Saturday, February 24, 2018

BAU 1 of 3


BAU

After years of working like a bare assed savage to convince you that civilization is collapsing and you need to assume the worst, it is now time to consider the far more frightening Business As Usual.  I still believe in the waterfall collapse ( Seneca Cliff if you follow the Italian Collapse Dude ), most emphatically NOT the long slow centuries collapse of yore ( if for no other reason than this time we have an Oil Collapse, not an Agricultural Collapse ), so we are NOT contemplating the Druid Dude collapse here.  That simply isn’t going to happen.  But you can still have a Waterfall Collapse after getting a Too Long Semi-Stair Step Collapse.

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Let’s play semantics, refuge of the lawyers.  A Stair Step Collapse is the type of collapse we have all witnessed for the last fifty years.  Things get worse, we adapt and overcome and get used to less than before.  It isn’t really a collapse but a decline.  A Waterfall Collapse is a long slow decline followed by a sudden drop off a cliff.  The danger of the Waterfall is that you are so deafened by the roar of the water and so blinded by the spray that you have no idea when the long slow downward motion stops and the plunge over begins.

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The attraction, or the Good News/Bad News is that while it is a collapse, you’ve prepared.  You just need to tuck your head into your shell and wait out the Die-Off which will be quite rapid.  Not only is the Waterfall Collapse the highly probable outcome ( the Perfect Storm sees cascading failures ), it has the attraction of being relatively easy to prepare for.  So, what do I mean by the Semi-Stair Step Collapse?  I mean, the period right before the plunge takes just a bit too long.  I mean, we don’t collapse fast enough ( there is no such thing as an overnight collapse outside Yellowstone or an Asteroid or global nuclear war or EMP.  They are possible but highly improbable ).

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They are the perennial favorites of the Yuppie Scum Preppers who NEED them to happen to instantly wipe out the insane amounts of debt they used to stockpile their mountaintop cement fortress stuffed with semi-auto’s and freeze dried foods, but most likely they see the sheriffs deputy evicting them after unemployment rather than them seeing their Jubilee salvation.  They don’t want to see a repeat of the Great Depression.  Yet, having said that, us Waterfall Collapse advocates are in just as much danger of relying on a strategy depending on a repeat of the Great Depression ( with the benefit of the Safety Net enacted afterwards as being the difference this time ).

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We are fighting the last war.  By relying on the welfare state, we might be conjuring into being a dependency that could prove our undoing.  And we ALL rely on the welfare state.  Any Libertarian Retard that claims otherwise is an embarrassing proof that studying economics and politics is no education at all.  The Austrian School and Constitutional Studies are two of the biggest dead end methods of thinking you can contemplate ( aside from the numbers of angels pin dancing ).  No economy can survive without the national military ( no private security firm can compete with free conscripts and free war material the nation state has at their disposal, AND financing, in near unlimited quantities ).  And believing the Constitution is anything other than the power grab of the FedGov over the States is glittery unicorn farts.

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We could argue over the feasibility of a true free market, but you can’t argue there ever was one in practice.  Nor can you argue that an energy surplus is required for capitalism, even if it isn’t central bank mercantilism.  As for the Constitution, you had better give up the fantasy that a document acknowledges freedom.  Freedom is only what you win from the barrel of a gun.  Falling back on the Constitution is a lazy, weak, unrealistic way of insisting on freedom rather than fighting for it ( no, I do NOT call for revolution.  Why die for those advocating LESS freedom?  See the quote by Napoleon about letting your enemy defeat himself ).

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Who of us doesn’t rely on the nation state for income?  You work for them indirectly, almost every single one of you.  Your company relies on the granting of monopoly by the state, if no other monopoly than that on freedom from prosecution for their illegal business practices.  Or your customers are employees or contractors of the state.  90-99% of my income derives from commission from Amazon sales, which breaks the law on business practices, swindles its stockholders and gets subsidized postal service shipping.  Am I complaining?  Hell no!

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I’m also not waving the Free Market flag on my job.  I know the taxpayer is indirectly paying me.  And that doesn’t even begin to cover Food Stamps and Social Security.  Two programs I rely on to be there in case they are needed.  I am NOT pointing a quivering finger and proclaiming shame on those at the government teet.  First, none of us have a choice and second, it isn’t money from the taxpayers but money borrowed from thin air that we are benefiting from ( rich humpers love to proclaim how they are getting screwed by welfare bitches and how it is all their money and how they need to pay zero taxes.  Fine. Don’t call the cops or the fire department, and don’t ask the Navy to escort your imported goods over the oceans after you quite working and sit atop your pile of cash ).

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By “fighting the last war” I mean we all have the expectation that as long as government lasts it will retain the welfare state to keep order.  In effect, we rely on uppity Blacks in constant rebellion so that the welfare state stays able and willing to disperse emergency aid to us.  But what if we were to go through a period of NO government assistance, enough to deplete our stores, PRIOR to the collapse?  We deny it outright, because this alternative is too undesirable to contemplate, but you know you can have a full blown decline  prior to the die-off, which lasts so long it becomes itself far more dangerous.  Why/how is that possible and other musings continue tomorrow.

END ( today's related link http://amzn.to/2sIkVzb )
 
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9 comments:

  1. I have heard rumblings from financial guys saying we are about to hit the third bubble and this one cannot be covered up by simple hokus pokues like the housing and jobs bubbles. A few trillion in debt is hard to hide and no one acts like it even exists.

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    1. The further from reality, the less close you examine.

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  2. you have expressed my thoughts about the complainers against recipients of aid.
    a relative with a chronic illness receives food stamps and a medical card, thanks be to God.
    i think we are getting something for our tax dollars because this help is coming to someone in our family.
    some commenter on another web log said that , when his mother fell ill, the social workers and nurses descended like 'a flock of vultures'.
    he paid for everything out of his pocket--they must be very deep pockets!

    when my mother failed, the social workers and nurses descended like a flock of ministering angels--thanks be to God for them, too!
    i am grateful that there is a fire station in sight of our house , and policemen, and ambulances, and a hospital close by.
    thanks be to God for them ,too!

    as high as taxes are we still do get something for them, including sewerage treatment without which there could be no decent living standards, and water treatment and service.
    we are living in luxury even kings could not dream of in the past.

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    1. To often ignored in the debate is that not everyone is fully capable. Those gladly taking Social Security think it is okay to deny the sick or poor any assistance. It doesn't have to be compassionate. Simple self preservation says you help the segments of society that are less able, if nothing else than stemming revolution. The script written by the right globalists went too far and demonized the safety net too much. As for medical vultures, look into the over use of opiates as "quality of life" to actually establish those "death panels" hockey mom Palin talked about. Not saying it is definite-just that there might be something there under the surface.

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  3. "...Yuppie Scum Preppers who NEED them to happen to instantly wipe out the insane amounts of debt...but most likely they see the sheriffs deputy evicting them after unemployment rather than them seeing their Jubilee salvation."
    I see what you did there with the Biblical reference. That was deep, and true. Still hearing people claiming a crash will eliminate their debt, or hyperinflation will make it easy to pay off their mortgage. (Mortgage: Latin for "death pledge.") More like the dollar will die, your savings will be worthless, and your debt will be restructured into the new currency unit at terms worse than what you're currently held to.
    Peace out

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    1. I don't know why folks think that hyperinflation would help them pay off their mortgage-no one will be employed making the mythical $1k an hour. Or, they make $8k a day but bread is $5k a loaf and a gallon of gas is $3k-so you have zero disposable income to pay the mortgage. Like fraking oil saving the empire. Bad choices miraculously made good.

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  4. You can see a current picture at my Amazon Author page. Okay, I try to tread as light as possible on race, but here goes. No race is better, per se, because culture plays such an important part. You could look at IQ and claim Asians have a higher intelligence, but Western White culture made us far more successful. I'm also a big believer in geographical determinism. Not as a complete answer but a very strong determining factor. Culture, location, then on the bottom race. If race is even a consideration. I'm still open on it but I also don't worry overly much. I mean, White hillbillies came from the stock furthest north, and they ain't very bright, just as a for instance. Also, there is simply too much unknown about racial differences ( I don't necessarily buy the Out From Africa theory ). As for Europe, it is the dilution of the tribe that is the issue, not a Dark flooding White neighborhoods issue. Do certain ethnicities seem on the surface to be flaming idiots? Sure. But look at lily White LibTards and Canadians-how effing stupid are they? Are you asking if I think we are being deliberately replaced? ( I'm not familiar with the K Plan or the B agreement ). I don't think it was a racial thing, although that helped in divide and conquer. I think it was a non-tribal, so non-White flood meant to weaken us. But underline TRIBAL rather than racial. I needed to go the long ways around this is say it is too complex to simplify. Good news? Resources will disappear and the economy will crash before a critical point is reached.

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  5. B A U, it is the best that most folks can hope for so as to hold out a decade or two longer. I can prep up for most everything but full on shtf/collapse not so much. I'll take status quo now as is, better than alternatives going on in the world right now this minute as we type at each other. there is no one (yep, no one) who is turn key ready to go. A cancer or accident of some sort will get most folks anyway. These are the good ole' days so make best of 'em and try to enjoy some life along the way.

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    1. You said it-enjoy each day, stop sweating the small stuff.

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