Wednesday, April 3, 2019

castles in ruins 3


CASTLES IN RUINS 3
California used to be a bellwether state.  What happened first in Cali then happened in the rest of the country ( fun filled fact-Sweden used to be the bellwether for California ).  Think about the Hippies, serial killers, immigration, PC, gun control, smoking bans, and etcetera.  They still are to some degree, but now there is far less control by the federal government ( somewhat, ironically, that trend might have started in California ), less money to bribe the states and far more Balkanization, so in effect less centralization and less following of trends.  The trend weakened, although still applicable.
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When the Industrial Age came crashing down with our economy in the 1970’s, the Rust Belt very quickly covered what was left of the once great global economic powerhouse.  That quick, the lack of growth in energy, just a stall in the increase, a levelling out, and we crashed and burned.  We then turned to debt to grow the economy, fueled the first “recovery” decade with Alaskan oil and the next with Siberian.  I won’t veer off into Peak Oil.  Just know that oil is the only thing the economy needs to function.  You have it, or not.
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The government was going to turn to deficit spending no matter who was president, so don’t hate on my Dawg Ronnie.  What choice did it have?  The oil supply ramped back up, but we had already dismantled the factory economy.  It was all consumption and debt now, driving the economy.  The Rust Belt at least had the option of mortgaging its future to slap the illusion of economic recovery on as a façade.  They engaged in the build-up of the retail economy.  There weren’t Union jobs but at least there were jobs.  The smart folks joined the computer sector. 
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The economy seemed to have almost fully recovered.  Sure, there were a lot more ghettos as the old factory cities were turned into Darkie Towns, the only economic activity CIA delivered drugs.  White Flight was almost complete and the suburbs filled up.  But this economic recovery was based on retail and finance and imported oil.  But hey, better than staying in the 70’s economy, right?  The thing was, it was only a temporary recovery.  And it was a One Off recovery.  We can’t go back to industry when there is no infrastructure behind that, and we can’t return to the post-industry economy.
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The PetroDollar has been under strain for some time, one country after another joining the new order under China and Russia.  The wags jest and poke fun at the minimalist militaries in both countries ( “nanner, boo-boo, we can kick their ass! ‘Murica!” ), as we sink economically and they control more and more resources globally.  So, short answer, there is no more imported oil for the next recovery.  There is no more debt fueled prosperity, as we cannot pay the debt we already have.  Just face it, there is NO recovery this time.
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Returning to semi-bellwether state California.  They started crashing harder and faster the last time around in 2009.  It is true that the liberal mortgage law states had the most bubblicious real estate sectors, but that alone fails to explain the crash.  Many cities went bankrupt.  The state had bloated on higher valuation property taxes.   More importantly to our discussion here, their suburbs gave us a glimpse into our future.  They fell just as hard as the cities if not more so, as they were cash cows and not maintained.  Crime became as much of a suburban issue as it had always been a city issue.
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All the near future suburban issues I touch have already been seen in California ( also in most overbuilt housing bubble areas nationwide, but Cali was hit the worst, seemingly, as they were the most out of kilter with debt, infrastructure decay, immigration, crime and etcetera ).  Now, I hate Californian refugees as much as the next guy.  They poison, subvert and destroy the target destination.  As Florida was culturally decimated by New Yorkers and Jerseyittes, the West was crushed under the heel of those fleeing Cali.  But we do need to keep that event in mind.
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( Yes, I fled the state myself nearly thirty years ago.  I also didn’t cash in real estate to go help destroy other areas economically like most refugees ).  Californians destroyed their safe haven suburbs, then fled to other suburbs in response.  But they cannot escape the economic forces that destroyed their state.  Namely, shrinking federal government stimulus and uncontrolled immigration bankrupting localities.  There are other factors, macro-economically, but those are the immediate and hardest hitting.  But let us focus on this: where do those in the suburbs flee to now? 
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For those of you who swear that socialism is the residual form of all that is evil in the universe, as if corporatism and crony capitalism never did anything bad ( cough, Enron ), you’ll note that California was largely built by defense spending.  Dust Bowl era Oakies were fleeing to an agricultural state.  Only during and after WWII did the state boom economically to what we know today ( well, at least until the fall of the Soviet Union ) and it was all because of massive federal government money flowing in.  Government money made it the paradise, then made it a hell.
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Take Florida.  Remove Miami, as economically it is more aligned with Latin America.  Remove Disney World.  What is left?  Social Security checks.  That is what floats the Florida economy ( as well as Arizona’s.  Want to see their future?  New Mexico, a Mexican run government with the last of the economy leaving with the mines ).  Many parts of the economically depressed South in the Appalachia’s with no more factories are only held afloat economically by Medicare disability checks and other welfare.  California is no different, the crash so much more obvious as they were living larger on the hog.
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Texas will be the next California on the immigration front ( despite delusional State Pride ballyhooing, Texas is a one sector economic miracle-oil-and when that is in trouble all their immigration woes crush them ), and Florida will fall as hard economically as Social Security has issues.  Social Security might be largely solvent but Medicare is certainly not and since the medical industry is so large a part of the economy the solvency will not last long.  Now, ask yourself, how much of those two states are suburbs?  At least the currently economically viable areas.
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I’m not claiming that the suburbs will be death traps like the old ghetto Rust Belt cities.  The death of the suburbs does invite increased crime, granted, but totally rural areas are still meth havens.  Unless you are off grid, off road.  Divorcing yourself from macadam and power poles will be a pretty good strategy to REDUCE ( not eliminate, obviously, as has become too clear.  Also quite clear is the new normal of ALWAYS being armed on you country property.  It is no longer paranoid, but proven ) your exposure to crime.  And for Christ sake, live in a better state.
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At a minimum, you need a Castle Doctrine, No Retreat state.  Crime is not as huge of an issue right now, as is economic collapse of the suburbs.  Crime WILL exponentially increase, granted.  But you flee now to avoid the economics of the situation.  You need to cash out while you can.  If you don’t, you are stuck with a tax pig in an area that will then turn into a “little Turd World country” ( little Saigon, little Tijuana, etc. ).  Then you will become an Internet Meme ( the White kid in the Black classroom, “this will be fine” ).
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Rural, with reasonably accessible village or hamlet.  NOT suburbs and not cities.  If needs must, a small town.  But give up on the suburbs.  If you aren’t serviced by a waterway or a railway, you’ll probably be one of the first to lose all trade.  After you’ve been financially hammered and surrounded by a ghetto.
( .Y. )
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24 comments:

  1. Correct Jim. The modern, globalist, internet and cultural reach of things has its grubby fingers inserted into all the suburbs and townies across america. There will be very few isolated hermitages that can evade the collapse and spillover effects. Even whitey suburbs and country towns are chock full of douche baggery people that cannot be gotten rid of due to laws and social justice Nancys. If that quaint town near your yuppster homestead has the atypical society and commerce connections(internet, media, corporatist businesses, progressive government and academics, ingress transport, etc) all of the aforementioned scumbaggery will be outside your wire soon enough. And there are no flir tactics that can save your yuppster homestead redoubt castle from eventual ruins. Time marches on, followed behind by reality.

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    1. I just started an article trying to explain gun control, or lack thereof. In short, I think that the conflict is being allowed and planned. Take heart and stock more ammo, some areas will be allowed to fight for local freedom ( they don't care about winning-the profit is in the conflict )

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    2. Yes, the smart Minion that is embedded in a local LEO, government, or town elder system should already have extensive in place plans, gear/kit, peoples to "go green light" once collapsing starts. And agreed it is not just the winning as a goal, it is the thrill of the chase and the hunt.

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    3. The Game as the Goal is fun individually, even preferred. All should enjoy the collapse, to remain sane. For the institutions, the profit alone is the goal.

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  2. A word of caution to Minions on the ballyhoo over castle doctorine or badly worded stand your ground state laws. Always read the actual text of these laws so there is no vagueries on an interpretation or what some gun shop counter bird or twenty something media reporter's synopsis of these so called "my freedom" laws actually mean or "allow". (They are written by lawyers for a system, not really for your actual personal benefit) Any circumstances a Minion is involved in that has an LEO response and the entire judicial system involved must be considered hostile and adversarial by default, no matter how "righteous" your shooting was. (Shut up, get a lawyer) While there is rule of law and a goliath police state still in effect and control, then act accordingly by avoidance. Sorry minions, jesus doesn't really love you all that much to shield you from bad judgements and oh shit! situations.

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    1. No matter what the definition of "is" is, the law will screw you if it wants to. I refer more to the cultural mindset of a state that will or won't at least pretend to acknowledge your individual rights. Excellent advice, always shut up and lawyer up.

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    2. I came across something on this topic just recently, at I believe, a firearms forum. Apparently, in many (if not most jurisdictions) you are required to vacate your home, if you can safely do so, upon a home invasion scenario. If the prosecution can prove that you were able to avoid the confrontation in the event that you took a life, you are in big trouble. I’m not sure that I’m willing to take another humans life over a physical possession, at least not if it can be helped. But I’m also not too keen on the idea of running off and letting some scumbag have free and easy pickings of my property.

      In certain scenarios, I can see how the use of non-lethal methods (12ga pepper rounds, bean bags, etc) would be beneficial. I brought this up one time at a forum, and was immediately attacked by a couple of hardcore 2nd amendment types, that stated that if you pull a gun, you must always use it to its final and deadly conclusion (one of them was that nut job that I told you about, that actually sees a civil war as a viable option). Yeah, have fun with that plan dipshit, along with your 20 year, pound you in the ass, prison sentence :D (Office Space reference)

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    3. And if you use deadly force, kill anyone that can contradict your story. Better yet bury the scum and keep your mouth shut!

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    4. 3:35-at present, vacating the home is no big deal. Even if you escape legal hassle, a minor gunfight injury would cost more than the house itself, let alone what was in there. I'd gladly retreat if safe.
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      6:22-right, if the wife is suspect at all, bury her with the invader :)

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  3. Here in Flauduh. Castle doctrine and Stand your ground are fully functional. Tho if you do engage these rules , fully expect major shit storm of notoriety and hassle , even if fully justified.
    Better is to avoid possible situations where you might need it and remain grey. Wait for full wrol before actively engaging the hordes if at all possible.
    In other words, stay away from crowds. Hunker down.

    We get plenty of practice on hunkering down here. Hurricanes are great training runs.

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    1. Yeah, some of those county sheriffs look like they belong in NYC, full LibTards. Better to not tangle if possible.

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    2. Yeah , Orange county and Whorelando is chok full of libtards from the mayor to the polease.
      Here in Brevard it's all very Conservative. In fact our Sheriff is very active in participating in prepper type functions. He is very well liked and very much supports all second amendment rights.

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  4. 'Burbs were created for a particular technology and energy mix. Remove those? The 'burbs are as useful as an Anasazi stone house.

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    1. Tits on a bull. Arsehole on a politician ( you know, a redundant part ). Balls on a bishop.

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  5. I wouldn't be so sure about that "no oil for recovery". I mean , sure, if we played by the rules of free trade, that would be true. But guess who has the largest oil reserves in the world now? Not Saudi Arabia, Venezuela. Why do you think there is all this talk about "liberating" it?

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    1. Venezuelan oil is just like Canadian tar sands or US fracking oil. That is what they have left, Shale Shitte. It is a BTN fuel and little more. Somehow even we can't be that humping stupid to go to war for that ( both China and the Russians now have Tripwire Troops there ).

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    2. The latest find by Exxon is off-shore of Venezuela and a Guyana. http://yalibnan.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Venezuela-Guyana-map.gif Both claim it and there is a 4-way backing by Russia/China/USA/UK. There is really great oil there, which mates well with the thick tar oil for conventional refining. Why did they put my oil under your ocean? pdxr13

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    3. Two things. We mix fracking oil with Canadian tar to get a "fake conventional". It seems to fool no one. And, remember the da-too about the "super find" off Brazil? I smell another one of those. All Madison Ave hype by this point ( "two hundred years fracking oil" "ethanol is energy independence" "the new Saudi Arabia, fill in blank" ). Global discoveries have decreased for fifty years and that won't change. We have been using far more than discovered, for some time. I feel confident zero changes. Keep your bike oiled up ( and stock the soon to disappear petroleum lubricants to do so ).

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  6. Texas has natural gas and some cattle value as well, being as privately owned as it is. But the population is becoming more 'urbanized' and those votes will hurt Texas eventually. Austin is already 'Enemy Territory', the Libs already converting it to Soy Boy Country.

    Nothing a civil war wouldn't fix though.

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    1. Ah, soyboys. The new "Guess Who's Coming To Dinner"

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    2. Yeah, I can confirm this as well. My niece lives in Austin, and it’s become CA Jr. It’s not just Austin though, I’ve heard this about San Antonio, and really, all of the bigger metro areas (Dallas, Huston, etc).

      In the last election, Ted Cruz narrowly beat out Beto O'Rourke; the latter of which is the Texas equivalent of Commiefornia’s über dumbfuck, Eric Swalwell (sub-room temperature IQ, and probably missing a few chromosomes as well :D )

      The one thing Texas has going for it is size. But eventually, all those laws passed by the former Californians will catch up to you. Alaska will probably be the last state to be ruined, due to its extreme remoteness (I don’t see myself ever going there; just saying)

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    3. Of course, Alaska did have corporate welfare for a very long time from the oil revenues. Now that this is endangered ( or, already over ) the state will go Full California Retard on taxes and draconian enforcement to keep the civil servants rice bowls. Then, voters might need socialism to save them as the fish are Fuki'ed and the oil is FUBAR'ed. They might fall quicker than you imagine.

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    4. Only Whitey who lives like an old-school native will be able to enjoy Alaskan weather when trade fails, with some isolated rich folks. The military bases fail fastest when paychecks don't buy anything and soldiers want to go back home to 'Bama and Georgia on whatever C141/C5/747 is going there. Alaska is a long walk from Seattle, let alone Dixie.

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    5. Without gold or oil, I think we've gotten all the use we can out of the place. They pretend "Arctic oil" is going to show up after Gore Warming thaws everything, and that might keep us up there a little longer, but it will soon be triaged.

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