feet or so. Maybe more...
I've only read about it, never actually done it.Delete
Low / no cost lighting consists of a clear soda bottle filled with water. cut a hole in the ceiling and put the bottle of water in upside down. (I trust I don't have to tell anyone to put the lid on the bottle). Light is refracted into the dark area at no cost!
Oops..? I meant Bobby Adair...damn oldtimersDelete
Spud-thanks for the book suggestion. If you like historical fiction or alternate history, check out Willian Stroock. Just read one on the Germans winning WWI which changed the 20th century. I liked how he focused more on the characters instead of a gods eye view of events like most do. River dam. I have area detailed maps, which I need to consult. I had no idea there was a dam. I'm not worried about flooding. A few years ago during one, all the water flowed to the south part of town, and I'm north a quarter of the way up the gentle slope.Delete
Dingo-I've heard of the bottle method, and I do keep it in mind. I wouldn't mind spending extra for far more light, but in case of extra poverty it is a nice back up plan.
It's not a real big dam at least. I remember driving past going from Elko to Idaho. Pretty sure it's on your side of the mountain before going down the canyon into Duck Valley Indian Reservation. I could be not remembering correctly tho, been a long time since going that way.Delete
Yeah, I need to check into that better. I keep forgetting the north fork heads north, then west. I keep visualizing that as the Owayee River. The very reason I bought the gazetteer in the first place and I haven't studied it enough.Delete
Looked up "The Mist", never heard of it before, I gotta see that!ReplyDelete
Well this was one of the starkest posts you have ever written and I don't know whether to thank you or admonish you. Since I always require bad news faster than good news, I'll thank you. I guess.
What can you say? The problem overall is resource depletion caused by over population, exploitation, and waste. The solution is to reduce the population, there is no other way. Along with the tremendous reduction of the people will be the loss of all that goes with it, convenience, efficiency, resources.
I got work to do but now I have to think about this stuff too.
I was born 100 years too late. Maybe 200.
Your enthusiasm thanking me is hilarious! :) Okay, "The Mist" is a novella in "Skeleton Crew". It is Kings ONLY good apocalyptic story. The Stand? Peshaw! Drivel. Mist is the only one that painted such a realistically gloomy picture. They didn't do bad on the movie adaptation ( don't watch the TV adaptation, from what I hear ). It is actually a lot closer than many of his movies. So, as grim and horrifying as the movie is, the book was actually better. They changed the ending, which King actually thought was better than his. I'm actually thinking of getting the DVD, even after watching twice. I've read the book at least a half dozen times.Delete
Good. Think gloom. Everything that is a Minion's worst case scenario, is actually a candy ass parade. Think and dream of black unicorns impaling you to death. Ghost Sniper has an appropriate summary, too many people, no way around the fact of the numbers. We are talking billions globally and an unknown multiples of too many million in 'conus', and still arriving, daily. Can't flush those numbers fast enough without backing up the plumbing. WOW!Delete
Never was a big fan of King, always thought he wrote "scary" stuff and that's not my bag. Then in 1991 (I think) my wife bought me the Dark Tower trilogy. I consumed all 3 books end to end without stopping and wanted more. More would not come soon. About 1994, working real late one night and listening to talk radio in the background an interview was done with King and the Dark Tower was never mentioned. Toward the end of the interview they had an open caller spot and I called, I actually talked to King. I asked him when he was gonna do the next Dark Tower book. He sighed and said, "Roland takes me to a different place. A place I am loathe to go but when there am loathe to leave. I believe the next book will be done in the next year or so." It was a few more years until book 4 was released and like all creative ventures you have to strike when the iron is hot and ride it til it crashes for if you take a break midstream all will be lost. I read the first couple chapters of book 4 and that was all I could stand. I will never see the movie because the central character, a white dood, was changed to a negro. If you have read the books, but not seen the movie, you will be stymied as to how that can work. I'll try the Mist movie as soon as possible. Thank you.Delete
Just remembered, the King interview was listened to on a clock radio that had a cassette recorder in it and I recorded my conversation with King. I no longer own a cassette player.
4:57-"Everything that is a Minion's worst case scenario, is actually a candy ass parade." Damn, you're spot on with dat, homey. Love it! Depressing but so true. Jesus! That means I'm an Optimistic Ollie. FUDGE! I hate that!Delete
GS-I initially also ignored King, hating horror. I don't know which book I read that showed what a great suspense and character writer he was, but I went back and read most of his horror and enjoyed it for what he did best. Never read the Dark Tower series, but own them all. I have a butt ton of those kinds of collections ( Narnia, Dune, even-gag-Harry Potter ). Got them super cheap and they await no-grid retirement when I'm crippled and bored. Or, whatever/whenever. From what most folks say, Dune is like you describe Book 4+ of Dark Tower. Nice to know not to get my hopes up, so thank YOU.
"The Mist" movie is awesome. One of my favourites. Needful things is also great.Delete
That being said King is a deviate of the highest grade. In his book "IT" he has as an important plot point an under age gangbang. When called out on it he thinks it's ludicrous that he can write about children being murdered but not about 4 boys shagging one girl.
Just remembered something. Don't remember what year it was, early 00's maybe, King released online the very first ebook available only online and I downloaded it. I think it was titled, "Riding the Bullet". It was short, less than 100 pages I think, and a fairly decent read. I don't remember the format but I may still have it in my archives.Delete
Looked it up. They made a movie of it in 2004.
Riding the Bullet is a horror novella by American writer Stephen King. This work marked King's debut on the Internet. Simon & Schuster, with technology by SoftLock, first published Riding the Bullet in 2000 as the world's first mass-market e-book, available for download at $2.50. That year, the novella was nominated for the Bram Stoker Award for Superior Achievement in Long Fiction and the International Horror Guild Award for Best Long Form. In 2002, the novella was included in King's collection Everything's Eventual.
Dingo-I think Kind has a point. The saying "old enough to bleed..." should not be looked upon the same way as underage molestation. We are so hung up on this stuff, thinking a teacher/student relationship is rape when the student is a male. Or that a 17 year old girl is now raped when her boyfriend turns 18 before her. Or that no proof is needed on accusation. Not excusing pedophilia, just saying our definitions of deviants is off. We excuse butt pirates but not consensual statatory rape. I am NOT attracted to younger women. Never have been. Looking at girls in their twenties, my daughters age, does nothing for me. Just that applying hysteria to the law is simply condoning witch hunts. Or lynch mobs. Part and parcel with that is trying to pressure against any fictional depiction.Delete
GS-yeah, I remember the event rather well ( don't recall details-price or year-but the hoopla ). I was in a poor period and didn't even think about buying the book. Hell, I wasn't even buying thrift store books then, just going to the library.
My wife and I are huge fans of King's work, but just like with any "artist", not everything is golden. FWIW, I LOVE the Dark Tower series and have read the entire 7 volumes 3 times, my wife thought "m'eh..." and once was enough for her. To each their own. The movie version was the worst SK adaptation of them all ( and most of them suck),Delete
but it was because it had nearly nothing in common with the actual book(s). It may have been inspired by the Dark Tower but it sure wasnt based on it. Its seems King really whored himself out on that one. I hope hes embarrassed by that film, he should be. Personally I cant stand sci-fi books but obviously millions of people do. Im just thankful there is so much out there to choose from, if only there was more time to read!
Terrible King movies started near the very beginning ( downhill from Carrie ). It seems his attitude at the start was that he didn't care too much. And he certainly hasn't needed the movie for decades now. I've stopped reading him. After the last trilogy the next one out seemed to be written by the co-author rather than him. I want to leave the guy on a high note, not watch him join Hilary in the Alzheimer's Auxillaries.Delete
-"Everything that is a Minion's worst case scenario, is actually a candy ass parade." Damn, you're spot on with dat, homey. Love it! Depressing but so true. Jesus! That means I'm an Optimistic Ollie. FUDGE! I hate that!ReplyDelete
If you are an optimist then 99.9% of us are screwed LOL. I still believe that we will see a decades long collapse. A few years in it will be awful but that will just be the start. Most people forget that during the cocaine cowboy days of Miami there were areas of Dade Co. where the LEO's just backed out of. I think that we will see places that are under Military type rule with National Guard and other Defense groups ruling with out benefit of
any legal recourse for the "citizens". but also gang controlled areas. Do what your told or get shot by either group.
Even out local LEO's are being turned into military police. Just heard that a little town near me (10,000 pop.) is getting SWAT type vehicles. Really??? Why do they need those??
I think small towns need armored SWAT vehicles because the FedGov needs to get rid of military surplus they don't want to maintain.Delete
Wheeled armored vehicle like MRAP (14tons?) are VERY EXPENSIVE to operate, and even expensive to maintain when hardly ever run. You can slightly reduce the cost of operating the vehicles by having a yard full of incomplete/imperfect inop vehicles to steal parts from, but mostly you just get a few more years of fewer and fewer running trucks. It's how Iran kept a few F16's occasionally flying when we cut off spares.Delete
If your municipality is offered any federal gear more complex than individual equipment, REFUSE IT. Take the firearms, cases of C-4, night vision/FLIR, ammo, body armor, radios, uniforms, MOPP gear, security cameras, etc. and get them in the hands of trained volunteers who you can trust. Take the C-4 and ammo to a deep-six secured place, natch'.
I wonder how many local gov's take the vehicles anyway, knowing they won't use it but knowing it will keep the other goodies flowing.Delete