Wednesday, February 10, 2016

non linear 3 of 3


NON LINEAR 3

Today, the last day in this series ( thank me later ), we talk about available calories and how your body responds to them.  Remember, we are talking primarily about the non-linear aspect of things.  These are illustrations of that concept so perhaps you can get a handle of how things double-down and quadruple-down on calamity when the feces hit’s the fan.  As we saw, a mere 2% increase yearly in the population gives you a seven fold increase in a century.  It is why no economy can pay interest past a second or third generation ( compound interest ) because there is never enough money available.  Taxes, war or currency failure always respond to a non-linear growth in wealth ( which is why any douche bag talking about how gold isn’t an investment should be shouted down with solid bodily waste thrown in their general direction.  NO currency can last indefinitely.  The fact that gold always holds its value long term means it is much better than any other investment multi-generational for preserving wealth ).  Now let’s talk about how quickly calorie deficit hurts you.  This is definitely non linear.  The bare number of calories you need to live is 1500.  These are enough for your metabolic functions as well as providing enough energy to fight infections.  Long term, if you lose 30% of your normal body weight ( after a cumulative daily calorie deficit ), you can’t even keep up your blood pressure OR absorb nutrients. 

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Okay, the base calories are 1500.  If you are pregnant or a laborer, you need 2500.  If those 2500 drop a mere fifth, to 2000, this HALVES your ability to work ( manual labor or nourishing a fetus ).  A 20% drop in calories is a 50% reduction in energy needed.  The 17th century, which saw such widespread crop failures globally ( one surmises from a combination of volcanic activity and sunspot minimums, along with overpopulation from the previous favorable weather ) that war and famine and pestilence set records we will be breaking soon, saw the average worker in constant calorie deficit.  English and French records show a constant consumption of only 500 to 700 more calories than bare minimum.  Yet, 1000 extra are needed for laborers.  Just this 300 to 500 calorie deficit added over time to vast increases in mortality.  After a period of this seemingly trivial calorie drop, any cold ( especially cold and damp ) or disease rapidly takes its toll.  Any weather dropping normal temperatures kills.  You could still be eating those 1500 calories and still die, even if the technical cause of death wasn’t famine.  You would be hard pressed to find an American who worries about future calories, yet in the future the calorie equivalent to a 20 ounce soda or a candy bar could be all that will be keeping you alive.  Ain’t the unintended consequences of a century of capitalism ( resource depletion and overpopulation for profit ) grand?

END

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22 comments:

  1. I told you we must be brothers from a different mother. One of my BIG resource hogs, mentally and financially, is calorie budget. I think about it like I think about how much gas I'm going to need for a trip. How much to get there and at what cost and how much to get back. How many calories will my wife, niece and I need to get through to the other side, barring death from bad people who somehow find out what I have stored.

    With that said, I DO NOT try and talk to my neighbors about anything to do with prepping. Even my niece who we are raising has no clue. She has only been to the BOL a couple times. Every one think I'm just some computer nerd. Since I'm not young I can't be Yuppie Scum :) Anyhow if anyone hasn't started talking to their neighbors, don't start. Getting them on board is close to impossible and will alert them to the fact that you are, when hunger has them by the throat and their kids are crying because of it.

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    1. My mother was the prettier one. Sorry.

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    2. “With that said, I DO NOT try and talk to my neighbors about anything to do with prepping. Even my niece who we are raising has no clue.”

      Sage advice Robert. Young people tend to not understand such compromising situations, and tend to talk more than they should. As a painful example my niece mouthed off one day about all of my guns kept in x location in y storage compartment; right in front of her thug boyfriend! The fortunate part for me was he was from out of state, stupid (So I doubt that he could find this place again if he had to) and has since been sent to prison. But I was semi-sweating it there for a while for fear that everyone in the hood knew of my inventory, the one fortunate factor being that everyone that he knew was far away out of state.

      Indeed, mum's the word when it comes to any survival supplies, including any and all weapons.

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    3. People are retarded retards with creamy retard filling. Proceed under that assumption.

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  2. It was criminalism, not capitalism, that got us to where we are.

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    1. Okay, granted. Criminal capitalism, or mercantilism.

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  3. You did a good job here, I'm even more scared and depressed than usual.
    Thanks!

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  4. .... Which is part of the reason why putting back some hard candy, sugar, cocoa powder, etc, will make you the most popular person on the block (or the best paid) when the trucks stop rolling in.
    Getting a piece of fruit and or candy in your stocking was a big deal just 100 - 150 years ago, and still is in the poorest places. Those calories can keep a child (or adult) alive through the rest of the winter!
    Our current obesity "epidemic" is due to our bodies being designed to crave and seek and consume sugars, fats, and similar high calorie dense edibles regardless of other nutrition factors.

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    Replies
    1. Just raw sugar is fine. I just wrote an article on stocking sugar. Posts next week.

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    2. Sugar made jam and jelly cheap in 1800 England. This allowed Mothers to work a factory job as the kids could survive on 2 meals of bread butter and jam. No cooking needed it was the original fast food .

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    3. Wife and kids up mostly with sugar so dad could have what little meat there was, doing the heavy labor. I still remember as a kid how dad got the lion share of the dead animal. I knew he worked hard to support us but my lean little fruit and milk fueled body craved for meat.

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  5. One quibble - a pregnant woman needs only 100 extra calories a day. It's skewed a LITTLE to the last trimester.

    I don't recall how many extra calories a day a nursing woman needs, tho'.

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    1. I don't think that figure is correct. If it takes me 300 calories to leisurely pedal six miles I can't believe forming a fetus takes less. If that was a correct figure, making babies in the past wouldn't have been so problematic in times of lean.

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  6. While calories are paramount, when you consume them is to. Most American's eat a large amount of calories at night. In the past breakfast and lunch was when 90% of calories were consumed to fuel the workday. After the workday leftovers were eaten as they would not keep overnight. Our forefathers converted food into energy as needed. Today we store those calories as fat overnight and expect our bodies to convert them back to energy the next day. Who knew best???

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    1. I know eating heavy at night is silly yet still do it. Hard to kick a lifetime habit.

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  7. A 5 gallon bucket holds six 5# sacks of sugar. I have a couple buckets with lids hammered down to re-seal from Y2K. Totally fine. Sugar is "empty calories", but that's better than "no calories" and it may make your wheat/oat mush sweeter/better/edible (esp. for children).

    The minimum calorie input is just to maintain core temperature. Wool hat, long-underwear, well-insulated bed, well-insulated sleeping room with ability to heat separately from rest of structure, all to minimize body-heat requirement so energy can go to body repair while sleeping. Hobbit house is highly effective- watch yer head!
    Winter in Alberta takes many more stored good calories per person than winter in San Diego, esp. when outdoor work is involved.

    pdxr13 (Portland Oregon has moderate weather, 65" avg. precip,, is full of narcissistic bad-drivers and BERNIE! socialists who tip well)

    pdxr13

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  8. I just wrote an article on stocking sugar.

    Look forward to seeing it.

    Chuck Findlay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It seems all of these two days comments are stealing my thunder a bit, but I'm posting the article anyway.

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    2. Eh, we are just trying to make certain you are well rested, and can show new readers you have a supportive internet tribe.

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    3. Giving up the newsletter REALLY rested my brain and all articles since then are easier, longer and one hopes, clearer.

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