Friday, December 21, 2018

selective panic 2 of 2


SELECTIVE PANIC 2
An example of “good panic” is having a thousand pounds of wheat.  “Bad panic” is having a year’s supply of freeze dried foods.  One cost $300, the other $3,000 ( of which half the calories were from wheat kernels, so you are paying $7.90 a day for 750 calories or “normal, non-wheat” food.  You are better off buying wheat and wet canned meat which is $5.76 a pound, delivered https://amzn.to/2PE0VDZ ).  There are some good freeze dried foods ( home canned butter is about $5 a pound, or you can buy freeze dried for twice that-
), but not enough to make a daily menu out of. 
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It is good to panic and over stock on food.  It isn’t good to panic and buy overly costly food.  Gun control scare?  Panic and stock the crap out of ammunition reloading components ( unless you are a spray and pray advocate, you don’t need fancy machines to make cases worth per hour.  Put in a little manual labor and spend just $40 per caliber for the machine.  Lee Loader- https://amzn.to/2Lj04bg ), the best bang for your buck, rather than running out to buy a plastic carbine. 
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Here is my general rule.  Panic over the bare bones basics, yesterday, then relax.  Square away the best multiple year food stockpile you can afford, ten times the cost of a gun in ammunition ( so, plan what gun you are allowed to have on that cost ) and the best possible “away from crowds” location in your budget.  Then stop worrying about everything else you can’t control and which won’t matter.  And don’t sacrifice tomorrow for next month.  For instance, cashing in your 404(k) to pay off the house is smart ( even if the house might be unlivable without a grid ).
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Cashing in your retirement to buy a huge semi-auto arsenal and overpriced freeze dried, pretty darn retarded.  A bolt action rifle and wheat/wet canned meat is a much better bet, and then you have a retirement available if needed.  Cash savings and retirement funds are necessary even if destined to be Black Holed by the next banking crisis ( as insurance ).  But if you elect to cash it in, do so only if it increases your security rather than decreasing it ( eliminating rent frees up half your income, or allows your hours/wages to be cut in half without pain ).
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It is GREAT to panic.  It is TERRIBLE to do the wrong thing after you panic.  Since most of us “comfort seek” in our prepping ( getting another cat/box of ammo to still the Voices ), focus on targeting that to eliminating future panic.  Having food on hand eliminates panic whenever weather related disasters hit.  Not needing to pay rent or debt eliminates panic over economic news that might mean your job is eliminated.  This is the whole point of prepping, to avoid future panic.  That is Panicking Early To Avoid The Rush.
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That is constructive panic.  The danger lies in Seeking Comfort purchases which don’t actually Panic Early but which generate a soothing balm with a pull date.  Still living in the ghetto, you buy even more guns and ammunition.  This is Comfort purchasing, without effect.  What you are doing is pretending you can hold on to employment, and an imperial lifestyle, while fooling yourself into safety.  Now, don’t take this the wrong way.  There are in fact about ZERO safe places in the world, unless you are rich.  The rest of us can only minimize, NOT eliminate, risk. 
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I’m sorry to be the one to tell you some self-righteous prick of a prepper consultant lied to you.  Actually, I’m not sorry.  Serves you right for not sending me the money.  But, no, there are no safe places.  The only variable you control is how much you are willing to sacrifice to reduce the risk.  Most choose not to sacrifice too much, given the cost.  But you are also not allowed to sacrifice nothing and do nothing to reduce that risk.  Even small villages can be unsafe, but huge urban areas full of angry Diversity is as unsafe as you can get.
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So, you move to reduce risk.  You cannot afford to eliminate the risk, but you do as much as humanly possible.  After all, no matter where you go, you’ll probably be forced to move by circumstances anyway.  The point is you can’t stop at ineffective Comfort purchases.  You need to keep pushing that envelope.  Just keep asking, Is That REALLY Good Enough?  Most Yuppie preppers ONLY do that with guns and a token amount of food and ignore the rest, like the best place to live with their current budget.  Past a point, guns are throwing good money after bad.
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Green Mountain Dude (https://darkgreenmountainsurvivalresearchcentre.wordpress.com/ ) places close to zero faith in guns, pointing out you should be buying wood heating stoves instead.  We all need to be armed-few of us need to be as well armed as we are.  You know Americans have nine to nineteen times the guns we need, although I’d wager one tenth the ammunition we should have.  And I don’t think an emphasis on wood stoves is THAT important ( yello! Daub  rocket stoves are a preferable Stone Age alternative priced right ), but his basic point is sound.  Panic, but about the right things.
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Living in a low population Red State area, even with only one long arm but with plenty of ammunition, with a well insulated shelter and alternate energy, with a full cupboard, and why would you ever need to panic?  Living in the city with the best semi guns, all tactical tommy ninja elite gear and cases of MRE’s?  You are STILL going to panic because you prepped for the wrong things.  You didn’t prep to AVOID CROWDS.  You prepped to fight them.  That ninja warrior crowd tells you to Buy Once, Cry Once ( code for: buy most expensive comfort gear ).
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Instead, you should “Panic PRIOR, Cry While It’s Safe”.  You MUST do that in budget because gear isn’t just tactical, it is also strategic.  Getting out of debt, NOT using it for better gear.  Not living in danger for a job, but needing less of a job to live somewhere safer.  That is “gear” insofar as it is a tool keeping you safe.  The safest gunfight is the one you never have, not one where you have the best gear.  Can the fight come to you?  Absolutely.  Not just marauding ghetto hoards but far more likely Commie PC State military troops.
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What makes you safer, in that case?  Tactical vest with 400 rounds for an ACOG carrying AR-15, plate armor and squad communications?  Or a bolt rifle, a ghillie suit and caches all through the woods, and the ability to move through them, alone?  Prepping is only about the gear as needed to perform optimally.  Which is usually NOT equated to more money.  The best bet is usually to forego luxury, which is either free or PAYS you instead of costing you.  But that is enough of that.
( .Y. )
( today's related link here )
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note: if you have Amazon Prime, consider the movie "The Night Eats The World".  Yes, it is zombies.  But they are not the focal point.  Rather, one guy trying to cope with going nuts all on his own, alone in an apartment building.  The movie is slow.  No semi-auto gunfire or explosions.  No FLIR scopes.  I'd call it a navel gazer.  But I didn't find it boring.  I believe it is French, but don't quote me there.  I thought the very ending was a bit lame, but otherwise recommended.
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note: free books.  PA here. EMP here
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23 comments:

  1. Recently viewed a movie..."The Survivalist". Might want to have a look during your spare time.

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    1. Sure, much better than a zombie movie. But perhaps not as realistic, insofar as the effects of isolation.

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    2. Spoiler- chick ruins everything. Was I talking about the movie the survivalist? Or Day of the dead? Or just every day life?

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    3. Yeah, life spoiler alert. Chicks usually ruin everything. BUT. I sure prefer that to no chicks. You guys are smelly and hairy and have no cuddly parts.

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  2. I like the Lee Loader. I mostly like the fact that it’s portable and that you can use it in field if you had to. The biggest drawback is that the caliber selection seems to be limited, and as I recall, they offered a greater caliber selection in the past, but have now downsized their offerings. So if you plan on getting one, I’d start with the calibers offered prior to purchasing a gun, if at all possible.

    Totally agree on the prudence of avoiding gunfights. In real life, it would be the very exceptional person that would survive through more than a few of these experiences. I’m currently reading through the Claude Dallas book. In one chapter, it mentions that one of his influences when seeking out useful information on combat shooting, was a book that I’m sure that you recall, because it was one of Loompanics more popular offerings: No second Place Winner, By Bill Jordan. Bill could draw, fire, and hit with his double action revolver, in .27 of sec. In one encounter with some coyotes (he was a border patrol agent) he shot 3 of them with guns drawn on him, in less than a second. Your chances of running into a bad guy with Bill’s skills might not be so great, but they don’t have to be. You need only to run into someone that is slightly better than you.

    By the way, I found the PDF for free, and here it is:

    https://archive.org/details/No_Second_Place_Winner_Bill_Jordan

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    1. I read a guys encounter with a bear. The bear was a few feet away & had to crawl out of a cave. The guy had his pistol ready. He also had two dogs keeping the bear distracted.

      So old mate let's the bear have all 5 rounds of 44mag and the bear dgaf and ruins one dogs day then runs off.

      Long story short he only hit it twice even though he was ready and his target a few feet away.

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    2. I think I'd let the dogs take one for the team and beat feet. Love you, 'Ol Yeller, but if its you or me, the pound has a fresh dog available.

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    3. Hahaha! Yeah, that reminded of that old joke about the two dudes that came across a bear. The one dude takes off his hunting boots and replaces them with sneakers, and the friend inquires as to why he even bothered. To which the first dude replies that he doesn’t need to out run the bear, only the friend :D

      Ol’ Yeller is another one that I’m surprised that the left hasn’t propositioned to have removed from the air. I’ve seen liberals online flat out refer to the movie as child abuse. They are actively trying right now to have Rudolph the red nosed raindeer, and the song, baby it’s cold outside, removed from the airwaves, as we speak. It started with the Duke’s of Hazard. Want to bet that before too long, shows such as leave it to beaver, father knows best, etc, will considered too white, too patriarchal, and too heterosexual, and must too be eliminated?

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    4. "want to bet". No, that is a suckers bet. The only question is if they will have time to complete the culture whitewash prior to the whole system imploding.

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  3. Good one Jim. I agree on only selectively panic prep in high priority areas only. I did a fast and furious build up (without debt, only as wages came in) in guns, gear, paid off house, heavy duty capable vehicles, etc. I did not have a real strategy, just used gut feelings about things and applied self towards areas that seem most likely affected by economics, politics, social conflicts, or by wargaming collapse scenario influencers. Some panic is a good motivator, just don't become a Nancy about it and freak out into a screaming girl in a bad scary movie character. The one that makes wrong choices and ends up chopped to pieces. (Those ones will be kabob morsels over a fire, at a post assault banquet)

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    1. Only our Dear Leaders get the choice kabob pieces. The masses must be content with the marrow boiled out of the bones in a stew. That crap won't change at all. Just the penalty for trying to move from your assigned class.

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  4. Bad panic: buying a ton of wheat only to find out later in life you are now allergic to it.

    Good panic: buying a ton of wheat AND a ton of freeze dried so that when you became allergic you used the wheat for barter and ate the other stuff instead.

    Better life: working your ass off for 30 years earning as much money as possible so that you can buy things as needed for the coming collapse with layers of redundancy all over the place.

    A friend just bought a 90 acre piece of land that is mostly wooded but also has a large pond and a stream and maybe 20 acres of flat land ready to plow, a large fenced in cow field and a 10 year old 40'x70' barn. Nirvana in my way of thinking. He paid $700k for it and will most likely spend the rest of his life there.

    Am I jealous? No. There is nothing on this planet I am jealous of.
    Envious? Yes. Barrels of envy right here.

    Do I want what he has? No. It is his. And I haven't earned it.

    But I sure would like to find something similar for a much lower price. There's nothing wrong with wanting stuff but you, for reasons I'll never understand, keep harping that that is wrong. It goes against mans very nature. If man didn't want, he would never have, and we'd all be sitting around a fire in a cave getting on each others nerves.

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    1. Good panic-buying a ton of food you already eat, because Store What You Eat And Eat What You Store.
      Bad Panic-buying a tom of freeze dried you never eat and then finding out is is overly salty and way too hard and chewy since the texture is different.
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      I'm all about buying stuff. But reducing your need for money by buying more affordable stuff. Then knowing money and stuff soon will be unattainable.

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    2. 700 grand? So, property tax is how much every year? That is pending government raising assessments, adding bond measures for schools for those migrant kids placed in your formely rural county, etc. Nope. Envy for a possible pratfall, no way. Though shall not covet.....

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    3. Diversity is our strength. One should be proud to pay extra school taxes. Since it takes a village and all.

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    4. My area has recently been blessed with diversity. In unrelated news you'd be surprised to learn that Violent crime has also skyrocketed

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    5. This 'want is part of man's nature.
      It's the part that causes men to go to war.
      Its the part that causes a man to steal his neighbors wife.
      It's also the part that causes men to kill each other for what the other has.

      2:48

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    6. And it is all a survival instinct good for the species. All hail Darwin.

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    7. Property taxes are very low here, especially compared to what we paid in Florida. Last year we paid about $800 for a $300k property. In FL we paid almost $4k for a $300k property.

      I was at that property for about 3 hours the other day and did not see or hear another human being, nor did I hear any vehicles. It's THAT remote.

      There's no way to escape the tyranny of this rotten assed gov't if you choose to live in the US but you can certainly mitigate it's effects on you if you have a mind to. That is what the neighbor is hoping to do. He has the money so why not. Yes, he bought that property with cash for, he sold his steel erection business in Mar that he established more than 40 years ago. That was about 10 years before I started my business and I dont have anywhere near that kind of coin but if I did I would jump all over a property like that and wouldn't give a dam what anybody else thought about it. I'd be real busy enjoying the rest of my natural life.

      BTW Jim, we eat what we store. I've mentioned this several times. I'm constantly on the look out for ways to improve while still staying flexible. I tried to give a hint but I think you took it as an insult. You mentioned the other day some potential health issues you were having, and you've mentioned how much wheat you consume. You also mention frequently that you're getting older. For the past 5 years I have been trying to eliminate carbs from my diet as I noticed I was accumulating some girth. I researched and found that carbs are turned to sugar and as people age it gets harder to eliminate the baggage. I hhave changed, so what I ate 10 years ago is no longer applicable, I need to adjust, or suffer. I still eat carbs but they are much less and of better quality. 6 years ago I quit soft drinks cold turkey and have not regretted it. Carbs are much more difficult for they are in almost everything unless you grow it yourself. Some grains are good but too much grain is bad. I'm glad I didn't stock tons of wheat 10 years ago.

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    8. My point on folks not eating freeze dried, as in eat what you store, wasn't directed at you ( a lot of times I'm addressing the issue assuming everyone is reading it ). Just discounting that food in general. We do things differently but both by the same logic. I even understand your stance on money-I just foresee a much quicker and more complete collapse of that paradigm. And I understand what you are saying on carbs. But, everyone is different and hence I can't accept that low carb intake is good for everyone. It COULD be bad for me but that is the horse I put my cart on. I did have a much better bike ride to the B-POD today, and it was above freezing the whole time. So at this point I'm leaning on the lung damage from the cold from seven years of pre-dawn riding to work. It gets cold and I'm easily out of breath, is the theory. Come spring I'll have a better idea if I'm right or it is a bigger issue. I am eating more protein now, which is mainly why I'm probably going to discount the carb issue idea. But, as it is slow going experimenting on myself for a diagnosis, we will see down the road. If I discount input it doesn't mean I'm not grateful for it. Sometimes I must read the same thing dozens of times before I accept it. Sometimes the same idea resonates but other times I just have much more on my mind and it goes over my head. Still willing to learn and change till Death Day. I appreciate what you contribute, believe me.

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  5. I remember when Hurricane Ike hit the gulf. I had been out of town, and went to the store the night I got back. To take pictures, since we were set up at home for weeks and weeks, even if the power went out and we lost our well. Fun not being in a panic when everybody else is losing it.

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    1. Well, sure, it's all fun and games until someone loses an eye in the riots :)

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  6. Thanks, but I don't need help. You can submit a guest article which will post alongside mine that day, as bonus material. You can e-mail me at:
    jimd303@reagan.com

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