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Tuesday, February 24, 2015

long distance


LONG DISTANCE WAKE UP CALL

Modern Americans have close to zero perception of distance.  For century and millennia distance had hard and cold limits- how many miles a food fueled entity could travel in a day.  The settlements of occupation ( Spanish Missions on the California coast ) were a day’s travel afoot apart.  Military campaigns had hard limits built around absolute limits for infantry and horse.  Not to mention if there was even a way to police land areas others tried to traverse.  Many times there were no roads and waterways were the only considerations ( Viking raids up river, the American Revolution hinging on navel supremacy due to nearly zero north-south roads, Arab economies taking advantage of African and Asian trade which were almost entirely naval ).  Today, autos make miles irrelevant with travel decisions reckoned in time.  No one thinks a thing of produce from Mexico ( stop placing too much importance in California production- outside a few specialties the whole sector is now a zombie ), toilet paper from Canadian Artic trees or $1 retail gee-gaws shipped over from China.  Now, this will NOT be a tirade against oil dependence.  Here is my point.  As distance means nothing in reality ( or, the perception of reality so same thing for most ) I have grave doubts anyone who matters is planning now on how to negate the disadvantage of distance come the time.  In the future, if a military conflict erupts between the federal government ( with its lapdogs in many local governmental entities ) and civilians, say, I don’t know, when the poor humpers are starving, distance is definitely going to work against the feds.  Be prepared to take strategic advantage.

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Again, I do NOT advocate armed rebellion.  Best to hide away and let them implode on their own.  If you have no choice and are forced into it, don’t be a stupid martyr.  Try to survive by being a sneaky hiding skulking shadow rather than throwing yourself against the enemy with macho grunts as you wildly spray your semi-auto carbine, filled with nothing but thoughts of liberating a By God Full Auto Carbine, secure in the knowledge that the mighty roar of a mag emptying itself in three seconds will send fear up the enemies spine as his bowels loosen in unbridled terror.  Try to only engage things, not people.  People shoot back.  It is all about logistics, not tactics.  Washington DC is going to try to monopolize all production for its own military and luxurious rewarding of its ruling members.  To do so, it is going to have a supply chain from the Atlantic coast to near the Rockies and from the West coast to the Sierras ( with the middle largely empty of desirable targets.  And the West coast might be abandoned depending on Chinese control of Panama, or even if the coast is invaded.  In the end, the eastern sector is where most of the targets are ).

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Supply chains are vulnerable.  A natural gas pipeline can’t be manned by armed guards every quarter mile ( and that is the plains.  In heavier foliage you need even more ).  When a quarter of all petroleum products are distilled in a small area in Louisiana, disruption is easy.  How do you patrol every shoreline of the Mississippi river or Erie canal ( I’m not sure if that one is still operable, but you take my point )?  When almost all our grain is grown in the Midwest, first having artificial fertilizer brought in from the ports-as half is from overseas-to the fields, then the yields taking just a few railroads back to where the inputs came from, you face a very easily disrupted food supply.  This countries military is a fiercely perceived mighty entity, but entirely dependent on expensive training, vast imported oil, deficit spending linked to PetroDollar supremacy, and imported computer chips, plus too much high tech reliance.  Mostly thinly held together by fragile supply chains and past monopoly positions.  A paper tiger.  Not to say rebels will have free reign, but to point out that guerilla operations are local.  They might face the same supply constrictions, but they are not fighting with a distance handicap.  Local food production might be problematic, but it is a possibility without far away supplies.  The feds will be fighting a conventional war, needing globally or at least continentally ( although I have my doubts there is enough local oil ) transported supplies, and so even if they camp and steal local food, they are still tied to the present way of war fighting and long distance logistics.  Their heavy mechanized movement needs petroleum from several states away.  To support more warriors and security personnel, to even closely approach the level needed to suppress local heavy populations, they will need lots of grain from far away as locally is too condensed and settled.  With supplies going both ways to the farm.  They can’t clear and depopulate the East fast enough.  Long distance will be a non-negotiated aspect of their plans.  Be ready.

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10 comments:

  1. Think Drones are haven't u been paying attention?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Too high tech, spare parts from China problematic.

      Delete
  2. Most effective weapon for irregular forces are bic lighters. Start waveing a rifle around and you will be shot. Nonchalantly wandering around with a concealed handgun setting fire to government infostructure with your bic lighter is a much better way to fight a civil war.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good point. And Bic is the brand to trust when you absolutely possitively need to burn Uncle Obammy's forces equipment.

      Delete
    2. David's Tool Kit: A Citizen's Guide to Taking Out Big Brother's Heavy Weapons, By Ragnar Benson.

      Try to buy it cash in person.

      Delete
    3. It was okay, adequate, mediocre.

      Delete
  3. I don't think that tyrannical Federal government will be the actual problem. It will be tyrannical local government - given their powers/backing by the feds. A sort of semi-feudal structure if you will. The king hardly ever executed any peasants not in or near the palace, the local lords did most of that. Co-opting, becoming part of, or overthrowing the local tyranny will be much harder than getting rid of the blue helmets or the feds. Especially as the local tyranny will be able to call in the feds or blue helmets for a while.
    Far better to see that the back-up of the feds and blue helmets are long gone before moving against the local tyranny in any way.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I see the locals as minions, until the power vacuum opens for them.

      Delete
  4. Without liquid-fueled vehicles running on oil-roads, distance is now "days across the State" not hours in a car. Look at New England State size: those are the largest practical walking-distance States. County-size is how far you can walk to the County seat in one day and still get back home the same day: about 20 miles radius, not taking into account rivers/mountains that slow/block travel. Exceptions if you have bicycle/rail/canal transport.

    The Federal representative in your County, unless there is a State capital or a major international port, should be the US Postmaster (who might also be the only full-time carrier). Why would a Fed employee have any contact with you unless paying a Customs Duty for some trinket being imported to repair your foreign-made rifle?

    pdxr13

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. County size as you described broke down at the middle of the country-the line where the rainfall patterns change drastically. Perhaps they became the size of two ranches, or something.

      Delete

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