IMPORTED FOOD
*note: Happy Festivus! And Merry Christmas. Enjoy the family, if they are worthy.
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Since the start of the
Agriculture Age, imports and exports have been a necessary part of life. Almost no area is self sufficient in
everything they need to survive. Even
when they are, there is always a surplus of things that are nice to get rid
of. Although, mostly, trade is more of a
necessity than a luxury. As is
population growth. The masses must be
expanded to fill the farms and the ranks of soldiers. Everything works out great until one day you
have too many people and not enough imported food. Then it is Goodnight Irene.
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But that is the waxing and
waning of empire. There is no going
back, as overpopulation and overexploitation is a ratchet technology. If you don’t engage in that behavior your
neighbors who do will handily defeat you.
All the bloviating of the tree huggers cannot change the fact that you
join the arms race or you die. No, Rodney,
you crackhead moronic retard, we can’t all just get along. Have some more stick, bitch! The only time there is peace is when everyone
is well armed. The Soviets understood this
( if the flag officers of our military industrial complex did not ), as do the
North Koreans ( and presumably the Iranians ).
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So, understanding from the
start that relying on imports and exports will eventually get you killed, you
do it anyway because by doing so you will die tomorrow rather than today (
which was one of those cool Russian sayings, like “hump your mother” ). Although, given the cultural dynamic of
empires, by the time the collapse phase comes along everybody is about as
stupid as Rodney and genuinely asks similar dumbass questions like “but you
know this time is different, right?”, or, “aren’t we better than all the other
empires?”. Jesus himself weeps.
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The ancient empires were
all engaged in trade and they all pretty much failed around the same time as
some unknown event interfered with trade.
Of course, this was in areas denuded of their resources in a normally
desolate area of desert fed with rivers and irrigated, increasing the
devastation through growing salt deposits.
They were more prone to the negative effects of trade, anyway. I’ll call them collectively the Bronze Age
civilization. Once trade collapsed, so
did they.
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The Greeks denuded their
lands ( it wasn’t always mainly olives, which is a bit of a junk tree-able to
thrive in poor soil ) and were busy importing grains to feed the bustling
populations. When their navy began to
fail to protect their shipping lanes, the empire was collapsing. The Romans both had the ships bringing grain
fail to arrive, and they were also working at docks and facilities that were
not being maintained. Without enough
grain being delivered the city itself-you know, the capital of the empire-was
collapsing. Was it the barbarians
invading that finished Rome, or was it the food not being delivered?
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During and at the end of
World War One, the British were embargoing Germany. That wonderfully just and heroic empire were
killing civilians ( withholding food and fuel ) to win the war ( which was a
war of failing empires-more on that in a bit ), killing more civilians to get
the armistice that would bail out her bankrupt treasury, and then, AFTER the
peace went on killing civilians. One
imagines out of spite ( or, Hell, who knows, it could have been under
instructions by the US, holder of all her debt, in a profit seeking move
). The embargo had a lot to do with the
strategies of Nazi Germany in the next war ( not hard to figure out once you
realize Food Is First, Always ).
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Do you remember the
embargo of Iraq by the US, all through the 90’s? Do you realize the number of civilians killed
because of that? In the end, it was all
about controlling our oil supply. Which,
anyone watching the news fifteen years previously and hearing about the Carter
Doctrine ( we regard middle east oil as our own and will go to war over it ),
or going back and realizing the history of intervention back even before the Shah Of Iran, should have seen
coming. Hell, Iraq should have seen it
coming, given there history back nearly three millennium ago.
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History is full of
imported food and its role in the rise and demise of empires. Greece’s fall should have alerted Rome, whose
experience should have warned the Colonial Empires ( 1400’s to 1900, give or
take a few years ), which should have been a lesson to the Oil Empire of the US
( hard to point to a solid date there. I’d
call it 1890’s to 2011, the year of our last successful PetroDollar Primacy War
in Libya ). But lessons cannot be
learned, can they? Who learned from the
American Civil War or the trench wars on the Japanese and Russian frontiers at
the beginning of last century, tactically?
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No one learns from
civilizations falls because people see history as they do politics, tailored to
their beliefs. And everyone fights the
last war, because generals don’t have their own sons fighting at the beginning
of the next war. This institutional
amnesia is also necessary for success.
If you know that no matter what you do in the end you lose your empire,
you will fight defensively rather than offensively and lose before you begin. It is sort of like falling in love,
forgetting that the odds are good you’ll soon be divorced. If we were rational, the human race would
have already died off.
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By looking at the past,
and extrapolating into the future, you can easily see that both the American
and the Chinese empire will soon fail along with their food imports. This is really a No Brainer. If you are merely hoping you’ll die before
this happens, you’ll realize wishful thinking won’t change this rationale. And if you can’t see it coming, that is because
you don’t Know Much ‘Bout Much. Not to
impugn your intelligence. You’re just
not paying attention. All empires fail
from resource contraction. It isn’t
necessarily food imports themselves that cause this. It can be war material
shortages, weather events, or what not.
But most of the time, yes, it is direct food import shortages that
finish off a failing empire.
More Tomorrow.
END ( today's related link http://amzn.to/2yYIQYU )
* By the by, all my writing is copyrighted. For the obtuse out there
I’ve given a lot of thought to this topic lately. And while I find our intrusive foreign policies to be troubling, I try not to speak out too much about it, since I know that ultimately, we all benefit directly from it. There always has to be a lead dog, and I’d rather be in his pack, than the others. Kind of the difference between being in Lord Humongous’s gang vs the refinery folks gang (The latter growing weaker and weaker, while the former growing stronger and stronger, up of course until the oil was all gone). Post collapse it will likely be much the same, though there might be a few remote fringe groups that escape the rule of the controlling gangs, provided that they can stay out of sight of said gangs.
ReplyDeleteWe’re in bad need of a population reduction. Perhaps “the terrorists” will be of some assistance in this area (Yes, I know that’s a fucked up thing to say, but it’s going to happen regardless, and better that than a slow death by starvation).
Being in the lead pack WAS a good thing. We are, barely, still enjoying some residuals from that. But it is still all over but the fat lady singing, now. We already passed the point where Britain went bankrupt during the First Colony War ( WWI ) and started losing her colonies such as Ireland. We just won't have the twenty to thirty year lag time they did. When it goes, its a snowball causing the avalanche ( sp? ).
DeleteAlso, and possibly related to the declining empire. But is it just me, or does it seem as if this “opioid crisis” just came out of the thin blue air all of suddenly? I sense a ramp up of the “war on drugs”. The local governments couldn’t ignore the revenues generated from a “lesser evil” drug like marijuana, but aren’t willing to give up the revenues generated from illegal drugs all the same. So now we’re hearing about how the swine are preparing for the additional DUI’s that will come with the first of the year pot shops opening here in the PRK, so don’t toke and drive kiddies. Of course you shouldn’t toke or drink and drive, but you should especially make it a point to avoid the trap of funding the leos, and starve the beast from within.
DeleteYes, the opiate evilness did spring up too suddenly, like that biting monkey causing AIDS worldwide in just a few months :( I have no idea what it means, because the drugs are legal from Big Pharma. Why would any elite want that profit center jepordized?
Delete"Food Is First, Always"
ReplyDeleteThis is how you sort out who is serious & who is playing.
Damn, I should have thought of this awhile ago: "food is first, or you'll be eating the barrel of your fancy firearm". Well, something like that. It just popped into my head, no coffee yet.
Delete