over the olduvai gorge

JUMPING THE SHARK OVER THE OLDUVAI GORGE

The Olduvai Theory simple states that the Oil Age is going to last about a century, from 1930 to 2030, and that the production of oil will be the same on both dates. This isn't some cockeyed theory some tinfoil hat wearing dude pulled out of his ass. Since 1979 global total energy use per person has been declining. Since the 1960's, global oil discovers have peaked. Let me repeat that one for the Fracking Fags. Fifty years ago, FIFTY, was when we found the most oil. Every discovery since then has been much smaller.

*

We are now at the point where we are using far more oil every year than the new oil we discover. Richard Heinberg, who among most of the Peak Oil folks is pretty friggin Optimistic Ollie ( I shudder to think these people actually believe their Happy Outcome hype, preferring to think it just helps them sell more books ), gives the US fracking industry not much past about 2022 before it crashes and burns. And if you cannot do math, a fracking well always declines after four years, compared to a conventional oil well of FORTY years production-that is some bad math.

*

No one is denying your pretty precious princess pony Fracking Industry didn't save our asses. It did. I do not deny that. After global CONVENTIONAL peak oil in 2005 ( your pretty boy Roy up in Idaho was trying to tell us peak oil was set for 2030. He must have read the same issue of NatGeo I did, while waiting in the doctors office for a scan to detect brain activity ), we had a tiny little thing called the housing bubble which imploded the derivatives market. Fracking oil saved us from that just as Alaskan oil saved us from OPEC.

*

Do you know how much oil we get out of Alaska now, a mere thirty some odd years later ( a 39% decline in just the last ten years )? Two hundred and change thousand barrels a day, after peaking at one point five million. Not long after global peak production, Mexico went from our #3 provider to now importing oil for its own use. I'm firmly convinced that ethanol was not JUST a farming mega-corporation boondoggle but the US starting to use food as a weapon ( see Tortilla Revolt and Arab Spring ).

*

Because when energy use per person declines ( and for humps sake, do you people not realize that population grown within the US means that each of us has less energy to use every year? Energy use is economic activity. LESS energy is LESS economic activity and LESS economic activity means the economy is SHRINKING. The only growth industry here is statistical lies, rapine and pillage ), if some countries want to increase energy supply they have to steal it from others. We didn't do too great stealing the oil in Iraq, Iran, Yemen or Libya, but at least we forced production declines there.

*

Perhaps the plan was to return at a later date and start production again, but of course as I pray you understand by now, Libya was our last successful military adventure stabilizing the PetroDollar. We lost the economic war after that, which was quickly followed by a decline in military power. Could we kick the ass of any Bear or Dragon power in conventional conflict? I don't think so, but if you buy into the whole Hegemonic Sole Superpower 'Murica Uber Alles thing, whatever. Even if we can best the other nuclear powers, we can't counter insurgency.

*

And those are the boys keeping us from pumping oil ( well, in Libya and Iraq, with Yemen to follow as its hot war subsides. Iran is held back by economic sanctions, but I wouldn't be surprised if there wasn't some US cyber war there ). Africa has proven that it is impossible to pump oil in a war zone, for decades past. Now we have proof in Iraq and Libya. And yet, somehow, hope springs eternal that Earth is a hollow ball just filled with a petroleum center. Just waiting for us to drill, baby.

*

The war for energy has seen more and more areas cut off from sharing “America's Oil”, and more and more the locals are pissed and fighting back. That means, Spanky, that THE OIL STAYS IN PLACE. And that is just military conflict opposing the long trend of shutting out consumption competition. There is the economic factor. If you are all Ray Charlies up in your tree fort accompanied by your pet unicorn, not only do you think the US has the bestest military but that ours is also the Indispensable Economy. You actually believe government statistics.

*

I congratulate you on doing your due diligence, but you are falling for the Long Con. When all corporations lie about their success ( one set of books for the buyer, one for the IRS and one for yourself ), the best strategy is to avoid the stock and bond market altogether. When the government lies about everything, your best bet is to assume the very worst is happening. The government refused to admit Agent Orange was bad until most of the vets died off from it, reducing the financial hit ( both as compensation and related medical ).

*

By the time the government and its lapdog media admit to Peak Oil, we will ALREADY have run out. You see, it isn't JUST about Peak Oil anymore. Not even close. Peak Oil only meant the easy oil was gone and production was going to start declining. Peak Oil has been ZERO fun, as we all know, but that was the easy part. The problem now is the Olduvai Theory. That is when crap runs out, yo. THAT is the scary crap. That is when it gets real, when after stealing oil from the rest of the world, we start stealing from our own countrymen. Sound familiar? Continued tomorrow.

( .Y. )

( today's related Amazon link click here )

*
note: time for the monthly earnings report.  Amazon commission was an impressive $251.  Donations equally so at $158.  Total $409.  You know who you are, and you are awesome!
*

Please support Bison by buying through the Amazon links here ( or from http://bisonprepper.com/2.html or www.bisonbulk.blogspot.com ). Or PayPal www.paypal.me/jimd303 

*** Unless you are in extreme poverty, spend a buck a month here, by the above donation methods ( I get 4% of the Amazon sale, so you need to buy $25 worth for me to get my $1 ) or mail me some cash/check/money order or buy a book ( web site for free books, Amazon to pay just as a donation vehicle ).

*** My e-mail is: jimd303@reagan.com My address is: James M Dakin, 181 W Bullion Rd #12, Elko NV 89801-4184 ***E-Mail me if you want your name added to the weekly e-newsletter subscriber list.

*** Pay your author-no one works for free. I’m nice enough to publish for barely above Mere Book Money, so do your part.*** junk land under a grand *  Lord Bison* my bio & biblio* my web site is www.bisonprepper.com *** Wal-Mart wheat***Amazon Author Page
* By the by, all my writing is copyrighted. For the obtuse out there