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Saturday, November 3, 2018

tribe how 3 of 3


TRIBE HOW 3
We have established the need to train and condition yourself.  Super easy, barely an inconvenience.  The first one is going to be the hardest, so make it the easiest.  Ambushing an unsuspecting target is almost as simple as practice at the range.  Once you can get yourself to kill, then you get better at it.  Then you are no longer on an unequal standing with all the other dumb asses who had to fight their way through the die-off, as you were safe and sound tucked into your underground hovel eating whole wheat crackers and freeze dried kangaroo.
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Remember, those that survived aboveground have in theory fought their way to the present.  If you didn’t engage in patrols of opportunity and ambushing, you will be at a disadvantage and would never be accepted into a group.  By this time, food is scarce, and that old antiquated notion of supporting “critical personnel” such as on-grid dependent doctors or fuel and spare parts dependent mechanics is being seriously questioned.  I have doubts you’ll get into a group because you hold some mystical future value.  But combat qualified?  There is an immediate need for that, you can be sure.
Just to reiterate, the thirty day 99% die-off is to the best of my ability to ponder and calculate logically a pretty darn good guess.  I mean to mislead no one here.  But I trust you understand that you NEVER assume anything when your life is on the line.  When you’ll checked that your weapon is loaded for the third time, it is because you have learned to NEVER assume.  I think after a month of no transportation in a system 100% dependent on transportation for every single thing, the die off will be largely complete.  Just don’t assume without verifying.
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Now, one trusts you also understand that being John Wayne alone isn’t enough to get you a place at the Big Boy table.  They have warriors.  Yes, they need more, because the antibiotics run out before the bullets ( those tribes that would in theory still be spraying and praying the countryside utilizing Industrial Oil Age logistics have already died off, the surviving groups actually having figured out no more ammo is en route from non-existing factories, some Bright Boy actually knowing 2+2=reality rather than fantasy ), and replenishing the ranks gets first priority.  But they must also be fed.
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If you can bring food to the new tribe ( one imagines a vetting process testing your martial abilities, then a negotiation ), you just might have purchased your initiation fee.  Just as a dowry proves the ability of future earnings and security ( now worthless in an economy of credit and debt ), a food stash AND combat experience proves that you are capable and intelligent.  It does more than prove you can survive.  Hell, cannibals and hookers can survive.  It proves you had the discipline and street smarts to be more than a survivor by luck.
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Now, this is also where your martial prowess becomes a necessary component.  Anyone that survived to this point obviously has steady nerves under fire, and can hit smaller targets than the broad side of a barn.  By your reputation or demonstration of ruthlessness, you have risen above the average infantryman in performance.  Remember, at this point you are a NON tribe member.  They could accept you provisionally with no intention of doing anything other than taking that food ( they are desperate by this time, the MRE’s and #10 cans of chili long gone, with dandelion stew on next week’s menu ).
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Remember our discussion on their fear and greed?  They must both fear you and covet your abilities to protect them by being on their side.  And, you brought food in.  Which is the great part of this equation.  You are spending the equivalent of ONE person being outfitted to bribe the tribe.  A large 330 gallon tote can be as low as $125 for a refurbished food grade unit.  A five gallon bucket holds 33 pounds of wheat.  330 gallons is 66 buckets, or a ton of wheat, literally.  40 bags at $10 a bag ( if unable to buy in bulk ).
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Most likely, your cost of wheat with storage container is under $600.  That was the initial guesstimate on what it would cost to arm one potential tribe member with a rifle, ammo and wheat.  For the same price, you get a whole tribe.  In theory, obviously.  Hell, the body count could be even higher than I’m imagining and there is literally no one left to join up with, at least not in a tribal structure.  There might be onesies and twosies of sad sacks still wandering around, being useless for much of anything.
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This is just playing the odds.  If you are wrong, you still have an extra five years of calories, to go with your other personal food stash no one ever gets to know about. Which you keep secret from everyone including the new wife.  And you keep through all circumstances.  Enter into the new tribe with a bit of exposed aboveground food storage, as camouflage.  Also have a buried in a separate location a small stash of silver and food you can quickly give up under torture or the threat thereof, as another insurance policy.
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If there is no tribe to join, you just make due with a clan or family and get to the most remote spot possible to homestead in relative safety.  Of course, how you would transport that wheat is problematic.  One bicycle load at a time, I imagine.  Say, 100 pounds maximum, pushing ( don’t max it out, to conserve tire spokes ).  Ten miles off the road over hiking or game trails. It won’t be fun, but you could do it pretty quick.  Then, from that new spot, a FURTHER  ten miles away remotely as a fall back to your hidden lair ( partially stockpiled ). 
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And for goodness sakes, plan on travelling however far it takes in the future to capture or buy a bride for the occupants, to avoid siring banjo players.  No plan is perfect, but consider this one as an alternative to conventional wisdom of staying in place with other useless idiots riding out the die-off.
( .Y. )
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22 comments:

  1. Good points all around Jim. I wish to add analysis or scenario possibilities to this series. It would take an entire generation or decades to change the western or american selfish and isolationist attitudes and behaviors. It has been too easy living for too long that people don't know how to act or perform properly in clans or tribes, and society as a whole. Although the colapse remnant survivors may be hardier and sly fox smart, they will still be a gaggle grouping mostly. The probable best dynamics would be a single dirt road western frontier type town. Only enough gov't or state entities to ensure a bit of law and order and commercial or trading upstart support. Most folks operating individually or family unit sized and rarely interacting on an often time basis. Minions not plugged in early or now, can hide out in hills and slowly engage such a townie environment. Ranching and farm town with really low population and services that is out of sight, out of mind has potentials. Pre position plan yourself a location now instead of getting a pick-up ball team from the dog pound reject humans later.

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    1. I don't think it will take very long at all to flip flop from selfish marshmallow men pink hat ladies to old timey tribal loyalty groups. Here is why. You don't get a second chance. You are either grokking the need or you die. Too few resources in the Darwin struggle, and the first mistake is the last. Let the Cleansing begin!

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    2. "Also have a buried in a separate location a small stash of silver and food you can quickly give up under torture or the threat thereof, as another insurance policy.”

      “Ten miles off the road over hiking or game trails. It won’t be fun, but you could do it pretty quick.  Then, from that new spot, a FURTHER  ten miles away remotely as a fall back to your hidden lair ( partially stockpiled ).”


      Good stuff. The ten mile buffer is probably good enough, but this would assume that the terrain is so rough, that there is no vehicle access.


      “Hell, the body count could be even higher than I’m imagining and there is literally no one left to join up with, at least not in a tribal structure.  There might be onesies and twosies of sad sacks still wandering around, being useless for much of anything.”


      Personally, I consider the above scenario to be the far more likely outcome, and why I feel that 7:45 above is dead on. I think that most of the people in these organized tribes won’t last long, before flipping out akin to the shipwreck survivor in the lifeboat, that throws himself overboard to the sharks to escape his intense misery. I recall some reality show one time, in which some people were thrown together to survive as a community under raw survival circumstances. The “green” eco-hippy dude, that was the most experienced in such matters, was the first to flip out and lose it, and run off with his tail between his legs :D

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    3. I think the further removed from reality you are, such as a hippie with vegetarianism and Whirled Peas and Can't We All Just Get Along, the more they rely on energy surplus centralized government to force this utopia upon everyone. Without that power structure their glittery unicorn universe crumbles.

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    4. Apparently, it was much different from what permies and mother earth news had led him to believe :D

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    5. Usually the problems with utopia's, right? :)

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  2. figuring the big die off to happen in a month? I'm not sure on that.. look how long the siege of Stalingrad lasted. No resources coming in except the odd blockade runner and they managed to hold out a loooong time.. granted it was not easy and a LOT of people starved, but it definitely took longer than a month.. I would expect as long as 6 months before reaching a steady state of population.

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    1. It was not true that Leningrad was completely cut off. At first in was, but only for about four months. The blockade runners could have alieviated some of that. Then the land corridor stayed open until the end. So even with limited supply there was still enough starvation for cannibalism. Now, I take your point. But they also didn't have JIT inventories back then. It wasn't a 9 Meals To Revolution back then. And how many folks were hardy peasants there compared to pimply pampered princesses now?

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    2. I watched part of a video from some security expert drumming up fear. He was banging on about the Beslan massacre and going into horrid details of dehydration (the terrorists wouldn't let the kids drink water).

      Yeah, nah. Dehydration sounds like a nasty way to go.

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    3. Because terrorists are the new communists and if you are not always wetting your pants in fear you are not 'Murican. Security experts are our new First Responders!

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  3. The point by Jim on historical seiged cities is valid. Cities and bigger burbs will have enough survivors of die off, and scrappy characters to form up into tribes and militias. If they hold valuable real estate, .mil bases or resource and assets they can project outward or draw in proxy resources. (Think=chicom beachead pacific coast, missle protection distance inland) shucks hollywood productions show all forms of malarky for seven seasons+. It must be true!

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    1. Cities were routinely seiged and supplied accordingly. Now, the word means nothing, with our 200 year fracking oil miracle.

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  4. Tribe Times, would be an apropos name for a nifty periodical. I want to nudge Minions into the direction of what those lads at 'Western Rifle Shooters' have expounded on, as an underlying requirement for the afterwards. "Leadership". I have been afforded opportunities to stand up group units (bad asses) from scratch. Yes, it won't be easy but a good primer course would be either U.S.M.C. leadership doctrines (yes, best for adverse or austere conditions) or U.S. Army advanced course materials. Think in terms of the 'School of the Americas' and other programs uncle Samuel did with thirdy world allies to tie up loose ends. A Minion can add in their own special nasty sauce particular to the environment and become a WINNER. All the wheat and ammo you may bring forth, or the luck of finding a good godpel singing outfit will be for naught, if there is a lack of sound leadership. Better you, the "ONE" than some other asswipe, slinging knuckles from biceps. Start Now.

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    1. But isn't that the point of contention, that everyone thinks THEY will be the leader, best at it, etc.? As an aside, I wouldn't trust a leadership manual to properly wipe my ass. Those are how to trick dirt people into dying for you. Just the underlying paradigm that runs that.

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    2. That is exactly my point. Everyone thinks they are the leader. If you are the leader, someone will come for you. Imagine your best friend stabbing you with a screwdriver because he thinks what's yours should be his. Somebody in your super secret ninja group will want your wife, glock, fancy night vision, or to be the head honcho. Most groups even family tribes will fail. I think almost any group of more than two people, not including small children, will fail.

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    3. IF a group already has a chosen by consensus leader, AND has enough resources so as not to turn on one another, then they have a chance. Not many will qualify.

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  5. "plan on travelling however far it takes in the future to capture or buy a bride for the occupants"

    Lord Bison - The founder of New Rome :-)

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  6. Top 5 prepper blog, without question.
    https://prepperboard.com

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    1. Oh, sweet Baby Jesus! Please, Sir, may we 'ave another $1300 crossbow and $400 pair on NON leather boots? I salute your sarcasm, Sir! Well played.

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    2. Jeez, I scrolled down that whole page.
      Whoever put all that together didn't even try.
      I'm embarrassed for my species.

      A note on preassembled first aid kits.
      They are mostly invalid, here's why.

      If don't know how to use the stuff in a FAK what good is it to you? The bandaids? Then go buy a box of bandaids for $5 and leave the cost of the prefab in your pocket.

      If you do know how to use the contents of a FAK then a prefab is going to frustrate and anger you due to it's inferior ingredients. Put your list together then go to walmart and elsewhere and assemble one that you can use.

      I have 3 levels of FAK's that I know how to use and use as needed. All were assembled by me from available sources. The smallest is pocket size in a ballistic nylon pouch with stuff for basic cuts and scrapes and a few pain pills. Antiseptic wipes, large bandaids, small roll of tearable tape and (4) 4"x4" gauze bandages. I keep a std size clean bandana folded in my left rear pocket all the time.

      The next one is a larger ballistc nylon pouch and it stays in my vehicle.

      The big dog is red, 20" Plano plastic toolbox in the laundry room of the house and it has most stuff up to doing sutures, light dental, airways, etc. More and larger supplies. I have education and experience with higher than average medical stuff so I'm capable. I wish my wife was, but she's not, so I have to fix myself, and that can be difficult at time depending.

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    3. Ha! And righfuly embarrassed for our species, indeed.

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