Thursday, May 31, 2018

rawles does math 1 of 2


RAWLES DOES MATH
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I’ve never liked Rawles, but only because of his Yuppie Scum Survivalism ( he used to pretend anyone could follow his plans by incremental investing, which was how he did it.  But recently we can all see the writing on the wall and know time is short, plus he really started pandering to the bigger ticket advertisers-the reason I love making fun of FLIR scopes ).  Not because of himself personally.  I even forgave him from being an officer, which I thought was mighty big of me ( I met few officers I actually liked, even fewer that I respected for their competence and none I didn’t fear for the ability to get me killed ). 

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Whenever I attack his logic or arguments, philosophy or positions, it isn’t personal.  I don’t envy him his success.  I say more power to him-he worked hard at it.  More power to him his concrete bunker atop a mountain, and all his pretty prepper pony gear.  If that is your thing, go for it.  But Rawles Survivalism is like Army Intelligence.  Fatally and fundamentally flawed.  Its premises are faulty.  It is almost too easy to disagree with about everything he thinks or writes about.  But I don’t hate him.  I make fun of his pimping products, but I think he truly believes what he preaches.  I can’t hate him for that.  At least he is sincere.  He doesn’t purposely tell people that which will kill them.  I’m sure Jim Jones was as sincere, is my point really.

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His latest article on the mighty powerful semi-auto owner juggernaut that should have the elite and their leftist brown shirt shock troops pissing into their jackboots is just another in a long line of faulty assumptions.  Now, I’ve already conceded that it is actually entirely possible that this time, after ninety years of nonviolently accepting whatever gun control the feds dish out, just perhaps this time it will be different and the firearm fetish boys will actually violently oppose gun control.

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It actually might be different this time since the Obammy Brigade Blacks were so empowered at an exponential rate and Whites have been so targeted the last ten years in an all out cultural war that maybe, just maybe, a few would discover testicular fortitude and actually recognize that this gun control would actually get them killed.  After all, Blacks were already allowed full on “knockout game” privileges.  It is easy to envision them given carte blanc stepping that up to killing all the Whites they see ( both giving credence to the Nat Turner fear of Negro militias armed by the ZOG, and the record companies fear of rap music legitimizing White casualties ). 

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White boys know that this time a gun ban would likely kill them.  Violently resisting is a legitimate self defense issue.   That said, everything else about his argument is problematic.  His assumptions that the military would be kept overseas, that there are no differences in gun controls, that Posse Commitatus is still observed, that all eligible fighters would fight, that most gun owners are trained-there is a long list of faulty assumptions ( the article was referenced from the Woodpile Report on 5-22-18 ).

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First, I’d like to talk about what I consider to be the big one, the exclusion of the military in the consideration of enforcing the ban.  Why does one assume that the military won’t be available.  Are we going by the Glen Beck measurement of energy availability and think there is 300 years of fracking oil left ( I swear by all the gods, if I hadn’t heard it myself I never would have believed much a boneheaded statement.  Needless to say, my tender ears were never violated by Beck again.  I’m sure his advertisers for expensive safes for expensive guns and freeze dried foods for expensive constipation are really concerned I’m no longer part of his audience )?

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Or are we going by the reality of the petrodollar decline and collapse ( remember your Seneca Cliff math-a slow rise and a sudden collapse )?  Why are we overseas?  Colonialism.  We haven’t enforced purchases from Das Homeland since our manufacturing plant all got shipped over to Japan and China, but since then we have enforced our worthless paper for black gold trade and for that the US military needed to be mostly overseas ( not to mention that we’ve never had a large domestic military-the elite are probably uncomfortable with masses of poor enlisted within Hummer driving distance of their mansions ).

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At some point, not only will it be too expensive to field that military, it also will be unnecessary.  At the pace the petrodollar is collapsing, I can’t see that day as all too far away.  Now, there is going to have to be a reason to withdraw the troops.  You can’t just say, “uh, by the way, your paper money is about to be worthless since it is no longer backed by oil”.  Oops, talk about a panic!  They need an excuse.  I can think of several, but one really good one would be “we banned guns for the children and white racist honky mofo’s are being all yucky terrorists and such and so we need our brave boys to keep the peace”.

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Perhaps low in probability, but certainly it is possible.  I’m not trying to say this WILL happen, only that the government has a long history of doing stupid crap making things worse solving another problem.  Like banning drugs since banning alcohol didn’t work.  I’ll return to that, but let’s assume the military is brought home.  Britain didn’t willingly fold up its imperial tent, but they were forced to.  We will do the exact same thing ( but on an accelerated scale since the Brits went out during energy growth and we will exit during an energy contraction ).  But rest assured we will lose our empire.

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Times flies when you make fun of Yuppie Scum.  I’ll continue tomorrow.

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35 comments:

  1. I agree with all of your points about Rawls, however his link page is how I found your page so partial credit is due.

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    1. It is only recently that his page has become a worthless generic hunk of crap. For many moons he provided excellent content ( even if you had to run that through a filter and add a grain of salt ). He never really thought the economy would derail, just happy motoring right up until Blue Helmet invasions. I imagine the implosion of rich preppers as his support took him by surprise. Now its generic content unworthy. Dude, either improve content or just hang it up. Why be on auto-pilot? Again, I respect his accomplishments from before, and I know there is a market for his Pretty Pony Prepping. I don't hate him, just his message. And he was very useful at one time.

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  2. Following along. Minions can expect road pirate check points by fed "viper" teams. Pat downs at all government buildings-schools-important commercial businesses(grocery/etc). Cash less commerce that allows banks and requlators to strangle out freefor folks from participating. False flag events/media programming turning populace against themselves. The military and U.N. peacekeepers posted at your garrisoned town or county will not be fresh faced local kids from state national guard units. They'll be pissed off hagard bastards from other side of country or foreign conscripts who don't give a crap about your former 2A rights. Besides most 2A adherents won't get off the couch, or be told by their domestic supervisor they cannot go outside the house and play(fight tyranny) with other kids no matter how nice the weather, because their mangina is under lock and key by the boss or are scared off for fear of being a social media pariah, with their accounts blocked or banned.

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    1. Don't encourage them with talk of Blue Helmets. They'll be looking for Soros' under every bed.

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    2. Soro's former house boy, or his fellow camp guard's offspring is working at the beauracrat office downtown, or is a contracter with the nsa. They are all inbred and connected.

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  3. I'm an army vet and if you are not then you really can't talk seriously about this topic because you don't have a full magazine, and there's no way to fake it. I am 100% certain military personnel will do whatever it takes to secure their paycheck. Remember, 80% of them are in there for that very reason alone. 40 years ago when I was in that 80% may have been more like 50% but we all see what this shitty economy has become.

    Yes, the military will cap your ass bigger'n Stuttgart.

    Regarding all this petro oil business. I put all that stuff in the same sort of pigeon hole as the climate change stuff. That is, all the information out there now, for both subjects, has been so heavily soiled by the criminal intents that it is simply not possible to make a positive assessment one way or the other.

    Is the climate changing?
    Probably so, it always has, hasn't it?
    Is this going to be detrimental to human beings?
    Possibly.
    Was it caused by humans?
    Perhaps but very minutely.
    Look at a large world map in 3d and understand that "ball" is about 24,000 miles in circumference. Contrast that with the average height of everything man has ever created. Man's existence on this planet if almost molecular in scale. A virus smeared about randomly on the surface.

    Man won't kill gaia, gaia will kill man.

    Oil?
    All I know for sure 100% is what the gas costs at the pump cause I see it with my own eyeballs. Everything else is hearsay and since just about everybody now is a lying assed bastard nothing can be trusted. So, is oil depleting? I don't know, and I think anyone else that claims to know is a charlatan or a fool. No, I don't want to see your proof. There is none. All the info has been tainted many times over and is worse than useless.

    So I prep like today is the last day civilization will continue as we know it. I have enough of what we need for a spell but not for the rest of my life, nor do I think anyone else has enough either. Life has shown that it will snatch the rug out from under you faster than jack shitski and the more prepped you think you are, the more blind you are. Peace, out.

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    1. Can't really argue with any of that. And putting it that way, I guess I sound as insufferable as any Gore Warmer. Meh. It hasn't stopped me before. We all gotta believe in something :) I'm kidding. I take your point. I'll just say, a lot of people a lot smarter than me make a heck of a good case for Peak Oil, a much better case than has ever been made for Gore Warming. You can't fudge declining production numbers like you can surface temperatures and computer models. Although, yes, I understand you won't change your mind, nor I mine, regardless of what is said. But, if I may waste one more breath? Peak Oil is denied by the elite, and Gore Warming is pushed by them. Just another data point to ponder.

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    2. Exactly, go counter to what MSM/GLOBALISTs are pushing. I try to ask why-how come? To any person's or entities propositions/theory. Way too many instances in history of gov't,corporate,media pushing a red herring or false flag or narrative that does not ring true or not plausible. Even us dirt people are really smart to a line of bullspit when it is contradictory to reality on the ground out here.

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    3. >> I'm an army vet and if you are not then you really can't talk seriously about this topic

      What you mean to say is that you are not ready to speak with somebody who doesn't share your point of view. Nothing new (or of any importance) here.

      By your own criteria I am qualified to talk about the topic since I did my time as a conscript. I've been in the airforce, I've been a business consultant and I've been a Junior High Teacher (and also a couple other things). Of all my experiences, only one provided me with people saying “and if you are not then you can't talk seriously about this topic”.

      Teenage boys talk like that. If you exclude others from the conversation then you're excluding yourself from all other people. Which is a very poor indicator of what it is you have to say in the first place.

      People have different views on everything, which is perfectly normal. The guy who thinks that there is only one way to see things is considered wrong by everybody, which is only logical.

      I routinely speak with COs, NCOs, tactical trainers, war veterans, and nobody speaks like you do.

      >> I am 100% certain military personnel will do whatever it takes to secure their paycheck.

      Again, you clearly don't know military people : you wouldn't write this if you did. To me you're a bit of a fraud, see ?

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    4. 10:48-unless of course the globalists are feeding you the truth so you think it is a lie, a bit of the poison scene in Princess Bride :)

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    5. Jim, it was only later that I realized I should have said my point was mostly directed at the "Becks" out there. Profit motive and all that. He has a reason to lie. As far as I'm concerned he can lie all he wants but it was the lies BEFORE him that have set the tone for many of us. How many times can they cry wolf before you call them bald faced liars and never listen to them again?

      Because of all this wolf calling that is now rampant the number of websites/blogs/whatever I visit are dwindling daily.

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    6. "What you mean to say is..."
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      Still using that transparent Huff-Po tactic I see.

      I said exactly what I mean and everybody but you seems to get it.

      Must be tragic having me free-renting the entire inside of your brain housing group, eh?

      Friendly reminder, nobody is fooled by your habitual cut & paste method that most people outgrow by 7th grade.

      Now back into the corner with the dunce hat you go.

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    7. How about you answer me on how you come to think that 100% of military people are prostitutes ?

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    8. GS-pure Wolf Calling seems to have a limited number of adherents. The Economic Collapse Blog comes to mind. I worry more about just plain wrong viewpoints ( commies under every bed ) every event is filtered through. Looking at everything through the wrong lens, like capitalism vs socialism or One World Government, actually seems to lesson the amount of dangers out there. It presents a simply solution to a non problem, and hence no one panics.

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    9. Ave-I'm going to answer here, although of course GS might also. He did say 80%, not 100%, and the 80 was up from 50 some time ago. A majority of folks in my day were just there for money and training ( the joke was on then in both, of course ), and they were not ashamed of that. As a matter of fact, this is what recruiters pushed. At the time, the GI Bill college bennies were worthless but today you can get a heck of a deal there, too. If you are poor, joining the military boosts you up a socioeconomic class. It isn't a secret that the military is full of mercenaries. Or, if you prefer, whores. It isn't said in polite society today, with the jingoistic War On Terror, but things haven't changed at all.

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    10. You're right Jim. Being in a combat arms MOS (12B10 in my case) is not very beneficial to life outside the army so I mostly spun my wheels for 4 years. It was probably the worst mistake I ever made.

      I started out as an E1 in June 1974 at $326.10 per month. 4 years later as an E4 I was still making less than $600 a month. Even with whatever bennies they provide it is a poverty level dead end existence and the reason 99.99% of the soldiers I knew got out as soon as they could. Very few reenlisted. I was offered $10k to reenlist and I ran for the exit gate.

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    11. Even the more civilian friendly jobs had little direct crossover benefit. I hated the Army, but I'm glad I went. Knocked some reality into my theoretical stuffed head, invaluable experience in the school of hard knocks. Kept me out of college. Got to visit the whores in Korea, lived in Hawaii. Start of the road to my real vocation.

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  4. Let me open a can of worms here.

    Jim, I'm afraid that many "Disgruntled Whites with AR-15s" might easily be turned into "21st Century Brown Shirts", especially after a brutal economic downturn.

    From my point of view this is all politics. Every political side has "boots on the ground", some of them are even limited to that. It's very similar to what you wrote about tribes.

    So the Whites will be pressured to join the fight against the Latinos and the Blacks (or they'll be "race traitors" or "profiteurs"), just as Blacks will be pressured to join Wakanda Lives Matter and Latinos their own gang/militia thing.

    And behind every single one of these movement you have Fat Cats who will capitalize on this madness and misery for their own personal gain.

    Stupid people always outnumber other people, to them the world is about their Football Team or their Religion or any other Tribe, and this is why nothing changes, they keep on being stupid and on being poor, and dragging other people down into misery.

    Many fancy themselves as "survivalists" but are really just Closeted Brown Shirts, already fully equipped to wage the next civil war, and wouldn't understand collapse if it happened right before their eyes.

    It's MUCH more probable that the ones which will knock down my door will be these guys, rather than any Blue Helmets or Muslim Hordes or Overworked LEOs.

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    1. Hmm, yes, militias will be mare more brutal and more of a threat. And remember, we've talked about tribesmen being stupid. Unthinking loyalty is a survival trait in a tribe, and tribes ensure survival. Stupidity, or at least not questioning the paradigm, is a survival trait ( except in a pre-collapse time such as now. But then it quickly reverts ). Not saying intelligence is bad or doesn't have its place, just not amongst the general population that doesn't need to think ( I seem to be at risk here of elitism ).

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    2. I can't recall the name off the top of my head but Selco talked about gangs becoming militias during the bad times. The gang / militia that I'm trying to recall was the (Bosnian?) group that had a tiger as their emblem.

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    3. Damn, that does sound familiar. On the tip of my brain...

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  5. >>( I seem to be at risk here of elitism )

    I have been careful not to use the word "intelligent". Actually there are Stupid People, Normal People and then all kinds of other people.

    Stupid People allow Fat Cats to gain power, that is, power over Normal People who contribute to the economy. In Germany Normal People ended up bombed, jailed, losing their limbs to frost at Stalingrad and much, much more.

    Where my family lived there is a family of rich wine traders which were completely Nazi (of course, heading the local scene) until the Americans came around, and then they were completely pro-US. That family didn't lose one single member during the war. After the war they bought the land from impoverished war widows, which lost everything while having done nothing wrong.

    Lesson learned : if you're an asshole or a whore, you can actually survive quite well, under certain circumstances.

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    1. I'd say whores or assholes survive MOST circumstances, yes? My ex-wife ( baby mama, ex#2 ) might not have thought of herself as a whore since there was very little sex involved ( she was so fertile it took zero practice ), but she sure survived nicely off me. She was also a bit of an asshole. I've had many an asshole boss, the last one in the stewpot, economically. I've sold my body for a paycheck ( as have most of us ).

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    2. Interesting anecdote about the Wine trader family, also the observation about normal people.
      As mentioned many other places, being a socio or psycho path is an asset for rising to the top of politics, multinationals and other pyramid peak power positions.
      Nice Guys Finish Last is true in some ways.
      Is there a way to care about other people, be generous and helpful without getting screwed.
      Good, honest people often make the mistake of assuming others are the same.

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    3. I think the old school pre womens lib culture provided as The Art Of Being A Man, a good combo of polite and nice with a take no crap attitude. But now, an outlawed culture, for the most part.

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  6. All of the afore mentioned human interactions and dynamics that exist now will also exist during and post collapse. They may be amplified or appear magnified due to the circumstances, lack of resources, violence, etc. "The game is the same, just different players,once you know who the players are, then you can play the game".

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  7. I like your style. After you were through explaining to everyone as to why he sucked so bad, you at least had the decency to link one of his items :D

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    1. You've seen my picture, yes? I'm nothing but style.

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  8. No offense meant to the enlisted, but there seems to be mainly two types: Those that just wish to collect a check, and those that truly believe that they’re “defending our way of life”. I’m of the opinion that it is the latter group that has the most potential of presenting a hazard to your health, if you lack the good fortune to be on their side (following a good and proper media campaign: i.e. they were “homegrown, rightwing, nutjobs” that had to be stopped). I was watching an interview with a sniper on a popular talk show one time. They were discussing the invasion of Iraq (Over the WMDs that we never found) The sniper related that he was all too happy to kill as many of these folks as possible, since they presented such a hazard to the lives of his brothers in arms (That irony that it was his own government that placed he and his brothers in harms way in the first place was lost on this dude). It was pretty clear that the sniper had been conditioned to the point that these people were nothing short of entities having no value, to be mercilessly wiped from the earth, in just cause. Perhaps someone that you might wish to have on your side in a SHTF scenario, but boy, I’d sure hate to be on the opposing side of a media spin campaign from this dude…

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    1. The military has been great at conditioning assassins on a leash for some time. Anyone who thinks the majority will refrain from "getten some" in Das Homeland don't understand hormones and male aggression, either.

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    2. And THAT right there is why I plainly said what I did above, "I'm an army vet and if you are not then you really can't talk seriously about this topic because you don't have a full magazine, and there's no way to fake it.", and then right on schedule a certain stalker-pisswilly shows up and proves my point.

      Unless you've experienced it you have no idea the enormous mind bending that takes place in the army. Take 1000 young doods with raging hormones and heads full of air and cram them in a tight confine while subjecting them to "kill-kill-kill" methodology in all ways 24/7 for years on end and see what you get.

      Dan Quayle was right, "The mind is a terrible thing.", just observe my very envious stalker for proof.

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    3. Young adult males don't need to be taught how to want to kill, they just need the permission they didn't have before, and the training to start and stop as dictated by others.

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  9. There is mind-control for the mushy-brain part of the population on broadcast television (now, more channels of DIGITAL!). The manipulation is life-long, and very effective on the masses.
    GS is completely correct about the indoctrination performed on US enlistees. Declining oil (absolute quantity as well as EROI) will impact ability to deliver controlled soldiers to desired location with the gear for the mission, as well as generate new mind-controlled soldiers to replace losses from hunter-snipers, Joe Six-Pack Militia and wear-out from humping heavy FLIR goggles /excess ammo (ARMY TRAINING, Sir!) for mass-fire by m-4's without vehicles. This stuff is going to get very local.
    pdxr13

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    1. The sad part is that Iraq should be just another occupation ( like England or Japan )and Afghanistan a training depot for maximized performance. And it is no where close. Yet even this one more occupation, one small war is wearing down the whole military infrastructure.

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