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Tuesday, June 21, 2016

ptb snafu poda 2 of 4


PTB SNAFU PODA 2
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note: "We Are Doomed" arrived in the mail yesterday-and I heartily thank the minion who sent it.  I'll be starting it today, it looks that good.
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No matter how bad things get in a die-off complete collapse, at least you are assured that with proper planning, superior strategy and the uncompromising metal outlook of a barbarian warrior king you can place the odds of prevailing in your favor.  Yet, that assumes several things, the most important being a complete infrastructure collapse ( other things assumed are lesser scenarios such as NOT having a big enough asteroid hitting us so we stand a chance, or a near enough star NOT going super-nova or something similar that leaves humans zero chance of survival independent of how well they prepared ).  Without said collapse, we can’t exactly survive as autonomous actors.  In other words, if enough of a centralized industrialized Oil Age infrastructure survives and is controlled by The Powers That Be, individual survivors stand little chance of living outside slavery.  Spear wielding tribes have ZERO ability to survive train traveling soldiers armed with Maxim guns ( and before you start thinking rather highly of yourself, armed with an AR-15 with FLIR scope, your homework tonight is to research how well the Ameri-Indians did even armed with centerfire repeaters ).

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Surviving a total collapse is easy enough, all things being equal.  Once you survive the initial Die-Off ( not the easiest thing in the world but certainly not outside the range of abilities of the average Joe NOT burdened with too much civilized luxurious dead weights ), it is about even odds, you against outsiders, germs and Mother Nature.  This is what I have been focusing on for thirty years.  HOW do people act, so as to avoid them.  HOW can you replace the modern grid.  WHAT are the best tools.  HOW do you minimize risks.  But the voice in the back of my head screaming at me constantly ( now that the waterfall collapse has picked up speed and is almost at the rapids-three decades ago purely hypothetical and today clear as glass ) is asking what the heck am I supposed to do if a total collapse doesn’t transpire as I’ve envisioned?  I was wrong about Y2K and about Peak Oil, and only a fool bets that the third time is the charm.  Okay, granted, being wrong was good because it stepped up my preps by certifiably measurable amounts.  In the first I went from a One Year Food And Ammo prepper ( the Mormon Model ) to a Systematic Collapse survivalist.  In the latter I finally got rid of rent and debt and grid dependency, developed a deep stockpile of the important bare necessities and finally got back to a lower population area.  And I wasn’t even wrong about the end of the computers or oil, but about my timing.  So I certainly don’t doubt myself in a certain sense, but rather leave myself open to unrealized possibilities.

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One of which is, while Peak Oil is real, and there certainly is no such thing as a One World Conspiracy, what is to say there isn’t an American Elite conspiracy?  They pretty much have been ruling most of the world, for nearly twenty years, through economic means.  What if-and I by no means absolutely support this theory but am merely worrying about the possibility of its existence- they are planning on running our civilization into the ground but have contingencies to keep ruling afterwards?  The two choices are that we either kill them all and good riddance or they escape to another country.  Yet, to be realistic, both assumptions can be viewed as problematic.  The first has the faint whiff of the powerless revenge fantasy and the second assumes there is any place to escape to.  Are our Elites so retarded they don’t assume our civilization doesn’t implode like all others throughout history ( the only difference this time is that the entire globe is trashed rather than one geological area )?  I was of the thought that our banking rulers were so focused on making money they hadn’t a clue about anything else, such as demographics and resources and biology, and I still think I’m right.  And after all, the bankers today were born with the money monopoly privilege handed to them on a silver platter. They are spoiled, lazy, hyper-trained in one specialized field, and that is about it.  Yet, I wasn’t taking into account the other members of the Elite.  Yes, the bankers control most things.  At the top, where money moves mountains.  But everything below is subordinated to other experts, the government drones and the corporates and criminals.  And while, yes, most of them are retarded, quite a few are ruthless and intelligent.  Can we expect them to die like all the other Elites?

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During the Die-Off, quite a few resources and infrastructure points are going to be, or attempted to be, protected.  The Major in charge of the National Guard troops, or the state governor, might be incompetent ( well, most likely ARE ) and unfit to lead, but somebody in that chain of command will do quite well.  And when that someone desperately reaches out to another someone for help, you have two of the former ruling class helping each other survive.  And as night follows day, they are the new rulers ( say for instance that a grain silo cluster on a rail hub is protected by troops, who act to protect the nearby oil refinery and centralized farmland, all three folks in charge in effect protecting their monopoly in total and helping each other during AND after said chaos ).  And that doesn’t even account for prior planning, which I’m sure the more devious and talented are quite capable of doing on some level, informal or otherwise.  You think golf games, with refreshing adult beverages served, aren’t where all the important decisions are made?  After one martini too many, wouldn’t it be natural and easy to have a conversation about how worried you all were about the state of the world and what you could do to cope?  More tomorrow.

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5 comments:

  1. Such conspiracies probably exist more as a 'we know we can come to an agreement should things head that way -0 after all we are drinking buddies' than anything harder or stronger than that.
    But that is all that it takes to transform a loose network of midlevel modern management into the future upper crust - EXCEPT that too much rigidity, OR too little, OR things just going pear shape at the wrong moment can easily wreck the whole thing. Generations hence their descendants might be aristocrats but too openly that sort of thing to close to the collapse is just target making...

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  2. “In other words, if enough of a centralized industrialized Oil Age infrastructure survives and is controlled by The Powers That Be, individual survivors stand little chance of living outside slavery.”

    You might be able to pull it off James if the PTB decide that with their then limited resources, it's simply not worth trying to round up the few stragglers sitting out on the fringes of society. The extreme remote types won't have to worry, but practically speaking, almost none of these types exist anymore.

    The key is to get far enough outside of the burgs and to appear as innocuous as possible. Junk land, pull no permits, a 1957 Aristocrat (Just a random example) with a couple of shade trees, or better yet, Earth sheltered and invisible from ground or air. Keep it clean, no junkyards, few outbuildings. Clearly you own it and pay taxes on it, but you don't want the PTB to know that it's your actual residence. Cache all supplies, and stay on the low down. Most Americans do not understand the meaning of a low key existence. Having keggers with a multitude of loud mouth idiots, blasting music at all hours, and screaming matches with obnoxious family members isn't it. You will be remote, but unless you are really remote, there is a good chance that you will be broadcasting your presence to the few that are present in the neighborhood.

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    1. One of American's cultural quirks is our ability to tell our life stories to strangers, with little prodding. I'm no different. What is wrong with us?

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  3. Regarding elites protecting elites, it could be said that in Mad Max; Fury Road, there is a triumvirate of new elite rulers, with one in charge of a food growing citadel with artesian water, another running a fuel refinery, and the third the "bullet farm" The latter two owe him fealty, one being his former second in command in the military, the other a now trusted former captive.

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    1. How do you guys pick up on so many details in that movie? Some of you loves your Mad Max a bit too much!

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