more digital illusions 2

MORE DIGITAL ILLUSIONS 2

A lot of Optimistic Ollies think that we are in some kind of technological utopia. Typically, they keep asking Krumpus for a FLIR scope for Christmas, and I think this is a very dangerous game to be playing. You piss that dude off and he is going to Disappear you. Technologically, we have not advanced past the moon landing. All the crap we had then, we have now, and nothing more advanced. It is improved, but it isn't new, exciting or innovative. Hell, I think we even had sharks with laser beams on their heads back then.

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Don't get me wrong. Compared to dial up modems and floppy discs, we ARE in the golden computer age. Adjusted for inflation, the cheapest computer for personal desktop use is about 10% of what it cost in the last millennium. But none of the technology is NEW. Improved is not new. Fracking for oil might be improved, but it is nearly a century old technology. Can we PLEASE stop acting like AI and self driving cars are mere months away? They keep promising nuclear fusion, any day now, and it is in the dustbin along with flying cars and Meal In A Pill.

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Artificial Intelligence. From a bunch of idiots who cannot even use their biological computer to any good effect. Sure. Let me contact my Vegas bookie for those odds. The eggheads in the labs all think Fracking Forever and Gore Warming, Political Correctness and The Big Bang Theory ( I mean, sure, it is better than NO theory, but not by a wide margin ). We got almost all of our technology from Nazi's, under Operation Paperclip, and I'm pretty sure they screwed us on vital details.

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Wouldn't you, if you were a Slave Scientist? Cooperate just enough to stay out of jail, and you were able to enjoy the wonders of Spam and NBC TV, instead of Bratwurst and opera. Gee, what a deal. Although, I have doubts the Germans were too involved in computers, having little military application ( they didn't need a computer for artillery projectile calculations, having both better cannon and soldiers who knew what they were doing. That was what we used our first computer for, by the way ). High tech in the military is no substitute for skill and intelligence.

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Not that this stopped us from trying. As our industrial capacity for dumb munitions faltered, the military was already into high tech munitions during Vietnam. Probably the Air Force, a bunch of techno-weenies whose primary duty was to outspend the Navy on shiny munitions delivery vehicles. The Nazi's primary advancement was not in high tech so much as it was in the ability to apply any technology in new ways. They could jettison old ways of waging war, far better than their enemies. Who, let us note, never advanced beyond fighting the Civil War. We take the latest and greatest technology, then apply it to primitive industrial warfare fighting. And are shocked when it doesn't perform.

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Who could EVER have seen that coming? High tech does NOT save money, or resources. Like all robots, or automation, or labor saving devices, it only minimizes the reliance on personnel. It is a lazy way of doing anything, and the cost, besides monetary, is increased vulnerability. The old joke used to be, “works much better, until it breaks”, but now, the crap simply isn't working. Low quality Chinese crap programmed by low quality ( dot ) Indian programmers. But it sure saves on labor!

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We are too ignorant as a society, too lazy culturally, blinded by hubris and indoctrinated rather than educated, and we can't produce AI. We can't even make dependable infrastructure to support its components. What makes anyone think that this mess of our computing communications infrastructure can adequately support cryptocurrencies? The machines and workers for it are substandard. Even if all the parts work, there are other issues such as Chinese computer chip security, normal hacking concerns, and even reliable electrical service.

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If anyone who followed the news and learned about Northern California turning off its electricity two weeks at a time still thinks computer networks are a viable tool, I don't imagine anything is going to wake you up out of your happy unicorn delusional fantasy. Who the hell needs a solar flare or an EMP when our electrical networks can't keep the juice flowing in “normal, non-Spicy” times? And you want to have your money tied into that grid? It isn't bad enough we can barely trust paper currency ( since they all, always, revert to what they are actually worth )? You want machines running The Blue Screen Of Death to control and safeguard your savings?

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And that isn't even touching on the dependability of the organizations issuing such currency. One crypto company went bankrupt after a hacking attack. So much for a “secure” currency. Take a look at drug cartels, one of the best organizations around living in a harsh unforgiving Darwin environment. Are they using crypto's? If they are so great defeating the government, why aren't the cartels using them? I'm also of the mind the strong possibility of our government funding the whole crypto thing to begin with, but that is me being paranoid.

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Even if the NSA doesn't have access to the things, complete data tracking, the Chinese are most likely can hack the hell out of them. In fact, China has outlawed crypto's, and I don't think it is because “they can't control them”. They can't exactly control cash or bullion, either, insofar as taxes or creation. Perhaps they also think the US intelligence services are involved. Or, they just view them as Ponzi schemes, get rich quick hucksters feeding on fears of fiat currency and the erroneous over reliance on technology. I could be wrong. As I said, I simply don't know a lot about them, other than enough to distrust them.

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And what is all this inflated pricing? Is this a currency, or a penny stock? Is this a new way of holding wealth, or a new Pets Dot Com? It sure seems like a new Greater Fool Investment pyramid scheme to me. Again, I only know enough to be cautious. I'm not trying to hold on to my buggy whip as Ford covers the roads with that horseless carriage. I'm saying, with no new technology in fifty years, this just seems like a lot more VaporWare nonsense.

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I'd rather hold my wealth in depreciating dollars, a currency very soon destined to languish in Hell with The Continental, the Zimbabwe and Confederate Dollar and the Iraq Dinar, than to trust crypto's. Fiat currency is always a promise you cannot trust, but at least you can hold them in hand for as needed, instead of relying on already oft proven unreliable digital illusions.

( .Y. )

( today's related Amazon link click HERE )

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note: if you like Gregory Mannarino, vampire day trader, and I do as he seems quite the intelligent guy on analysis, yesterday's post market report talks about increased liquidity with an end game of a credit freeze.  No timing-this is long ( ish ) term, no immediate doom and gloom HERE 
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note: free for today books, zombie, HERE 
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