SQUEEZING
THE TOOTHPASTE TUBE
I was
trying to remember the commonly used phrase for an action which cannot be
undone and my brain has frozen up on that one, kind of like a movie you are
trying to remember the title to or in which actor played in. Right on the tip of your brain. Light the fuse? Presumably you could spit on your finger and
snuff out the combusting part. Release
the balloon ( referring to the launch of a balloon to signal an attack, most
often associated with nuclear conflict although some claim the phraseology goes
back to the Yankee Aggression Of 1861 when observation balloons being launched
was a precursor to attack )? I believe
those are on tethers. So you could just
reel in in. Pull the plug? You just reinsert. So, finally, I’m just going with squeezing
the toothpaste out of the tube. You can’t
get that crap back in, at least not with the common tools available to the
standard homeowner. And since Ebola is
on all our minds, ask yourself, “when do I squeeze the tube?” It is all well and good to talk endlessly
about why we should prep and how we should prep and for most of us, what cool
toys must we have to prep. But when
something like a disease comes along that could kill you in a puddle of your
own rendered fatty organs, you start to get down to the gritty details. It isn’t an abstract puzzle anymore but your
financial ruin upon any misstep. Yet
hesitation also kills you. Literally.
*
Back in
the day of Leave It To Beaver fathers serenely puffing a pipe in his easy chair
reading a newspaper which was situated atop a fallout basement bunker, things
were relatively easy. For one, you
usually could trust what you were reading, by and large. Sure, reporters could easily be lied to and
misled, but Hell hath little fury like a reporter scorned and they had enough
integrity to bulldog their way to the truth and usually consequences be
damned. Today, a young flaming idiot
goes to college for four years at $40k, all to learn how to copy and paste
Associated Press releases on a computer and that doesn’t require either “investigative”
or “reporting” ( and don’t even get me started on the pool of vapid slop “60
Minutes” on TV has degenerated into ).
For another, you just trusted that the radio or TV would give you a
Soviet launch warning of incoming ICBM’s and you could scurry down into your
hidey hole and then later in a few weeks you could emerge to a bright shiny
world of Navy SeeBees bulldozing fallout off the crop fields and a friendly
Civil Defense coordinator at the county instructing you further. Okay, perhaps it wouldn’t really have worked
out exactly as planned, but always remember and never forget that in a growing
resource base economy, the slow centralization is actually a good thing,
increasing productivity exponentially ( we are seeing an exponential decline
now, which is SOOOOOOO friggin surprising given the mirage miracle of fracking
oil ).
*
The point
being, as planet busting super deluxe disasters went, you had few worries about
that toothpaste tube. Now, don’t mistake
me here. I’m not saying that Ebola is a
civilization ending super unprecedented disaster. It COULD be, but I’m certainly not convinced
at this point. And even if I was, you
wouldn’t care to listen ( but more on that coming up ). Right now, it is just a potential “we are all
going to die” event. There is NOT going
to be any announcement to that effect.
You are all on your own deciding- there will be no radio announcement to
retire to your bunker. If you follow
most prepper/survival blogs, a common theme-even here I shall admit- is No
Brainer Disasters. Everything is pretty
self-explanatory Get Out This Very Minute disasters. Wall street crashes ( yes, I know, a
contrived notion now that the markets in the western world are all rigged, but
a historical worry that still survives ) and the money to fuel the economy
freezes up. No truck deliveries, no power
grid workers, etc. Or, a Jihad Towel
Head 99 Virgins Dude detonates the tactical nuke shoved up his ass in
Washington DC and anarchy descends upon the land as our benevolent Big Daddy is
no longer sending out Ghetto Pay-Off Checks.
Not to mention all the traditional Immediate Collapse worries such as a
continental wide EMP, or an asteroid, etc.
Everyone is selling and buying the notion of a billboard advertised
collapse- “you are now free to panic”.
The timing is NOT ambivalent. The
signal is clear and loud.
*
This
sells product. You can’t sell prepper
products if everyone is dropping out of the Rat Race ahead of a disaster in
anticipation of a collapse. You know,
getting there five years too early rather than five seconds too late. Homesteaders are allowed, because to pay off
the mortgage they still commute to a job.
But true Malthusian Survivalists ( side note: I was thinking on changing my blog sub-header
from “all things survival from the movements gadfly” to something with
Malthusian in it. Say, “the Malthusian
Survivalist movements gadfly”. What do
you all think? Suggestions? ) who drop
out are not wage slaves and if you aren’t earning a wage above bare minimum to
barely survive, you can’t buy consumer items, now can you? But a GREAT way to sell oodles and gobs of
product is to have people frozen in fear at their jobs and using those jobs to
purchase talismans to ward off evil. And
what could possibly be more evil than to be frozen out of the consumer market,
the dating pool and the lifetime achievement award race? I’m not pointing fingers accusingly. We are ALL guilty of this not because we are
weak and worthless and attempt to buy happiness, but because this is how humans
are hard wired. We are puppets to our
DNA and we respond accordingly. Yet, to
survive, you must go against your programming.
Now, you might respond, evolution has equipped us to survive near
extinction level events with population bottlenecks and so how is going against
our very nature going to assure our survival?
Man has duality.
*
Just as a
warrior can remain peaceful, as needed, a social animal can revert to
anti-social behavior for a time as a coping mechanism. An individual single purposefully pursuing
mating material can become celibate for a time.
We can deprogram for a short period.
So your task becomes identifying when this is necessary. You certainly cannot fight your programming
long term, but for a short enough time span it is not only possible but
essential. The timing is what gets you
killed. For almost all of us, we pretend
to diligently study a potential problem in depth so as to know when the timing
to act is right but in reality all we are doing is using more information as an
excuse to never act. We are forever
gathering intelligence to make better decisions, until gathering is all we ever
do. Let me ask you a simple
question. How many Dallas-Fort Worth
area based survivalists have acted with finality? How many have bunkered down? We’d have heard, surely, from online forums
that someone, anyone, is concerned now enough at Patient Zero City with all the
official incompetence to take the drastic step of squeezing the tube. Have you heard anything? Not me.
We all know most survivalists are not in Idaho but in larger metro areas
where the jobs are ( bloggers can bloviate endlessly all they want on how super
deluxe wonderful Idaho is but until real estate prices come down and a few jobs
open up outside those urban areas, I’m not sold that one can be a survivalist
there without getting into debt, working in the city and planning on bugging
out ). Surely a city that large has its
share of survivalists. My guess is that
most are bunker in one month food supply, a generator and an AR type of prepper
with a mortgage. And as Ebola has shown,
that is a very crappy type of prepper to be.
Because you can’t escape early enough.
You must support a wife and kids, in the lifestyle of their choice. So you live in the middle of a bullseye. Hell, the only consequence I face squeezing
the tube is not having a job reference when I come back to civilization after a
false alarm, if I do. The wife will
bitch about no more beer, and not enough cigarettes or coffee, but the worst
thing she can do is leave me and I’m used to that. And just worrying about quitting before two
weeks notice is up is enough to cause me grief about this decision, should it
arrive. I can’t imagine how anyone with
rent or a mortgage or the prospects of an expensive divorce can do anything but
analyze away the problem as a defense mechanism. You have doomed yourself to die and it isn’t
even Civilization Down yet. Even if you
act smartly and promptly, in this particular scenario you have the very real
possibility of having almost the entire population able to bug out of the cities
toward you. You might be more screwed if
you leave. Of course, staying, how do
you bug-in? If you don’t work, money
doesn’t flow in. No money, no
marriage. Expensive divorce, utilities
shut off, tax arrears proceedings. How
do you dispose of garbage? Keep the
freezer running? I could go on and
on. Civilization Up survival is not
really possible. So you tough it out,
take precautions like masks and gloves and avoiding crowds, but no urban
environment allows enough isolation. If
you appear fed enough, your home gets invaded.
You can’t keep people far enough away.
*
You want
answers. You want disease details,
tripping points. Isn’t is obvious enough
you won’t get those from me or anyone else?
Too much disinformation is out there.
Too many people have a vested interest that enriches them and kills
you. You are all alone, brothers and
sisters. The only group answer is to
hope like heck the pandemic never gets a foothold, going about our
business. People safely in the boonies
making money selling you fear can stay in isolation. You can’t.
You can bug out now, using a variety of low cost strategies, but you are
condemning yourself to economic suicide.
Well, middle class suicide, anyway.
It isn’t so drastic you will starve.
Not yet. Not until a car of
disease ridden crack heads moves up to your small town in an isolated area
because one has a relative that cooks meth near your compound. Then, if you haven’t prepped enough food
because you insisted on the expensive protein rich variety diet, and spent most
of your money moving there and surviving three months without a job, then you
starve or die of Ebola. No
guarantees, obviously, just varying
degrees of probability.
END ARTICLE, MORE BELOW
BOOK REVIEW
The Beginning Of The End
by Michael T Snyder is NOT a great book.
Here is the author of the blog The Economic Collapse Blog, with a book
NOT about an economic collapse. Okay, my
bad, pardon me for assuming I was going to get details about the economy
collapsing. I should have naturally
known it was going to be about the Illuminati, one world government and how the
Devil himself was running the whole planned collapse. This story has every contrived device
hundreds of other authors use in the standard genre of One Man Saves The World
novels. I don’t blame this author for
being another voice. He probably read
the same story I did long ago reporting Robin Cook studied story details of
many New York Times Bestseller List books to plot his manuscripts. The problem being, back then the big
publishers were just starting to lower the bar on readers to increase book
sales ( direct writing towards lowest common denominator sixth grade reading
levels to turn more consumers into readers to increase purchases to pay for
increased publisher mergers ) and you still had a modicum of talent churning
out bestsellers. Today, the crap that is
vomited out is so embarrassing I wouldn’t strive to emulate it. But, being a poor to mediocre fiction writer
myself, I can’t throw stones in glass houses.
If Mikes only sin was contrived plot devices I wouldn’t bitch. If the ideas being presented were
worthy. Yet, they are most decidedly
NOT.
*
I could put up with cliff
wall secret car door openings and glowing red eye seven foot giant assassins if
I was reading about economic collapse and prepping for same. But beyond “make a million at Silicon Valley
and retire to Montana backwoods with a rich mans retreat” there is no prepping
advice. And beyond “Dow lost 500 a day
for a week and banks lost hundreds of billions in derivatives and Saudi Arabia
is now taking Euro’s for oil”, the only thing this story touched economic wise
was how many poor people the characters saw outside the car window as they sped
away from Lucifer’s Soldiers. Technique
was adequate. The story moved along fast
enough, and character development wasn’t even as badly ignored as a lot of
bestselling authors do. For a first
novel, this certainly was far better crafted than 99% of the post-apocalypse
Kindle stories out there. But I wanted
survivalism for my body, not just my soul.
I’m happy Mike was born again and saved from himself. I’m not so bitter that I want to share my
pain with the world. I just hate him
trying to save me using trickery. He
didn’t exactly lie to get me to buy this book, but he WAS a former attorney and
it shows in this attempt at “I didn’t lie, I omitted”. I could even attribute that to salesmanship,
trying to create excitement by suspense.
By not revealing too much. Yes,
in truth I told myself how this book was going to be before I bought it. I certainly share some of the blame. But if his misdirection, or misinformation,
or simply misunderstanding costs you money as it makes him a profit, wouldn’t
you be a bit bitter? Also, as a personal
quirk, nice job killing extra trees using such large print. Al Gore certainly can’t be faulted for carbon
emissions to spread his word, and obviously Mike doesn’t attribute resource
depletion to an underlying cause of economic collapse.
END
*
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If my Blogger page ever goes down, I will start to post at my regular web site:
www.BisonPress.com
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My books on PDF available at
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By the by, all my writing is copyrighted. For the obtuse out there.
Good article LB. I can see your batteries are recharging. This Ebola has huge potential to screw up the works. If it gets a foot hold the panic could be the event. Of course we can hope that most of the sheep believe the CDC that "we can handle this" and they all sit at home for a couple days while those that have a clue do what needs to be done. I feel sorry for those of us in the large metro areas. I wish I was farther out sometimes but alas I too must work.
ReplyDeleteThis was the same word count as an entire week, old posting style, but since I didn't have to come up with multiple subjects it was easier and more relaxing.
DeleteDumbass here, forgot to include the following super blog relating to Ebola:
Deletehttp://raconteurreport.blogspot.com/
I liked it. You hit the nail on the head, and then pounded it home.
DeleteI too am thinking long and hard about how I could know in time to batten down the hatches. Ebola, Nuke war, etc, etc, there is no clear signal until it is (almost?) too late. I am living and working out in the boonies. But that is no real defense - I have to go into a cubicle every work day, surrounded by other office workers, many of whom come in daily contact with the transients and poor people trying to make a living in the Bakken oil boom. I have some minor contacts with medical people in the area that I might get word of some suspicious illnesses early on- but maybe not.
I do get paid sick leave- but 3-4 weeks on a CHANCE of an major disaster of any sort, would leave me without it should the disaster arrive later.
For Ebola disaster, I do have family who will not be physically contacting me should I, as the bread winner, show symptoms. I will be self guarantied in the un attached garage with enough supplies to suffer through the disease, And the rest of the family will be self quarantined in the house with, again, sufficient supplies for (more than) the duration of the illness. But that is a fall back plan at best and unlikely to work well.
Getting setup for isolation is hard for a social animal, even harder is figuring out when to socially isolate.
Good luck to all.
I can't get myself to commit to this like I did Y2K or Peak Oil, but still I have a very bad feeling about this. Mainly because, this was at the bottom of my prep list so most likely to bite me in the ass. One example, the wife has meds for breathing issues, but sometimes still has to go to the ER. I'm constructing a separate Sun Room, digging already done, waiting for lumber run, but most likely we both catch it the same time unaware and no quarantine or plans to drop out will work.
DeleteRead nurse odum's blog too, "a prosperous way down," peak oil + ebola= megadoom.
ReplyDeleteThanks. Checked it out. OK, but still prefer Racoteur's.
DeleteYou can't put the Genie back in the bottle.
ReplyDeleteThat is a good one, but I don't think its the one I was trying to remember. Damn old burned out brain.
Delete"For almost all of us,we pretend to diligently study a potential problem in depth so as to know when the timing is right but in reality all we are doing is using more information as an excuse to never act."
ReplyDeleteSuch sentences are worth waiting a week for.
:)
DeleteOn the Arch Druids blog, he did some 'doubling' math to show that, should ebola continue to spread at the rate it has by the end of @ September 2015 everyone in the world would have contracted it.
ReplyDeleteNow this is mostly due to the exponential nature ( the 'hockey stick' curve) of exponential functions, and obviously would not be the actual reality of the situation, BUT it does indicate how soon we could start seeing serious effects from the natural spread of the disease, and, if it is deliberately spread by terrorists or other conspiracies it could arrive sooner.
SO - once everyone has had it at least once, with a 30-70% mortality rate, we will probably see the resource demand (and production) drop by about 20-70%, giving those who survive a little longer until the resource collapse.
Or, more likely, we will use up MORE resources fighting it to a standstill, until some key resource(s) get too rare, THEN it will hit with a vengeance....
(first financial collapse - that we are currently in - then resource collapse - clearly visible on the near horizon time wise - then famine and plague and first wave of widespread mass violence - followed by new temporary normal, until a new financial collapse, rinse and repeat)
If this is manmade, and I'm not saying either way, the PTB have grossly miscalculated. Once you have X amount of power workers absent, grid down nuke power meltdown. Truckers, food riots. Let loose amongst military, no guards at the gate. Too complex, too many tangled webs. One small critical failure and our reducing redundancy to save money implodes the system.
DeleteI was referring to the resource and financial problems being deliberately induced. I think Ebola is a (most likely) a natural disease, the failure to deal with it correctly is either total ignorance or a deliberate act on TPTB part.
DeleteGreat article Jim! I believe that this is one of the most well-written works that I've had the joy of reading on your blog (and I've been reading for 7+ years). Really well put-together, interesting, and (of course) entertaining. Bravo! And, I got to learn something new by finding out what "Malthusian" means. Speaking of which, "the Malthusian Survivalist Movements Gadfly" might be a pretty good fit (and maybe even "sound" kinda' cool too). Thanks for all you do!
ReplyDeleteWhy thank you! See, Minions, was that so hard?
DeleteI think the phrase you are looking for is 'Crossing the Rubicon' . It comes from the days of Julius Caesar. Interesting story, you should look it up.
ReplyDeleteBy the way, this Idaho Backwoods Homesteader is debt free. Not because I have ever made a lot of money . But we bought junk land cheap and have worked like dogs for over twenty years building our place.
There is a great saying out there: You can have two out of three -- you can have it done quick, done right or done cheap.
Idaho Homesteader
It did pop into my head this morning- "pull the trigger". I'm sure that was the one I was looking for. I do have the book "Crossing The Rubicon" by Michael Rupport. Read it twice and was thinking about a third time soon. Don't agree with all of it, but what a great book!
DeleteI think I read the same article this morning. It is alarmist, but if you can embrace a bad credit rating as a means to reign in your credit addiction, simply declare bankruptcy to avoid the worst of it. Don't get fleeced as their ship is sinking.
ReplyDeleteSay, “the Malthusian Survivalist movements gadfly”. What do you all think? Suggestions?
ReplyDelete"Facing the end with Malthusiasm"?
Name anonymous due to embarrasment
"Priceless advice for the malthusiastic prepper."?
ReplyDeletestill embarrased
not sure 'malthusiastic' is a word
DeleteThe English language is FLEXIBLE. Say it is a word, have a commonly understood meaning and suddenly everyone is tweeting it.
Delete(see what I did there?)
It does sound kind of cool, like merging Malthus and Enthusiastic. A Happy Malthusian.
DeleteI was forced into bankruptcy by evil woman #2 and lost the house in the process. 2 years later the bank holding the mortgage mails me a 1099 for the deficiency amount any way. Cost me $400 for a cpa to get it fixed with uncle sugar's irs.
ReplyDeleteYa got it coming AND going.
ReplyDelete