Friday, June 7, 2019

yeasty 2


YEASTY 2
There was a guy, awhile ago.  He knew basic math.  Look, says he, historically food production expands slightly.  People expand much faster.  Do you see a problem?  Nobody likes what he has to say, so it is a good thing he kept his day job.  Some crazy cracker comes along with a theory of relativity and everyone gets all excited and makes T-shirts with his face on them.  Which is just slightly more important?  Where is the coffee mugs with Malthus?  This is what I mean by us being retarded.  We might be smart, at times, but we don’t act like it.
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You all are worshiping a guy with really bad hair.  The other guy with nice hair, everyone ignores.  We can’t get a guy with a mustache elected and we can’t revere someone with a glowing mane.  Our priorities are askew.  Look at the Chinese.  They used to expect famine on a schedule.  It was part of their culture, it was so ingrained in their history.  And now, to make pennies of profit off plastic, they poison or pave over farmland, just as dependent on eating petroleum as we are.  Only eighty years later, we’ve forgotten how we were starving.
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And, fine, that is human nature.  That is the nature of an oligarchy.  We don’t have a choice that a few gabazillionaires profit off our destruction of farmland and our energy dependence.  But we do have a choice to insure ourselves against the stupidity of others.  That is what prepping is about.  And I don’t mean a case of oh so yummy MRE’s ( I’m being sarcastic.  A week or two of that crap will cure your craving of them, for life ).  Any prepper stopping at natural disaster or camping/BOB levels of food isn’t really preparing.  They are playing.
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The smallest apartment has a bed.  Make a storage container under that.  That is the START of your storage food.  If you can cache, bury more food.  If you can’t, figure something else out.  Have a Mylar bag of wheat, at the back of a cupboard behind pots and pans.  Have them under all four seats in your car, and some in the trunk.  If you must, get some sheetrock and paint, and fill up a wall with Spam and peanut butter and like calorie dense foods.  Stop trying to be organized and just stuff any area possible.
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Because here is the thing.  Malthus was right.  Only the arrival of coal and oil made him wrong.  And when that is gone, he will be right again.  2005 was Peak Oil globally.  More and more, the energy replacing conventional crude is the Fake Fuels, with far less net energy.  THAT right there is the issue (  we used to pump 10 million, and it took 100k barrels to do so.  Now it takes 8 million to deliver us 78.  What did you think a 10 to 1 EROI meant?  For eight times the oil we need 80 times the energy to get it ). 
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As our population keeps expanding, our energy supply ( which grows and delivers all our food ) per capita shrinks ( more people as a global percentage are using oil now than when the Oil Age started ).  We aren’t running out of oil, we are running out of oil left over from the process of getting oil ( on a per person basis ).  And we are running out of enough that it is endangering all other non-oil industries, such as farming.  It doesn’t happen tomorrow, but soon enough.
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It took twelve years or so for Mexico to go from peak production to beginning to import oil for its own use.  A decade makes a huge difference in oil, today.  You can’t wait for energy production to begin endangering the food supply, not if you want to stock up while the food is affordable and available.  I warn you of a danger in ten years and you think you have ten years before you have to worry ( and please don’t take that timeline literally.  It could be less ).  But you have to worry NOW.
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That is how it works.  You start stocking at the beginning of summer, not at the end of fall.  Once shortages start, there is no stockpiling.  The US is not completely food independent.  Crap gets moved around, as demanded.  It isn’t just grapes from Chile in the winter, but Montana wheat to Pakistan after a flood ( the Midwest flooding might hurt China more than us-MIGHT ).  There is no profit in storing food for emergencies, so that need is met by freely trading globally.  There are no more emergency stockpiles, unless YOU have your own.
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It is easy to scoff at panic, in times of plenty.  It is easy to scoff at past cries of wolf.  But why isn’t it easy to see the year after year constant trend of us inching towards an inadequate food supply?  The CIA introducing AIDS to Africa hardly makes a dent in the population over there.  Disease is almost always only effective AFTER food supplies are falling.  Something these zombie books all neglect to take into account.  Plague decimated Rome AFTER the food shortages ( prior instances had seen rapid recovery ).  Every year, lots and globs MORE people.  The increase in food is ALREADY not keeping up.
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A large part of how we coped with that was by drawing down reserves.  Every year, the amount of food available in an emergency shrinks ( we still have to store grain until needed-it just doesn’t sit as long.  And THAT amount has steadily declined ).  We went from something like three months of grain down to one month.  And as you’ve seen in the last decade, that was low enough that any major supply issue is reflected by immediate shortages and price hikes.  The trend is already in place and we just await it affecting us.
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This is the mindset that you have to guard against, this focus on immediate emergencies.  We worry about a Nork nuke attack, tomorrow.  We worry about the stock market crashing, tomorrow.  Yellowstone could erupt, tomorrow.  In the meantime, higher probability events are already in motion, but they probably won’t happen tomorrow.  But they WILL, definitely, happen.  We panic for no reason on something that MIGHT happen tomorrow and ignore what WILL happen in a year or five or ten.  Overpopulation is already a proven, reliable problem.  The consequences of that will be upon us soon enough.
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The Midwest flooding should be all the warning you need.  Not because it proves we will be starving by the end of the year, but because it proves you cannot time the collapse.  And that collapse will involve food shortages.  Food First.
( .Y. )
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14 comments:

  1. This is why you're the boss

    "Food is First. Always"

    Today cans of Spam were 1/2 price. Each can is 500 calories. Got Sauce?

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    Replies
    1. Hope you ought more than you were comfortable with financially. Eat your rice for some extra meals to buy more storage food. Threaten to sell the wife for funds if she doesn't chip in. How many times does she need to go to the hair stylist? What is she doing, preening for the milk man? Don't be fooled by her innocent doe eyes. It's a trap!

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    2. I likes me some spam, specially the walmart brand. It's less costly than the name brand, therefore I can eat more for less coin. My favoritest way, and the easiest way, is to just slice it 1/4 inch thick and slam it onto some mayo smeared wheat breat with a sheet of american. DAWGEEZ that shit is good! nom nom nom nom

      People that say they don't like spam are not to be trusted. I mean, really. That's like saying they don't like air. Or water. You know, the basics of life. Spam is basic grub. And to not like it? Please. If I ever encounter a person that says they don't like spam I won't question it further, I'll just walk away. They are unredeemable in any way. Valueless. Worthless even. In fact, I will say they are a liability and will put as much distance as possible between us.

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    3. Spam is NOT civilized food. It taste good in only two circumstances. When you are camping, and the apocalypse. If I can buy raw hamburger cheaper than Spam, even Generic, why am I eating that slop? Granted, everyone has different taste buds. But I'm only prepared to meet you half way on Spam. Great, but only in certain circumstances. Now, I DO understand your hate. I don't trust anyone that doesn't drink coffee. They are tea slurping communists.

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    4. Can of Spam + Mac & Cheese = 1,500(ish) calories.

      I like to cut the spam into cubes & fry them up.

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    5. That sounds good, but that is only because I'm eating oatmeal for breakfast right now. Most things taste better than that. I think I have about five or six cases of Spam in storage, and about that in mac and cheese. A year of treat eating at once a week. Well, the apocalypse is about drastically lowering expectations.

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  2. Yes, famine will haunt the land....but not USA.
    US produces enough calories for our population so I'll disagree w/ your claim. Africa/S. Asia...screwed.
    Moving those calories though will entail transport...the future is mules, not plastics (Dustin Hoffman, "The Graduate").

    Good that you noted that disease outbreaks follow malnutrition and famine. But it is a tempermental beastie. Been known to jump the turnstill and impact even healthy populations, albeit less harshly.
    Stock up on disinfectants, latex gloves, respirators and fish antibiotics.....Backhoe, anyone?

    Wonder if the Ornamentals have gene manipulated some nasty, virulent bio-warfare crap??? Yep.

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    Replies
    1. The US has enough calories for even more population. IF they have enough oil to grow and transport, store and cook. IF!

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  3. Yes, correct Jim. I am encamped in Vegas, and can very much attest from observation reconnitoring that food will be weapon number ONE!

    The 'Merican ethos of yore, about being resilient, stoic, not victims, etc is sadly dropping like flies from pesticides. Those folks not prepared will be dropping as well.

    I encourage Minions to broaden their options of an area's shopping and stockpiling sources. I hit up dollar stores, el super hispanic grocer, smart and final commercial/ grocery type store, walmart(prolific so a hub source), smiths-kroger. If some mental homework is done on costs quantity values they can really reap savings to plow back into purchasing power. This keeps it down to cash in hand commerce, and not into debt accumaltion to buy those freeze dried Unicorn scrotums in a zesty sauce, packed in #10 cans, hoorah!

    Stay frosty.

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    1. If you enter a grocery store without a calculator, you are wrong. Never assume a bigger size is a better deal, and never assume anyone is a low price leader. The one thing I easily remember ( I have no idea why ) is competitive food prices. You'll probably need to keep notes. Shop every single place, regularly. Only buy everything on sale. If you have to, trash pick junk shelves or junk to make shelves and create your own warehouse. You insist on owning a car, now pay for it by constant bargain shopping. Even in the ghetto, but in full daylight. Probably before about noon when the crack heads stir.

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  4. “Have them under all four seats in your car, and some in the trunk”


    Make sure that you also rodent proof it, especially if you live in the country. Same for the under your bed stash, or anywhere else in your home. What works great is those small cookie or popcorn tins that you commonly see around the holiday season. I save all of them.

    I also like the idea of the false wall. Take a cue from 19th century demonic survivalist, Sarah Winchester (sans the bat shit craziness, of course :D )

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    Replies
    1. But doesn't being a tiny bit bat crap crazy help? :)

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  5. Uh oh! Now that the cat is out of the bag, with information circulating around about midwest flood induced famines, there will be cage match type conflicts for the chow in aisle # 9.

    I have to peruse some michael snyder perpetual apocalypse articles of the pending famine to get amped up and go do some shopping.

    After Lord Bison publishing empire articles are linked to and disseminated, there will be jumpers raining down from the Chicago mercantile exchange due to futures exchange losses.

    Ha! Skanks, ho's and lot lizards will be bartering their bodies for pee cups of grains or rice, as a medium of exchange.

    Good times await.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Jump, you humpers!
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yge311sFhC8

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