imported food 2 of 2

IMPORTED FOOD 2

If you look at Europe and its colonies, you could call that the Western Empire which lasted roughly five centuries ( the US is an Oil Empire, even if it gets its oil from colonies.  The resource dynamics are similar but different enough in content delivery to be considered separate ).  Each nation state waxed and waned in power, with simultaneous centers battling for supremacy at times.  Think of Portugal and Spain, England and France as the historical equivalent of Greece and Persia.  They were collectively one empire, the historical norm slightly skewed due to the internal discord.

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The normal period of an imperial lifespan, according to some, is around ten generations or 250 years.  The infighting of the European neighbors was probably what kept the empire from falling into the normal cycle of Discovery, Riches, Decay.  The life spans of each entity taking its turn at the helm of emperor ( or, a somewhat equal co-leadership at times ) was either much shorter or even a bit longer than the historical norm because of the constant military tensions disallowing complacency ( in other words, no one had time to rake in and enjoy all the treasure ). 

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The Papist Empire lasted much longer than the normal 250 years-they were closer to a thousand ( the original Thousand Year Reich ).  I would attribute this to the much slowly cycle of the time period as there were far less resources available after the fall of Rome.  Less rapine, further time between the cycles of growth and decay.  The European/Western colonial empire had a much larger pool of resources to exploit than was the historical norm, and they imported better military technology to the colonies and exported the choicest resources ( think of the calories inherent in the potato compared to indigenous root crops.  How much of that alone helped cold Russia expand or survive? ).

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Our Oil Empire couldn’t have lasted as long as the historical norm because of the compressed time frame in which it took place.  When you are the apex predator, and you over-exploit, the resources run out much faster.  Russia was never an Oil Empire, despite its early pumping and huge reserves, as it was held back industrially by its Czar and serf caste system.  Communism might have sucked for them, but it did force them into the empire game which defended them ( otherwise they would have been nominally independent but still subservient  to us or the Germans-hell, perhaps even the Japanese ).  Not to say they were military insignificant, but their might was prior to industrialization on the massive scale it became.  Things could have turned south for them if they has remained the same AFTER the US turned full on imperial.

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The situation the US is in is really quite straightforward.  We were an Oil Empire and the oil is running out.  Once the wheat supply started contracting for Rome, it was all over but the fat lady singing.  We are at the point, due to overpopulation, of being dependent on imported oil to feed us.  The amber waves of grain of yore cannot to planted, fertilized, harvested or transported without oil.  Of which at a minimum half is imported ( the economic contraction is from the falling BTU of oil, not any falling volume ), varying with the Fracking Fields yields-which are already in a steady if modest decline. 

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China is a whole other story, as they never were an Oil empire.  Just as Japan is far from independent energy wise and must live off the kindness of its neighbors ( they didn’t attack Pearl Harbor for any other reason than we were embargoing their oil.  The Dutch and English colonies were old and decrepit and their empires in severe decline-they were easy fruit to pluck.  But the US was already considering the Pacific their own bathtub and Japan wasn’t invited to play.  It was a combination of more oil than Indonesia could provide and the issue of eventual US involvement that forced Japan’s hand.  And FDR was only too glad to help-he slipped the dildo up Americas ass lubricated with the blood of servicemen ).

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China is at most a Coal Empire.  Yes, they are now importing more oil than the US, but they built an industrial country with coal.  The oil input is in a large part for the private automobile infrastructure they are foolishly building after emulating America.  Or, perhaps not so foolishly if it doesn’t subsume public transportation.  Perhaps the middle class and wealthy are a disposable commodity to the ChiCom rulers.  They are useful now, as the carrot to boost productivity ( poverty being the stick ).  If they all crash and burn in a severe Depression, so be it ( the thinking could go ).  Perhaps Capitalism is merely a current strategy that can easily be jettisoned at need.  Bully for them-they might be commies but at least they aren’t the Butt Boys of the Bankers.

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Like we are.  But, we made our Faustian bargain, didn’t we?  We sold our soul to the Devil for an empire ( started with the blood of Southerners and immigrants, seasoned with a few expired Spaniards and a whole lot of Philippine natives,  Americans were soon fed into the profit grinder ).  The bankers allowed our oil to be turned into colonies, allowed our colonies to deliver more oil and as the black gold disappears the bankers strip mine the infrastructure built with the treasure.  The Chinese by comparison merely used their coal to build an industrial complex to serve the Oil Empire.

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China won’t fail because the US stops buying their crap.  The Chinese will fail because they have used up their energy reserves to build the wealth pump.  Their colonies are unsustainable without the oil the colonies provide, but just like us, the oil colonies were exploited decades and wars ago.  Do you seriously believe that Iraq or Syrian or Iranian oil is still abundant?  Why?  The average lifespan of an oil field NOT pumped too rapidly is a mere forty years for serious production.  These places were fought over in WWI!!  And, just BTW, Saudi Arabia became pumping in earnest over fifty years ago.  And they damaged total available reserves by over pumping many times.

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China is, at most, rice self sufficient.  Almost all other food must be imported.  Which is done by burning coal and oil to manufacture goods to sell, getting the wealth to buy the land and or/food.  Which is guarded, as with all other trade goods shipped over the ocean, by a declining, defunded, denuded US Navy.  Its African and South American food factories are not sustainable long term, as their Navy is most likely unable to continue on its own long distances.  Vietnam and similar nearby countries, on the other hand, are soon to be China’s bitch.  As long as they can continue to receive enough fuel for its armed forces.

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The basic issue remains, however.  They, and we, are importing food.  They are literally and we are through the oil that grows all the food.  And overpopulation meeting less imported food always ends badly.

END ( today's related link http://amzn.to/2ByMVpL )

 

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