Two weeks into September and the Gore Warming Industry has gotten an economic bail-out. They had to wait twelve years but the hurricanes finally returned to, ahem, validate human induced climate change. Never mind that we had worse wind storms prior to burning too much oil ( whenever I need a rational reminder to ignore all this Global Warming hype, I remember two things. There used to be a 99% scientific consensus that plate tectonics was impossible. And in the 1890’s we had one of the worst deep freezes ever out here in the West [ Gore Warming isn’t just about warming but extreme colds and extreme heats ] ). Let’s not even worry that even if Gore Warming is a thing, we’ve also passed the point of no return long ago, meaning all the cries of anguish to “do something” is lamenting the horse now long out of the barn, which just makes it distracting and embarrassing. Let’s just keep rowing up the river De Nile. Let’s just keep pushing for fake solutions and ignore resource contraction.
On a blog I shan’t embarrass by naming ( hint: published out of Tennessee ), who tries valiantly to out-do his chief rival the unnamed blog from Idaho ( note to Idahoans-you poor miserable bastards, with “Snyder For Congress”. I would make fun of you but we had Harry Reid forever ), there was the standard guest article on how a princess prepper braved the wrathful thirty mile an hour winds and-gasp!-several hour blackout and emerged victorious due to her preps! Every single thing a survivalist would not do but a prepper certainly would was highlighted here. First, I will admit that the only point I can agree with her was the preps for Coffee Continuation. And she did have a non-propane back-up for cooking. But that was about it. Everything else was Petroleum Prepping ( ie, short term preps to ride out a storm in luxury and return to Business As Usual ). Suburban conventional house ( we assume a mortgage ). Relying on frozen foods. MRE’s. Propane.
Not that there is anything wrong with all this. I have a good long supply of propane myself. A small amount of MRE’s are great for a bug-out or a covert hunker down. And while mortgages are stupid, because you lose your job in an economic collapse and we are in one, I also understand most folks have little choice being in that situation. No, my issue is that preppers aren’t prepping for anything other than a short term power outage. They aren’t prepping for an economic collapse, nor resource contraction with overpopulation. They are barely more than well stocked campers. They rely on Business As Usual, but just on a one to two week delay feature. They aren’t really prepped for anything beyond repelling looting and waiting for the electric company to repair everything. That is it. If that were Phase One of their plans, I can see the appeal of luxury items like MRE’s and propane. But when that is Plan A, and B, and C, they are prepped for squat.
Living in Houston or Florida isn’t the problem. We have Intrepid Minions with viable plans living near or in the swamps. The problem is believing that you can keep returning to Grid Up as you live in Houston and Florida. These are natural disaster areas for a simple reason. The same reason you move there. Rainfall. You want heat and rain to grow your own food, so you pick an area abundant in those areas. Well, whatever ‘norm” your area is, you get extremes of that norm. The dry West NATURALLY burns and has droughts. The South NATURALLY gets floods. Gore Warming or not. Houston was flooding way before we fired up our first internal combustion engine. Rather than looking at Gore Warming and thinking a Prius will save Gaia, how about looking at our diminishing resources? Every year more little brown people are born. Fact. And everyone from the Pope to every business owner from the FedGovs cronies to the corner mom & pop all want more births than even that. We’ve been pushing birth control on Third World nations since the Pill was invented, and the ONLY thing that happened was that we had a slight decrease in the increase of population when China shared the commodity profit with exporters and a slight uptick in middle classes slightly slowed the population time bomb for a short period of time before the global depression hit the manufacturing overproduction in China.
So how serious are we, really? I don’t mean as far as pushing Third World birth control measures because that is pushing a string culturally. I mean, how serious are we about population control in general, everywhere? Less people mean less profits. Of course Muslim and Latino immigration is going to be a factor, when the local population stops reproducing adequately for the bottom line of the elite. Now, when you add more people every year, which will happen as it is profitable in so many ways, from downward pressure on wages to more product consumers, to overpopulation causing famine which causes wars which cause munitions sales to spike, what happens with the supply of their products they need? Answer, it must grow just to stay even with demand. Wow, this stuff isn’t hard at all! More people need more food and shoes and AK-47’s. So, where does all these products come from? If you are the average corporate CEO or US citizen, the answer is, unicorns farting glitter.
Ever hear of Fracking? Green Revolutions? Fusion and space colonization? Resource substitution? Free market? Those are all unicorn farts. They are a mythical occurrence. They are wet farts of misinformed minds attempting to ignore reality. How hard, really, is the concept of “infinite grown on a finite planet”? I mean, really? How can you be skeptical of that? I’m going to assume you are all with me on that. We may not be able to agree on much, such as SUV driving, FLIR scopes, AR-15’s, trophy wives or city living, but surely we can agree on that one thing? Eventually the mine plays out and you get a ghost town. Eventually you draw down the soil and crop decline ensues. Eventually you allow enough towel heads to immigrate and soon they are ravishing your white women, imposing their own laws and burning down your cities if welfare payments are interrupted. More of one behavior to its logical conclusion always violently eradicates that behavior. Even a place as big as an ocean eventually fills up with trash if you dump enough of the stuff for long enough ( fill it up enough and the waves just deposit back on to land the last load ).
Resources always run out, and accepting that and assuming it won’t happen until it screws over your grandkids is all very well and good a winning strategy. Until it isn’t. You can pretend that the target keeps moving further away each generation but that is just more unicorn flatulence. Fifty years ago we knew diminishing resources were meeting overpopulation. And so we used more energy to pretend we weren’t running out ( without the widespread adoption of pouring petroleum into the soil, mostly by extending farmland into areas needing irrigation, the global famines foretold by Ehrlich and other Cassandra’s would have unfolded ) of energy and other critical resources our entire infrastructure is predicated upon. Well, now we are definitely running out of oil, on a net energy delivered basis. Have been for awhile and we can see that by our economy, which was built on fossil fuels, in decline. Other resources are in decline, as seem by buildings built with such subpar materials in China that they simply fall over. In New Orleans when neighborhoods, hell, housing for at least a hundred thousand people, are not replaced. Detroit where not only houses but all buildings and all infrastructure is allowed to entropy into junk. The simple fact of the matter is that there is LESS resources. Added to MORE people. The resources are already running out. Okay, technically they start running out from day one. Rather, resources are in such a decline that triage has started long ago as to who is denied any, or at least most.
The Arab Spring was not political. It was food. The conflict was oil and now more about feeding the increased population there. The immigration to Europe isn’t just about ignorant slut Politically Correct morons in charge ( as aforementioned, it is allowed on purpose for profits, but it is also about the following… ) but about in part former colonies striking back in resource decline. The French and British ( and now their neighbors, thanks to the senseless centralization which was thought to counter economic decline, forming the EU ) get to be economically exploited by the very groups they colonized for economic exploitation. Poetic justice to a degree. The US gets to see demographic conquest by the people they exploited by taking their land. But make no mistake. That isn’t religious, political or even economic. It is resource contraction. Overpopulated areas unable to feed itself will conquer neighboring lands. It just so happens this didn’t have to be violent due to the corporate and elite Quislings in the lands under discussion.
If you can wrap your mind around resource contraction, if you aren’t making excuses to minimize potential pain ( like the pain that will arrive from no longer being an imperial citizen wallowing in the luxury of colonial treasure ), you can easily see the future. New Orleans, full of poor Blacks, was abandoned as it promised no return on investment. Economically it was just a money pit. Since resources, economic or energy or ore, are shrinking in supply, the triage of our own nation was applied there. In Detroit, that was even easier to see coming. Globilization demands that a town of factories is abandoned. No return on further investment there. In Houston, many areas will be allowed to rot. If every area is full of affluent folks, the rebuilding will be largely privatized ( homeowner only, mostly not the insurance industry ). Any disaster aid from the government, beyond a token amount that won’t solve any substantial issue, will be in the form of loans rather than grants. Some resources, not all that are needed, will be given to Houston only because it plays such a prominent role in our petroleum economy. Florida?
Florida will be a combination of New Orleans and Houston. The poor neighborhoods will see little if any resources. Those areas that can afford higher taxes will be rebuilt, but only because the damage was limited and the Social Security money ( or tourist money ) will pay for the effort of rescue. That is triage, folks. When resources are limited, the price goes up ( if the contest isn’t decided militarily, such as in the Congo ). If you can afford to pay, you kick the can down the road. But if I was still living in Florida, I’d be asking myself this question. When do I go from being Houston to New Orleans? What if Social Security isn’t going to be paid indefinitely ( duh, right? )? Eventually, my area sees less resources. So eventually a hurricane hits and…nothing. The relief effort silence will be deafening. Why is any of this surprising? The Rust Belt was around for decades reminding us of all this, the hurricanes are just the latest evidence of throwing poor folks under the bus. Nothing new to see here, move along.
You know what helps me visualize the future better? I just think that soon, we actually get Y2K. That’s it. Just see the future as being grid down. Everything else follows. All I’m doing here is attempting to explain the issues that will cause the event to actually happen this time. Remember, to its logical conclusion.
END ( today's related link http://amzn.to/2fgOPl7 )
* By the by, all my writing is copyrighted. For the obtuse out there
Well a few years back the corner of the world I reside in nearly ran out of drinking water. Crazy plans were drawn up and a lot of (borrowed) money used to build a desalination plant (that's never been used). Then it rained and the problem went away.ReplyDelete
They keep on packing more and more people here (I don't know where TF they're coming from) but aren't providing any infrastructure (hospitals and the like) pretending that the taxes (revenue) coming in is pure profit.
Recall I mentioned water nearly running out. Well amongst the infrastructure not provided is new dams. An area nearby is on a two week, yes two week wait list for water trucks to provide tank water (they don't have town water). I take my dog for a walk near one of our cities dams and it's dropping quite noticeably
Damn, sounds like Las Vegas rather than Oz. Dumbassness is universal.Delete
Why would I want to spend the time and money to super insulate the garage?ReplyDelete
The house is already insulated.
The garage is on a cement slab. Then you got that big door to deal with.
Sure sounds like a lot of work for what you get out of it.
Tell us why the house will not be habitable.
Okay, the garage option is only if your modern dwelling doesn't have enough insulation or can't be modified. First, if the garage door doesn't face south, then, yes, the door is an issue. If south, fill with window. Either way, you are building another wall. It is only for houses that totally suck. When I was in Florida, prior to living in a mobile home under a tree with a screened porch, I was in a condo. Each unit was a corner. NO cross breeze. Most likely uninhabitable in summer. A lot of houses in the Pacific NW were built fast and cheap with no insulation due to the cheap-at the time-hypropower. A lot of homes in the desert SW don't have enough insulation for 110 temps. Homes without shade, or without southern window exposure are quite common. I'm actually surprised you don't think you'll have a problem-your house must be exceptional. The mother in law house is a better option than the garage-I'll be getting into that in an article.Delete
As a general question, as I've been toying with the idea, what use do you think there might be for the old agricultural stationary engines? Perhaps modified for renewable fuels or gone solar, do you see any particular use for such? I'm from an agri-urban area but have never even seen one in the wild.ReplyDelete
I guess a modern take is this one
If solar, I'd imagine the issue would be the batteries, plus one honken inverter. I can't say a tool to repair most everything is a bad idea, but you must have the energy to keep all those going. It might be better to just use salvage and stockpiles to get you to a complete switch over to renewables.Delete
You are correct on batteries, if you only have access to current-tech lead-acid (even deep cycle and/or AGM) types. You might get usefulness (half-capacity, with chargeablity at 8 years, and voltage stabilizing so that you can run an inverter -or other dc loads- when the panels are putting out current during the day but not actually charging the ancient sulfated junk batteries any more) for 10 years if careful. Iron Edison alkaline will run longer, maybe multigenerationally. The pv panels will put out half power in 30 years if the wires and connections are good. Not Honkin'-big inverters, little ones that are cheap enough to buy multiples and to last in African dirt floor huts: Morningstar SureSine (300W continuous, 600W 30minutes, 12v only, NO FAN!). I have 3 low-miles used ones got between $90 and $150. You don't need 2KW inverter ($1500+) to run your life, so you don't need 2000W of PV (+racks & space & connectivity), and you don't need 800 pounds of batteries (subject to freezing/burning/theft/neglect & poor installs) . 300W inverter will run a rocker pump freezer, a bunch of LEDS, a laptop, charge your little devices, all at once.
Anything that makes heat electrically intentionally is bad. Fans are okay from a propane or wood heater, but resistance heating is a grid-only play. Swamp-cooler evap cooling and vent fans are fine, but an rv roof AC unit (13000BTU) or a window shaker that needs 12 amps of 120v continuously will require a fueled genset (12A @120v = 1440Watts, but it might take a "3500W" generator to actually start an AC unit) or a grid connection, short of massive battery rated at 1440W) banks connected to huge pv and wind units that will require frequent love by expensive technical staff to keep going.
Not sure why anyone thinks they need an AC off grid. You didn't do something right designing your shelter.Delete