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WRONG EMPIRE MODEL

All empires crash and burn in spectacular fashion.  But, you see, since America never had an empire, that doesn’t apply to us.  Oh.  My.  Mother Living.  God.  Has the public school system really done such a wonderful job brainwashing us?  People believe that crap?  Evidently, because if you dare to believe we are an empire, Rush will call you a communist.  Try to follow his logic.  Obama hates America ( whether because he is a socialist, or a Kenyan, or a Muslim, or whatever- in a small way, I actually almost feel sorry for the turd, as he seems about as stupid as all the rest of us if not more so ).  He says mean things about how our glorious peace loving non-killing wedding party drone heavy military behaves.  If he hates the Right ( cue glorious patriotic party music ), then anyone not agreeing with the Right is just like him and hates America.  So if you call America an empire you are am Obama Lover.  Or something close to that.  I am sad and ashamed I used to actually like and listen to Rush on a regular basis.  Back in a more innocent time when I believed the parties were different and didn’t think elections were rigged.  Anyway, almost anywhere you look, anyone pointing at “empire” is ridiculed and attacked by legions of academics paid handsomely to lie and distort.  Even British history writers play the “accidental empire” card, as if we tripped over the corpses of the Nazis and quite by accident took over the joint with the Brits as close and admired consultants.  Idiots. 

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Even those you do not try to contort logic into different shapes still have rather more than a few excuses for denying our empire is imploding.  Does this sound familiar? “Fracking oil and natural gas FOREVER!!!  FOREVER, I tells ya!”.  And, of course, the whole “heroic free market capitalists are being unfairly prosecuted by fake Gore Warming advocates”.  This one is definitely a convoluted lie, because we are running a fascist system here, folks.  The bankers fund both governments and corporations.  Tall tales of corporations in control are spin to detract attention from the central bankers.  And spin blaming corporations for not allowing us to “learn about” earth warming caused by energy use is really just all about saying The Weather Isn’t Really Changing.  So, discredit both companies and scientists on the payroll by saying they lie about global warming is really lies to say nothing to see here, move along.  It isn’t the Left trying to levy a carbon tax.  Look, a volcano erupting in Indonesia wipes out a year of crops in North America.  A two week blizzard descends on North Dakota ( or perhaps it was South-whatever ) and the wind chill is Antarctica cold as in close to 80 BELOW ZERO.  And that was in the 1880’s, long before cars and air conditioning.  Europe has seen centuries of both above average and below average temperatures.  Centuries.  Forget about weather change needing a culprit.  It just happens.  Has, and will.  And, is.  The Druid Dude was kind enough on 3-25-15 to provide a link about the North Atlantic current change.  That is scary crap.  It means the weather anomalies are going to stay with us.

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What happened one of the last times weather got screwy? The Mongols needed grass, after their area dried up.  And from one tiny area being thrown into climate chaos, almost all of Asia and Europe saw many years of attack and conquest and rapine.  Think about how just one group-although, obviously, the RIGHT group- seeing climate change brought about so much war and slaughter and disease and wealth transformation.  And the areas seeing climate change today are far bigger than some nomads pasture.  Now, I’ve long contended that most empires fell due to stripping the soil ( not an original conclusion-a wonderful study is the short and easy to read “Dirt” ).  Weather change, economic ruination, social unrest and barbarian invasions go along with that.  But food shortages are key.  Most “professionals” are bound and determined to ignore that, as that certainly doesn’t give their study specialty much job security.  It IS all about the food.  Care to guess the kind of mess we are in for when everyone is hungry?  And armed ( on a global scale.  Your AR-15 will have limited effect against nuclear fallout from half the world away ).  But, bad as that will be, I’m not here preaching the ocean currents shifting will doom us all.  What I’d like to hypothesize is that the civilization collapse we should be focusing on is the Mongol caused one, and not the customary Rome or Mayan collapse.

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Granted, food was key there also.  But what concerns me more is the always retarded and irritating insistence we have a good three hundred years of slow decline ahead of us to cushion our fall.  What horse apples.  Our water supply, our soil and our fair weather are going to last three hundred years ( minus the already 36 years since global peak per capita energy use started declining ) more?  People don’t starve willingly.  They go out and take food by force.  And if you are lucky, you are left alive to bring in a new crop next year.  If you are a farmer.  Which none of us are.  Even the poor countries are too heavily mechanized to avoid energy decline effecting food.  Who suffered most historically in war and famine?  City folk.  And where do most of us live now?  There are not enough farmers, the regular historic 90%, to cushion us in a collapse.  The cities are too dependent on petroleum for this to be a long slow collapse. 

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So, why model on the Mongol invasions?  Back then, the horsemen followed the fresh grass to the wealth.  Many decentralized tribes merged to survive, as the local fodder was insufficient to stay.  By moving as one, the unity had to be bribed for.  So they looted half the globe.  Now, once again half the globe will belong in war and famine and drought and disease ( the other half, such as most of Africa, is already there.  The difference will be, no more military supplies will arrive [ blood diamonds will be the least worry of hungry once-industrial nations ] and the fighting will prolong as warfare slows, at the same time food aid completely dries up, wiping out the refugee camps ).  And the groups will raid each other.  With not much to show for their efforts.  It will actually be more like the Thirty Years War, but with a lot more people and less food.  You will have twenty different groups fighting over the same areas, some being wiped out, others consolidating, then famine setting in to drive them elsewhere, wherein yet another couple of groups converge on the original spot and rinse and repeat.  With the Mongols, the new boss settled the war quick and the farmers still planted.  In today’s global economy of industrial farming, everything is centralized.  Oil comes from half way across the world to pump the groundwater to irrigate denuded land fed by chemical fertilizers from half way around the world, then shipped on trucks using spare parts from half way across the world to drive hundreds and thousands of miles to the cities to deliver food.  And war disrupts trade.  And centralization.  War will be global, even if small scale after the initial conflict, with famine and flood or draught and infertile soil everywhere. 

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We all make fun of the orange juice hat wearing gay boys in the navy, but truth be told they are the guys that make trade possible globally.  Fun filled fact, WWII saw thousands of ships in our navy/merchant marine.  Even the Korean War still saw about a thousand ships.  We let that decline ruinously where even the happily money drunk Reagan years couldn’t get our fleet back up to 600 ships.  It is now down to almost 250 ships, at a time trade is more global than ever.  Lack of trade protection.  Energy decline.  Draught and other climate disasters.  An economy held aloft only by derivatives ( think, Orange County California writ large ).  To call the times ahead interesting is saying the least.

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