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Thursday, March 5, 2020

four storage plan book 4


FOUR STORAGE PLAN BOOK 4
Chapter One
Priorities ( continued )
A grain heavy diet is not only traditional ( although not healthy ) but right now it is very inexpensive. It won't be for long, because one day, finally, after the freeze dried is three months out on projected availability and crops are failing everywhere, again ( the Green Revolution barely beat the coming famines in India, Mexico, Africa, probably China and etcetera. And we had a very scary GLOBAL drought a decades ago. Birth rates have declined. They have not declined enough to match oil depletion. Oil IS food ), the hoarding will begin.
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Right now preppers think very highly of themselves. They look in the mirror at that sad wrinkled face, older age delivering man boobs ( for the females, punching bag boobs ), a life of corporate servitude producing the vacant soulless eyes that stare back at them and think, yeah, at least I was smart enough to prepare for a hurricane although Jim tried to warn me about a civilization collapse and I didn't listen but at least I'm more special than the proletariat who prepared not at all. But guess what? Eventually the masses DO catch up to our way of thinking ( which is no more magical than the biblical seven years of plenty ).
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I mean, come on! God himself said, ah, duh, how about seven years of wheat stored up there, chief? It is like trying to claim responsibility for thinking cheating on your spouse was a bad idea. No, God said that ( you know I'm not religious. If you aren't, just think of it as age old cultural dictates so successful ALL societies follow them ). You didn't have an original thought on your own. Jesus, you can't even follow a dinner menu past seven items.
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This isn't the running bear fable. Yes, you are smarter than the bear, and just run faster than your friend. That is being smart. However! You must be smarter than your friend. You must anticipate your friend wanting to be faster than YOU. So, you plan on not just running faster than your buddy, but also hitting him on the side of the knee with a stick so he is momentarily crippled enough that it is guaranteed he cannot outrun you. This is what you must do for the coming die-off, be smarter than everyone else.
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You cannot just be prepared with food. Anyone can do that, solving a problem with money. And a lot of people will have more money than you. In a financial fight over food, you might lose. Just like you might not outdistance your buddy. You need to cheat, to assure YOU are the one outrunning the bear. The only way to do that ( very few of us can become farmers, and ever if we can, time is REALLY running out. It is THE preferred strategy, but you waited too long. And, frankly, farmers need food storage as well. As oil transport fails, your risks of crop failures increase ) is frugal stockpiling.
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Grain is the only way to do that. I strongly suggest wheat. It is only up 25% ( from the lowest price to begin with ), whereas rice is up 40% and beans are up 50%. Your mileage may vary, and this is not the place to argue as I normally would be inclined to do ( just stock what you already eat. You get hungry enough, it won't matter. BUT! Eating familiar food is far preferable, less stress at a time stress could kill ). The point is, get grain. Get a LOT of grain. Calories are the FIRST thing you do. Not luxury, not preference, not what you want but what you can afford.
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Calories are needed, and you need far more than a month, or six months, or a year. You start out at three years, and five is better. You should shoot for seven. There is a LOT of severe decline to get through before we even see the die-off, and you'll need to eat that whole time. Then, you'll always need a stockpile because of crop failures returning to the norm. Right now, oil allows so much extra food that local failures rarely matter. There is surplus elsewhere. Without oil, you WILL see an exponential drop in production.
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No, organic and permaculture will NOT exempt you from that. Because you will not have oil to truck in soil inputs, and your neighbors will no longer be eating from oil, so they compete with you for local soil inputs. No soil survives without more inputs than outputs. Ten thousand years of history prove it, and civilizations rise and fall on it. Everyone should have grain stockpiles. And only a few believe that. But it is simply amazing how imminent starvation focuses the otherwise flabby and unfocused mind. The masses will soon enough figure out Food First.
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You need to be there, preparations complete, before they do wake up. So to be swift, you must be frugal. And grains are the measure of frugal calories. 1500 calories a day will keep you alive and healthy. Perhaps not very productive, but that is a secondary concern right now. First, you plan on staying alive. Until that is complete, no treats for you. NONE. Put on your Big Boy pants, suck it up buttercup, and buy the nasty crappy food. When that is your ONLY food, you will be damn Skippy thankful for it. Squirrels and weeds will NOT keep you alive if there is any competition for them.
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In case you are still confused, COLLAPSE Plan first. You can get that initial one to three months white food first, just to keep yourself from panicking. But as far as serious budgeting, serious investment money, Collapse Plan gets first priority. BUDGET Plan is second, because that is what is going to finance the other two plans ( there is no hope with the Collapse Plan. That money simply must be found or pilfered, diverted or re-prioritized ). And you need to finance that INFLATION Plan. That is the third priority. Because inflation is baked into the cake.
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BUT! System failure can short circuit inflation. That is why COLLAPSE Plan is FIRST. Number One. Uno. Don't confuse probable ( inflation ) with guaranteed ( system collapse ). It took coal and industry and colonization to support one billion people. It takes oil to support seven billion. There is no way around that. And Peak Oil was 2005. Yes, fracking oil is marginally useful ( mostly for the bankers ). But the NET energy is so low its increased volume does NOT replace the lost conventional petroleum. And conventional oil is starting to decline in significant numbers.
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Worse, the economy doesn't last as long as the oil. Our systems start failing not too far into receiving Not Enough Oil. For instance, the military is not failing from poor leadership. The leadership of WWII was no smarter than the politically appointed generals of the Soviet Union. They just Human Wave Assaulted. The military is failing along with the industry that made that dumb leadership successful despite themselves. The financial system is failing, despite record breaking profits, because the systems it supports don't have enough energy to be themselves successful. Bankers are parasites, not producers. You need enough surplus to support a parasite.
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So, yes, guaranteed failure of all our systems. You think you might want to actually beat the Soon To Fail food production system, by buying oil produced food, while you can? Historically, in a market economy, food typically cost about half your wages. Right now, you can take half your monthly wages and buy not one months food, but five YEARS worth. This is a one off opportunity. Do not squander it.
( .Y. )
( today's related Amazon link click HERE )
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27 comments:

  1. Writing a helpful blog and Amazon comments promoting the Columbian grinder are not behaviors akin to hitting your friends with sticks. Where I live you have to discover your own fishing holes, find wheat farmers, and other means of staying alive when that time comes. And we wonder why your typical God fearing unsuspecting civ nat will easily surrender to the government’s promises to keep you alive as long as you submit to its dictates. Here’s a big middle finger to PEOPLE on this beautiful day in paradise,��and to smug know it alls who condescendingly correct the blog owner’s word usage.

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    1. But there aren't any bears around right now, are there? LOL

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    2. Oh ouch! Jim...Jim, stop the mean man.
      Lulz!

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  2. Correct. As of note, if an examination of these johnny come lately pandemic shoppers is done they are just simply onesy twosy bundles of shit paper and bottled water buyers, amateurs all around. These turkeys will barely surpass a one month quarantine, embargo, seige etc. Add in their marshmallow physical condition and deer in the headlights thinking will result in speedy spicy times and die offs. The bucket sized buying preppers are also lame and under achievers. Scaling up to IBC tote sized or cardboarded cubes on pallets like gross produce shipments is the new cool kids methods. Having that morning beebing sound of a back up signal on a forklift and tractor trailer offloading industrial sized units of grains, etc at your compound is the mark of a true professional. Hhmmm? Maybe just get one of those belly dump trucks straight from the grain silos to pour-feed it down a chute into your grain bunker infrastructure engineered aside the B-POD residential module. Now you can claim to be "prepped" then. Winning.

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    1. Yes. Maybe a cylindrical ferro cement concoction with chutes and loading auger equipment akin to the egyptian temple graineries as depicted in Moses movie. (Painted nifty with Bisonia Empire logos as well.

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    2. I wonder how much of the Wyoming flag I should steal for the Bisonia logo

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    3. Front on profile of that gracious animal. Big pissed male bull in a froth with wide death eyes. Yep. Great idea Jim, write up logo, trade marking, put a design into commercial use, set up global conglomerate of Bisonia swag. If cabbage patch kids can make somebody rich, anything can catch fire these days.

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    4. Buckets re easier to move by hand though. I am not at 7 years but have a couple and can produce more. I do plan on a getting about a 1/2 ton more wheat. ASAP

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    5. Dammit, man, I can't outsource to China any more. No swag for me!
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      Nightshift-even if you tap your heels together three times and we return to BAU, it can never hurt to have more wheat. Lasts longer than freeze dried, can be passed down.

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  3. Jim, IMHO, the best way to track wheat production and potential supply issues, is by watching the futures market. This price will be the first to react to any sort of supply/demand event. Wheat is almost 50% lower today than at the recent peak in 2012. (519 today vs. 940 in '12) At this point the futures market is not pricing in any substantial move through March 2022.

    The symbol for wheat futures is /ZW.

    https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/agricultural/grain-and-oilseed/wheat_quotes_globex.html

    Thank you

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    1. The only reason I can think of that Pakistan isn't buying from us is that they went off the PetroDollar and we are punishing them. With the Canadian supply issue ( substandard stunted growth ) and Paki locusts, why isn't wheat higher? Is the futures markets that controlled by JP Morgan and Goldman Saks?

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    2. I don't know who controls what or why. I just know what the price is. And as of today, you can buy all you want through March'22 for under $5.50/bushel.

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  4. Free book, pdf from Survival Mom and others:

    BEYOND COLLAPSE by Joseph Miller.
    It's chatty, but if it includes one deal-maker...

    *****

    Ice Age Farmer has a March fifth YouTube video of the Los Angeles port.
    He drives a semi pulling a shipping container ('cans') toter.
    Instead of mountains of cans, he sees barely enough to supply one Super Wal*Mart for a busy weekend.

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    1. Appreciate both heads up. I was going to write off Ice Age Farmer, as I bought his BS and now feel foolish, but I guess I should tamper down my ego.

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    2. I like Ice Age Farmer. The historical records of solar output, temperatures on earth, and agricultural output are accurate. We are in the beginning of a solar minimum.

      The solar trends are there and baked in the cake, the same way systemic collapse of our economy is baked in the cake.

      After I watch Ice Age Farmer, I always want to buy more wheat. He may make mistakes in the small picture, but in the big picture he is right. He has my respect.

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    3. Plenty of YouTubers I used to hate that have gotten a lot better. I'll try him again.

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  5. NO the bears aren't out yet, still 2 ft. snow in the great white north. groundhogs not up yet either,they will dig out thru the snow tho.nobody panic buying either YET. but being 400 miles away from BIG city does have it's advantages.DAN

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    1. The glory of being rural. We hit 52 today-surprised the heck out of me.

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  6. Update on Mr. Patel's 'cousin' (Mr. Gurgar) inventory. Total rice down about 30-40%. 40lb sacks of Basmati stripped from shelves but 10 or so replacements on floor not yet shelved. Even the smaller sacks of pricier Jasmine rice sold a lot.
    Surprisingly the 10lb sacks of various specialty flours for Indian breads probably 60% gone. That is about 10-12 feet of shelving.
    Aisle with legumes had been noticeably picked. Previous visit every shelf slot was jammed full. Again, the larger bags more heavily hit. Still quite a bit of legumes left though.
    I took a peek in small adjoining room that has 'halal' meat case and storage. There were 3 empty pallets or about half the floor space.
    They were restocking the 50 lb onion sacks and 20 lb(?)shallots while I was there.
    Noticeably less stuff on floors but then prior visit was at end of month so maybe standard restock day.

    Next stop was Aldi. Previously full cardboard box (4×4×4 ?) of rice was down 70%. Just in a week. Package size is 5 lb (iirc). Toliet paper down to about 40% of shelf capacity. Canned tuna, beanie weenies, and some canned soups had little left on shelves. The slots for large bottles/jugs of cooking oil almost empty. I was surprised to see that when other more convenient items not hit as hard.
    Store has standard 6 gals of milk limit but today was 2 gallon limit. Never seem that, but I can't imagine folks are trying to store milk. Must be a production hiccup
    Plenty of butter and frozen foods still left. 4 lb sugar @$1.22 and white flour in plentiful supply.

    Stopped into a 'down mkt' store that caters heavily to Hispanics. About 70 store chain statewide. Big enough chain to have a lot of 'store brand labeled' merch.
    First thing I noticed was at least a doubling in shelf space devoted to rice (25 lb/@$13.99) and bigger bags of pintos. They even had end cap loaded with rice and pintos/black beans. Never seen end cap at that store with rice...
    The large bin of bulk pintos (@.99) well below half full.
    Bleach and disinfectant aisle really hard hit. Just a couple jugs of scented bleach left. Laundry soap also had noticeable empty slots.
    I didn't check out paper goods at that store.

    Last stop Kroger. Canned meats down about 1/4. Tuna down 1/2. Toilet paper shelves down 50%.

    All in all across a variety of store types and incomes the store rush is way less than hurricane news. I'll check out Loewes & HD this weekend just to get a feel. 90% of folks not talking about issue or only parroting back MSN.

    Good luck all.

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    1. I think no matter where you live, it just takes a very small percentage stocking up to ruin the inventory model. So, we ain't seen anything yet. Thanks for the report-much appreciated. I haven't that cheap of sugar, forever, but we are a bit pricier out here.

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  7. Yesterday we had a knife pulled on another shopper and in another case the Police had to taser some cobber who just lost his s*** at the shops.

    Daily Mail (UK) reports that they have plans to deploy the Army to defend shopping centers.

    Missus Dingo secured a pack of toilet paper but gave it to a workmate who started crying because she was down to only 2 rolls at home and hadn't been able to buy any for the last couple of days due to shelves being bare.

    I'm in trouble because I didn't put a bag wheat in a bucket. So.... we've had maggots.

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    1. I lost 300-400 pounds of corn once, to mold. Didn't realize they don't dry it enough for long term storage. I almost cried. No one stocks even a couple extra packs of TP-you can almost smell a future Darwin Award. I hope the co-worker has a nice rack, otherwise there will be no helping her. Of course, she could also be the solution to your maggot wheat. Do you have a large stew pot?

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    2. Weevils you mean?

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  8. On the off chance that you didn’t see this, I figured you would appreciate it. I know how much you love the mart :D I learned a few new things. She worked there, and said that security can’t stop you and demand a receipt on the way out. They can’t even detain you if they think that you were stealing. If it’s under $2k, they don’t even prosecute. Part of this must have to do with Commiefornia’s new law, that makes crimes under $1k, non-offenses.

    Best comment there:

    larry johansen 1 hour ago
    "P.s. We're all in California now, it's just a matter of time when the scourge gets to you".

    WALMART FINALLY WENT TOO FAR!!-Prepper Princess (6:45)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hm3LuRVIGfQ&list=WL&index=106&t=0s

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    1. I can handle Princess in small doses. I'll check it out. Thank you.

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  9. (noting again, live where the food is)

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I must moderate-trust me. Criticize ideas, NOT the people behind them. Be civil. You will be warned twice and the third time just deleted. No N-Bombs. If you disagree with me, you must praise my hair first.