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Monday, October 20, 2014

malthus you beautiful bastard


MALTHUS YOU BEAUTIFUL BASTARD

We all know Reverend Malthus and his essay on famine and overpopulation.  What I find remarkable is that no one is celebrating his work as unfolding before our eyes ( and at this point this is NOT hyperbole ).  I’m also amazed that on average your higher educated naked apes are so friggin lacking in the slightest common sense that something as simple as the observation that population increases faster than agriculture can sustain it is considered so groundbreaking that over two hundred years later we are all still talking about it and even more embarrassing we are still debating it.  The debate on overpopulation isn’t some rocket surgery where the facts are hard to ascertain like Gore Warming.  A casual look at history will show that time and again without fail all civilizations overshoot and crash.  Malthus, perhaps on a slow day after he had already debated how many angels could dance on the head of a pin, came up with this polished turd and suddenly everyone was all spurting and sputtering and soiling themselves and the hoo-ha continues to this day ( obviously this is an oversimplification.  Malthus was primarily involved in economics, and etc. ).  As I said, kind of embarrassing for all the rest of us.  To this day, on a slow news day, central banking whores like Forbes magazine ( or even worse, The Economist ) ride Malthus like a rabid cheap pony on its way to the glue factory, trying to sell the idea that only modern man is slick and special enough to solve all the problems the ancient club draggers had no clue about and so we can safely ignore any doomers or gloomers.

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Folks like Catton update the message, essentially unchanged but gayed up with a college degree, but manage to keep the essence simple and easily understood and conveyable, and they too are ignored.  I speak of the reindeer and lichen supply on an island and the microbes in the petri dish with the yeast he used as analogies ( the book “Overshoot”- really about the only background cause and effect book a survivalist needs to understand the future ), and while he was quite successful preaching to the choir, I wonder how few folks were actually converted to worry about the future.  All this we’ve covered before, the propensity to live in denial, the ready submission to whatever paradigm pays/feeds you currently, etc.  It does very little good to preach to the heathens, because no matter how forceful your argument or logical your premise, no one is going to listen.  It is mental masturbation, only making yourself feel good.  And preaching to the choir is little better, except for the general tendency to keep the troops rallied and motivated.  At least some good comes from those efforts.  Today, I’d like to demonstrate how Malthus’ warning is now unfolding.  No longer is it theory for a bleak future we all glory in, a science fiction tale we amuse ourselves with because we are still surrounded by enough prosperity to ignore the central message.  Malthus’ Nightscape is nigh, yo.

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We don’t live in a world of abundance.  Famine is already loose upon the land and it’s kissing cousin pestilence is riding its ass harder than a lifer prisoner with a new virgin cellmate and a bucket of Vaseline.  Even in the First World countries like the US.  Our famine is, once again ( the South during the War Of Northern Colonization and afterwards, then again the South and a few other areas during the Roosevelt Bankers Whore Engineered Great Depression ) , disguised as malnutrition.  Despite generations of schoolmarm lies disguised as education, malnourishment of our general population has not magically disappeared.  It has gotten far, far worse, in line with degraded soil fertility and overpopulation.  You think famine is an either/or proposition?  That one day we are feasting at overloaded groaning tables with a vomitorium next door and the next suddenly the food supply is gone and we swoon painfully from a weakened position into the street, flies swarming our eyeballs?  Famine is preceded by small drops in the food supply ( speaking in broad, public-wide, generalities ) in a functioning but declining civilization ( obviously you have sudden complete disruptions like in war, cities besieged, etc. ).  Which cause malnutrition in the long term.  You aren’t dead from lack of food but severely weakened from not enough.  Which opens you up for disease.  Which is what kills most people, NOT famine per se.   It is important to understand this distinction, because this is the position we are now currently in.  None of us are starving, but we are so weakened by the condition of the food we eat that diseases are becoming very widespread and much more dangerous.

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It is entertaining to speculate that diseases spreading across the globe are manmade, manufactured by an evil ruling elite to kill off the useless breathers/breeders so as to leave far more supplies from a dwindling supply for themselves.  But this falls into the trap I label as “Primetime TV 8:50 Plot Windup”.  As we all know, those junkies that use television as their mind candy drug of choice, the last five minutes of TV shows are four minutes of commercials followed by one minute of a last joke and the credits.  So, at ten till you have five minutes to wind up the plot, answering all the mysterious questions piled on since the show started.  Usually it is so improbable that shown alone it would have you vomiting your show time soda up through your nose, but since we have been conditioned to view this as mindless entertainment we don’t question this standard practice.  With our public/media propaganda, we are giving the 8:50 Lie which by itself is silly but which sooths us and dampens our fears.  Blaming naturally occurring events on men has several improbable plot lines.  First, most people are stupid.  Leaders are just as stupid ( see Obammy exhibit A ), but more dishonest and more ruthless/vicious.  Secondly, man has very limited powers compared to nature, even with all that wonderful carbon fuel power at his disposal ( a single volcano can belch more pollutants into the atmosphere than a year’s manufacturing globally, and make Hiroshima look like a firecracker ).

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Third, more importantly to your survival, if you believe man made the problem, you infer there will be a manmade solution ( even under the “deliberate die-off” scenario, you can be the most inconsequential person on the planet and still hold out hope for some kind of rescue, given our self-delusional sense of self-importance ).  This belief is very dangerous, as it will cause you to relax your guard and carry on with Business as Usual for too long.  It actually behooves those in power to spread the belief that the elite manufactured a crisis, as a pacification technique.  They are too friggin stupid to know how to do the hard work of a die-off, but they are smart enough to make you think they are responsible.  I contend- and yes, I could be just as full of crap as the next uber-idiot with a keyboard- that the recent easier spread of diseases is most likely caused by something as simple as a tripping point being reached in which enough of the population is in a weakened physical condition for pathogens to spread more successfully than in the last few generations.  We’ve had widespread carbon fuel based transportation for over a hundred years now, yet for the last sixty or seventy of those years disease has been, broadly speaking, losing ground to modern medicine.  So how do you suddenly blame airplanes for Ebola?  Around five years ago we started seeing serious depletion of the grain supplies worldwide.  Due to weather change whether man made or not, as well as ethanol programs using food for fuel.  Due to overpopulation, as well as Peak Oil impacting the centralization of food production in its many aspects.  A lot of the Third World is in serious calorie deficiency because of this, making widespread malnutrition more than a hence regional-only problem.  Areas which before were adequately fed are now ripe for the Four Horsemen to graze upon a newly denuded landscape ( war was already unleashed and now famine and soon to be pestilence ).  And the First World has serious issues with eating far too many empty calories.  It has been pointed out that the US suffers from Fat People Problems, hypertension and cancers and heart attacks and etc.  I could argue that older age causes more of those, but for now I’ll just make the point that aside from Affluence Disease issues, we suffer from a diet made largely of poor quality foods.  And while this is nothing new, the recent draught added to corn misuse added to a tripping point of overpopulation in this country makes for a newer, more critical problem.

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We were eating more because we could, true, but also because our bodies craved nutrients and wasn’t getting any and hence craved more food.  We don’t crave calories per se making us over eat but crave the correct chemistry we aren’t getting.  The body craves more food in its quest to get the proper items it needs for functioning.  Now, start taking away some of that extra food because drought and lack of corn and increased herd disease tripled meat and fat prices and drought and misallocation of resources towards fuel crops doubled all other consumable prices and what you are now seeing in affluent countries is a decrease in calories ( disguised by Michele Obama and NYC’s Bloomberg as Big Brother caring and compassion and Health Conscience but really the opening salvos of soon to be food rationing ).  Which would be fine if that led to healthier eating.  But all it really means for most people is a reduction in nutrients.  Since the food is already denuded, reducing its volume is only taking away what little trace amounts of nutrients so desperately needed were in that reduced amount.  Fake Food has been around going on eighty or so years, all for corporate profit and individual laziness.  Fake Food is nothing new and you can easily avoid most of it easily and cheaply.  But now we have begun engineering substitute food disguised as “unaltered food” ( broth injected raw chicken, pink slime hamburger ), and for some time now all produce you eat is grown in dead soil and all meat you eat is injected with unspeakable things while still on the hoof.

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Take more starving people and expose them to more and more disease, more easily spread due to weather changes, then expose those people once infected to affluent malnourished people living in an area mixing drought with unchecked immigration and population growth, and while you don’t have separate pestilence or separate famine, you do have an uneasy mix and match of the two in its milder forms.  Add in low level widespread warfare ( on a barely related but interesting note, in the news Obammy the House Negro is talking about activating the inactive reserve, presumably to send them over to Africa to get far more warm traveling bodies infected.  For those never in the military, the inactive reserve are those which got out of active service, then had the additional time required to be in reserve.  i.e. you serve four years in active then are subject to another three years while a civilian to further call-up at the governments discretion.  It was my understanding while signing on the line in my time that this was only to be in cases of dire emergency such as Soviet invasion.  Alas, any common sense idea can be subverted by lawyers and I believe this technicality was how Bush used Stop Loss to keep troops active when manpower got short in Iraq.  Now I guess it just means the Prez can send you to your death even while not in war ).  Presto, Malthus Lite.  Ain’t the now the future used to be grand?

END
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20 comments:

  1. The older generation for the most part realize whats going on.
    Where just hoping its happening slow enough we die before whe're affected to much.
    Its the younger generation that needs to hear the word.
    With our 'educational' system all is lost.
    Stick the fork innum.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anon,
    Homeschooling is making big in-roads across the US and even, to a much lesser extent, Globally. Still just a fraction of the total students out there but useful for spreading the Malthus word to. And to keep the darkness of the message (population overshoot means we all die) you can temper it with "unless you carefully prepare the necessary resources to buy enough time to find new resources".

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    Replies
    1. The whole portion about getting enough resources to find new resources is our issue though right? Because so much of the infrastructure to "help" us find/develop a use for new resources is using oil age tech. On the other hand if someone were to use the argument of well lets just go bass-ackwards to agg age tech That throws a whole bunch of other wrenches in the works for instance how will losing some of the infrastructure and tech now affect the post information society tech? (Just spitballing here really want to hear what you have to say)

      -Sumdude

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    2. The book "the knowledge" actually does this quite well. Some of his crap is too fanciful, such as being able to replicate the process for artificial nitrogen on lower tech. And a lot is filler. But a lot is gold, such as a lot of different chemical processes just from trees. For two examples, vinegar so as to save food crops for other uses and primitive glass blowing. I can't do the book justice without reading it again, but I actually think it should be on everyone's bookshelf.

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    3. by dartnell?

      -sumdude

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    4. That's the one ( look up at the top left of the page- I put it as my Amazon Ad ).

      Delete
  3. As far as the lord bison's observation that we are already starving- he is completely right. Trace minerals and nutrients in the soil of almost all farms (even most organic farms) is at an all time low. If the nutrients aren't in the soil the plants cant provide them to those who consume them. Organic foods are slightly better, but still less nutritious than typical foods only a hundred years ago. We have somehow found the raw calories to temporarily claim victory over Malthus's prophecies. But it is temporary and the calories alone are stolen from a store known as 'Fossil Fuels'. A store that is running out of affordable calories.
    (did everyone read the recent oil price dip was causing a great deal of concern in the various fracking oil patches?- seems no new wells can be drilled without prices well above $80/barrel).

    ReplyDelete
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    1. I STILL MAINTAIN-sorry, cap locked again- that the fedgov is somehow channeling secret funds to industry to subsidize fracking. It is a great investment- Monopoly money to kick the can down the road.

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    2. Secret? not at all. Oil companies get actual subsidies to discover oil, huge tax breaks on their profits, lesser subsidies on a variety of levels, overall most oil companies pay less in taxes than almost any other sort of company (oddly enough the next most comparable type of company would be Agriculture- only on the biggest scale.)

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  4. History tells us that the Spanish Flu was so bad, in part, due to the poor nutrition and stress from the war.

    Somehow those factors no longer matter?

    Populations can drop pretty darn quick without most people even catching on until later. One day it occurs to them that the've gone to a lot of funerals and not a lot of baptisms. That is, if they are one of the survivors. Population can drop quickly even as governments are still muddling along.

    Of course, it can also, and often does, drop right off the freaking cliff.

    People are all happy that the price of oil has gone down. Whoppee. It will strangle the fraking fuel industry and there won't be any cushion when the conventional stuff runs out. We'll probably be dealing with more pressing problems to even notice.

    Don't mind me. Just spent the evening cleaning and oiling my guns . . .

    ReplyDelete
  5. No Doctor James, the President has been urged to make the oil prices drop right before this up-coming Mid-term election. If the Democrats win, gas prices surge again!
    Right now in my area gas is every where (sorry to show you at least a little wrong) at $3.15 a Gal. Also could this be a way to stimulate the economy?
    Just read that in America we will spend 6 billion on Halloween to dress up and decorate as to what we used to spend on Christmas, is this also a sign of the coming horsemen?
    I be thinking that if THEY can keep our minds off of politics, Ebola, Isis, and the up-coming Flu season and put a few extra bucks from our gas tanks that can now be used for Halloween, Thanksgiving, And Christmas THEY might be thinking we are going to a quiet death just like the sheep.
    Just my 2 cents worth. Keep up the good long articles Doctor!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For a reply to you, and Sixbears, I'm not seeing how anyone is excited about a 10% drop in oil prices. It is temporary. Indeed, 6B, whoopee! When folks get wood over a gas station ten cents cheaper, then fill up for a dollar a tank less after spending $30, are our priorities correct? Cheap, meaningless, too small victories. You know how I feel about the illusive right/left "divide". But of course, you make my/your point, don't you? They get all excited and distracted. Yes, the timing is curious. It almost does make you believe in conspiracy theories. I am enjoying the longer articles myself. My stress level is WAYYY down. I'm even now chomping at the bit to add fiction to the total.

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    2. Another option may be that the US is using oil as a weapon (IMO, against countries that are moving away from using the USD as the settlement currency for foreign exchange) - http://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/The-Oil-Weapon-A-New-Way-To-Wage-War.html

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  6. By the way, if you want a quick overview of some of the data:
    http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/soil-depletion-and-nutrition-loss/

    It is soil depletion along with developing frankencrops- large, pretty, disease-resistant strains also tend to have less nutrition per ounce of food, but are attractive to consumers.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks for the background. Appreciated, as should all minions be.

      Delete
  7. On 16 October 2014, an Executive Order was posted at Whitehouse-dot-gov.
    IRR-subject persons will be contacted and called up. I called my buddy (recently back from overseas, with psych "issues" and 2 bad knees) to tell him. The VA had already called him for a mysterious "info" appointment, the next day a letter requiring him to report to MEPS appeared. MEPS appointment is tomorrow 22Oct2014. Lesson: Don't have a shortage MOS (MP) when joining the US Mil.

    The call-up for Africa is not a rumor.

    Cheers.

    pdxr13

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    Replies
    1. Excellent, thank you. Way back in the day, MP's were then too in shortage. Not sure why, as they are of course the coolest MOS.

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    2. update on trip to MEPS:
      Lots of MP's and Medics in the waiting room. MP's all have level 3 chemical weapon training. Medics seem angry, all are chubby from no PT and a life of excessive liquid carb's.
      Buddy was "too broken" and is now free of IRR status. Praise da Laord an pass me ammunition!

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    3. I was in USAF when IRR was changed from "Inactive Ready Reserve" to "Individual Ready Reserve", preserving the acronym while making the meaning less clear (never to the disadvantage of the Command). I never re-did any paperwork and could have been subject for about 18 months, but I was in a surplus MOS (smart guys who fixed things in aircon building) and got out Honorable and no-IRR!

      2014 MP's are not rousting soldiers out of bars like WWII movies, they are heavy mechanized infantry/camp guards/insta-security. In the future, MP's will wear armored battle suits like in Starship Troopers and be Judge Dredd. Mobile Infantry, Hoo-Rah!

      Delete
    4. 1983 MP's were the same, much to my chagrin. But still, way cooler than your average idiot in cammo position in the Green Weenie.

      Delete

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