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Monday, January 16, 2017

low probability tools 1 of 2


LOW PROBABILITY TOOLS

I’ve always liked Commander Zero and his Mostly Just Equipment Porn blog.  I shouldn’t like him-he is all that I hold as far from my being as if it were a week dead skunk buried in the kimshee crock.  He is a Yuppie Scum Survivalist who champions the gear of the rich posers, a wanna-be 10%’er.  He holds no love for the Peasant Prepper-to him, it is your fault you aren’t rich.  But because he does one very important thing, I can’t hate him for his misguided and misinformed opinions.  And that is, he refuses to kiss anyone’s ass and could care less if anyone kisses his.  Even if his prism is warped and broken, he will look through it and call a spade a spade.  How can you not respect that, when 99% of all the doomer blogs out there are wimpy pussies catering to the lowest common denominator?  I won’t name any names.  I’ll just say that all the guys out there fighting each other to be crowned King Kristian Militia might hate on those not of their group, but they sure put on an ugly display of obsequiousness to the target demographic.  Even worse is the National Geographic Doomers who post articles of ZERO worth but lard it up with graphics and pictures.  Between those two, there is your 99%.  A few hobbyists are out there going strong and staying pure.  Doomstead Diner, Woodpile Report Guy, the Cassandra blog dude over in Italy, once upon a time Black Cat Dude ( I think the tsunami of utter dreck swamping Kindle readers might have had something to do with his retreat from post-apoc fiction reviews, but what do I know? ).

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SRS Rocco asks for a donation to keep his very valuable unique information open to the public, then writes without regard to the opinion of the idiot legions surrounding him.  And, really, that is about it.  A handful of real doomers, not rent-a-doomers, not mercenaries.  Whether fan-boy writing or University educated, a handful of folks keep the faith pure.   Everyone appreciates monetary support-nothing in life is free, not even your time ( there are costs that go with study, obviously, and you should always reward decent writing as there is too little of it out and about ).  But begging for funds to continue research is a whole other world from needing extra money to keep one in the style one has come to expect.  And that is pretty much where the prepper writers are.  High priests at the alter of Mammon or hobbyists trying to be heard above that market racket.

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When most practitioners of a capitalist system whine about how the government opposes them, what they usually mean although they have no idea they do is that they are not a huge multi-gazillion dollar conglomerate in bed with the Yankee colonial masters and the central bank.  They are jealous of the mercantilist system they will never be invited to join.  Then they embrace all the legal but immoral practices of said Mega Merchants and erroneously call it free market capitalism.  If anyone else refuses to commend them on these practices, they are branded leftists or commies or Obammy Lovers.  And since capitalism is these small merchants religion ( disguised as Baby Jesus’ preferred way of Business As Usual ), it can only be good and just and pure.  These are the kind of folks in charge of the Survivalist Gurus Of America Guild.  Any not of their religion, the heretics, nonbelievers and barbarians, are marginalized and ignored.  Easy to do when the Internet is so vast and crowded, every single mouth breathing Tweeterer and FaceBooker bleating for attention by posting their daily bowel activities.

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As you might be able to tell if you close your eyes and ponder really hard, I utterly detest the Uncle Humpers ( South Park reference ) that give out advice based on both your net worth forming the worth of you as an individual and sells you dangerous information to enrich himself.  Commander Zero skirts dangerously close to my disapproval and condemnation on both counts, but as I said, he doesn’t benefit monetarily and hence must be forgiven his tendencies.  But what is important to point out here is that while the messenger is spared, those listening may not be.  If you are reading our intrepid Commercial Commando, it is important to remember all we have discussed prior.  Remember, you CANNOT time the collapse.  Be ready yesterday.  Most of us must prep cheap to get to that point.  Cheap is better than nothing ( and really, we are talking about frugal rather than cheap.  I’m usually a middlin cost kind of guy-not the cheapest, which have become false economics as of late.  Not the most expensive, which can be nothing more than name brand premium pricing.  Middlin price, for the sweet spot 80/20 Rule ).

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Later on, please feel free to prep higher up on the food chain.  But until the basics are stocked deep and cheap, high cost is still a luxury.  Which of course leads us to the rule of luxury belonging to Pussy Preppers.  Grow a nut sack and toughen up.  If Joe Bob The Cowboy could ride in the weather all day and eat beans at night, why do you think that an MRE and a four wheel drive makes you anything other than a girly-man?  Because you own a semi-auto?  Good luck surviving when the real grown-ups start playing for keeps, when calories rather than taste is food and when tactics are more important than firepower.  Veering dangerously close to topic, this article needed to be extra long so I didn’t hurt myself thinking up a second subject.  We are actually headed somewhere, and that is Commander Zero’s going off the rails and recommending what even for him is unconscionably costly, luxurious and unnecessary.  I’ll cover that, then the secondary effects of its purchase being the crippling consumerism it embodies.  More tomorrow.

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16 comments:

  1. Long work days got me out of the habit. I have a backlog of books I could post on but I have switched back to reading a lot more non-fiction. Which takes more time and can be difficult to really review.

    The fiction that comes out of the prepper industry is, in general, amazingly bad. The militia porn variants are probably the most stunning in their illogic. I mean it the Un/Nato, who couldn't even bomb Libya for a couple weeks without running out of ammo, really going to be sending troops to Omaha? And of course the Chinese, with all sorts of valuable things close by they could grab up with us out of the way, always make a beeline for our west coast. My guess is that the West Coast street gangs massively out firepower what the Chinese could actually sealift and supply.

    Maybe I'll get back to the reviews at some point.

    All of which could be just good fun except that people take it all so seriously.

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    1. People taking it too seriously is your own fault. There are so few good blogs out there, and yours is one of the better ones, so extra attention is paid to what you post. You take on extra importance just because of the lack of much competition.

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  2. Cost-of-calories and tactics are already quite important in daily survival. I luvs me some prime rib, but I can eat (discounted) ham sandwiches all week instead of that one piece of fancy cow. The cost of a 5# ham is a 20L bucket of wheat berries.
    I don't have ammo to run a SAW. Only Uncle has money (fake money, but it still buys gasoline) to afford squad automagic weapons (and the supply-delivery system behind it) to scare the peasants. I'm saving up for some hearing protection to screw onto the barrel to get the best quiet use from my limited packing ability.

    pdxr13

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    1. Of course, even the expensive tasty cow is of lower quality anymore. I guess antibiodics don't taste as good as we thought.

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    2. ferfal at 'surviving argentina', has a review of inexpensive hearing protection he bought for himself and his son.

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    3. Without seeing the article, I'd recommend two squares of 2-ply toilet paper. Fold up til it fits into your ear. Plenty hangs out to grasp to remove. It's what I use, anyway.

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    4. To get the right kind of "hearing protection" for the threaded barrel of a rifle, it takes about 6 months/$200 and a letter from your county sheriff.
      A 200-pack of foam 29 dB plugs from Amazon was about $18, last look.
      TP is a poor performing bit of hearing protection. Only barely BTN, and dwarfed by a $0.15 model (no charge if you fill pockets with them at work).

      The best beef is grass-fed and treated like a member of the family. No corn-lot fattening or anti-biotics needed since it's not crowded in with sick animals. No wonder it's as valuable as I am per pound. This kind of beef is really unaffordable, if available at all, to the lower class urban meat consumer.

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    5. I guess that we ploritariet grateful we getting any kind of meat at all, not just SoyLent Green or gruel.

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  3. The list of "toys" on my wish list is immense. I can justify every single one of them ;-)

    Unfortunately my wish list is limited by my funds. At present my wife and I are good for 3+ months.

    Hand gun is in the process of being purchased. In about 7 months time all the hoops should have been jumped through, all the "i"'s dotted. Even then, I'm only allowed 1 for the first year (but I want so many).

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    1. With handguns so difficult to buy, its a good thing anyone can get a drivers license and a beer. In case they need an instrument of death.

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  4. I wont mention the name of the blog... I'm sure you know it... but not too distant ago it mentioned night vision devices "on sale" for half price... almost FIVE THOUSANDS dollars and how it was a deal too good to pass up. WHAT?? If I had that kind of jack for ONE piece of specialized equipment... I don't need to worry about prepping... I'll just hire somebody to build me that half million dollar bunker and let them worry about the details. I mean really

    Sometimes I feel little stabs of pain in my gut when you mention your dislike of things I'm guilty of... yep... I've got the McMansion and the four wheel drive and EVERY gun but one that I own are semi-auto. But even with that "puss prepper" mind set I can't believe the price of some of the survival equip mentioned I must have to survive (I'm told).

    I'm having trouble surviving NOW... just the mortgage is killing me (will be paid off when I'm 86 years old) I'm thinking it may not be all that easy to survive if something bad actually happens. I'm thinking maybe I should get some of those buckets of wheat you're always talking about (in a pinch, you really CAN eat that stuff) and find me a couple of acres of land not on any maps to set up shop. I read you for entertainment... but I'm learning you might be RIGHT. Thanks

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    1. And that right there is what keeps me writing. Hope for all, delivered with a smirk ( don't get me wrong-I'm glad I'm entertaining, also ).

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    2. Hate to tell you Annon 5:34, to at least some extent James is right.
      You said it yourself.
      Mortgage = never paid off (most likely)
      Now if you own land free and clear - that you are permitted to stay on, do double check that before purchase - you will have as much as 1/2 of your take home pay back in your pocket if you are staying on that land some how. If you build an energy saving (aka small) structure to stay in on it with your own hands you will be saving energy/heating/cooling costs as well. Then you only need to worry about transport to and from wherever you need to go.
      If you do it bicycle you can save thousands more.
      Put all that money into preps and you will never have to go hungry, thirsty, or cold. Put a little of it into other forms of savings and hardware insurance and you will have peace of mind and the ability to weather the coming recession mk 3, or ww3, or what have you.
      But once you have a good chunk of that, you are set - make certain not to stress over things too much at that point and have fun.

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    3. I think he concedes the point and pokes a bit of fun at himself doing so. He gets it. That's the great thing about peasant prepping-no matter how deep your Yuppie Scum hole it is easy to bare bones prep if nothing else.

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    4. It sounds like the cost of a single deluxe semi-auto rifle and a hybrid NV/Thermal imager would set a person up with a site (waterless, dirt road, remote, off-grid), a hovel, and a couple years of bare calories. Add that it gets bought by a non-profit research agency not-in-your-name makes it that much more difficult to look up.

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    5. It might be impossible to get the under $500 land I found in 2005 ( three times ), but even $2k land is a steal compared to rent. Or a storage rental.

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