unicorns and oil

UNICORNS AND OIL

During a particularly harsh winter, there is a shortage of heating fuel. The Secretary of the Interior calls for a crash program to extract shale oil from the Green River Formation under Colorado, Wyoming and Utah. The plants would be built with sixteen million tons of steel at a projected $100 Billion. In ten years, up to two million barrels a day of fuel would be produced. Alternately, our reserves of coal could be converted by the Fisher/Tropsch process, as the Nazi's had used during the war. This could circumvent our dependence on middle eastern oil.

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Sounds good, right? It sure sounded good in 1948, when this actually happened. All I did was substitute “heating fuel” for “heating oil” ( before natural gas was used and we were just switching over from coal ), and adjust the $9 billions for inflation. This was prior to the Interstate system being built, as you'll perhaps recall the last mega-construction project in this country. Back then, we had the industry, the raw materials, the educated work force, the infrastructure and the national will to undertake such projects. None of which we have today, except the money, but fiat currency doesn't create the others out of thin air.

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Now, obviously, the winter ended, other sources of oil and heating were found, we DID become dependent on foreign oil and a very long precedent was set where we merely talked about energy independence instead of did anything about it. We no longer have huge reserves of coal to use, and the only country to ever resort to that after Germany was South Africa, during the Apartheid era while under embargo ( during which their arms industry developed a lot of good hardware ). And the Green River fantasy NEVER panned out.

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Not for lack of imagination, but lack of water and any possibility of it being economically feasible. I simply LOVE when some Optimistic Ollie get his knickers in a bunch over “our unwillingness to innovate and invest in our vast reserves of oil”. You do realize that, from your extensive research which also covered Canadian tar sands, shale oil must be COOKED. As in, heat needs to be used to extract the SYNTHETIC oil. It isn't even real oil. Gee I wonder how high-NOT-the energy return on investment is with that.

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This is basically what all the “huge reserves, biggest in the world” crap is in Venezuela. Fake oil, with most likely a negative return on energy. Oh, you can extract and process all you want, throwing money at the problem. But it is either negative net energy, or such a minute return as to be a huge money waster. You do realize that fracking oil, while a HUGE improvement over “a gabazillion trillion barrels of oil under Wyoming and Utah” as far as net energy, is still a money loser, AND a very small net energy return, do you not? It WAS a gift from God, but by no means a miracle.

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Politicians are one of the worlds biggest scumbags. Worse than pedophiles, because at least those sick bastards can only ruin one kids life at a time. Politicians ruin millions with their stupidity. And you can place millions to one odds with your Vegas bookie that they will always, without exception, take the easy way out of any problem ( yes, even your beloved Trump. Reagan was a politician, not all that great at working an honest job, but at least he was a RELATIVELY harmless politician, whom had in my opinion an actual desire to help. And your Trump is emphatically NOT a Reagan ).

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FDR was put into the White House by the bankers who caused the Great Depression. He stole the citizens gold because the bankers so desired it. He got us into WWII, to save the economy the bankers screwed over. And at the end of his pathetic and slimy life, he set up our “special relationship” with Saudi Arabia. Every step of the way, taking the easy way out. The reason we had a heating oil shortage in 1948 was because the economy was allowed to go full bore, so as not to endanger the economic recovery the war delivered. We grew too fast for our oil supply.

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And never did the hard things stopping that Juggernaut. We kept taking the easy way out, one retarded, short sighted political decision after another. I'm not saying the shale oil project should have preceded. It was a fantasy from the beginning. What we should have done was stop consuming oil as if it was going to last forever. We went from producing half the world's oil, to today's ten percent of conventional oil. But during that time we quadrupled our oil use.

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There was never any choice but to build our colonial empire, not after we hitched our wagon to unbridled consumption. We had to have oil, lots of it, and more of it every year. We kept telling ourselves sweet little lies, every swinging dingus among us bleating about “one MILLION years of energy use from shale oil!”, “the thousand year Reich from fracking oil!”. Some fool will get a woody over “tidal power, to send mankind to the stars!” or “cover Arizona in solar panels, and we'll have Jettson flying cars!”. No one cares about Jim, projectile vomiting blood over in the corner.

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These people that cannot accept reality, that think even if we couldn't use shale oil seventy years ago, well, by gum, we sure can do so NOW, even if the population doubled and we used up our coal ( it took China twenty years of growth to run out of its coal, but we are 'Muricans, so we'd have done better ), they are as small children. Too immature to accept that bad things can still happen to good people. If you just cover your ears and hum, you don't have to listen.

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If I tell you Peak Uranium was 1979, you just cherry pick the propaganda piece of your choice, a university or media outlet that has never lied about anything ( diversity is our strength! Gore Warming! ), and deny that. If I tell you smarter folks than me earning a living from resource studies point to fracking imploding in as little as one or two years, you just smile, congratulate yourself on your intelligence, and reply, “...OR, is it 99 years?!”. Your literature is the prospectus of the fracking companies, because those companies would NEVER, not in a million years, lie to get investments!

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Pull your head out of your ass. If I can't time the collapse, there is no friggin way you can. Stop buying yourself time by lying to yourself, get prepped yesterday, and then you can go back to sleep at the wheel.

( .Y. )

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