Monday, April 23, 2018

escape and evasion


ESCAPE AND EVASION
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note: this video is so bizarre and out there in tinfoil hat territory, it was like passing a traffic accident unable to look away.  Hillary Clinton's Mysterious Malady:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__UQQEHuRws
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I think it is quite natural to want to escape the US.  The place REALLY went to crap in the last ten years, and by its nature cannot recover like it used to.  Any civilization no matter the time period needs excess energy to function.  The US, and pretty much every other place, is now seeing a net energy decline ( fracking oil and gas merely postpone the implosion ).  Less energy today and tomorrow even less energy than that.  You all know my views on bugging out of your country.  It probably won’t work and even if feasible it certainly isn’t for me.

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That doesn’t mean it is the wrong choice, just not one I personally care for.  But I don’t want to argue the case against leaving.  It could well be the best strategy.  The Jews that left Nazi Germany early were rewarded for their sacrifices.  As a minion pointed out, the Confederates that left the defeated South for Brazil missed the grinding poverty and early death by malnutrition that Reconstruction at the hands of the industrialists brought.  There are plenty of examples that reward fleeing dysfunction.  The Whites that left the country while it was still White run Rhodesia, the White Flight out of soon to be minority occupied Rust Belt cities, the Brits who came to the US before the Muslims took over.

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I’ve been an expat, a former California who fled that craphole well in advance of things turning bad.  I don’t regret it.  Today, I merely want to bring up two cautions to moving ( there are many more ).  First, the best place to move to could turn into the worst from people arriving after you.  And second, there might be far fewer future safe places than you think.  Again, I’m not trying to convince anyone to stay.  I myself am not at all convinced staying is actually the wisest choice ( rather, it seems to be the least worst choice, for me personally ).

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A lot of us have fled bad places.  We sacrificed, moved ahead of the crowd, invested.  Then some assface moved there after us and screwed up the new place.  This is true of single pieces of property with a new neighbor, another state, or another country.  I was all alone in a great off grid location and then the idiots discovered the location ( but of course, being pussies, only moved there as the power poles were extended out ).  Now I’m hemmed in.  Other minions must keep fleeing once great alternate spots.  Why do you think a new country won’t be the same?

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Californians screwed up all the intermountain states.  Blacks from Dixie moved in and screwed up the Yankee factory towns.  Look at African Sudan and region.  Refugees moved in from other drought nations and screwed the whole place up.  Just twenty or thirty years ago some locations in Europe were probably really nice places.  Then the Muzzies moved in and turned entire cities into No Patrol regions.  As less stable countries with worse economies and too much population collapse in, say, South America, what is to guarantee your little piece of paradise won’t fall under waves of refugees?

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The big problem with the theories of the Forth Turning, or economic cycles named after Russian dudes, or global empires or even stair step collapses is what I’ve covered before as the 500 year cycle everyone ignores.  For the last five centuries, Europeans and their descendents have built an empire on surplus energy.  First by colonizing and then by carbon fuels.  The Industrial Revolution was due to coal, not the higher IQ of Whites, or the genius of capitalism ( surplus energy invented capitalism, not the other way around ), or geopolitics or technology ( surplus energy creates technology, not the other way around ).

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The whole globe is working under this model of excess energy.  What started as killing Black slaves to provide sugar to factory workers in England with cheaper calories is now killing middle easterners to provide oil to provide Chinese factory workers with cheaper calories from industrial agriculture.  Most countries on the bottom of the food chain are nothing more than commodity providers.  Those countries running out of commodities ( such as Libya and Tunisia, Syria and Venezuela with oil ) are thrown under the bus and long functional economies suddenly crash and burn. 

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These are the opening salvo’s in the end of the five hundred year old Western Empire.  Actually, the process started forty  years ago as oil supply peaked in per capita terms.  But until recently even marginal suppliers were rewarded with imported food.  That process of surplus food to commodities providers stopped being applicable around twelve years ago as the globe hit Peak Net Oil.  This one observation should give anyone thinking of leaving pause.  Are you walking into a trap set to shut shortly?  Repeat after me.  Venezuela was NOT about socialism.  Nor is it now about discarding the PetroDollar.

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It is triage, plain and simple, as the world’s population finally surpassed its grain production ( a combination of the end of the three generation moderate weather that made possible the Green Revolution, along with its butt buddy excess petroleum ).  Did you forget that it is All About The Food?  Excess energy is really just excess food, in the end.  If all of the Third World is nothing more than Commodity Providers, and those are the very areas triaged out of the system from lack of fuel and food, what is saving your expat country of choice?  Yes, growing your own food is great.  But politics from outside have a way of intruding.  Jonestown could have fed itself, but not protected itself from outsiders.

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Again, I’m not saying leaving the US is a bad choice.  I’m saying, will other peoples bad choices follow you to your better place?  Sure, the US is already in CrapHole status ( look at the bellwether state California for environmental, economic and population issues gone septic ).  Most people don’t think their escaped to state won’t follow California’s path, and they are wrong.  But will now functional third world countries stay solid, or will they also follow the collapse of western civilization?  Globalization is merely Western Civilization at this point, the whole globe conquered and occupied.  How will any escape when everyone is vulnerable to the same forces?

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How many Iranian citizens froze to death during WWII, because Russia needed their energy supplies?  They weren’t invaded or fighting in the conflict, but were still effected.  That is the kind of war gamming I’m encouraging here.  If far away locusts will attack your retreat farm, why won’t a rural farm in another country also fall to the overpopulated city hordes there?  Again, I don’t mean this as a “don’t you dare leave” article.  I only want you to think about if you are actually leaving problems behind.

END ( today's related link https://amzn.to/2H7chRI )
 
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37 comments:

  1. I've been to Belize 13 times in the last 15 years...I love the jungle and the Maya people. There is a fairly large Ex-pat community there and they think they are "safe", however if you think it is the be all, end all, You are sadly mistaken. 1st most of not all of them rely on checks from the US government in one form or another. 2nd no matter where you move you will be an outsider for at lest a decade. Most of the Ex-pat's I have meet have made no effort to assimilate. After all they are 'Murican's, they look down on the locals and think that their money buys security. If you are perceived as a "Rich" outsider, when the SHTF your stuff will quickly become their stuff.

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    1. Hell, look at me, I'm being robbed by people richer than me ( no, not the taxman-my BPOD being robbed ). How does anyone think people poorer than you won't steal your crap? And saw off your head and skull hump you. Or maybe visa versa.

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  2. I believe the decline is mainly for those who rate their lives by conspicuous consumption. For those with more reasonable expectations of life, the "fall" may not be so catastrophic.

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    1. While a fair point, think of the Left's taking over all corporations, as one example not necessarily all about consumption. How many instructional video's are we not seeing, from censorship. Not a perfect example, Internet use is a form of consumption. How about basic medical care being priced out of our lives? Heart medicine shouldn't be something you pay a bribe for.

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  3. And the biggest thing is that you will be unarmed in another country. Forget about black market weapons, you'll just end up in jail or dead.

    At least here, you can still walk into a gun show and buy a rifle & a case of ammo without any ID. Next trip to HD to buy some PVC and you'll always have at least something to defend yourself with no matter what.

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    1. Apparently taking firearms into Argentina is just another administrative thing and pay a fee. My neighbor has been going there for 30 years and has a few firearms permanently installed in his home there. If you're willing to pay ransom to leave the country (passport) why not pay another fee to take a gun? I may go down there this summer and check it out. If it's like he has described and shown me in video then I may indeed grab up a small chunk of acreage way out away from society. Not like it's the first time I've blown money on losing ventures.....

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    2. My losing ventures are usually ex-wives.

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  4. Over at Remus...
    https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2018/04/the_end_of_peak_oil.html

    Plus a mention of your blog on Cops...

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    1. Where/who are "Cops", please. I can't take half the day wading through the comments on the AmerThink site-you need to download the comments a dozen or twenty at a time, going back to the recent ones, each time full of ads. Blech!

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    2. The cops thing is over at Remus's place, he mentioned you last week.

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    3. Get an adblocker, please.
      I have 3, and several video blockers too.

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    4. Okay, I'm reading it as "a mention of your blog at a site called Cops". I tried adblock and it screwed with me adding Amazon ads to my blog.

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    5. Basically, the article on peak oil. Stated that because of fracking lol, oil will be plentiful for a long time.

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    6. No, I got it. I just read it wrong. I can't believe they allow such articles to be written. Soon, an article like that will be the new "newspaper article the day before the stock market crashed in 1929 saying all was well".

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  5. I’m pretty sure that I have that book that you linked (or at least it’s one of a very similar title/subject). Such military guides are usually chock full of good info. But it always seems that the people writing these military manuals (picture John Bolton with a cross stuck up his ass :D ) do so in a way that sucks all of the fun out of reading them, and as such, they’re generally terribly stale reads.

    I have a similar book, but written for civilians. It’s titled Wilderness Evasion, by Michael Chesbro. I wouldn’t even say that it offers as much information, but at least it didn’t put me to sleep.

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    Replies
    1. Hell, just the comic book on the M-16 could put you to sleep.

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  6. Interesting video by the way. Whenthe internet appeared , I remember having read lots of stories like that, occult stuff etc.
    It was the heyday of the "X-Files", which in retrospect was not that great (but it's only my point of view, and I stil have fond memories of that show nonetheless).

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    1. I too fondly remembered the X-Files. Watched the actor in "Califorication" ( on Netflix ), enjoyed his acting, revisited X-Files. And the thing SUCKED. Bad stilted acting, I couldn't get through the episode. Of course, I remember watching later seasons, and this was season 1 episode 1, so perhaps they improved. I'll never know, Netflix pulled the show. ( and Archer, DAMNIT!!!!!! Did I already mention that? )

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  7. saw the video and the symptoms are the same as the rodham woman's.
    you can get mad cow in ways other than by drinking blood!
    so only the last bit, drawing conclusions far-fetchedly, is questionable.
    the science behind mad cow and other prion caused brain disease is in disputable.

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    Replies
    1. I didn't watch all the way through, sometimes you just have to enjoy the ride but not take it seriously, plus cut off the voice before you do serious injury to yourself.

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  8. Re:
    Again, I’m not saying leaving the US is a bad choice.

    Well, you OUGHT to be saying it.

    All that wisdom that you was spreading around about "Tribes" and now it is just going to get thrown out the window?

    Do a web search on Americans leaving America when WW2 broke. They were looking for a nice spot to sit the war out in peace. Guess where they went? The Philippines!

    Some of the other things in the post are way out of whack as well.

    Don't talk about Venezuela, you do not know anything about it.

    Don't talk about capitalism being born because of surplus energy. You don't know anything about it.

    YKW
    MM

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    1. I don't know what I did to pull your string this week, but I think you went from disagreeing with basic premises to just making shit up as you go along. Japan invaded the Philippines ten HOURS after Peal Harbor. Why would any US citizen think they could move there after that? Capitalism requires borrowing and interest and interest requires the friggin growth of the economy to generate that interest. Basic stuff, dude. And you say I'M the one who needs to get back on my meds. I'm sorry, but you deserve this-you get the infamously rare frowney face :(

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    2. First, WW2 did NOT start when Pearl Harbor got hit.

      Next, if one day you want to bad mouth the ARs and then the next day tell us all how glorious they are, fine suit yourself. This is an EXAMPLE.

      I would not want another frowney face.

      Let some one else call you out on your bullshit.

      YKW
      MM

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    3. Historians debate as to when WWII broke out. By why would Americans think the US was vulnerable when Japan annexed Manchuria or Italy attacked in North Africa. As for the AR, haven't you heard that things are not black or white? The US citizen has lost most of his freedoms, but the place is a better choice if you are poor or want to live in the wilderness. Writing is the best job I've ever had, but the pay blows. And the AR is great on recoil and accuracy but is far too prone to jamming in the field and fires a crap round. Things can be bad in one aspect and good in another. I don't mind being called out on BS-it keeps me intellectually honest and improves my craft. Just make sure you are calling out BS rather than stirring the crap pot just for its own sake. Peace.

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    4. If you want to have some advantages of AR, with some of the cheapness (or rapid-fire ammo-waste) of the AR sacrificed (good cheapness-massproductionlowcost, and bad cheapness- lowbidcrapquality), with some of the goodness remaining (5.56 ammo stockpile compatibility, AR magazine sharing), you can go with a couple of boltie "scout-ish" rifles (more ergonomic than post-collapse single-shot M-4 and probably more intrinsically accurate than same-price AR now) or a semi-auto Tavor (a great weapon unless you are in an ice-zone).
      The "crap-round" issue is only so for full-size men. 5.56 is a perfect round for 115 pound 5-2" woman or small man/weak man, esp. if not restricted to fmj. Full size man should have full-size round like .303/7.62x51-54-63mm in a full-size rifle and accept that range requires aiming (expensive practice, regularly) and weight (half or one-third number of rounds per-pound as AR, + heavier weapon).
      Imho, 5.56NATO is a decent compromise cartridge for <300M. Perfect for USAF gate guard, ladies-in-uniform, older officers, who can keep the weapon serviced and clean at their protected rear locations.

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    5. Love the last paragraph-perfect! Let's not forget the wingnuts did adopt the M16 first, then the Army needed to be as bad and high tech. It SHOULD have just been an improvement of the M-1 Carbine.

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  9. Kunstlers latest post on Clusterfuck Nation is worth reading

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    1. It might just be me, but I thought it was pretty generic. He needs to write another non-fiction book, I think his energies are not directed.

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    2. Agree about posts by Kunstler, spotty but occasionally brilliant. He needs to update The Long Emergency, which was about 60% right and well-ahead of the facts. Don't look at what Trump says (especially what other people say about Trump), watch what Trump DOES. No nukes detonating upwind of me + the power is on, so EVERYTHING IS AWESOME!

      pdxr13

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    3. Everything is awesome! Wasn't that a cartoon or kids show? Sounds familiar.

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    4. Theme song to the Lego Movie. I love playing it as it is hilarious - all about a schlub who is totally clueless believing he is well liked and living and an utopia (no one cares about him, and the utopia is a tyranny about to become worse than a police state...) Of course he wakes up to this fact because of love (lust) and becoming an innocent target of the government. Instead of running off and hiding under the couch he then he joins the rebellion and somehow succeeds (instead of dying). If you want to laugh some time and can see it for near free do skim it. The bunk bed couch idea is the best ever.

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    5. Okay, thank you. That might have bothered me, trying to ID it. I guess I could have asked the NOL's granddaughter.

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    6. Yes, Lego movie and Idiocracy are training-for-the-future films. Blu-Ray 4K for maximum awesomeness.

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    7. I can see "idiocracy", but how does one make it through watching the whole Lego movie? Or view it multiple times? Aaarggh.

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    8. The Lego is surprisingly quite in-your-face about politics and the media. It's also funny in a childish way :)

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    9. Well, I did enjoy the first one or two Minions movie...

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