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Wednesday, July 3, 2019

over the olduvai gorge 3


JUMPING THE SHARK OVER THE OLDUVAI GORGE 3
Divide and conquer, from the same twats who tested airborne contagions on random subway riders, treated humans on par with herds of sheep in nuclear fallout tests, are magically able to collapse skyscrapers with a few random drops of burning kerosene and were never in any danger of lynch mobs after they passed laws for indefinite detention without charges, was wonderful for destroying the culture to the point no insurgency will ever have a change of succeeding here until people actually start starving ( so, you know, don't try to rebel and expect any civilian support-not until the humpers are hungry ).
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Yeah, just a quick side note on that. People are programmed to hate change. They will almost always stick with the devil they know. After all, your wonderful rebellion to return to limited government also means folks won't have the welfare safety net, nor will they get subsidized gasoline or have a job anymore once you killed all the corporate welfare. Just saying, for the Militia Porn Star wanna-be's out there. People are selfish like that, risking their life for your political fantasies.
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Divide And Conquer, reducing rebellion risk for the last fifty years as people were enslaved and asset stripped. Yes, Spanky, you get below cost gasoline. Good on you. The rest of this deal, where the empire subjugates and exploits its own subjects, is not so great for you. And the reason it happened has nothing to do with capitalism or communism. It has to do with the Imperial Yankee Scum colonizing anyone they possible could, from Southern “citizens” turned sharecroppers to supply the northern factories at near no cost agricultural commodities, to little brown people in the Philippians, to all former British subjects.
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Less resources means less per person. Why else is inequality so pronounced ( even as the worker drone class hollers for even more under the mistaken notion of “capitalism” )? The elite aren't going to give up any hookers and blow. The 9% straw boss class IS getting a lot less and don't even realize it ( after the increases in rent, vehicles and insurance, they are worse off than the old middle class. All the newly poor insisting they are still middle class are one paycheck away from homelessness, and the straw bosses think they are doing good for being the biggest turd in the litter box ).
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And, again, to repeat in case you nodded off after I repeated myself too many times getting up to this point, THAT was all Peak Oil. That was just more of the same of the shrinking EROI. That isn't even running out of oil, just more resources being diverted from jobs or the military or medical care back into oil and energy extraction. While you were all cheering the Fracking industry, you seemed to have stopped noticing that when fracking delivers a 1 to 5 EROI, it means that six times more energy is diverted to getting energy out of the ground than it did just three decades ago.
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But I'm also doing all of my readers a disservice here. I keep harping on the past and how the future is repeating itself. LESS energy caused the last fifty year economic contraction. Even LESS energy in the future just means more of the same. And yet, we haven't even got to the point of NO energy. All my screeching in righteous fury is distracting, in that we keep preparing for and expecting LESS. Which ignores when the oil does stop flowing ( with much still in the ground, never to be recovered ).
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Some time back I “treated” my newsletter subscribers ( I'm sure they were less than please I singled them out for 'Mo Peak ) to an article recalculating global oil reserves. I had reread older books and the now standard “we have pumped one trillion barrels, with half that left” is a lot older than you think. From about the year 2000. Dick Cheney got it ( remember Mathew Simmons? He ran in those circles, and Dick was absolutely nobodies fool, unlike the idiot he had to pretend to follow ).
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Which means by now we are ALREADY through over 700 billion of that remaining one trillion remaining barrels. Now, I grant you, that was CONVENTIONAL oil. Not fracking, not tar sands, not Venezuelan sludge or Caspian asphalt. But the fact remains, if there was a unicorn level miracle and we got every barrel, we are ONLY ten years away from NO oil. Repeating for the Happy Motoring crowd, that means in 2030 there is zero conventional oil left. Remember 2030? Olduvai Theory 2030? Now, would any of the class like to guess how long the world can run on ONLY unconventional oil? Bueller?
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The USA-We're Number One!-is the world leader in fracking production, throwing unknown gobs of money into the process to get six million barrels a day ( one third our daily liquid energy use ). Canada struggles to get not much more than two million ( for export ). Venezuela is about the same. Well, gee there Wilber, that's a whopping ten million barrels. Only seventy-odd short. No Problem! Math Be's Hard, yo-better to just ignore it. I'm looking up the above production figures and I'm STILL seeing that near two trillion figure, for current year.
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Okay, you aren't exactly lying when you tell us that the oil reserves are estimated to be 1.7 trillion. You just neglect to mention we've used all that. The implied data is that we have 1.7 left in unconventional oil. At what point does conflict break out globally ( but NOT a global war, just a lot of regional conflicts, decentralized ) when country after country needs to stop producing for export, THEN needs to import enough for the balance of failed production? In case you willfully ignore all things Peak Oil ( “Ooh, Jim likes Peak Oil theory. He be crazy. He thinks 9/11 was a false flag” ), this trend is twenty years ago, also.
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Over HALF of all oil producers were past peak, long ago. What, you thought it wasn't going to get worse? When we lose our Fracking Oil cushion in one to three years, will there be any available oil to import to us? Will our currency be worth enough to buy any, if it is available? We won our global empire on a sea of oil running the worlds biggest factory economy. We are a little behind on that oil and industry right now. How do we keep our empire without the oil? Our economy? Even our nation? Earth to Captain Short Bus! We cannot.
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The good news is, less to no oil is good. Not for your standard of living, but your status as a slave. If you relocate to a far less dangerous area ( no such thing as danger free, just danger-less ), and have decent food and ammo ( and shelter is good, for after the grid ), and get really lucky to survive The Unpleasantness, true freedom is once again an option. At a high price, granted. But Santa already quit after a Union dispute, so no more free crap under your tree anymore. Freedom ain't free. It costs the death of the Oil Empire. Cheers.
( .Y. )
( today's related Amazon link click here )
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note: a KU pick.  Not PA, just a well written novel.  And normally I hate sports HERE
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13 comments:

  1. And the tanks and armored vehicles on static displays or parade features in Washington D.C. along with flyovers of military aircraft power displays is being crafted to inculcate the populace back to a martial posture and spirit. Any uptick tempo of troop or equipment movements and parallel training exercises in proximity to civilan built up areas is indicative of something amiss. There is long thought out plans for resource rationing and urban and strategic assets quarantining. The system and beastly enforcers will go full kulack crushing as necessary come collapsing.

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    1. Two things you need to pacify a population. The consent of the governed and an effective enforcement mechanism. The US has neither. Only bribes keep the peace. As soon as that runs out, watch out.

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    2. That's word right there, Jim. Even if my gubermint gibs stop, it is game on time. It is what it is.

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  2. I still believe in the peak oil problem in front of us, but there have been so many missed predictions that I can understand why lots of people have moved on from this concern. I remember cringing at videos from 2010 saying emphatically that gas would be over $10 a gallon by 2015. Crap happens and the when and how this unfolds is not known. But saying” I don’t know” doesn’t sell books and ads.

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    1. Gore Warming hasn't been around as long as Peak Oil, but long enough to have the same credibility problem. It does have to be dogma shaped by faith, ultimately. I know I get preachy, but I understand folks reluctance.

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    2. Gore Warming ???
      Jim, that's soooo 2010!...now it's Climate Change and for the really "early adopters" it's Maunder Minimum 2.0.

      Get with it, brother! Ditch that sunscreen and floppy hat and gitcha a parka and mukluks. New Ice Age upon in just....a little while. Solar minimum and all, ya know?

      You've declined my past suggestion of breeding those Nevada wild horses to donkeys to make mules for post oil farm use.
      Shift gears.
      I think you should take up Reindeer ranching. I smell opportunity (or something)


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    3. I'm pretty much with you on Ice Age. Did you check out Sportsman's Guide $13 ten pack of Swiss wool pants? 50% wool, anyway. With shipping and tax I paid $22. Too sweet to pass up. Even if they don't all fit ( sizes vary within the S,M,L choices ), choice barter items. Sportsmen's doesn't have the cornucopia as it once did but if you are patient you will still be rewarded-just not as often.

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  3. Off topic - But what's the current consensus on teh best gravity water filter catridge? I did have the BISON blog post bookmarked but alas. I also did a search but I'm just touching base to ensure I'm still in the cool kids club

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    1. No worries. You can stay in the club. I myself think the Katadyn is longer lasting than the Berky, but Berky users claim they get way more than the advertised amount. But do yourself a favor and get videos of the Sawyer being used in their place. One third the price, ten times the gallons. But whatever you do, don't wait forever. I myself think silver demand, production decline or a combo will shoot the price of silver way up. The Berky and Katadyn will follow that price.

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    2. Apologies. I have the Berky gravity filter (I bought it when I was taking home 50% more than I currently do). I'm after the candle type filter.

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    3. I thought that was what we were talking about?
      Like such:
      https://amzn.to/2Xukzqg

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    4. Champion. That's the one. When I searched for it online Dingoland I was getting nothing but the portable stuff.

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    5. Amazon search isn't what it used to be. Saving money?

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I must moderate-trust me. Criticize ideas, NOT the people behind them. Be civil. You will be warned twice and the third time just deleted. No N-Bombs. If you disagree with me, you must praise my hair first.